Check historical price trends and seasonality for Rough Rice Futures (CBOT) (ZR=F).
Rough Rice Futures (CBOT) (ZR=F) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +0.34%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is +0.81%.
4 wins 0 losses with a win rate of 100.00%.
1) Overview:
Rough Rice Futures typically experience a strong bullish phase from January through June. Prices tend to rise steadily from January, reaching a peak around June 6 with an average gain of +11.9%. A significant bearish phase then occurs, with prices declining into November, hitting a low around November 2 with an average loss of -9.8%. From there, the market attempts to recover slightly, consolidating into the end of the year, with a slight gain of +0.3% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Several potential buying opportunities exist based on seasonal pullbacks. The first occurs in March, with a slight dip into March 9, before rebounding into late March. Another, more significant pullback occurs from mid-June through November. The most pronounced dip occurs around November 2, representing a significant seasonal low point, which could be considered a strong buying opportunity before a potential year-end recovery.
3) Summary:
A seasonal trading strategy for Rough Rice Futures could involve entering long positions during pullback periods, particularly around November 2, anticipating a potential year-end bounce. The strongest seasonal uptrend occurs from January through June, making this a favorable period to hold long positions. Traders should be aware of the significant seasonal weakness from June through November and consider reducing or closing long positions before this period.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 1,464.0000 | 2025-01-22 | 1,482.0000 | 18.0000 | 1.23 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 1,755.5000 | 2024-01-22 | 1,755.5000 | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 1,333.5000 | 2020-01-22 | 1,343.5000 | 10.0000 | 0.75 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 1,046.5000 | 2019-01-22 | 1,065.0000 | 18.5000 | 1.77 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 1,214.5000 | 2018-01-22 | 1,218.0000 | 3.5000 | 0.29 |
| Avg | 1,362.8000 | 1,372.8000 | 10.00 | 0.81 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.80% | Feb Total -2.55% | Mar Total +1.18% | Apr Total +4.14% | May Total +2.38% | Jun Total +1,004.62% | Jul Total -2.65% | Aug Total -0.56% | Sep Total -0.98% | Oct Total -1.72% | Nov Total +4,833.35% | Dec Total +5,802.40% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +82.53% | 0.00% | -0.17% | +0.63% | -0.20% | -0.11% | +0.27% | +0.37% | -0.23% | -0.36% | +0.12% | -9.67% | +999.70% |
| 2 Avg +0.02% | -0.08% | +0.54% | -0.02% | -0.15% | -0.25% | +0.89% | +0.01% | -0.53% | +0.47% | -0.12% | -0.35% | -0.22% |
| 3 Avg +79.75% | -0.64% | -0.40% | +0.03% | +0.30% | +0.79% | +0.63% | +0.30% | -0.03% | +0.19% | +0.28% | +955.78% | -0.29% |
| 4 Avg -0.04% | -0.06% | -0.28% | -0.09% | -0.42% | 0.00% | +0.81% | 0.00% | -0.35% | +0.12% | +0.11% | +0.10% | -0.43% |
| 5 Avg -0.04% | +0.27% | +0.01% | -0.61% | +0.11% | +0.11% | -0.88% | +0.24% | +0.34% | -0.10% | +0.01% | -0.05% | +0.01% |
| 6 Avg -0.84% | -0.14% | -0.06% | -0.43% | -0.09% | +0.10% | +1.85% | +0.15% | -0.47% | -0.64% | +0.17% | -0.25% | -10.27% |
| 7 Avg +0.01% | +0.09% | -0.03% | -0.02% | +0.09% | +0.44% | -0.30% | +0.58% | -0.39% | -0.33% | +0.01% | +0.11% | -0.14% |
| 8 Avg +82.92% | +0.40% | -0.03% | -0.34% | +0.04% | -0.13% | -0.79% | +0.07% | +0.02% | -0.15% | 0.00% | -9.82% | +1,005.76% |
| 9 Avg +0.02% | +0.57% | -0.22% | -0.34% | +0.60% | -0.32% | -0.99% | +0.37% | +0.22% | -0.08% | +0.05% | +0.17% | +0.22% |
| 10 Avg +81.00% | +0.01% | +0.42% | +0.27% | -0.09% | +0.79% | -1.31% | -0.19% | -0.23% | +0.31% | -0.12% | +972.32% | -0.22% |
| 11 Avg -0.02% | -0.75% | +0.06% | -0.03% | +0.23% | +0.55% | -0.88% | +0.31% | +0.17% | -0.40% | +0.12% | +0.39% | +0.03% |
| 12 Avg +0.43% | +0.86% | -0.69% | +0.01% | +0.72% | +0.53% | +2.17% | +0.96% | +0.39% | +0.56% | -0.16% | +0.05% | -0.23% |
| 13 Avg -0.96% | -0.30% | -0.29% | +0.47% | +0.19% | -0.64% | -0.34% | -0.31% | -0.17% | +0.17% | +0.03% | +0.04% | -10.38% |
| 14 Avg -0.10% | -0.02% | -0.23% | +0.08% | +0.67% | +0.31% | -0.86% | -0.90% | -0.17% | +0.43% | +0.15% | -0.62% | 0.00% |
| 15 Avg +80.75% | +0.39% | -0.72% | +1.79% | +0.69% | +0.14% | +0.96% | -3.98% | +0.18% | +0.93% | -0.14% | -8.16% | +976.87% |
| 16 Avg +0.08% | +0.61% | -0.12% | +0.56% | -0.34% | +0.49% | -1.14% | -0.25% | -0.04% | +0.22% | +0.07% | +0.91% | -0.06% |
| 17 Avg +81.17% | +0.68% | +0.20% | +0.44% | +0.37% | +0.13% | -10.80% | -1.03% | -0.51% | -0.25% | +0.20% | +984.45% | +0.13% |
| 18 Avg +84.80% | +0.31% | -0.11% | -0.04% | +0.18% | -0.48% | +1,017.11% | +0.40% | -0.30% | -0.05% | -0.28% | +0.58% | +0.31% |
| 19 Avg -0.15% | +0.30% | +0.11% | -0.46% | -0.43% | -0.44% | -0.50% | +0.02% | +0.39% | -0.42% | -0.08% | -0.42% | +0.10% |
| 20 Avg -0.86% | +0.15% | -0.06% | -0.37% | -0.15% | +0.19% | -0.51% | +0.33% | -0.28% | +0.19% | -0.32% | +0.01% | -9.54% |
| 21 Avg +0.09% | +0.26% | -0.03% | +0.22% | +0.60% | +0.12% | +0.15% | -0.12% | -0.05% | -0.60% | -0.20% | +0.84% | -0.10% |
| 22 Avg +79.31% | -0.14% | -0.05% | +0.17% | +0.49% | +0.08% | +0.36% | +0.24% | +0.35% | -0.16% | -0.47% | -10.21% | +961.06% |
| 23 Avg +0.04% | +0.26% | -0.30% | +0.12% | +0.48% | -0.37% | +0.01% | +0.33% | +0.23% | -0.28% | +0.11% | -0.12% | +0.02% |
| 24 Avg +82.74% | +0.16% | -0.05% | +0.22% | -0.28% | -0.41% | -0.07% | +0.45% | -0.07% | -0.22% | -0.84% | +994.00% | -0.06% |
| 25 Avg -1.06% | -0.04% | -0.35% | -0.12% | -0.17% | -0.42% | -0.73% | +0.23% | -0.43% | -0.60% | -0.04% | -0.16% | -9.90% |
| 26 Avg +78.61% | +0.34% | -0.19% | +0.08% | -0.33% | +0.40% | -0.54% | -0.18% | +0.64% | +0.07% | -0.20% | 0.00% | +943.29% |
| 27 Avg -1.70% | +0.05% | -0.11% | +0.12% | +0.02% | +0.07% | -1.01% | -0.39% | -0.21% | +0.25% | +0.46% | -9.76% | -9.86% |
| 28 Avg +81.83% | -0.06% | +0.61% | -0.67% | -0.09% | +0.44% | -0.05% | -0.28% | +0.08% | -0.03% | -0.41% | +983.02% | -0.56% |
| 29 Avg +87.16% | +0.24% | - | -0.16% | +1.36% | -0.08% | +0.72% | +0.08% | +0.54% | -0.04% | -0.53% | -9.70% | +966.31% |
| 30 Avg -0.03% | -0.43% | - | +0.06% | -0.25% | +0.39% | +0.39% | -0.09% | -0.03% | -0.22% | -0.14% | -0.09% | +0.04% |
| 31 Avg +0.04% | -0.53% | - | -0.37% | - | -0.04% | - | -0.38% | +0.39% | - | +0.42% | - | +0.79% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
