Check historical price trends and seasonality for Yum! Brands (YUM).
Yum! Brands (YUM) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +11.70%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 11 for 60 days) is +2.71%.
5 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 62.50%.
1) Overview:
Yum! Brands exhibits a clear seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline from early January, bottoming out around March 23 with an average loss of -2.3%. A strong bullish phase then begins, extending through the year, culminating in substantial gains by the end of December, with peaks around December 28 (+12.3%) and December 31 (+11.7%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent pullback period appears in the first quarter, particularly around March. The dip culminating around March 23 (-2.3%) could represent a buying opportunity, as the stock historically rebounds strongly from this point onward. This pullback may be attributed to general market sentiment or sector-specific concerns early in the year.
3) Summary:
Seasonality suggests a strategic approach to Yum! Brands. Consider establishing a position around late March to capitalize on the historically bullish trend that follows. Be aware that past performance is not indicative of future results, and broader market conditions should always be considered.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-07-11 | 149.7900 | 2025-09-08 | 147.9900 | -1.8000 | -1.20 |
| 2024 | 2024-07-11 | 129.5200 | 2024-09-08 | 133.8700 | 4.3500 | 3.36 |
| 2023 | 2023-07-11 | 134.1700 | 2023-09-08 | 126.5300 | -7.6400 | -5.69 |
| 2022 | 2022-07-11 | 116.5400 | 2022-09-08 | 116.3600 | -0.1800 | -0.15 |
| 2019 | 2019-07-11 | 111.5000 | 2019-09-08 | 119.2100 | 7.7100 | 6.91 |
| 2018 | 2018-07-11 | 78.7900 | 2018-09-08 | 88.4000 | 9.6100 | 12.20 |
| 2017 | 2017-07-11 | 73.9700 | 2017-09-08 | 76.4800 | 2.5100 | 3.39 |
| 2016 | 2016-07-11 | 62.1423 | 2016-09-08 | 63.9037 | 1.7614 | 2.83 |
| Avg | 107.0528 | 109.0930 | 2.04 | 2.71 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.42% | Feb Total +0.26% | Mar Total +0.74% | Apr Total +4.53% | May Total -0.18% | Jun Total +0.03% | Jul Total +3.68% | Aug Total +0.97% | Sep Total -1.41% | Oct Total -1.78% | Nov Total +5.54% | Dec Total +1.21% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | -0.07% | +0.32% | +0.40% | -1.01% | +0.47% | +0.22% | +0.55% | +0.34% | +0.11% | -0.46% | -0.02% |
| 2 Avg +0.11% | -0.08% | +0.11% | +0.67% | -0.47% | -0.54% | +0.45% | +0.22% | +0.18% | -0.01% | +0.23% | +0.58% | -0.07% |
| 3 Avg -0.09% | -0.57% | +0.01% | -0.22% | -0.22% | +0.07% | +0.35% | -0.22% | -0.15% | -0.37% | -0.02% | +0.61% | -0.34% |
| 4 Avg +0.13% | +0.19% | -0.11% | +0.66% | -1.11% | +0.28% | +0.53% | 0.00% | +0.17% | +0.04% | +0.18% | +1.07% | -0.34% |
| 5 Avg -0.16% | -0.16% | -0.69% | -0.12% | +0.07% | -0.09% | +0.12% | -0.20% | -1.02% | -0.08% | -0.19% | +0.47% | -0.06% |
| 6 Avg +0.31% | +0.16% | +1.05% | -0.06% | +1.51% | +0.22% | +0.40% | +0.07% | +0.48% | +0.01% | -0.70% | +0.12% | +0.50% |
| 7 Avg +0.03% | -0.65% | -0.03% | -0.45% | -0.05% | +0.22% | +0.11% | +0.15% | +0.07% | +0.13% | -0.01% | +0.93% | -0.08% |
| 8 Avg -0.05% | -0.01% | -0.79% | +0.05% | +0.30% | +0.02% | 0.00% | -0.04% | -0.01% | +0.03% | -0.14% | +0.03% | +0.01% |
| 9 Avg -0.03% | 0.00% | +0.54% | -0.80% | +1.10% | -0.17% | -0.71% | +0.16% | +0.07% | -0.67% | -0.13% | -0.03% | +0.26% |
| 10 Avg +0.06% | -0.46% | +0.43% | +0.29% | +0.16% | +0.34% | -0.59% | +0.57% | +0.32% | -0.27% | -0.31% | +0.20% | +0.05% |
| 11 Avg -0.20% | -0.35% | -0.45% | -0.43% | -0.05% | -0.64% | -0.49% | -0.13% | +0.29% | +0.33% | -0.53% | -0.27% | +0.32% |
| 12 Avg +0.08% | +0.22% | +0.45% | -0.44% | +0.36% | -0.16% | +0.20% | +0.08% | -0.20% | +0.26% | +0.09% | -0.50% | +0.57% |
| 13 Avg 0.00% | -0.14% | +0.11% | -0.14% | -0.02% | -0.55% | -0.10% | -0.03% | +0.40% | -0.66% | +0.48% | +0.24% | +0.38% |
| 14 Avg +0.14% | +0.08% | +0.14% | -0.15% | +0.63% | +0.40% | -0.06% | +0.19% | +0.19% | +0.36% | +0.04% | +0.13% | -0.28% |
| 15 Avg +0.06% | -0.34% | +0.48% | +0.77% | -0.47% | +0.32% | +0.31% | -0.07% | +0.05% | -0.41% | +0.16% | -0.24% | +0.17% |
| 16 Avg +0.06% | +0.04% | +0.18% | -0.41% | +0.33% | +0.54% | -0.39% | -0.11% | +0.04% | +0.11% | +0.21% | +0.30% | -0.17% |
| 17 Avg +0.01% | +0.24% | +0.15% | -0.40% | +0.75% | -0.22% | -0.25% | +0.30% | -0.18% | -0.18% | +0.27% | -0.14% | -0.22% |
| 18 Avg 0.00% | +0.14% | +0.09% | -0.89% | +0.38% | -0.09% | -0.56% | +0.12% | +0.10% | -0.25% | +0.32% | +0.47% | +0.15% |
| 19 Avg -0.03% | +0.14% | +0.14% | +0.11% | +0.07% | +0.23% | -0.20% | -0.06% | -0.20% | +0.07% | -0.26% | -0.18% | -0.19% |
| 20 Avg -0.02% | +0.14% | +0.01% | -0.52% | -0.01% | +0.12% | -0.10% | +0.44% | +0.08% | -0.26% | +0.02% | +0.05% | -0.27% |
| 21 Avg -0.01% | +0.10% | -0.32% | -0.26% | -0.52% | -0.08% | +0.38% | -0.07% | +0.16% | -0.61% | +0.48% | +0.31% | +0.28% |
| 22 Avg +0.15% | +0.06% | 0.00% | -0.23% | +0.84% | -0.34% | +0.02% | +1.17% | -0.10% | +0.34% | -0.27% | +0.22% | +0.05% |
| 23 Avg -0.04% | +0.23% | -0.14% | -0.45% | -0.06% | -0.13% | +0.43% | -0.16% | -0.23% | +0.05% | -0.19% | +0.18% | -0.05% |
| 24 Avg +0.21% | +0.23% | -0.35% | +2.43% | +0.39% | +0.51% | -0.30% | -0.25% | -0.05% | +0.34% | -0.54% | +0.07% | +0.07% |
| 25 Avg -0.02% | -0.56% | -0.04% | +0.36% | -0.13% | +0.06% | -0.10% | +0.01% | +0.16% | -0.26% | -0.13% | +0.39% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.09% | +0.23% | -0.20% | +0.92% | -0.22% | +0.22% | -0.13% | +0.20% | -0.66% | +0.23% | -0.19% | +0.20% | +0.49% |
| 27 Avg -0.02% | -0.33% | -0.58% | -0.80% | +0.46% | +0.31% | -0.24% | +0.52% | -0.09% | -0.09% | -0.10% | +0.31% | +0.44% |
| 28 Avg +0.14% | +0.30% | +0.14% | +0.39% | +0.25% | -0.26% | -0.13% | -0.25% | +0.42% | +0.18% | +0.14% | +0.25% | +0.19% |
| 29 Avg +0.17% | +0.50% | - | +0.39% | -0.23% | -0.24% | +0.52% | +1.00% | +0.27% | -0.05% | -0.30% | +0.14% | -0.12% |
| 30 Avg -0.05% | +0.03% | - | +0.53% | +0.05% | +0.15% | +0.07% | -0.09% | -0.22% | -0.07% | -0.69% | +0.11% | -0.46% |
| 31 Avg +0.04% | +0.21% | - | -0.39% | - | +0.31% | - | -0.08% | +0.08% | - | +0.19% | - | -0.02% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
