Check historical price trends and seasonality for ExxonMobil (XOM).
ExxonMobil (XOM) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +9.02%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -6.39%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
ExxonMobil tends to experience a bullish phase from early January through June. The stock shows a strong upward tendency from January, peaking around June 8 with an average gain of +12.3%. Following this peak, the stock typically enters a bearish phase, declining through August. A recovery phase appears to begin in September, leading to a year-end rally, culminating on December 31 with an average gain of +9.0%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities may arise during the pullback that typically occurs after June. Following the peak around June 8 (+12.3%), the stock tends to decline through July and August. This dip could be attributed to profit-taking after the strong first-half performance. Another potential buying opportunity may arise in late December, before the year-end rally towards December 31 (+9.0%).
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy could involve accumulating ExxonMobil shares during pullback periods in July and August. Another opportunity could be in late December before the year-end rally. Investors should consider these seasonal tendencies alongside fundamental analysis and broader market conditions for informed decision-making.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 111.3200 | 2025-03-16 | 111.9000 | 0.5800 | 0.52 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 97.6900 | 2024-03-15 | 111.2700 | 13.5800 | 13.90 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 68.8200 | 2020-03-15 | 38.1200 | -30.7000 | -44.61 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 71.6400 | 2019-03-16 | 80.1500 | 8.5100 | 11.88 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 86.9700 | 2018-03-16 | 75.1200 | -11.8500 | -13.63 |
| Avg | 87.2880 | 83.3120 | -3.98 | -6.39 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +3.23% | Feb Total +0.21% | Mar Total +0.58% | Apr Total +3.60% | May Total -1.28% | Jun Total +2.20% | Jul Total -0.47% | Aug Total -2.11% | Sep Total +0.55% | Oct Total +0.72% | Nov Total +1.68% | Dec Total -0.65% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.76% | +0.91% | +0.34% | -1.46% | +0.97% | +0.15% | -1.35% | -0.24% | +0.03% | +0.63% | +0.14% |
| 2 Avg +0.20% | +0.76% | -0.89% | +0.89% | +0.70% | -0.32% | +0.36% | -0.06% | -0.14% | +0.47% | -0.37% | +0.51% | +0.44% |
| 3 Avg +0.16% | +0.21% | +0.68% | -0.67% | -0.03% | +0.22% | +0.56% | +0.50% | +0.07% | -0.50% | +0.89% | -0.36% | +0.34% |
| 4 Avg +0.19% | +0.60% | +0.58% | +0.85% | -0.59% | +0.59% | -0.15% | 0.00% | -0.58% | +0.04% | +0.30% | +0.77% | -0.13% |
| 5 Avg +0.12% | +0.79% | +0.31% | -0.05% | +0.21% | +0.17% | +0.72% | -0.76% | -0.09% | 0.00% | +0.48% | +0.23% | -0.54% |
| 6 Avg +0.03% | +0.59% | -0.46% | -0.16% | +0.28% | +0.27% | +0.97% | -0.74% | +0.04% | +0.29% | -0.11% | -0.16% | -0.44% |
| 7 Avg +0.15% | +0.06% | +0.06% | +0.44% | +0.12% | +0.20% | +0.76% | -0.28% | +0.08% | -0.03% | -0.16% | +0.76% | -0.17% |
| 8 Avg +0.20% | -0.46% | +0.03% | -0.55% | +0.62% | +0.78% | +0.64% | +0.23% | +0.67% | +0.03% | +0.39% | -0.48% | +0.54% |
| 9 Avg -0.14% | -0.39% | -0.74% | -1.91% | +0.24% | -0.31% | -0.19% | -0.31% | +0.10% | +0.23% | +0.30% | +0.99% | +0.31% |
| 10 Avg +0.08% | -0.39% | +0.36% | +1.08% | -0.22% | +0.23% | -0.49% | +0.87% | +0.04% | -0.40% | -0.25% | -0.07% | +0.21% |
| 11 Avg -0.09% | +0.86% | +0.21% | -0.53% | +0.09% | -0.49% | -0.93% | +0.21% | +0.33% | -0.11% | -0.78% | +0.09% | -0.06% |
| 12 Avg -0.03% | +0.71% | +0.45% | -0.98% | 0.00% | -0.24% | -0.04% | +0.09% | -0.28% | +0.67% | -0.16% | -0.83% | +0.32% |
| 13 Avg 0.00% | +0.45% | -0.12% | +0.18% | +0.12% | -0.52% | -0.27% | -0.12% | -0.29% | -0.28% | +0.59% | +0.18% | +0.08% |
| 14 Avg -0.05% | +0.97% | -0.35% | -0.03% | +0.45% | +0.31% | -0.32% | -0.52% | -0.31% | +0.26% | -0.06% | -0.38% | -0.60% |
| 15 Avg -0.22% | -0.52% | +0.33% | -1.09% | -0.69% | +0.05% | +0.14% | +0.23% | -0.88% | -0.14% | -0.21% | +0.25% | -0.05% |
| 16 Avg -0.15% | -0.35% | +0.28% | -1.15% | -0.20% | 0.00% | +0.05% | -0.59% | -0.22% | +0.52% | -0.23% | +0.35% | -0.23% |
| 17 Avg +0.16% | +0.26% | -0.21% | +1.17% | +1.17% | +0.59% | -1.12% | -0.17% | -0.02% | +0.05% | +0.44% | +0.05% | -0.32% |
| 18 Avg -0.17% | -0.12% | -0.16% | -1.26% | +0.38% | +0.32% | -0.06% | -0.27% | +0.29% | -0.18% | +0.09% | -0.47% | -0.58% |
| 19 Avg -0.13% | -0.08% | +0.23% | +0.41% | -0.03% | -0.50% | -0.36% | -0.26% | -0.31% | +0.04% | +0.31% | -0.76% | -0.28% |
| 20 Avg -0.16% | +0.06% | -0.08% | -0.16% | -0.66% | +0.11% | +0.25% | +0.03% | -0.37% | -0.62% | +0.07% | -0.27% | -0.30% |
| 21 Avg +0.14% | -0.53% | -0.23% | +1.02% | -0.19% | -0.19% | +1.00% | +0.63% | -0.13% | -0.46% | -0.05% | +0.54% | +0.25% |
| 22 Avg +0.04% | -0.08% | +0.19% | -0.69% | +0.58% | -0.50% | -0.03% | -0.42% | +0.39% | -0.02% | +0.76% | +0.38% | -0.07% |
| 23 Avg +0.08% | -0.13% | +0.37% | -0.59% | +0.45% | +0.04% | -0.38% | +0.02% | +0.43% | -0.16% | -0.32% | +0.63% | +0.58% |
| 24 Avg +0.15% | +0.20% | -0.29% | +1.49% | +0.08% | +0.06% | -0.60% | +0.48% | +0.43% | +0.13% | -0.45% | +0.72% | -0.47% |
| 25 Avg +0.00% | +0.10% | -0.35% | +0.81% | -0.21% | -0.40% | -0.09% | +0.39% | -0.04% | +0.25% | +0.19% | -0.63% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.09% | +0.64% | -0.30% | +1.03% | -0.39% | +0.31% | +0.11% | +0.15% | -0.25% | -0.42% | 0.00% | -0.32% | +0.52% |
| 27 Avg +0.01% | -0.46% | -0.59% | -0.31% | +0.28% | +0.18% | +0.21% | 0.00% | +0.14% | +1.26% | -0.51% | -0.27% | +0.24% |
| 28 Avg +0.12% | +0.13% | +0.17% | -0.03% | +0.97% | -0.50% | +0.54% | -0.19% | +0.30% | +1.05% | -0.52% | -0.03% | -0.45% |
| 29 Avg +0.14% | -0.24% | - | +0.38% | +0.57% | -0.05% | +0.01% | +0.65% | +0.76% | -0.81% | +0.36% | 0.00% | -0.07% |
| 30 Avg -0.20% | +0.07% | - | +0.45% | -0.83% | +0.22% | -0.07% | -0.65% | -0.53% | -0.35% | -0.18% | -0.34% | +0.02% |
| 31 Avg -0.20% | -0.47% | - | -0.36% | - | -0.44% | - | +0.25% | -0.40% | - | -0.12% | - | +0.14% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
