Check historical price trends and seasonality for Xcel Energy (XEL).
Xcel Energy (XEL) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +7.97%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +0.68%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Xcel Energy tends to experience a bearish period in early March, bottoming out around March 1 with an average decrease of -2.0%. Following this low point, the stock generally enters a strong bullish phase that extends throughout the spring and summer, reaching a peak in late November. The stock then continues to rise into late December, with a significant increase of +10.2% by November 28 and +7.9% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent buying opportunity appears around March 1, where the stock tends to experience a -2.0% dip. This pullback could be attributed to profit-taking after the earlier bullish activity or general market sentiment at that time. Investors might consider accumulating shares during this period, anticipating a rebound and continuation of the upward trend that typically follows throughout the spring and summer months.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a potential investment strategy for Xcel Energy involves capitalizing on the dip around March 1. Consider establishing a position during this period, anticipating a rise through the spring, summer, and into late fall. Investors should be aware that seasonality represents average tendencies and not guaranteed outcomes, and should consider other fundamental and technical factors before making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 66.2000 | 2025-03-16 | 69.7500 | 3.5500 | 5.36 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 60.9100 | 2024-03-15 | 51.9900 | -8.9200 | -14.64 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 65.0300 | 2020-03-15 | 66.8400 | 1.8100 | 2.78 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 50.2500 | 2019-03-16 | 56.5000 | 6.2500 | 12.44 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 45.2900 | 2018-03-16 | 44.1300 | -1.1600 | -2.56 |
| Avg | 57.5360 | 57.8420 | 0.31 | 0.68 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.16% | Feb Total -1.66% | Mar Total +3.43% | Apr Total +2.00% | May Total +0.94% | Jun Total -2.01% | Jul Total +3.94% | Aug Total +0.62% | Sep Total -1.16% | Oct Total +2.19% | Nov Total +1.73% | Dec Total -1.58% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.18% | 0.00% | -0.14% | -1.65% | -0.43% | -0.42% | -0.39% | +0.61% | +0.31% | +0.01% | +0.15% | -0.10% | -0.13% |
| 2 Avg +0.09% | -0.30% | +0.20% | +0.95% | +0.46% | -0.08% | +0.01% | +0.18% | +0.06% | +0.46% | -0.59% | +0.03% | -0.31% |
| 3 Avg +0.03% | -0.06% | -0.20% | +0.11% | -0.23% | +0.06% | +0.28% | +0.17% | -0.07% | +0.26% | +0.07% | +0.07% | -0.09% |
| 4 Avg +0.05% | +0.03% | -0.12% | +1.15% | -0.53% | +0.47% | -0.47% | 0.00% | +0.20% | +0.12% | +0.53% | -0.43% | -0.33% |
| 5 Avg -0.05% | -0.17% | -0.22% | -0.08% | +0.63% | -0.02% | 0.00% | -0.09% | -0.62% | +0.06% | -0.17% | +0.25% | -0.22% |
| 6 Avg +0.06% | +0.33% | -0.20% | -0.27% | +0.74% | -0.23% | -0.39% | +0.21% | +0.10% | +0.10% | +0.14% | +0.04% | +0.19% |
| 7 Avg -0.03% | -0.06% | -0.06% | +0.31% | -0.57% | -0.12% | +0.32% | -0.48% | +0.38% | +0.10% | -0.49% | +0.08% | +0.23% |
| 8 Avg +0.01% | +0.25% | -0.30% | +0.33% | +0.67% | -0.51% | -0.35% | -0.07% | +0.16% | +0.05% | -0.10% | +0.07% | -0.03% |
| 9 Avg 0.00% | -0.28% | +0.22% | -0.30% | +0.88% | +0.25% | -0.26% | -0.32% | +0.18% | -0.20% | +0.09% | -0.19% | -0.10% |
| 10 Avg +0.06% | -0.33% | -0.04% | +0.27% | -0.35% | +0.60% | +0.25% | +0.29% | +0.03% | -0.32% | +0.14% | +0.43% | -0.18% |
| 11 Avg -0.13% | -0.52% | -0.17% | 0.00% | +0.06% | -0.21% | -0.66% | +0.54% | -0.42% | +0.14% | -0.42% | +0.08% | +0.09% |
| 12 Avg -0.11% | -0.30% | +0.21% | -0.80% | +0.03% | -0.55% | +0.08% | -0.09% | +0.23% | 0.00% | -0.04% | -0.07% | +0.01% |
| 13 Avg +0.19% | +0.25% | +0.21% | +1.07% | -0.34% | +0.35% | -0.79% | +0.11% | +0.34% | -0.62% | +0.60% | +0.23% | +0.85% |
| 14 Avg -0.03% | -0.05% | -0.27% | +0.07% | +0.45% | 0.00% | -0.37% | +0.21% | -0.41% | +0.10% | +0.05% | +0.36% | -0.53% |
| 15 Avg +0.20% | +0.65% | +0.24% | +0.86% | -0.13% | +0.14% | +0.33% | -0.10% | -0.05% | -0.37% | +0.22% | +0.36% | +0.31% |
| 16 Avg -0.01% | +0.32% | -0.10% | -1.26% | -0.07% | 0.00% | -0.33% | +0.36% | +0.41% | +0.18% | +0.42% | +0.17% | -0.24% |
| 17 Avg +0.13% | +0.30% | +0.25% | +1.26% | +0.71% | -0.42% | -0.34% | +0.42% | +0.03% | -0.38% | +0.32% | -0.31% | -0.28% |
| 18 Avg -0.10% | -0.52% | +0.51% | -0.84% | +0.01% | +0.10% | +0.01% | +0.09% | +0.15% | -0.33% | +0.20% | -0.21% | -0.32% |
| 19 Avg -0.05% | -0.18% | -0.03% | -0.46% | +0.35% | +0.05% | +0.14% | -0.08% | +0.15% | +0.05% | -0.07% | -0.08% | -0.44% |
| 20 Avg -0.15% | +0.09% | -0.03% | -1.19% | -0.63% | +0.27% | +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.02% | +0.02% | -0.27% | 0.00% | +0.03% |
| 21 Avg -0.01% | +0.06% | +0.23% | -0.06% | -0.63% | -0.25% | +0.17% | +0.29% | +0.12% | -0.04% | -0.04% | +0.17% | -0.18% |
| 22 Avg +0.12% | -0.07% | -0.26% | -0.01% | +0.67% | -0.08% | +0.19% | +0.76% | +0.01% | +0.06% | -0.05% | +0.17% | +0.08% |
| 23 Avg -0.04% | +0.07% | +0.46% | -0.06% | +0.05% | +0.05% | +0.05% | -0.17% | -0.50% | -0.17% | +0.11% | -0.27% | -0.08% |
| 24 Avg +0.28% | -0.10% | -0.20% | +1.30% | +0.11% | +0.28% | +0.37% | +0.14% | -0.01% | +0.94% | +0.81% | +0.05% | -0.34% |
| 25 Avg +0.04% | +0.38% | +0.02% | +0.36% | -0.15% | -0.13% | +0.08% | +0.10% | -0.16% | 0.00% | -0.29% | +0.23% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.03% | +0.01% | -0.89% | +0.63% | -0.40% | +0.12% | -0.06% | +0.55% | -0.15% | -0.32% | -0.14% | +0.13% | +0.17% |
| 27 Avg +0.00% | -0.06% | -0.63% | +0.61% | +0.41% | +0.21% | +0.13% | -0.26% | +0.06% | -0.62% | -0.18% | +0.28% | +0.07% |
| 28 Avg +0.07% | +0.14% | -0.33% | +0.16% | +0.42% | +0.17% | -0.26% | +0.05% | -0.01% | +0.11% | -0.04% | +0.40% | +0.02% |
| 29 Avg +0.11% | +0.10% | - | +0.42% | -0.08% | +0.03% | -0.22% | +0.55% | +0.50% | -0.30% | +0.12% | -0.13% | +0.27% |
| 30 Avg +0.12% | +0.42% | - | +0.56% | -0.13% | +0.42% | +0.50% | 0.00% | -0.27% | -0.23% | +0.36% | -0.10% | -0.16% |
| 31 Avg +0.28% | +0.73% | - | +0.02% | - | +0.41% | - | +0.06% | -0.09% | - | +0.75% | - | +0.06% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|