Check historical price trends and seasonality for Walmart (WMT).
Walmart (WMT) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +20.36%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 30 days) is +2.71%.
6 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 85.71%.
1) Overview:
Walmart's stock exhibits a strong upward tendency throughout the year, with a particularly bullish phase starting in early April and continuing through the end of the year. From early April to the end of July, the stock tends to increase from around +2.3% to +9.4%. The stock continues to rise from August until November 28, reaching +22.5%. The stock then consolidates at a high level, ending the year on December 31 at +20.3%. A notable bearish period occurs around March 12, with an average dip of -0.8%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buy-the-dip opportunity arises around March 12, where the stock tends to experience a slight pullback of -0.8%. This dip is typically followed by a rebound starting in early April, leading into a strong bullish phase. Another potential buying opportunity may occur in late March, as the stock prepares for its seasonal climb.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Walmart would involve considering entry points during the pullback around March 12 to capitalize on the subsequent bullish trend. Investors should also consider the strong performance towards the end of the year, particularly around November 28, and December 31, when the stock tends to peak. However, it's important to remember that seasonality is just one factor, and other market conditions should be considered.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 97.5900 | 2025-04-01 | 88.8300 | -8.7600 | -8.98 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 46.8900 | 2023-04-01 | 49.1500 | 2.2600 | 4.82 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 46.4300 | 2022-04-01 | 50.3367 | 3.9067 | 8.41 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 42.5300 | 2021-04-01 | 45.2067 | 2.6767 | 6.29 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 37.6367 | 2020-04-01 | 38.0467 | 0.4100 | 1.09 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 23.3433 | 2017-04-01 | 24.0267 | 0.6834 | 2.93 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 22.0467 | 2016-04-01 | 23.0200 | 0.9733 | 4.41 |
| Avg | 45.2095 | 45.5167 | 0.31 | 2.71 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.08% | Feb Total -1.50% | Mar Total +1.83% | Apr Total +3.22% | May Total -0.01% | Jun Total +1.15% | Jul Total +3.11% | Aug Total +3.21% | Sep Total +0.53% | Oct Total +3.21% | Nov Total +3.92% | Dec Total -1.46% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.02% | -0.40% | +0.37% | -0.17% | -0.08% | -0.05% | +0.18% | +0.92% | 0.00% | +0.13% | -0.14% |
| 2 Avg +0.06% | +0.08% | -0.02% | +0.67% | -0.11% | +0.19% | +0.38% | -0.06% | -0.22% | -0.01% | -0.33% | +0.28% | -0.13% |
| 3 Avg +0.08% | +0.09% | -0.09% | -0.43% | +0.06% | +0.20% | -0.12% | +0.24% | +0.05% | +0.02% | +0.18% | +0.31% | +0.40% |
| 4 Avg +0.10% | +0.05% | +0.31% | +0.50% | -0.38% | +0.35% | +0.31% | 0.00% | -0.21% | +0.10% | +0.34% | +0.06% | -0.22% |
| 5 Avg +0.19% | +0.30% | +0.13% | +0.47% | +0.56% | +0.12% | +0.12% | +0.42% | -0.29% | +0.12% | -0.13% | +0.37% | +0.05% |
| 6 Avg +0.07% | +0.29% | +0.06% | -0.07% | +0.81% | -0.17% | -0.16% | +0.07% | +0.52% | +0.01% | -0.58% | +0.15% | -0.08% |
| 7 Avg -0.03% | +0.28% | +0.13% | -0.59% | -0.08% | -0.37% | -0.20% | +0.49% | +0.24% | +0.06% | -0.45% | +0.57% | -0.42% |
| 8 Avg -0.10% | +0.16% | -0.28% | -0.38% | -0.20% | -0.16% | -0.11% | -0.37% | +0.30% | -0.24% | +0.29% | +0.13% | -0.33% |
| 9 Avg +0.13% | -0.04% | +0.08% | +0.08% | +0.86% | -0.12% | -0.06% | +0.50% | -0.02% | +0.08% | +0.60% | -0.12% | -0.35% |
| 10 Avg +0.18% | +0.01% | -0.16% | +0.28% | +0.37% | +0.05% | +0.39% | +0.07% | +0.41% | -0.16% | +0.34% | +0.49% | +0.08% |
| 11 Avg +0.01% | +0.27% | -0.10% | -0.39% | -0.06% | -0.43% | -0.18% | -0.08% | +0.04% | +0.25% | +0.32% | +0.16% | +0.29% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | -0.11% | +0.47% | -0.97% | +0.12% | -0.25% | -0.26% | -0.09% | +0.15% | +0.60% | +0.17% | -0.09% | +0.39% |
| 13 Avg +0.18% | -0.52% | +0.57% | +0.96% | +0.61% | -0.38% | -0.16% | +0.25% | -0.16% | -0.22% | +0.41% | +0.29% | +0.49% |
| 14 Avg +0.11% | +0.08% | +0.04% | +0.24% | +0.37% | +0.24% | +0.25% | +0.82% | +0.11% | -0.06% | +0.28% | -0.68% | -0.42% |
| 15 Avg +0.21% | -0.22% | +0.45% | +0.22% | +0.05% | +0.12% | -0.07% | +0.15% | +1.02% | +0.11% | +0.35% | +0.35% | -0.03% |
| 16 Avg +0.09% | +0.07% | +0.06% | -0.62% | +0.14% | +1.11% | -0.56% | +0.01% | +1.56% | -0.19% | -0.09% | +0.03% | -0.40% |
| 17 Avg +0.01% | +0.31% | +0.76% | +1.23% | +0.44% | -1.47% | -0.19% | +0.17% | -0.22% | -0.04% | +0.27% | -0.84% | -0.25% |
| 18 Avg -0.10% | -0.07% | -0.89% | 0.00% | +0.01% | -0.27% | -0.20% | -0.08% | +0.15% | -0.11% | +0.38% | +0.07% | -0.13% |
| 19 Avg +0.05% | -0.12% | +0.21% | -0.21% | +0.15% | +0.52% | +0.26% | -0.15% | -0.28% | -0.29% | +0.14% | +0.25% | +0.12% |
| 20 Avg -0.14% | -0.26% | -1.57% | -0.40% | +0.01% | +0.14% | +0.17% | +0.37% | -0.16% | +0.05% | +0.09% | +0.25% | -0.44% |
| 21 Avg +0.09% | +0.23% | -0.26% | +0.14% | -0.13% | -0.01% | +0.71% | +0.26% | -0.24% | +0.11% | +0.15% | +0.15% | +0.01% |
| 22 Avg +0.00% | +0.35% | +0.07% | -0.30% | +0.21% | -0.23% | +0.18% | -0.12% | -0.31% | -0.01% | +0.27% | +0.41% | -0.48% |
| 23 Avg -0.05% | +0.30% | -0.32% | -0.22% | -0.41% | +0.11% | +0.24% | -0.09% | -0.28% | -0.21% | +0.48% | +0.37% | -0.54% |
| 24 Avg +0.13% | -0.07% | -0.24% | +0.37% | +0.44% | +0.29% | +0.16% | +0.24% | -0.32% | +0.11% | +0.24% | +0.07% | +0.23% |
| 25 Avg +0.03% | -0.15% | +0.40% | -0.75% | +0.12% | -0.11% | -0.07% | +0.24% | -0.10% | +0.18% | +0.31% | +0.27% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.03% | +0.30% | -0.42% | +0.42% | -0.38% | +0.21% | -0.16% | -0.59% | -0.28% | -0.25% | -0.16% | +0.31% | +0.64% |
| 27 Avg +0.02% | +0.08% | -0.63% | -0.04% | -0.15% | +0.17% | +0.17% | +0.38% | +0.41% | -0.11% | -0.27% | +0.05% | +0.24% |
| 28 Avg +0.11% | +0.22% | -0.28% | +0.30% | -0.05% | +0.01% | -0.16% | +0.31% | +0.43% | -0.05% | -0.07% | +0.54% | +0.09% |
| 29 Avg -0.04% | +0.18% | - | +0.47% | -0.62% | -0.04% | -0.07% | +0.06% | +0.52% | -0.50% | -0.23% | -0.17% | 0.00% |
| 30 Avg +0.18% | -0.12% | - | +0.96% | +0.09% | +0.36% | +0.59% | -0.09% | +0.25% | +0.27% | +0.18% | -0.25% | -0.21% |
| 31 Avg -0.01% | +0.09% | - | +0.26% | - | 0.00% | - | -0.19% | -0.05% | - | -0.26% | - | +0.10% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
