Check historical price trends and seasonality for Wabtec (WAB).
Wabtec (WAB) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +12.92%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is +0.04%.
4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.
1) Overview:
Wabtec's 10-year average seasonality shows a distinct pattern of weakness in early spring followed by a strong rally into the year-end. The stock tends to decline notably in March, reaching a low around March 23 with an average drop of -4.1%. From late April, the stock enters a bullish phase that accelerates into the fall, culminating in substantial gains by December. The strongest period is observed in December, with significant gains around December 2 (+15.7%) and December 31 (+12.9%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most pronounced pullback period for Wabtec historically occurs in March, presenting a potential "buy-the-dip" opportunity. This weakness bottoms out around March 23, with an average decline of -4.1%. Another potential, albeit less severe, pullback occurs in early April. Buying during these periods of weakness could position investors to capitalize on the subsequent rally that typically begins in late April and extends through the remainder of the year.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to Wabtec might involve accumulating shares during the weakness observed in March. Specifically, targeting an entry point around March 23 could be advantageous. Investors should consider that seasonality represents an average tendency and not a guarantee, and should combine this analysis with other fundamental and technical factors before making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 181.6500 | 2025-05-01 | 186.9200 | 5.2700 | 2.90 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 107.3200 | 2023-05-01 | 98.1900 | -9.1300 | -8.51 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 93.0500 | 2022-05-01 | 89.9100 | -3.1400 | -3.37 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 74.4000 | 2021-05-01 | 82.0700 | 7.6700 | 10.31 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 65.1400 | 2020-05-01 | 54.4100 | -10.7300 | -16.47 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 79.8900 | 2017-05-01 | 82.3700 | 2.4800 | 3.10 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 73.8500 | 2016-05-01 | 82.9300 | 9.0800 | 12.30 |
| Avg | 96.4714 | 96.6857 | 0.21 | 0.04 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.37% | Feb Total +0.05% | Mar Total -0.33% | Apr Total +4.84% | May Total +0.86% | Jun Total +1.33% | Jul Total +2.61% | Aug Total +0.03% | Sep Total +0.37% | Oct Total -0.98% | Nov Total +8.53% | Dec Total -1.72% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.12% | 0.00% | +0.75% | +0.30% | -0.19% | -0.27% | +0.69% | +0.20% | -0.93% | +0.33% | -0.59% | +0.94% | +0.26% |
| 2 Avg +0.15% | +0.56% | -0.72% | +0.76% | -0.48% | +0.11% | +1.08% | +0.37% | -0.75% | +0.28% | -0.09% | +0.29% | +0.36% |
| 3 Avg +0.06% | -0.23% | +0.40% | -0.44% | -0.34% | +0.06% | -0.01% | +0.29% | +0.45% | -1.11% | +0.45% | +1.39% | -0.21% |
| 4 Avg +0.21% | +1.04% | +0.87% | -0.27% | -1.35% | -0.04% | +0.59% | 0.00% | +0.13% | +0.48% | +0.63% | +0.19% | +0.22% |
| 5 Avg +0.07% | -0.56% | -0.12% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.36% | +0.74% | -0.54% | +0.38% | +0.12% | -0.04% | +0.56% | -0.12% |
| 6 Avg +0.05% | +0.70% | -0.08% | -0.73% | +1.13% | -0.73% | +0.19% | +0.10% | +0.46% | -0.23% | -0.09% | +0.09% | -0.23% |
| 7 Avg +0.16% | -0.38% | -0.07% | +0.11% | +0.04% | +0.53% | +0.32% | 0.00% | +0.85% | +0.17% | -0.26% | +0.74% | -0.06% |
| 8 Avg +0.00% | -0.12% | -0.04% | +0.04% | +0.12% | +0.46% | +0.32% | -0.06% | -0.64% | -0.25% | -0.31% | +0.64% | -0.12% |
| 9 Avg -0.07% | +0.12% | +0.03% | -1.49% | +1.41% | -0.38% | -0.71% | +0.22% | -0.74% | +0.40% | -0.17% | +1.35% | -0.85% |
| 10 Avg +0.18% | -0.09% | +0.93% | +0.34% | +0.23% | +0.28% | -1.02% | +0.23% | +0.56% | 0.00% | -0.24% | +1.18% | -0.25% |
| 11 Avg -0.03% | +0.14% | -0.63% | -0.08% | +0.28% | -1.15% | -0.76% | +0.25% | +0.39% | +0.83% | +0.20% | +0.03% | +0.09% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | +0.64% | -1.00% | -0.25% | +0.33% | -0.06% | +0.45% | +0.80% | +0.01% | +0.41% | -0.58% | -0.40% | -0.19% |
| 13 Avg -0.21% | +0.21% | +0.67% | +0.31% | -0.72% | -0.65% | -0.49% | -0.30% | -0.11% | -0.57% | +0.07% | -0.25% | -0.66% |
| 14 Avg -0.18% | +0.84% | -0.78% | +0.09% | +0.34% | +0.36% | -0.42% | -0.05% | -0.61% | -1.32% | +0.22% | -0.08% | -0.77% |
| 15 Avg +0.04% | -0.27% | +1.17% | -0.79% | -0.72% | +0.20% | +0.31% | +0.53% | -0.48% | -0.02% | +0.31% | +0.27% | -0.03% |
| 16 Avg +0.14% | +0.14% | +1.17% | -0.91% | -0.23% | -0.17% | 0.00% | +0.25% | +0.89% | -0.14% | +0.60% | +0.30% | -0.29% |
| 17 Avg +0.01% | +0.13% | +0.29% | +0.57% | +0.60% | -0.08% | -0.70% | -0.44% | -0.56% | +0.76% | +0.44% | -0.32% | -0.56% |
| 18 Avg -0.15% | -0.19% | -0.53% | -1.27% | +0.13% | +0.45% | +0.32% | -0.05% | -0.29% | +0.22% | -0.31% | -0.10% | -0.20% |
| 19 Avg +0.16% | -0.24% | +0.08% | +0.54% | +0.40% | 0.00% | -0.04% | +0.03% | +0.13% | +0.44% | -0.23% | +0.17% | +0.71% |
| 20 Avg +0.05% | -0.06% | +0.39% | -0.15% | +0.76% | +0.32% | -0.08% | +0.13% | -0.12% | -0.26% | +0.14% | -0.65% | +0.14% |
| 21 Avg +0.02% | +0.05% | -1.02% | +0.32% | 0.00% | +0.25% | +0.26% | 0.00% | -0.02% | -0.86% | +0.11% | +0.69% | +0.49% |
| 22 Avg -0.02% | -0.37% | -0.13% | -1.55% | +0.14% | -0.04% | +0.20% | +0.47% | +0.12% | +0.66% | +0.06% | +0.25% | -0.05% |
| 23 Avg +0.03% | +0.05% | -0.51% | -0.25% | +1.27% | -0.46% | +0.05% | +0.37% | +0.06% | -0.48% | -0.37% | +0.31% | +0.25% |
| 24 Avg +0.25% | +0.36% | -0.41% | +1.77% | +1.94% | +0.20% | -0.66% | -0.98% | +0.15% | -0.20% | +0.43% | +0.44% | -0.08% |
| 25 Avg -0.15% | -0.85% | +0.36% | +0.39% | -0.82% | +0.30% | -0.45% | -1.50% | +0.09% | +0.55% | -0.05% | +0.21% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.07% | -0.27% | -0.58% | +1.58% | +0.07% | +0.85% | -0.16% | -0.23% | -0.10% | -0.22% | -0.98% | +0.07% | +0.76% |
| 27 Avg +0.13% | -1.22% | -0.18% | -0.42% | +1.04% | +1.40% | -0.14% | +1.14% | +0.24% | +0.12% | -0.41% | -0.35% | +0.37% |
| 28 Avg +0.11% | +0.07% | -0.25% | +0.12% | +0.37% | -0.43% | +0.44% | +0.66% | +0.25% | +0.58% | -0.05% | +0.21% | -0.63% |
| 29 Avg +0.23% | +0.83% | - | +0.82% | -0.12% | -0.43% | +0.47% | +0.08% | +0.28% | -0.44% | +0.77% | +0.24% | +0.01% |
| 30 Avg +0.06% | -0.19% | - | +0.51% | -0.80% | +0.30% | +0.52% | +0.50% | +0.31% | +0.09% | -0.42% | +0.11% | -0.30% |
| 31 Avg -0.23% | -0.44% | - | -0.32% | - | -0.67% | - | +0.18% | -0.37% | - | -0.20% | - | +0.20% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
