Wabtec (WAB) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Wabtec (WAB).

View:

Wabtec (WAB) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +12.92%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 17 for 60 days) is -2.85%.

3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Wabtec (WAB) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Wabtec's 10-year average seasonality shows a distinct pattern of weakness in early spring followed by a strong rally into the year-end. The stock tends to decline notably in March, reaching a low around March 23 with an average drop of -4.1%. From late April, the stock enters a bullish phase that accelerates into the fall, culminating in substantial gains by December. The strongest period is observed in December, with significant gains around December 2 (+15.7%) and December 31 (+12.9%).

2) Buy-the-dip points:

The most pronounced pullback period for Wabtec historically occurs in March, presenting a potential "buy-the-dip" opportunity. This weakness bottoms out around March 23, with an average decline of -4.1%. Another potential, albeit less severe, pullback occurs in early April. Buying during these periods of weakness could position investors to capitalize on the subsequent rally that typically begins in late April and extends through the remainder of the year.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to Wabtec might involve accumulating shares during the weakness observed in March. Specifically, targeting an entry point around March 23 could be advantageous. Investors should consider that seasonality represents an average tendency and not a guarantee, and should combine this analysis with other fundamental and technical factors before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-07-17 212.7000 2025-09-14 188.8200 -23.8800 -11.23
2024 2024-07-17 166.9200 2024-09-14 168.9800 2.0600 1.23
2023 2023-07-17 112.6600 2023-09-14 107.9900 -4.6700 -4.15
2020 2020-07-17 60.7900 2020-09-14 68.0000 7.2100 11.86
2019 2019-07-17 70.6900 2019-09-14 75.1800 4.4900 6.35
2018 2018-07-17 102.3900 2018-09-14 98.2100 -4.1800 -4.08
2017 2017-07-17 89.2600 2017-09-14 71.4800 -17.7800 -19.92
Avg 116.4871 111.2371 -5.25 -2.85
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +0.37% Feb Total +0.05% Mar Total -0.33% Apr Total +4.84% May Total +0.86% Jun Total +1.33% Jul Total +2.61% Aug Total +0.03% Sep Total +0.37% Oct Total -0.98% Nov Total +8.53% Dec Total -1.72%
1 Avg +0.12% 0.00% +0.75% +0.30% -0.19% -0.27% +0.69% +0.20% -0.93% +0.33% -0.59% +0.94% +0.26%
2 Avg +0.15% +0.56% -0.72% +0.76% -0.48% +0.11% +1.08% +0.37% -0.75% +0.28% -0.09% +0.29% +0.36%
3 Avg +0.06% -0.23% +0.40% -0.44% -0.34% +0.06% -0.01% +0.29% +0.45% -1.11% +0.45% +1.39% -0.21%
4 Avg +0.21% +1.04% +0.87% -0.27% -1.35% -0.04% +0.59% 0.00% +0.13% +0.48% +0.63% +0.19% +0.22%
5 Avg +0.07% -0.56% -0.12% 0.00% +0.02% +0.36% +0.74% -0.54% +0.38% +0.12% -0.04% +0.56% -0.12%
6 Avg +0.05% +0.70% -0.08% -0.73% +1.13% -0.73% +0.19% +0.10% +0.46% -0.23% -0.09% +0.09% -0.23%
7 Avg +0.16% -0.38% -0.07% +0.11% +0.04% +0.53% +0.32% 0.00% +0.85% +0.17% -0.26% +0.74% -0.06%
8 Avg +0.00% -0.12% -0.04% +0.04% +0.12% +0.46% +0.32% -0.06% -0.64% -0.25% -0.31% +0.64% -0.12%
9 Avg -0.07% +0.12% +0.03% -1.49% +1.41% -0.38% -0.71% +0.22% -0.74% +0.40% -0.17% +1.35% -0.85%
10 Avg +0.18% -0.09% +0.93% +0.34% +0.23% +0.28% -1.02% +0.23% +0.56% 0.00% -0.24% +1.18% -0.25%
11 Avg -0.03% +0.14% -0.63% -0.08% +0.28% -1.15% -0.76% +0.25% +0.39% +0.83% +0.20% +0.03% +0.09%
12 Avg +0.01% +0.64% -1.00% -0.25% +0.33% -0.06% +0.45% +0.80% +0.01% +0.41% -0.58% -0.40% -0.19%
13 Avg -0.21% +0.21% +0.67% +0.31% -0.72% -0.65% -0.49% -0.30% -0.11% -0.57% +0.07% -0.25% -0.66%
14 Avg -0.18% +0.84% -0.78% +0.09% +0.34% +0.36% -0.42% -0.05% -0.61% -1.32% +0.22% -0.08% -0.77%
15 Avg +0.04% -0.27% +1.17% -0.79% -0.72% +0.20% +0.31% +0.53% -0.48% -0.02% +0.31% +0.27% -0.03%
16 Avg +0.14% +0.14% +1.17% -0.91% -0.23% -0.17% 0.00% +0.25% +0.89% -0.14% +0.60% +0.30% -0.29%
17 Avg +0.01% +0.13% +0.29% +0.57% +0.60% -0.08% -0.70% -0.44% -0.56% +0.76% +0.44% -0.32% -0.56%
18 Avg -0.15% -0.19% -0.53% -1.27% +0.13% +0.45% +0.32% -0.05% -0.29% +0.22% -0.31% -0.10% -0.20%
19 Avg +0.16% -0.24% +0.08% +0.54% +0.40% 0.00% -0.04% +0.03% +0.13% +0.44% -0.23% +0.17% +0.71%
20 Avg +0.05% -0.06% +0.39% -0.15% +0.76% +0.32% -0.08% +0.13% -0.12% -0.26% +0.14% -0.65% +0.14%
21 Avg +0.02% +0.05% -1.02% +0.32% 0.00% +0.25% +0.26% 0.00% -0.02% -0.86% +0.11% +0.69% +0.49%
22 Avg -0.02% -0.37% -0.13% -1.55% +0.14% -0.04% +0.20% +0.47% +0.12% +0.66% +0.06% +0.25% -0.05%
23 Avg +0.03% +0.05% -0.51% -0.25% +1.27% -0.46% +0.05% +0.37% +0.06% -0.48% -0.37% +0.31% +0.25%
24 Avg +0.25% +0.36% -0.41% +1.77% +1.94% +0.20% -0.66% -0.98% +0.15% -0.20% +0.43% +0.44% -0.08%
25 Avg -0.15% -0.85% +0.36% +0.39% -0.82% +0.30% -0.45% -1.50% +0.09% +0.55% -0.05% +0.21% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.07% -0.27% -0.58% +1.58% +0.07% +0.85% -0.16% -0.23% -0.10% -0.22% -0.98% +0.07% +0.76%
27 Avg +0.13% -1.22% -0.18% -0.42% +1.04% +1.40% -0.14% +1.14% +0.24% +0.12% -0.41% -0.35% +0.37%
28 Avg +0.11% +0.07% -0.25% +0.12% +0.37% -0.43% +0.44% +0.66% +0.25% +0.58% -0.05% +0.21% -0.63%
29 Avg +0.23% +0.83% - +0.82% -0.12% -0.43% +0.47% +0.08% +0.28% -0.44% +0.77% +0.24% +0.01%
30 Avg +0.06% -0.19% - +0.51% -0.80% +0.30% +0.52% +0.50% +0.31% +0.09% -0.42% +0.11% -0.30%
31 Avg -0.23% -0.44% - -0.32% - -0.67% - +0.18% -0.37% - -0.20% - +0.20%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jul 17 - Aug 15] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses