Check historical price trends and seasonality for Valero Energy (VLO).
Valero Energy (VLO) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +12.93%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Apr 16 for 60 days) is +11.07%.
4 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 66.67%.
1) Overview:
Valero Energy exhibits a strong bullish trend throughout the first half of the year, starting in January and peaking in early June. From January to June 07, the average tendency is a steady climb, reaching a high of +13.3%. A bearish phase then sets in, lasting through early August, before a recovery period begins. The strongest bullish phase occurs in late October and November, culminating in a peak around November 15 with an average gain of +16.7%, followed by a slight decline, but ending the year strong on December 31 at +12.9%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities appear during the bearish phase from June to August. Specifically, the period between June 07 and August 05 sees a pullback from +13.3% to +3.8%, which could be considered a dip. Another potential buying opportunity arises in late September, before the strong rally in October and November. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after the initial bullish run or market corrections, presenting chances to enter before the next upward trend.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to Valero Energy might involve accumulating shares during pullback periods in the summer months or late September, anticipating a strong performance towards the end of the year. Consider initiating positions before the significant rally that typically occurs from late October through November. The data suggests that holding through December 31 could be advantageous, capturing the +12.9% average gain.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-04-16 | 107.1300 | 2025-06-14 | 134.1100 | 26.9800 | 25.18 |
| 2024 | 2024-04-16 | 168.9900 | 2024-06-14 | 150.0700 | -18.9200 | -11.20 |
| 2021 | 2021-04-16 | 72.5000 | 2021-06-14 | 81.9500 | 9.4500 | 13.03 |
| 2020 | 2020-04-16 | 45.0000 | 2020-06-14 | 63.7900 | 18.7900 | 41.76 |
| 2019 | 2019-04-16 | 88.3200 | 2019-06-14 | 76.7600 | -11.5600 | -13.09 |
| 2018 | 2018-04-16 | 105.4900 | 2018-06-14 | 116.8200 | 11.3300 | 10.74 |
| Avg | 97.9050 | 103.9167 | 6.01 | 11.07 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +4.12% | Feb Total -1.79% | Mar Total +2.78% | Apr Total +3.09% | May Total +0.79% | Jun Total -0.29% | Jul Total +1.48% | Aug Total -0.49% | Sep Total +1.06% | Oct Total +0.89% | Nov Total +4.15% | Dec Total +0.69% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.04% | 0.00% | -0.28% | +1.24% | -0.23% | -1.18% | +0.85% | -0.01% | -1.03% | -0.68% | -0.23% | +1.11% | +0.01% |
| 2 Avg +0.13% | +0.43% | -0.63% | +0.40% | +0.02% | +0.67% | +0.85% | -0.26% | -0.87% | +0.82% | -0.58% | -0.31% | +1.00% |
| 3 Avg -0.12% | -0.14% | -0.76% | -0.13% | -1.53% | +0.43% | +0.48% | +0.37% | -0.08% | -0.57% | +1.06% | -0.05% | -0.51% |
| 4 Avg -0.11% | -0.32% | +1.06% | +0.02% | -1.60% | +0.80% | -0.01% | 0.00% | -1.19% | -0.11% | +0.22% | -0.01% | -0.14% |
| 5 Avg +0.01% | +0.92% | -0.55% | -0.76% | +1.15% | +0.31% | +0.29% | -1.35% | -0.63% | -0.43% | +0.58% | +0.48% | +0.06% |
| 6 Avg +0.01% | +0.16% | -0.95% | +0.57% | +1.06% | -0.40% | +0.59% | -1.17% | +0.03% | +0.09% | +0.19% | +0.47% | -0.50% |
| 7 Avg +0.23% | +0.78% | +0.83% | -0.32% | +0.71% | -0.25% | +0.89% | -0.42% | +0.26% | +0.45% | -0.53% | +0.22% | +0.08% |
| 8 Avg +0.11% | -0.65% | -0.08% | +0.78% | +0.43% | +1.07% | -0.21% | -0.17% | +0.99% | -0.25% | +0.16% | -0.62% | -0.10% |
| 9 Avg +0.15% | +0.08% | +0.23% | -1.20% | +0.19% | -0.45% | -0.46% | -0.07% | 0.00% | +0.12% | +0.22% | +3.22% | -0.12% |
| 10 Avg +0.42% | +0.46% | +1.12% | +1.16% | +0.22% | +0.58% | -0.14% | +0.84% | +0.46% | -0.22% | -0.22% | +0.74% | +0.01% |
| 11 Avg +0.03% | +1.27% | +0.17% | -0.20% | +0.01% | -0.44% | -1.06% | +0.43% | +0.68% | +0.14% | -0.41% | +0.22% | -0.48% |
| 12 Avg -0.08% | +1.07% | -0.01% | -1.87% | -0.64% | +0.37% | +0.01% | -0.10% | +0.36% | +0.76% | +0.31% | -1.05% | -0.14% |
| 13 Avg +0.06% | -0.83% | -0.14% | +1.91% | +0.52% | -0.38% | -0.76% | -0.37% | -0.40% | +0.42% | +0.24% | +0.60% | -0.09% |
| 14 Avg +0.11% | +1.04% | +0.37% | +0.28% | +0.34% | +0.65% | -0.32% | -0.57% | -0.18% | -0.37% | -0.34% | +0.75% | -0.29% |
| 15 Avg -0.26% | -0.53% | -0.15% | -0.78% | -1.80% | +0.22% | -0.25% | +0.68% | -0.62% | +0.04% | -0.94% | +0.64% | +0.40% |
| 16 Avg -0.20% | -0.12% | -0.27% | -1.39% | +0.09% | +0.07% | +0.11% | -0.88% | -0.13% | +0.33% | -0.21% | +0.50% | -0.49% |
| 17 Avg +0.13% | +0.22% | -0.36% | -0.14% | +1.72% | +0.87% | -1.10% | -0.22% | +0.40% | +0.31% | +0.41% | -0.42% | -0.16% |
| 18 Avg +0.01% | +0.10% | -0.26% | -1.12% | +0.12% | +0.63% | +0.03% | +0.44% | -0.14% | +0.25% | +0.72% | -0.11% | -0.58% |
| 19 Avg -0.20% | +0.61% | +0.87% | +0.76% | -0.73% | -0.63% | -0.05% | +0.26% | -0.30% | -0.51% | -0.75% | -1.68% | -0.21% |
| 20 Avg -0.11% | -0.15% | -0.17% | +0.85% | -0.53% | +0.02% | -0.02% | +0.02% | -0.57% | -0.67% | +0.60% | -1.01% | +0.35% |
| 21 Avg +0.11% | -1.07% | -0.18% | +0.52% | -0.36% | -0.46% | +0.68% | +0.60% | +0.08% | +0.06% | +0.49% | +0.49% | +0.53% |
| 22 Avg +0.25% | +0.59% | +0.84% | -0.73% | +0.70% | -0.24% | -0.17% | -0.31% | +0.43% | +0.80% | +0.45% | +0.68% | -0.08% |
| 23 Avg +0.04% | +0.13% | +0.53% | -2.21% | +0.80% | -0.72% | -0.63% | +0.22% | +0.74% | -0.52% | +0.44% | +0.76% | +0.96% |
| 24 Avg +0.13% | +0.06% | -0.02% | +0.86% | -0.15% | +0.65% | -1.10% | +0.16% | +1.36% | +0.05% | -0.37% | +0.49% | -0.41% |
| 25 Avg +0.29% | +0.57% | -0.48% | +1.65% | -0.01% | -0.50% | -0.05% | +1.15% | +0.45% | +0.48% | +0.77% | -0.50% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.31% | +0.93% | -0.67% | +2.23% | +0.33% | +0.59% | +0.57% | +1.60% | -0.57% | -0.60% | -1.06% | -0.42% | +0.76% |
| 27 Avg +0.13% | -0.88% | -0.92% | -0.24% | +0.98% | +0.98% | +0.53% | +0.13% | +0.10% | +1.18% | -0.47% | -0.23% | +0.40% |
| 28 Avg -0.04% | -0.62% | -0.91% | -0.17% | +1.05% | -0.85% | +0.43% | +0.17% | +0.38% | +1.29% | -1.00% | +0.07% | -0.38% |
| 29 Avg +0.04% | +0.16% | - | +0.34% | +0.98% | -0.35% | -0.43% | +0.60% | +0.57% | -1.74% | +0.23% | -0.16% | +0.21% |
| 30 Avg -0.11% | +0.14% | - | +0.53% | -0.75% | -0.61% | +0.16% | -0.48% | -0.27% | +0.15% | +0.57% | -0.72% | +0.10% |
| 31 Avg -0.11% | -0.29% | - | -0.04% | - | -0.67% | - | +0.20% | -0.79% | - | +0.33% | - | +0.50% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
