Check historical price trends and seasonality for USDTRY (USDTRY=X).
USDTRY (USDTRY=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +32.49%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +2.85%.
6 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 85.71%.
1) Overview:
The USDTRY pair tends to exhibit a consistent upward trend throughout the year. Starting from relatively lower levels in January, the pair gradually appreciates, entering a more pronounced bullish phase around March, reaching +6.4% by March 31. This upward momentum continues through the summer and into the fall, peaking significantly around December 20 (+37.3%) and remaining high on December 31 (+32.4%), before experiencing a sharp correction.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
While the overall trend is bullish, potential buying opportunities arise during minor pullbacks. Consider entering positions in early February, where the percentage change hovers around +1%. Another potential entry point could be around late March, where the percentage change is around +5.3%. These pullbacks are generally short-lived, with the pair quickly resuming its upward trajectory.
3) Summary:
The 10-year average seasonality data suggests a bullish bias for USDTRY, particularly towards the end of the year. An effective strategy might involve establishing long positions during periods of consolidation or minor pullbacks, such as in early February or late March. Given the significant surge in December, consider taking profits before December 20 to capitalize on the seasonal peak.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 35.4729 | 2025-03-16 | 36.6796 | 1.2067 | 3.40 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 30.0700 | 2024-03-15 | 32.1900 | 2.1200 | 7.05 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 18.7800 | 2023-03-16 | 18.9900 | 0.2100 | 1.12 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 5.8800 | 2020-03-15 | 6.3200 | 0.4400 | 7.48 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 5.4500 | 2019-03-16 | 5.4700 | 0.0200 | 0.37 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 3.8000 | 2018-03-16 | 3.8900 | 0.0900 | 2.37 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 3.7400 | 2017-03-16 | 3.6700 | -0.0700 | -1.87 |
| Avg | 14.7418 | 15.3157 | 0.57 | 2.85 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.63% | Feb Total +0.92% | Mar Total +3.93% | Apr Total +1.38% | May Total +3.48% | Jun Total +2.95% | Jul Total +1.89% | Aug Total +4.57% | Sep Total +0.95% | Oct Total +1.89% | Nov Total +3.86% | Dec Total +1.20% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.04% | 0.00% | -0.48% | +0.18% | -0.05% | +0.10% | +0.06% | -0.15% | +0.08% | -0.05% | -0.13% | +0.26% | +0.59% |
| 2 Avg +0.01% | +0.20% | -0.13% | -0.14% | -0.14% | +0.05% | +0.19% | -0.22% | +0.17% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.04% | +0.11% |
| 3 Avg +0.10% | +0.64% | +0.01% | +0.29% | +0.02% | +0.31% | -0.22% | -0.19% | +0.17% | -0.30% | +0.10% | +0.14% | +0.29% |
| 4 Avg +0.11% | -0.12% | -0.02% | +0.16% | +0.04% | +0.24% | +0.38% | +0.40% | +0.11% | -0.07% | +0.13% | +0.07% | +0.03% |
| 5 Avg +0.16% | +0.29% | +0.02% | +0.11% | +0.19% | +0.51% | +0.02% | +0.12% | -0.01% | +0.04% | +0.39% | -0.04% | +0.27% |
| 6 Avg +0.08% | +0.32% | +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.34% | +0.10% | -0.19% | +0.21% | +0.36% | -0.06% | +0.07% | +0.02% | -0.29% |
| 7 Avg +0.12% | -0.25% | -0.05% | +0.15% | +0.13% | +0.34% | +0.35% | +0.29% | +0.50% | -0.13% | +0.07% | +0.04% | -0.01% |
| 8 Avg +0.14% | +0.05% | +0.26% | +0.24% | +0.17% | +0.01% | +0.61% | +0.25% | -0.14% | +0.07% | +0.29% | +0.20% | -0.31% |
| 9 Avg +0.26% | +0.30% | +0.16% | +0.61% | +0.16% | +0.36% | +0.22% | -0.02% | +0.11% | +0.30% | +0.39% | +0.20% | +0.38% |
| 10 Avg +0.09% | +0.22% | -0.17% | +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.07% | +0.16% | +0.35% | +0.58% | -0.19% | +0.13% | -0.16% | +0.10% |
| 11 Avg +0.01% | +0.36% | -0.08% | -0.03% | +0.08% | +0.03% | -0.35% | -0.22% | -0.02% | +0.04% | +0.05% | +0.23% | +0.03% |
| 12 Avg +0.04% | +0.30% | +0.03% | +0.06% | +0.03% | -0.02% | +0.30% | +0.47% | -0.06% | +0.04% | -0.50% | -0.38% | +0.24% |
| 13 Avg +0.14% | -0.68% | +0.02% | +0.23% | -0.20% | -0.11% | +0.31% | -0.24% | +2.46% | -0.18% | +0.20% | -0.10% | -0.04% |
| 14 Avg +0.11% | +0.30% | +0.06% | -0.01% | +0.12% | +0.42% | +0.24% | +0.05% | +0.22% | -0.24% | +0.24% | +0.02% | -0.16% |
| 15 Avg +0.05% | -0.12% | -0.01% | +0.19% | +0.19% | -0.05% | +0.13% | +0.01% | -0.73% | -0.07% | +0.03% | +0.33% | +0.72% |
| 16 Avg -0.05% | +0.05% | -0.06% | -0.20% | +0.08% | +0.21% | +0.18% | -0.11% | -0.80% | +0.13% | -0.27% | -0.15% | +0.31% |
| 17 Avg +0.09% | -0.12% | +0.18% | -0.13% | -0.03% | +0.07% | +0.28% | -0.02% | -0.31% | +0.17% | -0.08% | +0.39% | +0.65% |
| 18 Avg +0.09% | +0.15% | -0.16% | -0.06% | +0.11% | +0.14% | +0.10% | +0.17% | +0.02% | +0.27% | -0.12% | +0.53% | -0.13% |
| 19 Avg +0.10% | +0.04% | +0.10% | +0.03% | -0.10% | +0.31% | -0.25% | +0.15% | +0.17% | +0.36% | +0.18% | +0.27% | -0.04% |
| 20 Avg +0.11% | +0.06% | -0.06% | +0.53% | +0.06% | -0.12% | +0.05% | +0.24% | +0.38% | -0.01% | -0.22% | -0.31% | +0.72% |
| 21 Avg -0.09% | -0.13% | +0.29% | +0.06% | -0.07% | -0.04% | +0.08% | +0.20% | +0.35% | +0.05% | -0.13% | +0.35% | -2.06% |
| 22 Avg +0.08% | +0.08% | +0.04% | +1.00% | +0.30% | +0.10% | +0.06% | -0.01% | -0.05% | 0.00% | +0.41% | -0.04% | -0.95% |
| 23 Avg +0.08% | -0.23% | -0.10% | -0.14% | +0.22% | +0.45% | +0.28% | +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.11% | +0.22% | +0.34% | -0.16% |
| 24 Avg +0.14% | -0.12% | +0.20% | +0.21% | -0.05% | -0.15% | -0.12% | +0.02% | -0.01% | +0.28% | +0.16% | +1.62% | -0.41% |
| 25 Avg +0.00% | +0.02% | +0.27% | +0.15% | +0.12% | +0.33% | -0.09% | +0.42% | -0.34% | -0.38% | +0.21% | -0.36% | -0.33% |
| 26 Avg +0.14% | +0.27% | +0.24% | -0.10% | +0.21% | +0.25% | +0.37% | -0.13% | +0.06% | +0.39% | -0.11% | +0.07% | +0.16% |
| 27 Avg -0.10% | +0.04% | +0.12% | -0.45% | -0.23% | -0.18% | -0.10% | +0.05% | -0.21% | +0.02% | +0.29% | -0.06% | -0.49% |
| 28 Avg +0.12% | +0.10% | +0.22% | +0.10% | -0.08% | -0.05% | +0.10% | +0.02% | +0.33% | -0.10% | +0.20% | -0.04% | +0.70% |
| 29 Avg +0.10% | -0.09% | - | +0.79% | -0.12% | -0.19% | -0.21% | +0.03% | +0.33% | +0.29% | -0.05% | +0.21% | +0.13% |
| 30 Avg +0.09% | +0.18% | - | -0.25% | -0.12% | +0.09% | +0.02% | -0.17% | +0.35% | +0.15% | -0.05% | +0.16% | +0.66% |
| 31 Avg +0.05% | -0.47% | - | +0.32% | - | -0.13% | - | -0.10% | +0.48% | - | -0.22% | - | +0.49% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
