Check historical price trends and seasonality for USDRUB (USDRUB=X).
USDRUB (USDRUB=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +2.37%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 18 for 7 days) is +0.98%.
5 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 62.50%.
1) Overview:
The USDRUB pair tends to exhibit a strong bearish phase in early January, with a significant drop of -10.1% typically observed around January 6. This bearish trend generally persists through February. A strong bullish phase then emerges in March, peaking around March 10 with an average gain of +8.0%. The year concludes with a smaller bullish tendency around December 31, showing an average increase of +2.3%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant "buy-the-dip" opportunity appears in January, particularly around January 6, following the sharp -10.1% decline. Another potential, though less pronounced, buying opportunity arises in late May and June, where the currency pair experiences consistent downward pressure. These pullbacks could be attributed to seasonal factors or market corrections, with rebounds potentially occurring as the calendar shifts into March.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to USDRUB could involve entering long positions in January following the significant dip, aiming to capitalize on the subsequent bullish trend in March. Monitoring the pair in late May and June for additional buying opportunities is also advisable. However, it's crucial to consider other fundamental and technical factors alongside seasonality before making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-01-18 | 88.6200 | 2024-01-24 | 87.9900 | -0.6300 | -0.71 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-18 | 68.4600 | 2023-01-24 | 68.9400 | 0.4800 | 0.70 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-18 | 76.0600 | 2022-01-24 | 77.4100 | 1.3500 | 1.77 |
| 2021 | 2021-01-18 | 73.6000 | 2021-01-24 | 73.9500 | 0.3500 | 0.48 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-18 | 66.3500 | 2019-01-24 | 66.0400 | -0.3100 | -0.47 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-18 | 56.8700 | 2018-01-24 | 56.3500 | -0.5200 | -0.91 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-18 | 59.3300 | 2017-01-24 | 59.5100 | 0.1800 | 0.30 |
| 2016 | 2016-01-18 | 77.7100 | 2016-01-24 | 82.9000 | 5.1900 | 6.68 |
| Avg | 70.8750 | 71.6363 | 0.76 | 0.98 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1,014.96% | Feb Total +0.47% | Mar Total +135.59% | Apr Total -1.14% | May Total -2.69% | Jun Total +2.72% | Jul Total +8.37% | Aug Total +1.90% | Sep Total -0.22% | Oct Total -0.26% | Nov Total +1.15% | Dec Total +1.71% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.24% | 0.00% | -0.07% | +2.57% | -0.32% | +0.12% | +0.17% | +0.79% | -0.11% | -0.37% | -0.30% | +0.48% | -0.08% |
| 2 Avg +0.17% | +0.33% | +0.09% | +0.35% | +0.18% | +0.23% | -0.03% | +0.21% | +0.14% | +0.19% | +0.24% | +0.15% | -0.02% |
| 3 Avg +0.14% | -0.42% | +1.01% | -0.62% | -0.02% | -0.22% | +0.27% | +0.37% | +0.48% | +0.07% | +0.64% | +0.27% | -0.16% |
| 4 Avg -0.02% | +0.28% | -0.28% | +0.89% | +0.43% | -0.25% | -0.24% | -0.10% | -0.22% | -0.16% | -0.30% | -0.20% | -0.12% |
| 5 Avg +0.04% | -0.13% | +0.07% | +0.09% | +0.23% | -0.10% | -0.01% | +0.40% | -0.01% | -0.12% | +0.24% | +0.05% | -0.22% |
| 6 Avg -0.82% | -10.11% | -0.78% | +0.11% | +0.24% | -0.72% | -0.44% | +2.12% | +0.10% | +0.13% | +0.27% | -0.22% | -0.57% |
| 7 Avg +85.45% | +1,025.71% | -0.13% | -0.19% | -0.33% | -0.18% | -0.38% | +0.04% | +0.16% | +0.23% | +0.03% | +0.04% | +0.44% |
| 8 Avg +0.28% | -0.10% | +0.26% | +2.79% | -0.06% | -0.24% | +0.16% | -0.10% | -0.30% | +0.57% | -0.08% | +0.22% | +0.25% |
| 9 Avg +0.03% | -0.25% | +0.39% | +0.11% | -0.14% | +0.94% | -0.43% | -0.17% | +0.66% | -0.22% | +0.09% | -0.24% | -0.37% |
| 10 Avg +0.10% | -0.67% | +0.05% | +0.77% | +0.53% | +0.18% | -0.20% | -0.13% | +0.06% | +0.17% | +0.38% | -0.17% | +0.25% |
| 11 Avg -0.03% | -0.05% | -0.21% | -0.91% | +0.63% | -0.41% | -0.18% | +0.04% | +0.17% | +0.21% | -0.36% | +0.30% | +0.36% |
| 12 Avg -0.13% | -0.20% | +0.10% | -0.17% | -0.27% | -0.73% | +0.57% | -0.66% | -0.25% | -0.18% | +0.08% | +0.13% | 0.00% |
| 13 Avg +0.65% | -0.42% | -0.48% | +0.57% | -0.12% | -0.43% | +9.52% | -0.62% | +0.80% | -0.80% | -0.13% | +0.38% | -0.42% |
| 14 Avg -0.51% | +0.37% | +0.09% | -0.57% | -0.45% | -0.14% | -4.94% | -0.11% | -0.01% | -0.12% | +0.02% | -0.03% | -0.24% |
| 15 Avg -0.10% | -0.07% | -0.67% | -0.77% | -0.25% | -0.04% | +0.18% | -0.05% | 0.00% | -0.03% | -0.26% | +0.01% | +0.69% |
| 16 Avg -0.96% | -0.23% | -0.15% | -10.55% | +0.41% | +0.41% | -0.31% | +0.15% | -0.27% | -0.22% | -0.07% | -0.26% | -0.43% |
| 17 Avg +11.77% | +0.30% | +0.20% | +141.94% | -0.33% | -0.36% | -0.03% | +0.08% | -0.37% | +0.17% | -0.07% | -0.35% | +0.08% |
| 18 Avg +0.84% | +0.23% | -0.12% | +0.10% | -0.04% | +0.12% | +0.12% | +9.16% | -0.20% | +0.35% | +0.01% | +0.07% | +0.33% |
| 19 Avg -0.29% | +0.36% | +0.29% | +0.57% | -0.10% | +0.07% | -0.35% | -4.86% | +0.16% | +0.06% | +0.12% | +0.02% | +0.17% |
| 20 Avg -0.05% | -0.24% | -0.29% | -0.08% | -0.01% | -0.10% | -0.27% | +0.21% | +0.30% | -0.02% | -0.63% | -0.10% | +0.61% |
| 21 Avg +0.27% | +0.24% | +0.25% | +2.93% | +0.37% | -0.28% | +0.22% | -0.57% | +0.14% | +0.02% | -0.16% | +0.04% | +0.04% |
| 22 Avg -0.10% | +0.23% | +0.40% | -2.02% | -0.12% | -0.40% | -0.18% | +0.38% | -0.22% | +0.01% | +0.16% | -0.19% | +0.82% |
| 23 Avg -0.12% | -0.33% | 0.00% | +0.11% | -0.26% | -0.03% | -0.25% | +0.14% | +0.42% | -0.05% | -0.20% | -0.09% | -0.85% |
| 24 Avg -0.09% | +0.21% | +0.08% | -0.76% | +0.11% | -0.48% | -0.20% | +0.07% | +0.17% | +0.05% | -0.02% | -0.12% | -0.24% |
| 25 Avg -0.01% | -0.19% | +0.44% | +0.47% | -0.39% | -0.19% | -0.10% | +0.21% | -0.27% | +0.10% | -0.22% | +0.28% | -0.32% |
| 26 Avg 0.00% | +0.10% | -0.04% | -0.04% | -0.29% | +0.35% | +0.15% | -0.11% | +0.32% | -0.80% | -0.08% | +0.18% | +0.25% |
| 27 Avg +0.12% | -0.24% | +0.01% | -0.01% | -0.01% | +0.70% | +0.27% | +0.32% | +0.09% | +0.47% | -0.11% | +0.32% | -0.32% |
| 28 Avg +0.09% | +0.06% | -0.06% | -0.14% | -0.26% | +0.17% | -0.21% | -0.21% | -0.05% | +0.07% | +0.27% | +0.72% | +0.77% |
| 29 Avg +0.02% | -0.04% | - | -0.23% | -0.34% | -0.24% | 0.00% | +1.13% | -0.04% | -0.12% | +0.19% | -0.22% | +0.12% |
| 30 Avg -0.03% | +0.39% | - | -1.01% | -0.14% | +0.10% | -0.14% | +0.12% | +0.25% | +0.13% | +0.24% | -0.31% | +0.04% |
| 31 Avg -0.13% | -0.16% | - | -0.71% | - | -0.53% | - | +0.14% | -0.20% | - | -0.25% | - | +0.82% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
