Check historical price trends and seasonality for USDPHP (USDPHP=X).
USDPHP (USDPHP=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +2.42%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 18 for 60 days) is +0.42%.
5 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 62.50%.
1) Overview:
The USDPHP exchange rate tends to appreciate throughout the year, with a strong bullish phase starting in June and peaking in October. From June, the currency pair gradually increases, reaching +1.6% by June 30 and further climbing to +3.6% by October 10. Following this peak, the currency pair experiences a slight pullback, but generally remains elevated, ending the year at +2.4% on December 31. A minor bearish phase occurs only at the very beginning of the year, with a dip of -0.2% on January 2.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity occurs in early January, specifically around January 2, following a slight dip of -0.2%. Another possible pullback period appears after the peak in October, offering a chance to buy before the year-end rally. While the currency pair remains elevated after October, any dips in November or December could be considered buying opportunities, anticipating the typical year-end strength.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a long position in USDPHP could be strategically initiated in early January or during pullbacks after the October peak. Consider entering positions in anticipation of the bullish trend that typically culminates around October 10, where the average gain is +3.6%. Investors should be aware of the slight dip on January 2 (-0.2%) and plan entry points accordingly, while also considering the year-end appreciation (+2.4% on December 31).
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-01-18 | 55.9070 | 2024-03-17 | 55.4940 | -0.4130 | -0.74 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-18 | 54.6500 | 2023-03-18 | 54.5900 | -0.0600 | -0.11 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-18 | 51.5200 | 2022-03-18 | 52.2700 | 0.7500 | 1.46 |
| 2021 | 2021-01-18 | 47.9275 | 2021-03-18 | 48.8270 | 0.8995 | 1.88 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-18 | 52.3600 | 2019-03-18 | 52.6340 | 0.2740 | 0.52 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-18 | 50.5950 | 2018-03-18 | 52.0220 | 1.4270 | 2.82 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-18 | 49.6910 | 2017-03-18 | 49.8870 | 0.1960 | 0.39 |
| 2016 | 2016-01-18 | 47.7350 | 2016-03-17 | 46.3640 | -1.3710 | -2.87 |
| Avg | 51.2982 | 51.5110 | 0.21 | 0.42 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.48% | Feb Total +0.50% | Mar Total -0.28% | Apr Total +0.06% | May Total +0.22% | Jun Total +0.71% | Jul Total +0.35% | Aug Total -0.02% | Sep Total +1.26% | Oct Total +0.25% | Nov Total -0.74% | Dec Total -0.06% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.05% | 0.00% | -0.03% | -0.06% | -0.21% | +0.03% | -0.10% | -0.08% | -0.14% | -0.02% | +0.05% | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 2 Avg -0.02% | -0.09% | -0.09% | -0.25% | +0.14% | -0.03% | -0.01% | +0.09% | +0.09% | +0.08% | +0.09% | -0.09% | -0.11% |
| 3 Avg +0.01% | +0.12% | -0.06% | 0.00% | -0.06% | -0.06% | -0.15% | +0.01% | +0.18% | +0.28% | -0.05% | -0.08% | 0.00% |
| 4 Avg -0.01% | +0.15% | +0.10% | -0.10% | -0.16% | -0.09% | -0.06% | -0.02% | -0.04% | -0.01% | -0.06% | +0.09% | +0.04% |
| 5 Avg -0.02% | +0.02% | -0.10% | -0.05% | +0.04% | -0.02% | +0.06% | -0.06% | -0.13% | -0.06% | +0.02% | -0.02% | +0.06% |
| 6 Avg -0.07% | -0.14% | -0.11% | -0.20% | +0.01% | -0.06% | -0.10% | +0.16% | +0.21% | -0.09% | -0.12% | -0.17% | -0.17% |
| 7 Avg +0.08% | +0.12% | +0.18% | +0.19% | -0.03% | +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.32% | -0.26% | +0.04% | +0.23% | +0.04% | +0.06% |
| 8 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.13% | +0.22% | +0.05% | -0.01% | -0.09% | +0.18% | +0.14% | -0.10% | +0.01% | -0.12% | -0.08% |
| 9 Avg +0.06% | +0.12% | +0.11% | +0.11% | +0.07% | +0.07% | +0.05% | -0.09% | +0.03% | +0.20% | +0.04% | -0.09% | +0.06% |
| 10 Avg -0.03% | -0.23% | -0.21% | -0.20% | -0.42% | +0.19% | +0.11% | +0.03% | +0.04% | -0.04% | +0.17% | +0.08% | +0.15% |
| 11 Avg +0.00% | +0.06% | +0.04% | +0.13% | +0.13% | -0.23% | +0.16% | -0.05% | -0.06% | +0.03% | +0.01% | -0.09% | -0.09% |
| 12 Avg +0.03% | -0.10% | 0.00% | -0.11% | +0.23% | -0.06% | +0.08% | -0.01% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.07% | +0.21% | +0.03% |
| 13 Avg -0.02% | +0.09% | 0.00% | +0.19% | -0.02% | +0.14% | -0.32% | -0.14% | +0.04% | +0.02% | -0.04% | +0.03% | -0.27% |
| 14 Avg +0.03% | +0.05% | +0.06% | -0.21% | +0.06% | +0.17% | +0.10% | -0.05% | +0.01% | +0.14% | -0.10% | -0.12% | +0.20% |
| 15 Avg +0.01% | +0.07% | -0.18% | +0.14% | -0.11% | -0.06% | +0.09% | -0.05% | +0.25% | -0.03% | +0.07% | -0.11% | +0.04% |
| 16 Avg +0.09% | 0.00% | +0.21% | +0.05% | +0.06% | -0.02% | +0.47% | +0.06% | +0.14% | 0.00% | +0.04% | +0.04% | +0.03% |
| 17 Avg -0.08% | +0.05% | +0.09% | +0.02% | +0.13% | -0.01% | +0.07% | -0.16% | -0.09% | +0.03% | -0.05% | -1.12% | +0.04% |
| 18 Avg +0.16% | +0.15% | +0.14% | -0.16% | +0.12% | +0.03% | +0.12% | +0.21% | +0.02% | +0.06% | -0.09% | +1.24% | +0.12% |
| 19 Avg +0.02% | +0.03% | +0.11% | +0.01% | +0.01% | +0.08% | -0.01% | +0.06% | -0.13% | +0.05% | +0.05% | -0.06% | -0.01% |
| 20 Avg +0.03% | -0.07% | +0.04% | +0.17% | +0.07% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +0.26% | -0.02% | -0.05% | -0.03% | +0.14% | -0.15% |
| 21 Avg -0.02% | +0.10% | -0.17% | +0.08% | -0.03% | +0.02% | +0.11% | -0.06% | -0.21% | +0.09% | 0.00% | -0.07% | -0.14% |
| 22 Avg +0.01% | +0.15% | +0.03% | -0.05% | +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.02% | -0.07% | +0.05% | +0.05% | -0.06% | -0.04% | -0.05% |
| 23 Avg +0.03% | +0.06% | -0.04% | -0.24% | +0.10% | -0.08% | +0.17% | -0.10% | +0.06% | +0.08% | +0.06% | +0.04% | +0.22% |
| 24 Avg +0.02% | -0.19% | -0.08% | +0.18% | +0.03% | +0.21% | -0.01% | +0.09% | 0.00% | +0.19% | +0.11% | -0.14% | -0.17% |
| 25 Avg -0.03% | +0.03% | +0.10% | +0.17% | +0.02% | +0.05% | -0.16% | -0.13% | -0.21% | 0.00% | +0.02% | -0.01% | -0.19% |
| 26 Avg -0.02% | -0.01% | +0.09% | -0.20% | -0.16% | -0.02% | +0.03% | -0.08% | +0.01% | +0.16% | -0.12% | -0.05% | +0.14% |
| 27 Avg +0.04% | -0.01% | +0.01% | +0.11% | +0.08% | -0.11% | +0.20% | -0.02% | -0.06% | +0.29% | +0.06% | +0.09% | -0.15% |
| 28 Avg 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.13% | -0.09% | -0.05% | +0.05% | -0.15% | +0.11% | -0.05% | -0.03% | +0.01% | -0.14% | +0.13% |
| 29 Avg -0.05% | -0.18% | - | -0.08% | +0.09% | -0.10% | +0.01% | -0.05% | +0.10% | -0.16% | -0.09% | -0.16% | +0.07% |
| 30 Avg 0.00% | +0.16% | - | -0.09% | -0.22% | +0.21% | +0.03% | +0.04% | -0.04% | +0.04% | -0.24% | +0.03% | +0.05% |
| 31 Avg +0.02% | -0.08% | - | +0.02% | - | -0.09% | - | -0.03% | +0.05% | - | +0.21% | - | +0.03% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
