Check historical price trends and seasonality for USDINR (USDINR=X).
USDINR (USDINR=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +3.15%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -0.43%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
The USDINR pair tends to appreciate throughout the year, with a strong bullish phase starting around February and continuing through October. From February, the pair gradually increases, reaching +1.7% by July 1. The strongest appreciation occurs from August to October, peaking around +3.7% in mid-October. A slight consolidation or pullback phase then occurs in November before a final push upwards, culminating in a +3.8% gain by December 17, followed by +3.1% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
While the overall trend is upward, there are minor pullbacks that present buying opportunities. One such period appears in March, specifically around March 16-31, after an initial rise. Another potential dip occurs in November, providing a chance to enter before the year-end rally towards December 17. These pullbacks are relatively small, but can be strategically used for accumulating positions.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a long-biased strategy for USDINR, particularly focusing on entries during pullback periods. Consider initiating positions in March and November to capitalize on the overall upward trend. The strongest gains are typically observed from August through December, making this period crucial for realizing profits.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 87.4640 | 2025-05-01 | 84.5312 | -2.9328 | -3.35 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 82.3557 | 2023-05-01 | 81.7448 | -0.6109 | -0.74 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 75.6310 | 2022-05-01 | 76.5890 | 0.9580 | 1.27 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 73.2775 | 2021-05-01 | 74.1058 | 0.8283 | 1.13 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 72.8250 | 2020-05-01 | 75.7200 | 2.8950 | 3.98 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 66.8451 | 2017-05-01 | 64.2583 | -2.5868 | -3.87 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 67.3880 | 2016-05-01 | 66.4380 | -0.9500 | -1.41 |
| Avg | 75.1123 | 74.7696 | -0.34 | -0.43 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.51% | Feb Total +0.39% | Mar Total -0.46% | Apr Total +0.30% | May Total +0.45% | Jun Total +0.54% | Jul Total +0.10% | Aug Total +0.48% | Sep Total +0.84% | Oct Total +0.36% | Nov Total -0.17% | Dec Total -0.15% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.02% | 0.00% | -0.14% | 0.00% | -0.07% | -0.04% | -0.04% | 0.00% | -0.10% | +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.09% | -0.02% |
| 2 Avg +0.03% | -0.05% | +0.07% | -0.03% | +0.31% | +0.05% | +0.06% | -0.03% | -0.05% | -0.08% | +0.09% | +0.13% | -0.06% |
| 3 Avg -0.04% | +0.07% | -0.01% | +0.02% | -0.08% | -0.01% | -0.18% | -0.09% | -0.04% | -0.01% | 0.00% | -0.21% | +0.02% |
| 4 Avg +0.01% | +0.06% | +0.01% | +0.02% | -0.05% | -0.07% | -0.06% | -0.06% | +0.10% | +0.14% | -0.01% | -0.11% | +0.19% |
| 5 Avg +0.03% | +0.02% | +0.02% | +0.12% | -0.02% | -0.07% | +0.18% | -0.02% | +0.13% | +0.02% | +0.11% | -0.01% | -0.08% |
| 6 Avg +0.02% | 0.00% | +0.09% | -0.21% | -0.13% | +0.04% | -0.02% | +0.12% | +0.20% | +0.09% | -0.01% | -0.06% | +0.10% |
| 7 Avg +0.02% | -0.08% | +0.05% | -0.01% | +0.01% | +0.11% | -0.08% | +0.06% | -0.01% | -0.01% | +0.20% | +0.02% | +0.03% |
| 8 Avg +0.08% | +0.13% | +0.07% | +0.13% | +0.31% | +0.14% | +0.06% | +0.11% | -0.01% | +0.08% | -0.02% | -0.03% | 0.00% |
| 9 Avg +0.00% | +0.01% | +0.03% | +0.11% | +0.04% | +0.25% | -0.05% | -0.05% | -0.05% | -0.02% | -0.02% | -0.15% | -0.04% |
| 10 Avg +0.05% | 0.00% | -0.07% | -0.17% | -0.03% | +0.23% | +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.13% | +0.04% | +0.19% | +0.09% | +0.10% |
| 11 Avg -0.01% | -0.05% | -0.01% | -0.03% | +0.05% | -0.14% | +0.08% | -0.07% | -0.02% | -0.03% | -0.08% | +0.09% | +0.16% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | -0.06% | -0.03% | 0.00% | +0.07% | +0.01% | +0.05% | -0.02% | +0.09% | +0.10% | -0.06% | -0.03% | -0.01% |
| 13 Avg -0.01% | -0.10% | -0.03% | +0.06% | 0.00% | -0.13% | +0.20% | -0.16% | +0.06% | -0.25% | +0.02% | +0.21% | -0.02% |
| 14 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.08% | +0.10% | +0.04% | +0.03% | +0.14% | +0.07% | +0.11% | +0.01% | +0.07% | -0.15% |
| 15 Avg +0.01% | +0.11% | -0.03% | -0.10% | -0.13% | +0.04% | -0.07% | -0.03% | +0.20% | 0.00% | -0.08% | +0.02% | +0.15% |
| 16 Avg +0.01% | -0.02% | -0.08% | -0.16% | +0.16% | +0.10% | +0.09% | -0.02% | +0.10% | 0.00% | -0.06% | -0.08% | +0.09% |
| 17 Avg +0.05% | +0.28% | +0.11% | +0.02% | +0.12% | -0.05% | +0.18% | +0.02% | -0.18% | +0.07% | -0.08% | +0.04% | +0.09% |
| 18 Avg -0.02% | -0.05% | +0.03% | -0.29% | -0.02% | +0.07% | +0.11% | -0.01% | +0.05% | +0.05% | +0.07% | -0.06% | -0.14% |
| 19 Avg +0.04% | +0.08% | +0.17% | +0.10% | +0.01% | +0.19% | -0.09% | +0.11% | -0.12% | +0.13% | +0.10% | -0.02% | -0.15% |
| 20 Avg +0.01% | -0.05% | +0.03% | +0.14% | -0.04% | +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.04% | +0.11% | -0.08% | +0.04% | -0.10% | 0.00% |
| 21 Avg -0.04% | -0.02% | -0.09% | -0.13% | +0.11% | -0.08% | +0.05% | -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.10% | -0.09% | +0.02% | -0.05% |
| 22 Avg +0.01% | +0.06% | -0.01% | +0.09% | -0.06% | +0.01% | 0.00% | -0.06% | +0.07% | +0.07% | -0.06% | +0.10% | -0.03% |
| 23 Avg +0.01% | -0.08% | -0.01% | +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.06% | -0.05% | +0.04% | +0.04% | +0.04% | +0.06% | +0.01% | -0.05% |
| 24 Avg -0.01% | +0.07% | -0.09% | +0.17% | +0.02% | +0.05% | -0.14% | +0.07% | -0.05% | +0.11% | -0.18% | +0.01% | -0.10% |
| 25 Avg +0.03% | -0.04% | +0.09% | +0.10% | -0.01% | -0.04% | 0.00% | -0.05% | -0.05% | +0.23% | +0.10% | -0.07% | +0.04% |
| 26 Avg -0.01% | +0.01% | +0.16% | -0.26% | +0.08% | -0.16% | +0.02% | +0.05% | -0.05% | +0.08% | -0.03% | -0.08% | +0.06% |
| 27 Avg -0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.07% | -0.11% | -0.21% | +0.08% | -0.06% | +0.01% | +0.01% | -0.07% | +0.01% | -0.04% |
| 28 Avg +0.02% | +0.17% | +0.05% | -0.10% | -0.08% | +0.05% | +0.12% | +0.06% | -0.12% | +0.03% | +0.05% | -0.03% | -0.01% |
| 29 Avg 0.00% | -0.03% | - | +0.01% | -0.03% | -0.06% | +0.01% | -0.06% | +0.16% | -0.01% | +0.03% | +0.09% | -0.12% |
| 30 Avg -0.02% | +0.11% | - | -0.05% | -0.23% | +0.13% | -0.03% | -0.02% | -0.10% | 0.00% | +0.13% | -0.11% | -0.05% |
| 31 Avg -0.01% | -0.07% | - | +0.07% | - | -0.10% | - | +0.10% | -0.04% | - | -0.01% | - | -0.04% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
