Check historical price trends and seasonality for USDIDR (USDIDR=X).
USDIDR (USDIDR=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +2.23%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 15 for 30 days) is +0.52%.
6 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 75.00%.
1) Overview:
The USDIDR currency pair tends to exhibit a bearish trend in the first two months of the year, bottoming out around January 29 with an average decrease of -1.2%. A strong bullish phase then emerges, starting in March and peaking around October 30, showing an average increase of +2.9%. The currency pair then experiences a slight pullback before ending the year on a positive note, with an average increase of +1.9% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period occurs in January, presenting a potential buying opportunity as the currency pair tends to decline, reaching a low around January 29. This dip is followed by a sustained upward trend throughout the spring and summer months. Another potential buying opportunity arises in late November/early December after the currency pair experiences a slight decline from its October highs.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to USDIDR involves considering entry points during the bearish phase in January, specifically around January 29, to capitalize on the subsequent bullish trend. Investors should also monitor the currency pair in late November/early December for a potential secondary entry point. Keep in mind that these are average tendencies and not guarantees of future performance.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-02-15 | 15,553.0996 | 2024-03-15 | 15,630.0000 | 76.9004 | 0.49 |
| 2023 | 2023-02-15 | 15,179.0000 | 2023-03-16 | 15,479.0000 | 300.0000 | 1.98 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-15 | 14,303.0000 | 2022-03-16 | 14,305.2998 | 2.2998 | 0.02 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-15 | 13,966.0000 | 2021-03-16 | 14,464.0000 | 498.0000 | 3.57 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-15 | 14,083.0000 | 2019-03-16 | 14,287.0000 | 204.0000 | 1.45 |
| 2018 | 2018-02-15 | 13,622.0000 | 2018-03-16 | 13,758.0000 | 136.0000 | 1.00 |
| 2017 | 2017-02-15 | 13,321.0000 | 2017-03-16 | 13,217.0000 | -104.0000 | -0.78 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-15 | 13,465.0000 | 2016-03-15 | 12,980.0000 | -485.0000 | -3.60 |
| Avg | 14,186.5125 | 14,265.0375 | 78.53 | 0.52 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.50% | Feb Total +0.73% | Mar Total +1.90% | Apr Total -0.54% | May Total +0.17% | Jun Total +0.13% | Jul Total -0.07% | Aug Total +0.08% | Sep Total +0.56% | Oct Total +0.68% | Nov Total -0.62% | Dec Total +0.17% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.03% | 0.00% | -0.19% | +0.34% | -0.06% | -0.05% | -0.24% | -0.21% | +0.03% | -0.05% | +0.04% | -0.04% | +0.12% |
| 2 Avg +0.02% | +0.06% | +0.05% | -0.20% | +0.17% | +0.05% | -0.09% | +0.01% | +0.21% | +0.20% | +0.04% | -0.07% | -0.18% |
| 3 Avg +0.06% | +0.10% | +0.06% | +0.17% | 0.00% | -0.05% | -0.31% | +0.09% | +0.21% | -0.12% | +0.09% | +0.28% | +0.17% |
| 4 Avg -0.04% | +0.07% | -0.07% | -0.15% | -0.10% | -0.45% | -0.08% | 0.00% | -0.06% | +0.09% | +0.23% | +0.09% | -0.02% |
| 5 Avg +0.01% | -0.01% | +0.04% | +0.06% | -0.05% | +0.34% | +0.01% | -0.06% | -0.27% | -0.13% | +0.11% | -0.13% | +0.16% |
| 6 Avg -0.04% | -0.03% | +0.20% | -0.20% | +0.08% | +0.11% | -0.23% | +0.26% | -0.09% | +0.02% | -0.10% | -0.42% | -0.08% |
| 7 Avg -0.01% | -0.02% | +0.10% | +0.08% | -0.09% | -0.28% | -0.20% | -0.06% | +0.16% | +0.05% | +0.11% | -0.04% | +0.03% |
| 8 Avg -0.03% | -0.22% | -0.02% | +0.04% | +0.07% | +0.46% | -0.18% | +0.06% | -0.11% | -0.02% | -0.10% | -0.30% | 0.00% |
| 9 Avg +0.03% | +0.10% | -0.01% | +0.17% | +0.17% | +0.04% | +0.17% | -0.05% | -0.17% | +0.10% | +0.06% | -0.08% | -0.10% |
| 10 Avg -0.05% | -0.09% | -0.14% | -0.18% | -0.41% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +0.14% | +0.15% | -0.14% | -0.05% | +0.22% | -0.03% |
| 11 Avg -0.02% | -0.14% | -0.04% | +0.18% | -0.01% | -0.53% | +0.05% | -0.01% | +0.06% | -0.01% | +0.02% | +0.17% | +0.04% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.01% | +0.13% | -0.11% | +0.11% | +0.14% | -0.21% | -0.03% | -0.01% | +0.15% | -0.11% | +0.19% |
| 13 Avg -0.03% | -0.38% | -0.03% | +0.08% | -0.05% | +0.33% | +0.23% | -0.21% | -0.13% | -0.11% | -0.14% | +0.17% | -0.09% |
| 14 Avg +0.01% | +0.23% | +0.22% | -0.15% | -0.07% | -0.10% | +0.14% | +0.07% | -0.08% | +0.18% | +0.14% | -0.14% | -0.32% |
| 15 Avg -0.02% | -0.12% | -0.20% | +0.15% | -0.01% | -0.11% | -0.03% | -0.01% | -0.03% | +0.01% | -0.18% | +0.02% | +0.31% |
| 16 Avg -0.01% | +0.06% | -0.17% | -0.04% | +0.18% | +0.03% | -0.08% | -0.06% | +0.15% | -0.15% | -0.04% | -0.12% | +0.11% |
| 17 Avg +0.09% | +0.08% | +0.12% | +0.11% | -0.10% | +0.11% | +0.30% | +0.05% | +0.14% | +0.19% | +0.06% | +0.09% | -0.01% |
| 18 Avg +0.04% | +0.06% | +0.15% | +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.16% | +0.17% | +0.04% | +0.21% | -0.03% | -0.02% | -0.17% | -0.10% |
| 19 Avg +0.06% | +0.15% | +0.09% | +0.51% | -0.05% | +0.26% | -0.63% | -0.02% | -0.29% | +0.09% | +0.19% | +0.23% | +0.14% |
| 20 Avg +0.05% | -0.15% | -0.02% | +0.15% | +0.04% | -0.13% | +0.55% | +0.24% | +0.09% | -0.08% | +0.06% | -0.02% | -0.10% |
| 21 Avg -0.02% | -0.04% | -0.08% | -0.02% | -0.06% | +0.06% | -0.20% | +0.23% | -0.24% | +0.02% | -0.09% | +0.06% | +0.09% |
| 22 Avg +0.01% | +0.07% | +0.04% | +0.08% | +0.06% | -0.02% | +0.17% | -0.28% | +0.11% | +0.02% | -0.02% | +0.09% | -0.17% |
| 23 Avg +0.04% | -0.13% | +0.12% | -0.13% | +0.18% | +0.04% | +0.08% | +0.01% | +0.17% | -0.17% | +0.06% | -0.04% | +0.29% |
| 24 Avg +0.04% | -0.12% | +0.05% | +0.59% | -0.09% | -0.13% | -0.05% | +0.02% | +0.17% | +0.10% | +0.05% | -0.02% | -0.11% |
| 25 Avg +0.00% | +0.02% | +0.08% | -0.13% | +0.09% | -0.03% | +0.13% | +0.06% | -0.18% | +0.13% | -0.01% | +0.04% | -0.16% |
| 26 Avg +0.00% | +0.16% | +0.04% | +0.17% | +0.28% | -0.20% | +0.06% | -0.04% | -0.27% | +0.25% | +0.04% | -0.08% | -0.42% |
| 27 Avg +0.07% | +0.15% | -0.03% | -0.08% | -0.40% | +0.08% | +0.23% | +0.12% | -0.08% | +0.09% | +0.13% | -0.10% | +0.69% |
| 28 Avg -0.05% | -0.45% | +0.37% | +0.05% | -0.01% | +0.08% | -0.16% | +0.01% | +0.11% | -0.06% | -0.23% | -0.07% | -0.19% |
| 29 Avg +0.00% | -0.16% | - | -0.02% | -0.03% | -0.07% | -0.09% | -0.17% | +0.07% | +0.06% | +0.34% | -0.26% | +0.34% |
| 30 Avg +0.01% | +0.28% | - | -0.19% | -0.15% | +0.06% | +0.30% | -0.16% | -0.11% | +0.04% | +0.05% | +0.13% | -0.17% |
| 31 Avg +0.00% | +0.05% | - | +0.32% | - | -0.02% | - | +0.07% | +0.19% | - | -0.32% | - | -0.26% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
