Check historical price trends and seasonality for USDCHF (USDCHF=X).
USDCHF (USDCHF=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -2.23%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 18 for 7 days) is -0.13%.
3 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 37.50%.
1) Overview:
The USDCHF pair tends to appreciate from February through May, culminating in a peak around May 13 with an average gain of +1.3%. Subsequently, the currency pair typically experiences a significant decline from June through August, reaching a low point around August 28 with an average loss of -2.1%. The pair then consolidates with some bearish tendency towards the end of the year, bottoming out again on December 31 with a loss of -2.1%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on the historical data, potential buying opportunities arise during the pullbacks that occur from June through August. The most pronounced dip tends to occur around August 28, presenting a favorable entry point for a long position. Another potential buying opportunity could be considered around December 31, coinciding with the end-of-year dip. These pullbacks may be attributed to profit-taking after the earlier bullish phase or seasonal shifts in market sentiment.
3) Summary:
A seasonal trading strategy for USDCHF could involve initiating long positions around August 28 or December 31, capitalizing on the historical tendency for the pair to rebound after these periods of weakness. The strongest bullish period appears to be between February and May, suggesting that positions should be closed, and profits taken around May 13. Traders should always consider broader market conditions and risk management principles when implementing this strategy.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-01-18 | 0.8643 | 2024-01-24 | 0.8696 | 0.0053 | 0.61 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-18 | 0.9219 | 2023-01-24 | 0.9217 | -0.0002 | -0.02 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-18 | 0.9139 | 2022-01-24 | 0.9126 | -0.0013 | -0.14 |
| 2021 | 2021-01-18 | 0.8922 | 2021-01-24 | 0.8854 | -0.0068 | -0.76 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-18 | 0.9937 | 2019-01-24 | 0.9946 | 0.0009 | 0.09 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-18 | 0.9650 | 2018-01-24 | 0.9566 | -0.0084 | -0.87 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-18 | 1.0029 | 2017-01-24 | 0.9973 | -0.0056 | -0.56 |
| 2016 | 2016-01-18 | 1.0017 | 2016-01-24 | 1.0079 | 0.0062 | 0.62 |
| Avg | 0.9445 | 0.9432 | 0.00 | -0.13 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.06% | Feb Total +0.39% | Mar Total -0.14% | Apr Total +0.08% | May Total -0.33% | Jun Total -0.89% | Jul Total -0.75% | Aug Total -0.41% | Sep Total +0.70% | Oct Total +0.89% | Nov Total -0.37% | Dec Total -1.38% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.02% | 0.00% | -0.09% | +0.12% | +0.04% | +0.08% | -0.10% | -0.05% | -0.09% | +0.04% | +0.15% | +0.20% | -0.05% |
| 2 Avg -0.05% | +0.09% | -0.22% | +0.02% | +0.09% | +0.02% | -0.03% | +0.01% | -0.13% | +0.12% | -0.04% | -0.27% | -0.20% |
| 3 Avg +0.07% | +0.25% | +0.04% | +0.04% | +0.09% | -0.07% | -0.19% | +0.02% | +0.24% | +0.10% | +0.35% | +0.11% | -0.10% |
| 4 Avg -0.05% | +0.06% | -0.11% | -0.11% | -0.28% | -0.15% | +0.04% | +0.06% | -0.04% | -0.05% | +0.19% | +0.07% | -0.23% |
| 5 Avg -0.07% | -0.15% | +0.10% | +0.01% | -0.05% | -0.09% | -0.22% | -0.05% | -0.32% | -0.05% | -0.18% | +0.04% | +0.14% |
| 6 Avg -0.01% | -0.02% | +0.20% | -0.14% | +0.03% | +0.21% | -0.09% | +0.17% | -0.20% | -0.06% | -0.02% | -0.11% | -0.04% |
| 7 Avg +0.01% | -0.06% | +0.18% | -0.10% | -0.11% | +0.06% | -0.07% | -0.09% | +0.11% | 0.00% | +0.19% | -0.11% | +0.09% |
| 8 Avg +0.05% | -0.06% | +0.04% | +0.28% | +0.02% | +0.12% | +0.01% | +0.14% | +0.20% | -0.12% | +0.01% | -0.09% | 0.00% |
| 9 Avg -0.02% | +0.05% | -0.16% | 0.00% | -0.21% | +0.25% | -0.11% | -0.16% | +0.14% | -0.08% | +0.01% | +0.01% | +0.03% |
| 10 Avg 0.00% | -0.07% | -0.06% | -0.26% | +0.06% | 0.00% | +0.06% | -0.04% | -0.01% | +0.08% | +0.08% | +0.16% | -0.02% |
| 11 Avg -0.03% | +0.16% | -0.02% | +0.01% | -0.26% | +0.04% | -0.04% | +0.06% | -0.14% | -0.01% | -0.01% | -0.02% | -0.08% |
| 12 Avg +0.02% | +0.12% | +0.09% | +0.02% | -0.10% | +0.06% | +0.07% | -0.01% | +0.01% | +0.06% | -0.07% | 0.00% | -0.05% |
| 13 Avg -0.02% | -0.14% | +0.10% | -0.21% | -0.09% | +0.20% | +0.03% | +0.02% | -0.13% | -0.14% | +0.08% | +0.02% | +0.02% |
| 14 Avg -0.04% | -0.03% | -0.03% | -0.11% | +0.04% | -0.14% | +0.01% | -0.07% | +0.03% | +0.18% | +0.06% | -0.29% | -0.14% |
| 15 Avg +0.03% | -0.15% | -0.03% | +0.25% | +0.07% | +0.04% | +0.22% | -0.12% | +0.14% | -0.03% | 0.00% | -0.09% | +0.05% |
| 16 Avg 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.05% | +0.19% | +0.10% | -0.19% | -0.12% | +0.11% | +0.06% | -0.11% | -0.14% | +0.04% | +0.09% |
| 17 Avg -0.02% | +0.09% | -0.03% | -0.14% | +0.03% | -0.07% | -0.07% | -0.04% | -0.13% | +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.13% | -0.01% |
| 18 Avg -0.01% | +0.02% | +0.07% | -0.12% | +0.10% | -0.06% | +0.09% | -0.15% | -0.05% | -0.02% | -0.11% | +0.12% | -0.05% |
| 19 Avg +0.02% | +0.02% | +0.10% | +0.12% | -0.03% | +0.03% | 0.00% | -0.10% | -0.04% | +0.23% | +0.03% | -0.10% | +0.04% |
| 20 Avg -0.01% | -0.01% | +0.07% | +0.18% | +0.04% | -0.03% | -0.09% | -0.13% | +0.09% | +0.07% | -0.05% | -0.08% | -0.12% |
| 21 Avg -0.04% | -0.02% | -0.01% | +0.03% | +0.03% | -0.28% | +0.04% | +0.11% | -0.24% | 0.00% | -0.12% | +0.10% | -0.05% |
| 22 Avg -0.01% | +0.04% | +0.04% | -0.01% | +0.04% | -0.10% | -0.17% | -0.20% | +0.03% | +0.08% | +0.06% | +0.08% | -0.03% |
| 23 Avg +0.03% | -0.01% | +0.15% | -0.18% | +0.31% | +0.08% | -0.09% | -0.14% | +0.14% | +0.09% | +0.16% | -0.09% | -0.05% |
| 24 Avg -0.03% | -0.10% | -0.09% | +0.11% | +0.08% | -0.08% | -0.10% | -0.06% | -0.02% | -0.05% | -0.09% | +0.03% | +0.06% |
| 25 Avg +0.02% | -0.03% | +0.07% | +0.01% | +0.06% | -0.06% | -0.14% | +0.03% | +0.08% | +0.06% | +0.11% | +0.10% | -0.04% |
| 26 Avg 0.00% | -0.05% | -0.03% | +0.01% | 0.00% | -0.07% | +0.01% | -0.02% | -0.18% | +0.31% | +0.01% | -0.02% | +0.02% |
| 27 Avg +0.03% | +0.14% | +0.12% | -0.11% | +0.06% | -0.12% | +0.15% | -0.07% | +0.03% | +0.14% | +0.06% | -0.12% | +0.08% |
| 28 Avg +0.00% | +0.01% | -0.04% | -0.01% | +0.10% | +0.12% | -0.03% | +0.08% | -0.19% | +0.24% | +0.08% | -0.04% | -0.30% |
| 29 Avg -0.04% | -0.10% | - | +0.16% | -0.18% | +0.08% | +0.08% | 0.00% | +0.10% | -0.26% | -0.13% | -0.16% | -0.07% |
| 30 Avg -0.06% | +0.04% | - | -0.21% | -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.03% | -0.07% | -0.06% | -0.16% | +0.24% | 0.00% | -0.30% |
| 31 Avg -0.01% | -0.02% | - | +0.01% | - | -0.16% | - | 0.00% | +0.19% | - | -0.05% | - | -0.06% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
