Check historical price trends and seasonality for U.S. Bancorp (USB).
U.S. Bancorp (USB) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +3.78%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 5 for 60 days) is -6.51%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
U.S. Bancorp (USB) exhibits a clear seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline from March through July, reaching a significant low around April 4 with an average drop of -7.9%. A strong bullish phase typically begins in November, accelerating into December, culminating in a peak around December 16 with an average increase of +5.9%, followed by another increase on December 31 of +3.7%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for USB is between March and July. The most pronounced dip occurs around April 4, presenting a potential buying opportunity after a substantial decline of -7.9%. Another potential buying opportunity arises in late spring, as the stock continues to show weakness through May. These pullbacks could be attributed to broader market corrections or sector-specific concerns, offering a chance to acquire shares at a discounted price before the year-end rally.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to USB involves capitalizing on the weakness in the spring and summer months. Consider establishing a position around April 4, taking advantage of the -7.9% dip. This allows investors to position themselves for the historically strong performance typically observed from November through December, specifically around December 16.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-02-05 | 47.3800 | 2025-04-05 | 36.8300 | -10.5500 | -22.27 |
| 2024 | 2024-02-05 | 40.1000 | 2024-04-04 | 42.9200 | 2.8200 | 7.03 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-05 | 46.3500 | 2021-04-05 | 56.3700 | 10.0200 | 21.62 |
| 2020 | 2020-02-05 | 55.2000 | 2020-04-04 | 31.1900 | -24.0100 | -43.50 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-05 | 51.4800 | 2019-04-05 | 49.7000 | -1.7800 | -3.46 |
| 2018 | 2018-02-05 | 54.6200 | 2018-04-05 | 51.0800 | -3.5400 | -6.48 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-05 | 40.0900 | 2016-04-04 | 40.6800 | 0.5900 | 1.47 |
| Avg | 47.8886 | 44.1100 | -3.78 | -6.51 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.03% | Feb Total -0.75% | Mar Total -6.23% | Apr Total +0.50% | May Total -0.08% | Jun Total -0.18% | Jul Total +5.35% | Aug Total +0.12% | Sep Total -1.85% | Oct Total +2.42% | Nov Total +6.56% | Dec Total -0.09% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.10% | 0.00% | -0.02% | -0.08% | -0.75% | -0.58% | +0.63% | +0.21% | -1.13% | +0.13% | -0.39% | +0.09% | +0.66% |
| 2 Avg +0.14% | +0.36% | +0.07% | +0.54% | +0.22% | -0.54% | +0.39% | +0.44% | -0.64% | +0.20% | -0.32% | +0.69% | +0.31% |
| 3 Avg +0.04% | +0.24% | +0.17% | -0.21% | -1.39% | +0.05% | +0.43% | +0.24% | +0.73% | -0.39% | +0.15% | +0.66% | -0.14% |
| 4 Avg +0.14% | +0.70% | +0.93% | -0.08% | -0.62% | -0.07% | +0.40% | 0.00% | -0.15% | +0.39% | +0.58% | -0.48% | +0.05% |
| 5 Avg +0.01% | -0.02% | -0.43% | -0.11% | +0.03% | -0.07% | +0.52% | -0.32% | -0.16% | -0.32% | +0.75% | +0.73% | -0.43% |
| 6 Avg +0.20% | +0.75% | -0.12% | -0.50% | +1.09% | +0.07% | +0.94% | -0.16% | +0.48% | -0.42% | -0.26% | +0.53% | +0.01% |
| 7 Avg -0.09% | +0.02% | -0.16% | -0.86% | -0.24% | +0.17% | +0.21% | -0.09% | -0.01% | -0.34% | +0.05% | -0.18% | +0.40% |
| 8 Avg +0.06% | -0.22% | -0.44% | +0.12% | +0.44% | +0.04% | +0.23% | -0.04% | +0.31% | -0.09% | -0.10% | +0.09% | +0.32% |
| 9 Avg +0.12% | +0.08% | +0.26% | -1.88% | +1.54% | -0.03% | -0.67% | +0.29% | -0.07% | +0.65% | +0.16% | +1.10% | -0.01% |
| 10 Avg -0.12% | -0.16% | -0.31% | -0.46% | -0.95% | +0.15% | -1.17% | +0.94% | -0.09% | -0.19% | -0.28% | +0.69% | +0.36% |
| 11 Avg -0.14% | +0.36% | -0.34% | -0.55% | +0.03% | -0.98% | -1.09% | +0.48% | +0.46% | +0.45% | -0.38% | +0.16% | -0.30% |
| 12 Avg +0.03% | +0.24% | +0.87% | -1.20% | +0.18% | -0.06% | +0.23% | +0.33% | -0.04% | +0.04% | -0.10% | -0.33% | +0.16% |
| 13 Avg -0.11% | -0.10% | -0.08% | +0.55% | -0.55% | -0.82% | -0.52% | -0.03% | +0.16% | -0.52% | +0.28% | +0.20% | +0.14% |
| 14 Avg +0.17% | +0.39% | +0.30% | +0.41% | +0.33% | +0.78% | -0.92% | -0.40% | -0.12% | +0.23% | +0.41% | +0.43% | +0.15% |
| 15 Avg +0.13% | -0.27% | +0.62% | -0.50% | -0.94% | +0.17% | +0.87% | +1.05% | -0.24% | +0.30% | +0.14% | +0.42% | -0.02% |
| 16 Avg -0.06% | -0.44% | +0.44% | -0.71% | -0.34% | -0.24% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +0.15% | -0.20% | +0.70% | -0.08% | +0.03% |
| 17 Avg -0.04% | -0.30% | -0.15% | -0.38% | +1.06% | +0.42% | -0.91% | +0.14% | -0.63% | +0.17% | +1.13% | -0.37% | -0.69% |
| 18 Avg -0.09% | -0.56% | -0.30% | +0.44% | -0.34% | +0.59% | +0.14% | +0.29% | -0.25% | +0.16% | -0.63% | +0.29% | -0.94% |
| 19 Avg +0.06% | -0.31% | +0.08% | -0.27% | +0.78% | -0.50% | +0.19% | +0.63% | -0.02% | +0.67% | -0.20% | -0.04% | -0.25% |
| 20 Avg -0.19% | -0.38% | -0.22% | +0.12% | -0.46% | +0.12% | -0.04% | +0.15% | -0.13% | -0.52% | -0.11% | -0.34% | -0.51% |
| 21 Avg -0.04% | -0.36% | -0.51% | +0.69% | -0.92% | -0.13% | +0.43% | +0.35% | -0.08% | -0.59% | 0.00% | +0.23% | +0.39% |
| 22 Avg +0.00% | +0.29% | +0.51% | -1.61% | +0.30% | +0.35% | -0.68% | -0.04% | +0.16% | -0.46% | +0.36% | +0.57% | +0.29% |
| 23 Avg +0.05% | +0.27% | -0.12% | -1.68% | +0.46% | +0.09% | +0.15% | +0.55% | +0.19% | -0.35% | +0.34% | +0.37% | +0.37% |
| 24 Avg +0.21% | +0.49% | -0.51% | +0.87% | +0.45% | +0.18% | -0.16% | +0.22% | +0.47% | -0.12% | +0.06% | +0.58% | -0.04% |
| 25 Avg +0.15% | +0.68% | +0.01% | +0.66% | -0.33% | -0.06% | +0.34% | -0.15% | +0.11% | -0.01% | +0.22% | +0.31% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.20% | +0.08% | -0.64% | +2.05% | +0.06% | +1.00% | -0.32% | +0.45% | -0.24% | -0.48% | +0.11% | -0.24% | +0.54% |
| 27 Avg -0.02% | -0.43% | -0.27% | -0.56% | +0.99% | +0.99% | -0.25% | -0.01% | +0.48% | +0.13% | -1.13% | -0.31% | +0.06% |
| 28 Avg +0.02% | +0.16% | -0.38% | +0.16% | +0.78% | -0.72% | +0.05% | -0.23% | +0.32% | +0.09% | +0.11% | +0.22% | -0.32% |
| 29 Avg +0.06% | -0.20% | - | -0.03% | +0.52% | -0.67% | +0.10% | +0.63% | +0.36% | -0.38% | +0.09% | +0.64% | -0.42% |
| 30 Avg -0.05% | +0.14% | - | -0.21% | -0.92% | +0.14% | +0.33% | -0.31% | -0.05% | -0.08% | +0.66% | -0.06% | -0.23% |
| 31 Avg -0.27% | -0.49% | - | -0.92% | - | +0.08% | - | -0.27% | -0.22% | - | 0.00% | - | -0.03% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
