UMA (UMA-USD) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for UMA (UMA-USD).

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UMA (UMA-USD) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -15.75%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is +32.00%.

3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

UMA (UMA-USD) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

UMA experiences a strong bullish phase from early January, accelerating significantly to peak around February 4 with an impressive +79.6%. This bullish momentum gradually cools off through March and April, before a period of consolidation. A significant bearish trend then emerges, starting in June and bottoming out around July 5 with a decline of -23.6%. The year concludes with further weakness into December, particularly around December 31, showing a -14.0% average decline.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

The most significant dip, presenting a potential buying opportunity, occurs around July 5, following a prolonged decline that bottoms out at -23.6%. Another, less pronounced, dip occurs in late December, bottoming out around December 31 at -14.0%. These pullbacks could be viewed as chances to accumulate UMA at lower prices, anticipating a rebound towards its historical bullish period starting in January.

3) Summary:

A seasonal investment strategy for UMA could involve accumulating positions during the significant dip around July 5, and potentially adding more near December 31. The data suggests a strong tendency for UMA to rally significantly starting in January, with a peak around February 4. Investors should consider these seasonal patterns, but also factor in overall market conditions and fundamental analysis before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-01-16 2.5349 2025-01-22 2.4755 -0.0594 -2.34
2024 2024-01-16 2.0185 2024-01-22 5.6078 3.5893 177.82
2023 2023-01-16 1.9094 2023-01-22 1.9493 0.0399 2.09
2022 2022-01-16 8.4093 2022-01-22 6.0986 -2.3107 -27.48
2021 2021-01-16 10.3766 2021-01-22 11.4062 1.0296 9.92
Avg 5.0497 5.5075 0.46 32.00
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +24.94% Feb Total +17.24% Mar Total +6.93% Apr Total -15.09% May Total -5.09% Jun Total -16.59% Jul Total +7.39% Aug Total +6.85% Sep Total -6.77% Oct Total +6.75% Nov Total +9.48% Dec Total -10.69%
1 Avg +0.55% 0.00% -0.70% +8.20% -0.62% +2.18% -1.64% -2.82% -1.36% -1.21% +3.22% +2.01% -0.65%
2 Avg +0.60% +1.26% +5.57% +0.49% -2.63% +0.35% +1.23% +0.11% -2.84% +2.15% +0.92% -1.45% +2.05%
3 Avg +0.91% +1.43% +13.32% -2.16% -0.40% -0.15% +1.76% +2.17% -2.13% -0.61% +0.20% -3.17% +0.62%
4 Avg +0.35% +1.39% +3.30% -1.14% +0.78% -0.59% +1.18% -1.48% +1.72% +0.11% -0.51% -0.52% -0.01%
5 Avg +0.05% +5.25% -0.99% -2.45% -0.57% +8.84% -3.87% -3.84% -1.84% +0.10% -0.20% +1.89% -1.77%
6 Avg +0.24% -2.38% -2.51% +0.16% -4.82% -3.85% +2.03% +3.25% +5.74% -1.40% +0.34% +2.58% +3.72%
7 Avg -0.20% -4.06% +1.47% -1.36% +0.75% +3.10% -2.48% -1.00% +0.44% -3.71% -1.23% +7.90% -2.24%
8 Avg +1.01% -1.84% +0.37% +3.07% -0.30% +9.04% -0.50% -0.27% +0.95% +1.53% -0.79% -1.58% +2.43%
9 Avg +0.27% +0.11% -0.96% -0.11% +1.65% -1.31% +4.31% +1.14% +5.39% +3.16% +0.94% -5.86% -5.16%
10 Avg -1.10% +0.75% -1.19% -2.34% +0.99% +0.63% -6.96% -0.14% -0.43% -1.64% -9.53% +7.87% -1.27%
11 Avg -1.08% -1.75% -0.92% -1.10% -2.20% -6.57% -5.70% -0.47% -3.06% -1.68% +2.11% +5.50% +2.89%
12 Avg +0.35% -1.24% +5.78% +2.76% -1.97% -2.29% -2.35% -0.51% +2.60% +1.48% +3.12% -3.09% -0.07%
13 Avg -0.32% +1.14% -3.41% +0.63% -4.14% +1.03% -3.65% +1.14% +6.66% -0.95% +5.08% -5.41% -1.97%
14 Avg +0.46% +1.98% +1.60% -0.08% +1.39% +0.88% +7.30% +0.24% -3.94% +0.70% -1.11% -1.19% -2.29%
15 Avg +0.32% +1.80% -1.11% -1.71% +1.88% -3.57% +0.46% +1.06% -1.15% -0.50% -0.94% +8.11% -0.50%
16 Avg -0.06% +2.58% -1.53% +0.06% -0.51% -1.92% -0.81% +1.26% -0.39% +0.14% +3.74% -2.63% -0.68%
17 Avg -0.36% +1.64% +1.09% +2.90% -1.52% -0.64% -1.62% -0.02% -2.54% -0.94% +1.05% -2.21% -1.55%
18 Avg -0.23% +4.78% -1.58% -1.92% +4.69% +1.84% -6.89% -0.33% -0.59% -0.81% +2.22% -0.24% -3.93%
19 Avg +1.72% +21.61% +0.87% -0.34% -3.91% -7.43% +1.84% +1.85% +3.34% -0.14% +2.49% +0.79% -0.34%
20 Avg -0.31% -3.42% -2.21% +1.81% +2.84% +2.28% +0.55% -0.48% -0.26% -2.93% +0.20% -2.91% +0.78%
21 Avg -0.27% +0.90% -0.60% -1.22% -3.77% -1.64% -3.43% +9.06% +4.66% -0.14% -2.96% -2.44% -1.60%
22 Avg +0.12% -1.30% -0.44% +1.77% +1.15% +0.61% -1.82% -2.48% +0.33% +0.80% -0.21% +1.02% +2.05%
23 Avg +0.07% +1.31% -3.21% -0.63% -0.59% -6.54% +3.00% -1.37% +2.88% -0.51% +1.47% +2.88% +2.18%
24 Avg -0.59% -1.89% -3.07% -1.32% -4.23% +5.12% +3.67% -2.01% -3.86% -1.00% +0.31% +0.97% +0.30%
25 Avg -0.81% -2.06% -1.85% -0.76% +3.30% -1.00% -1.75% -1.22% -1.55% -2.41% +0.04% -0.99% +0.56%
26 Avg +0.33% -0.59% +1.23% +3.77% -0.24% -0.46% -2.56% +3.85% -3.37% +2.62% +0.04% -1.46% +1.16%
27 Avg +0.77% -3.10% +0.73% +0.99% +1.12% -0.11% +1.33% +2.14% +2.87% -0.13% -2.56% +4.79% +1.15%
28 Avg -0.48% +0.31% +8.17% -3.05% -1.04% -1.86% -2.07% -2.16% -0.56% +0.71% +0.36% -1.27% -3.26%
29 Avg +0.21% +2.36% - +0.79% -1.62% -1.89% +0.26% +2.12% +1.01% +0.71% +0.86% +0.46% -2.76%
30 Avg -0.14% -0.38% - -0.39% -0.52% -0.62% +2.60% -0.99% +0.07% -0.29% -0.64% -0.87% +0.55%
31 Avg -0.47% -1.66% - +1.59% - +1.46% - -0.41% -1.96% - -1.28% - -1.05%

Past 5 Years 1-Month [Jan 16 - Feb 14] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses