Check historical price trends and seasonality for Ulta Beauty (ULTA).
Ulta Beauty (ULTA) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +14.15%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -2.52%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Ulta Beauty exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, with a particularly pronounced uptrend from late March through July. The stock tends to rally significantly from late March, reaching a peak in early July. From August, the stock experiences a period of consolidation before another significant rally begins in November, culminating in substantial gains through December, with a peak around December 6 (+15.3%) and December 31 (+14.1%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buy-the-dip opportunity appears around March 23, where the stock tends to experience a slight pullback of -0.6%. Following this dip, the stock typically begins a strong upward trend through April, May, June and July. Another potential dip might occur in August before the stock begins to climb again in November.
3) Summary:
Seasonally, Ulta Beauty presents a compelling investment case with strong bullish phases. Consider initiating positions following the dip around March 23, or during the consolidation period in August. The most significant gains are typically realized by holding through December, particularly targeting the rally into December 6 and December 31.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 413.3300 | 2025-03-16 | 357.4800 | -55.8500 | -13.51 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 476.0100 | 2024-03-15 | 535.9800 | 59.9700 | 12.60 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 277.0000 | 2020-03-15 | 207.0600 | -69.9400 | -25.25 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 282.0100 | 2019-03-16 | 338.4100 | 56.4000 | 20.00 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 237.1200 | 2018-03-16 | 221.8800 | -15.2400 | -6.43 |
| Avg | 337.0940 | 332.1620 | -4.93 | -2.52 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.13% | Feb Total +0.49% | Mar Total +1.08% | Apr Total +4.44% | May Total +2.87% | Jun Total -1.68% | Jul Total -0.73% | Aug Total -1.36% | Sep Total +1.61% | Oct Total -3.09% | Nov Total +9.20% | Dec Total +4.34% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.04% | 0.00% | +0.27% | +0.34% | -0.46% | -0.99% | -0.64% | -0.07% | -0.70% | +0.13% | +0.96% | +0.05% | +0.70% |
| 2 Avg +0.21% | +0.25% | -0.01% | +0.33% | -0.16% | +0.62% | +0.85% | +0.33% | -1.16% | +0.86% | -0.34% | +0.35% | +0.58% |
| 3 Avg -0.21% | +0.25% | -0.11% | -0.81% | -2.06% | -0.49% | -0.24% | +0.22% | -0.14% | +0.17% | -0.27% | +0.54% | +0.44% |
| 4 Avg +0.11% | +0.58% | -0.11% | -0.37% | +0.16% | +0.30% | +0.08% | 0.00% | +0.47% | +0.29% | -0.23% | +0.21% | -0.09% |
| 5 Avg +0.09% | -0.44% | -0.30% | +0.36% | +0.05% | -0.21% | +0.13% | -0.07% | -0.05% | +0.28% | -0.49% | +0.68% | +1.14% |
| 6 Avg +0.48% | +0.33% | +0.53% | +0.11% | +1.71% | -0.23% | +0.01% | +0.28% | +0.58% | +0.23% | -0.17% | +0.07% | +2.32% |
| 7 Avg -0.09% | +0.59% | -0.27% | -1.02% | -0.35% | +0.32% | +0.37% | -0.46% | -0.15% | +0.88% | -0.65% | +0.55% | -0.95% |
| 8 Avg +0.20% | +0.06% | -0.06% | +0.83% | +0.99% | +0.12% | +0.38% | +0.41% | +0.20% | -0.62% | +0.35% | -0.09% | -0.16% |
| 9 Avg +0.10% | +0.40% | +0.71% | -1.02% | +1.29% | +0.01% | -0.50% | -0.17% | -0.12% | -0.04% | -0.40% | +1.80% | -0.71% |
| 10 Avg +0.07% | -0.38% | -0.32% | +1.16% | +0.41% | -0.19% | -0.79% | +0.16% | +0.99% | -0.27% | -0.34% | +0.98% | -0.56% |
| 11 Avg +0.05% | +0.44% | -0.15% | +0.75% | -0.15% | -0.42% | -0.27% | -0.23% | +0.44% | +0.02% | +0.39% | +0.09% | -0.37% |
| 12 Avg -0.03% | +0.41% | +0.24% | -2.00% | +0.08% | -0.38% | -0.04% | +0.70% | +0.39% | -0.26% | -0.30% | +0.07% | +0.76% |
| 13 Avg +0.13% | -0.54% | -0.36% | +0.23% | +0.75% | -0.32% | +0.29% | -0.37% | +0.89% | -0.62% | +1.64% | +0.68% | -0.74% |
| 14 Avg +0.13% | +0.03% | +0.22% | +0.59% | +0.20% | +0.53% | -0.09% | +0.55% | -0.32% | +0.08% | -0.12% | -0.04% | -0.12% |
| 15 Avg +0.28% | -0.43% | +0.56% | +1.12% | -0.49% | +0.29% | +0.32% | +0.34% | +0.60% | +0.13% | +0.15% | +0.75% | -0.03% |
| 16 Avg +0.11% | +0.17% | +0.37% | -1.51% | +0.41% | -0.21% | -0.25% | +0.28% | +0.63% | +0.43% | +0.28% | +0.99% | -0.21% |
| 17 Avg -0.03% | -0.15% | -0.35% | -0.34% | +0.80% | +0.21% | -0.31% | -0.36% | -0.61% | +0.42% | +0.30% | +0.08% | -0.01% |
| 18 Avg -0.28% | +0.68% | -0.03% | -1.72% | +0.16% | -0.16% | -0.49% | -0.12% | +0.19% | -0.04% | -1.22% | -0.34% | -0.30% |
| 19 Avg -0.28% | -0.27% | -0.56% | +0.94% | -0.25% | -0.88% | -0.10% | -0.14% | -0.11% | +0.03% | -1.55% | -0.64% | +0.15% |
| 20 Avg -0.32% | -0.25% | +0.47% | -0.25% | -0.53% | -0.14% | +0.27% | -0.04% | -0.30% | -0.63% | -0.66% | -0.97% | -0.82% |
| 21 Avg +0.15% | +0.41% | -0.21% | +0.15% | -0.11% | +0.12% | +0.23% | +0.29% | +0.56% | -0.60% | +0.20% | +0.15% | +0.67% |
| 22 Avg -0.07% | -0.22% | +0.84% | -0.65% | +0.38% | -0.43% | -0.58% | +0.17% | -0.88% | -0.43% | +0.09% | +0.80% | +0.06% |
| 23 Avg +0.02% | -0.11% | 0.00% | -0.71% | +0.52% | -0.61% | +0.30% | +0.09% | +0.50% | -0.17% | -0.02% | +0.33% | +0.15% |
| 24 Avg +0.26% | +0.35% | +0.24% | +2.71% | -0.01% | -0.42% | -0.02% | -0.86% | +0.52% | +0.50% | -0.01% | +0.10% | -0.01% |
| 25 Avg +0.13% | -0.03% | -0.11% | +1.00% | +0.19% | +1.21% | -0.79% | +0.09% | -0.99% | -0.19% | +0.37% | +0.85% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.05% | +0.35% | -0.54% | +0.39% | +0.33% | +0.79% | -0.09% | -0.56% | -0.60% | +0.09% | -0.57% | +0.10% | +0.91% |
| 27 Avg +0.17% | -0.73% | -0.05% | -0.79% | +0.30% | +3.11% | -0.85% | -0.33% | -0.07% | +1.18% | -0.40% | +0.07% | +0.59% |
| 28 Avg +0.25% | +0.30% | -0.41% | +0.21% | +0.67% | +0.06% | -0.17% | +0.05% | +0.55% | +0.81% | +0.04% | +0.71% | +0.20% |
| 29 Avg +0.10% | +0.26% | - | +0.44% | -0.04% | -0.21% | +0.64% | -0.38% | -0.09% | -0.35% | +0.02% | +0.64% | +0.17% |
| 30 Avg -0.25% | +0.08% | - | +0.55% | -0.31% | +1.39% | +0.64% | -0.27% | -3.46% | -0.70% | -0.34% | -0.35% | 0.00% |
| 31 Avg +0.18% | -0.25% | - | +0.07% | - | +0.09% | - | -0.26% | +0.87% | - | +0.18% | - | +0.59% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
