Check historical price trends and seasonality for Textron (TXT).
Textron (TXT) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +9.28%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -3.23%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Textron's 10-year average seasonality reveals a distinct pattern of decline in the first half of the year, followed by a strong rally in the second half. The stock tends to decline from early March, bottoming out around March 23 with a -4.6% average change. A bullish phase begins in June and extends through December, culminating in significant gains by November 24 (+9.8%) and December 31 (+9.2%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most pronounced pullback period occurs from early March through April, presenting a potential buying opportunity as the stock bottoms out around March 23. This decline may be attributed to broader market corrections or sector-specific headwinds early in the year. Investors could consider accumulating shares during this period, anticipating a rebound starting in June and accelerating into the end of the year.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to Textron would involve accumulating shares during the weakness in March and April. The data suggests a strong tendency for gains in the second half of the year, particularly from June onwards. Investors should consider this seasonal pattern alongside fundamental analysis and broader market conditions to optimize entry and exit points.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 78.8400 | 2025-03-16 | 73.1900 | -5.6500 | -7.17 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 77.5500 | 2024-03-15 | 92.9100 | 15.3600 | 19.81 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 46.0000 | 2020-03-15 | 29.1200 | -16.8800 | -36.70 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 48.0300 | 2019-03-16 | 51.7800 | 3.7500 | 7.81 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 58.7800 | 2018-03-16 | 58.8300 | 0.0500 | 0.09 |
| Avg | 61.8400 | 61.1660 | -0.67 | -3.23 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.86% | Feb Total +1.37% | Mar Total -1.68% | Apr Total +0.58% | May Total +1.40% | Jun Total +2.91% | Jul Total +4.29% | Aug Total +1.20% | Sep Total +0.43% | Oct Total -2.78% | Nov Total +6.06% | Dec Total -0.15% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.00% | 0.00% | +0.39% | +0.40% | -0.52% | -0.18% | +0.46% | -0.26% | -0.68% | -0.08% | -0.31% | +0.73% | +0.09% |
| 2 Avg +0.17% | +0.25% | -0.03% | +0.42% | -0.59% | +0.33% | +0.56% | +0.32% | -0.87% | +0.48% | +0.03% | +0.49% | +0.60% |
| 3 Avg +0.06% | -0.65% | -0.06% | -0.91% | -0.69% | +0.26% | +1.53% | +0.25% | +0.77% | -1.04% | +0.35% | +0.60% | +0.26% |
| 4 Avg +0.07% | +0.43% | +1.11% | -0.93% | -0.96% | -0.15% | +1.18% | 0.00% | -0.19% | +0.39% | +0.38% | +0.03% | -0.46% |
| 5 Avg -0.05% | -0.01% | -0.30% | -0.21% | 0.00% | -0.29% | +0.44% | -0.58% | +0.20% | +0.06% | +0.29% | +0.55% | -0.76% |
| 6 Avg +0.18% | +0.03% | +0.11% | -0.30% | +0.74% | -0.01% | +0.29% | -0.08% | +0.32% | -0.35% | +0.16% | +0.67% | +0.54% |
| 7 Avg +0.09% | +0.16% | +0.20% | -0.51% | -0.20% | +0.37% | +0.68% | -0.13% | +0.10% | +0.04% | -0.52% | +0.88% | -0.03% |
| 8 Avg +0.14% | -0.03% | -0.03% | +0.01% | +0.35% | +0.96% | +0.30% | +0.22% | +0.18% | +0.12% | -0.14% | -0.42% | +0.11% |
| 9 Avg -0.03% | -0.14% | +0.32% | -1.21% | +1.30% | -0.54% | -0.66% | -0.03% | -0.49% | +0.30% | +0.08% | +1.20% | -0.44% |
| 10 Avg +0.13% | -0.18% | -0.24% | +1.00% | -0.08% | +0.14% | -1.40% | +0.78% | +0.57% | +0.48% | -0.70% | +1.08% | +0.15% |
| 11 Avg -0.16% | +0.08% | -0.29% | -0.89% | +0.11% | -0.70% | -1.51% | +0.49% | +0.39% | +0.85% | -0.23% | -0.19% | +0.03% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | +0.73% | +0.58% | -1.76% | +0.04% | -0.60% | +1.01% | +0.47% | -0.24% | +0.37% | -0.34% | -0.43% | +0.25% |
| 13 Avg -0.08% | -0.30% | -0.03% | +1.28% | -0.48% | -0.70% | -0.46% | +0.21% | +0.19% | -0.49% | -0.03% | +0.42% | -0.58% |
| 14 Avg +0.00% | +0.41% | -0.14% | +0.30% | +0.09% | +0.46% | -0.63% | -0.02% | -0.23% | -0.02% | +0.31% | -0.22% | -0.27% |
| 15 Avg +0.20% | -0.32% | +0.58% | +0.11% | -0.96% | +0.30% | +0.60% | +0.71% | +0.13% | +0.24% | +0.32% | +0.11% | +0.62% |
| 16 Avg +0.00% | -0.30% | +0.55% | -0.43% | -0.09% | +0.27% | -0.28% | +0.17% | +0.27% | +0.02% | +0.11% | +0.11% | -0.37% |
| 17 Avg +0.03% | -0.08% | -0.35% | +1.18% | +1.92% | +0.20% | -0.27% | -1.04% | -0.68% | -0.10% | -0.21% | -0.11% | -0.10% |
| 18 Avg -0.09% | -0.01% | -0.36% | -0.37% | +1.03% | +0.76% | +0.17% | +0.09% | -0.18% | -0.22% | -1.49% | -0.23% | -0.26% |
| 19 Avg -0.17% | -0.25% | +0.12% | -0.08% | +0.32% | -0.63% | -0.17% | -0.27% | -0.01% | +0.22% | -0.68% | -0.49% | -0.11% |
| 20 Avg -0.02% | -0.08% | -0.04% | -1.23% | +0.08% | +0.32% | +0.26% | +0.70% | +0.01% | -0.09% | +0.29% | -0.27% | -0.17% |
| 21 Avg +0.08% | -0.15% | -0.36% | +0.22% | -0.58% | -0.33% | +0.28% | +0.47% | +0.42% | -0.72% | +0.37% | +0.71% | +0.64% |
| 22 Avg -0.06% | -0.27% | +0.19% | -0.84% | 0.00% | -0.09% | -0.65% | +0.54% | +0.05% | +0.27% | -0.40% | +0.58% | -0.10% |
| 23 Avg +0.01% | +0.32% | +0.10% | -1.07% | +0.89% | -0.30% | +0.01% | +0.43% | -0.10% | -0.54% | -0.64% | +0.48% | +0.55% |
| 24 Avg +0.11% | +1.46% | +0.10% | +0.77% | -0.17% | +0.13% | -0.37% | -0.62% | +0.66% | -0.21% | -0.59% | +0.47% | -0.32% |
| 25 Avg -0.02% | -0.33% | -0.61% | +1.73% | -1.42% | -0.02% | -0.09% | -0.27% | +0.19% | +0.34% | +0.27% | +0.01% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.26% | +0.81% | -0.03% | +1.68% | +0.05% | +1.50% | -0.16% | +0.11% | -0.38% | -0.31% | -0.18% | -0.25% | +0.26% |
| 27 Avg -0.09% | -2.72% | -0.15% | -0.82% | +0.40% | +1.15% | -0.04% | +1.12% | +0.25% | +0.60% | -0.74% | -0.35% | +0.19% |
| 28 Avg +0.22% | +0.51% | +0.02% | -0.08% | +1.31% | -0.53% | +0.26% | +0.01% | +0.30% | +0.70% | +0.49% | 0.00% | -0.32% |
| 29 Avg +0.13% | +0.22% | - | +0.55% | +0.08% | -0.36% | +0.74% | -0.02% | +0.41% | -0.47% | +0.40% | -0.05% | -0.08% |
| 30 Avg +0.04% | -0.28% | - | +0.59% | -1.41% | +0.13% | +0.81% | +0.30% | +0.15% | -0.40% | +0.59% | -0.06% | -0.01% |
| 31 Avg -0.16% | -0.17% | - | -0.29% | - | -0.47% | - | +0.19% | -0.30% | - | -0.01% | - | -0.06% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
