Check historical price trends and seasonality for Taylor Wimpey plc (TW.L).
Taylor Wimpey plc (TW.L) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -1.68%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 17 for 7 days) is +1.28%.
5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.
1) Overview:
Taylor Wimpey plc (TW.L) exhibits a clear seasonal pattern. The stock tends to perform strongly from early January, peaking around February 2 with an average gain of +3.6%. A significant bearish phase then follows, extending from June through October, culminating in a substantial drop by October 9, averaging -10.7%. The stock price shows a slight recovery towards the end of the year, with a minor dip of -1.7% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant "buy-the-dip" opportunity appears in October, particularly around October 9, which sees an average decline of -10.7%. This substantial pullback could be attributed to end-of-year tax considerations or general market sentiment. Another potential buying opportunity arises towards the end of the year, around December 31, although the dip is less pronounced at -1.7%. These pullbacks could present strategic entry points for investors anticipating a subsequent rebound.
3) Summary:
Seasonality suggests a strategy of accumulating Taylor Wimpey shares during the October pullback, capitalizing on the historically weak performance. The strong performance in January and February, particularly around February 2, could then be used as a potential exit point to realize profits. Investors should consider broader market conditions and company-specific news alongside these seasonal trends to make informed investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-07-17 | 109.9000 | 2025-07-23 | 111.0500 | 1.1500 | 1.05 |
| 2024 | 2024-07-17 | 155.9500 | 2024-07-23 | 156.0000 | 0.0500 | 0.03 |
| 2023 | 2023-07-17 | 104.1000 | 2023-07-23 | 116.6000 | 12.5000 | 12.01 |
| 2020 | 2020-07-17 | 141.7000 | 2020-07-23 | 134.2500 | -7.4500 | -5.26 |
| 2019 | 2019-07-17 | 163.5500 | 2019-07-23 | 167.0500 | 3.5000 | 2.14 |
| 2018 | 2018-07-17 | 175.6000 | 2018-07-23 | 170.2000 | -5.4000 | -3.08 |
| 2017 | 2017-07-17 | 181.1000 | 2017-07-23 | 184.9000 | 3.8000 | 2.10 |
| Avg | 147.4143 | 148.5786 | 1.16 | 1.28 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.51% | Feb Total +0.41% | Mar Total -4.81% | Apr Total +4.47% | May Total +0.21% | Jun Total -9.17% | Jul Total +2.97% | Aug Total -0.98% | Sep Total -2.64% | Oct Total -1.80% | Nov Total +4.58% | Dec Total +5.09% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.26% | 0.00% | +0.99% | +0.29% | -0.33% | +0.42% | -0.17% | +0.80% | -0.48% | -0.41% | -0.03% | +0.81% | +1.20% |
| 2 Avg -0.08% | +0.13% | +0.83% | -0.13% | -0.42% | +0.14% | -0.51% | -0.17% | -0.91% | +0.23% | -0.43% | +0.54% | -0.31% |
| 3 Avg +0.17% | +0.05% | -0.13% | +0.07% | -0.12% | +0.38% | +0.04% | +0.02% | +0.67% | -0.23% | +0.23% | +0.80% | +0.20% |
| 4 Avg -0.16% | +0.43% | -0.05% | -0.46% | -0.22% | -0.56% | +0.02% | -0.71% | +0.22% | -0.95% | +0.09% | +0.40% | -0.08% |
| 5 Avg +0.01% | +0.87% | -0.15% | -0.15% | -0.40% | +0.28% | +0.17% | -1.02% | -0.29% | +0.49% | -0.07% | -0.01% | +0.47% |
| 6 Avg -0.05% | -0.06% | -0.66% | -0.22% | +1.84% | -0.48% | -0.74% | +0.07% | -0.25% | +0.29% | -0.09% | -0.51% | +0.20% |
| 7 Avg +0.03% | -0.76% | +0.04% | +0.06% | +0.42% | +0.31% | +0.07% | +0.38% | +0.50% | -0.30% | -0.80% | +0.22% | +0.23% |
| 8 Avg +0.02% | +0.11% | -0.91% | +0.29% | +0.94% | -0.15% | +0.17% | +0.25% | +0.38% | -0.75% | +0.09% | -0.44% | +0.25% |
| 9 Avg +0.15% | +0.63% | +0.55% | -0.11% | +0.23% | -0.04% | -1.00% | +0.18% | -0.07% | -0.35% | -0.86% | +2.37% | +0.21% |
| 10 Avg -0.02% | -0.48% | +0.07% | -0.54% | +0.47% | +0.06% | -0.47% | +0.41% | +0.17% | +0.51% | -0.08% | +0.77% | -1.09% |
| 11 Avg +0.15% | -0.02% | -0.26% | +0.19% | +0.09% | -0.38% | -0.37% | +1.05% | -0.58% | +0.22% | +1.14% | +0.61% | +0.07% |
| 12 Avg -0.13% | +0.04% | +0.19% | -1.10% | -0.10% | -0.29% | +0.39% | +0.92% | +0.30% | +0.33% | -0.77% | -1.08% | -0.35% |
| 13 Avg +0.10% | +0.14% | -0.17% | -0.81% | +0.45% | -0.17% | -1.00% | +0.16% | -0.12% | +0.58% | +0.52% | +0.06% | +1.59% |
| 14 Avg -0.01% | -0.07% | +0.28% | +0.77% | -0.82% | -0.32% | -0.16% | -0.49% | +0.10% | -1.08% | +0.40% | +0.92% | +0.38% |
| 15 Avg +0.11% | +0.03% | +0.86% | -0.37% | +0.14% | +1.02% | -0.59% | -0.06% | -0.30% | +0.66% | +0.29% | -0.94% | +0.62% |
| 16 Avg +0.02% | +0.35% | +0.04% | -0.07% | +0.16% | +0.45% | -0.35% | -0.27% | -0.04% | -0.11% | +0.34% | -0.25% | +0.03% |
| 17 Avg +0.12% | +0.56% | -0.36% | -0.85% | +0.98% | +0.74% | +0.49% | +0.11% | -0.53% | -0.16% | +0.05% | +0.65% | -0.25% |
| 18 Avg +0.14% | +0.14% | +0.21% | +0.11% | +0.31% | +0.42% | -1.02% | +1.16% | +0.47% | -0.91% | -0.37% | +1.02% | +0.16% |
| 19 Avg -0.04% | -0.14% | +0.28% | -0.78% | +0.02% | -0.42% | -0.13% | +0.92% | +0.05% | +0.55% | -0.42% | -0.14% | -0.28% |
| 20 Avg -0.06% | +0.04% | +0.15% | +0.40% | -0.82% | -0.06% | +0.44% | +0.35% | -0.30% | +0.23% | -0.44% | -0.57% | -0.10% |
| 21 Avg -0.07% | -0.54% | +0.03% | -0.08% | +0.17% | 0.00% | -0.48% | +0.44% | -0.29% | -0.44% | -0.19% | +0.23% | +0.36% |
| 22 Avg +0.09% | +0.01% | -0.42% | -0.29% | +0.51% | -0.48% | +0.16% | +0.16% | +0.44% | -0.14% | +0.05% | +0.42% | +0.61% |
| 23 Avg +0.21% | +0.54% | +0.06% | -0.24% | +1.50% | -0.21% | -0.38% | -0.52% | +0.34% | +0.12% | +0.45% | +0.41% | +0.46% |
| 24 Avg -0.38% | -0.42% | -0.65% | -0.50% | 0.00% | -0.14% | -3.05% | +0.11% | +0.31% | -0.40% | +0.31% | -0.17% | +0.03% |
| 25 Avg -0.11% | -0.36% | -0.24% | +0.45% | -0.72% | -0.02% | -0.35% | +0.24% | -0.70% | -0.08% | +0.34% | +0.15% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.02% | +0.30% | -0.17% | +0.50% | +0.60% | +1.08% | +0.09% | -0.29% | -0.03% | -0.87% | -0.06% | -0.91% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg -0.21% | +0.22% | +0.10% | -0.89% | -0.02% | -0.49% | -1.26% | +0.81% | -0.18% | -0.28% | -0.53% | +0.09% | -0.05% |
| 28 Avg +0.14% | +0.06% | -0.08% | +0.04% | +0.94% | +0.41% | +0.83% | +0.23% | -0.24% | +0.09% | -0.06% | -0.87% | +0.35% |
| 29 Avg -0.09% | -0.22% | - | +0.47% | -0.14% | -0.82% | +0.60% | -0.74% | +0.01% | -0.43% | -0.18% | +0.31% | +0.15% |
| 30 Avg -0.11% | +0.09% | - | -0.25% | -1.16% | +0.46% | -0.63% | -0.91% | +0.48% | +0.91% | +0.19% | -0.33% | -0.11% |
| 31 Avg -0.46% | -0.17% | - | -0.60% | - | -0.93% | - | -0.62% | -0.12% | - | -0.89% | - | +0.13% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
