Check historical price trends and seasonality for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA).
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +97.11%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 18 for 30 days) is +19.54%.
6 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 85.71%.
1) Overview:
Tesla's 10-year average seasonality reveals a strong bullish trend throughout the year, with a particularly strong performance in the second half. The year typically begins with a steady climb, accelerating significantly from February 1st (+9.0%) and peaking around December 18th (+97.6%) and December 31st (+97.1%). A bearish phase is observed in March, bottoming out on March 18th (-6.0%), before recovering in April.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most notable dip opportunity appears around March 18th, where the stock tends to decline by an average of -6.0%. This pullback in March could be attributed to various factors, such as quarterly rebalancing or broader market corrections. Following this, a recovery phase begins in April, presenting a potential buying opportunity after the March weakness.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in Tesla would involve capitalizing on the dip in March, specifically around March 18th. The strongest period for Tesla historically is in December, so holding through the end of the year could be advantageous. However, it's crucial to consider other market factors and company-specific news alongside these seasonal trends.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-18 | 225.3100 | 2025-04-16 | 241.5500 | 16.2400 | 7.21 |
| 2024 | 2024-03-18 | 173.8000 | 2024-04-16 | 157.1100 | -16.6900 | -9.60 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-18 | 301.7967 | 2022-04-16 | 328.3333 | 26.5366 | 8.79 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-18 | 217.7200 | 2021-04-16 | 246.5933 | 28.8733 | 13.26 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-18 | 24.0813 | 2020-04-16 | 49.6807 | 25.5994 | 106.30 |
| 2019 | 2019-03-18 | 17.9660 | 2019-04-16 | 18.2240 | 0.2580 | 1.44 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-18 | 15.5160 | 2016-04-16 | 16.9673 | 1.4513 | 9.35 |
| Avg | 139.4557 | 151.2084 | 11.75 | 19.54 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +6.36% | Feb Total -1.23% | Mar Total -1.54% | Apr Total +4.35% | May Total +0.20% | Jun Total +9.93% | Jul Total +7.89% | Aug Total +5.59% | Sep Total +3.17% | Oct Total +4.77% | Nov Total +7.90% | Dec Total +3.44% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | +1.30% | -0.89% | +0.16% | -1.13% | +0.74% | +0.90% | -1.63% | -1.48% | +2.53% | +0.56% | -0.66% |
| 2 Avg -0.07% | -0.71% | -0.34% | +0.53% | -1.15% | +0.91% | +0.14% | +1.98% | +1.46% | -1.14% | -1.90% | -0.68% | +0.09% |
| 3 Avg +0.06% | +0.58% | +0.68% | -0.41% | +1.04% | -0.94% | -1.83% | +0.82% | +1.36% | -0.93% | -1.49% | +1.48% | +0.31% |
| 4 Avg +0.31% | +0.68% | +2.03% | -1.65% | +0.04% | +0.62% | +0.79% | 0.00% | +0.58% | +0.22% | +0.94% | -0.76% | +0.22% |
| 5 Avg -0.56% | -0.72% | -3.18% | -1.21% | +0.22% | -0.53% | -0.81% | -0.41% | -1.35% | +1.28% | -0.98% | +0.95% | -0.01% |
| 6 Avg +0.38% | +0.43% | +0.72% | -1.46% | +0.63% | +0.18% | +2.55% | +0.25% | +0.19% | -0.84% | -0.11% | +1.09% | +0.88% |
| 7 Avg +0.13% | +0.81% | -0.27% | -0.38% | -0.06% | -0.27% | +0.79% | -0.08% | +0.45% | +0.08% | -0.98% | +0.28% | +1.14% |
| 8 Avg +0.04% | +1.84% | -1.01% | -0.85% | -0.39% | +0.59% | +1.76% | +0.32% | +0.69% | -2.56% | -0.14% | +0.21% | +0.05% |
| 9 Avg +0.15% | +0.26% | +0.59% | +0.69% | +2.48% | -0.52% | -0.01% | +0.88% | -0.82% | +1.79% | +0.23% | -2.99% | -0.74% |
| 10 Avg +0.28% | +0.27% | -1.62% | -1.44% | -0.06% | -0.77% | +1.08% | +2.01% | -0.06% | +1.38% | -0.08% | +1.26% | +1.41% |
| 11 Avg +0.03% | -0.64% | -0.30% | +0.66% | -0.72% | -1.08% | -0.03% | -0.77% | -0.39% | +2.61% | -1.23% | +1.58% | +0.64% |
| 12 Avg +0.20% | +0.57% | +0.10% | -0.20% | -0.78% | -0.14% | +0.01% | +1.03% | +1.69% | +1.26% | +0.60% | -1.64% | -0.05% |
| 13 Avg +0.58% | +0.38% | +1.28% | -0.75% | +3.60% | +0.22% | +0.84% | -0.38% | +1.12% | -0.23% | +0.55% | +0.26% | +0.10% |
| 14 Avg +0.36% | +0.06% | +0.97% | +0.55% | -0.01% | +1.14% | +0.46% | +0.28% | -1.09% | +2.34% | -0.25% | -0.50% | +0.34% |
| 15 Avg +0.50% | +0.46% | +1.85% | +0.11% | -0.06% | -1.05% | +0.81% | +0.50% | +0.03% | +1.47% | +0.26% | +0.95% | +0.70% |
| 16 Avg -0.32% | -0.23% | -0.90% | -1.33% | -0.58% | -0.33% | -0.65% | -0.21% | -0.71% | +0.11% | +0.43% | -0.15% | +0.67% |
| 17 Avg +0.29% | +0.95% | +0.82% | -0.11% | -0.17% | -0.46% | +0.96% | +0.19% | -0.76% | -0.16% | +0.89% | +1.43% | -0.04% |
| 18 Avg -0.09% | -1.81% | +0.21% | -1.75% | -0.10% | -0.03% | +0.61% | +0.99% | +0.45% | -0.38% | -0.23% | +1.04% | -0.03% |
| 19 Avg +0.24% | +0.15% | +0.71% | +1.87% | -0.35% | -0.25% | -0.49% | -0.30% | +0.04% | +1.60% | -1.26% | +1.16% | -0.02% |
| 20 Avg -0.52% | +0.31% | -0.80% | +0.59% | -1.83% | -0.26% | +0.60% | +0.35% | +0.57% | -1.16% | -1.45% | -1.04% | -2.15% |
| 21 Avg +0.10% | +0.14% | -1.15% | +1.34% | -0.54% | +0.71% | +0.23% | -0.09% | +0.89% | -0.37% | +0.41% | -0.55% | +0.23% |
| 22 Avg -0.19% | +0.12% | +0.08% | 0.00% | +0.25% | -0.75% | -1.14% | +0.69% | -0.03% | -1.39% | +0.25% | -0.03% | -0.36% |
| 23 Avg +0.10% | +0.60% | -1.63% | -0.60% | +0.30% | -0.50% | +1.09% | -0.93% | +1.11% | -1.10% | +0.92% | +0.76% | +1.22% |
| 24 Avg +0.64% | -0.30% | +0.02% | +2.96% | +1.56% | -0.10% | +0.05% | -1.92% | -0.42% | +0.31% | +3.63% | +1.54% | +0.36% |
| 25 Avg +0.34% | -1.26% | -1.33% | +1.11% | +0.88% | +0.87% | -0.17% | -0.45% | +0.40% | +0.38% | +3.44% | +0.24% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.23% | +1.30% | -0.09% | -0.44% | -2.01% | +1.99% | -0.35% | -0.19% | +0.18% | +1.17% | +0.23% | +0.25% | +0.70% |
| 27 Avg +0.09% | -0.89% | -1.06% | -0.32% | +1.20% | +1.54% | +0.45% | +0.33% | +0.15% | +0.21% | +0.75% | +0.13% | -1.40% |
| 28 Avg +0.09% | +0.12% | +1.09% | -0.16% | -0.25% | -0.67% | +0.61% | +0.68% | -0.60% | -0.83% | -0.19% | +0.65% | +0.68% |
| 29 Avg +0.45% | +0.25% | - | +0.56% | +1.82% | +0.61% | +0.21% | +2.15% | +0.23% | -0.69% | +0.14% | -0.22% | -0.05% |
| 30 Avg +0.03% | +0.90% | - | +0.06% | -0.77% | +0.73% | +0.61% | -0.37% | +0.49% | +0.25% | -1.78% | +0.67% | -0.46% |
| 31 Avg +0.62% | +1.74% | - | +1.39% | - | -0.14% | - | -0.36% | +1.35% | - | +0.68% | - | -0.34% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
