Check historical price trends and seasonality for Tractor Supply (TSCO).
Tractor Supply (TSCO) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +13.86%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is +2.14%.
4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.
1) Overview:
Tractor Supply (TSCO) exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, with a particularly pronounced upward trend in the later months. The stock tends to rise steadily from January into the summer, reaching double-digit percentage gains by July. This bullish phase extends through September, followed by a slight consolidation before a final surge in November and December, culminating in a significant peak around December 2 (+15.1%) and December 31 (+13.8%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
While the stock generally trends upward, there are minor pullbacks that could represent buying opportunities. One such period appears around January 3, where the stock tends to dip (-1.1%). Another potential pullback occurs in early September after the summer rally, offering a chance to enter before the year-end surge. These dips are relatively small, suggesting strong underlying bullish momentum, and rebounds are typically swift.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for Tractor Supply (TSCO) based on seasonality suggests accumulating shares during periods of weakness, such as early January. The strongest returns are typically realized by holding through the end of the year, capitalizing on the significant gains observed in December. Investors should be aware that these are average tendencies and not guarantees of future performance.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 54.9000 | 2025-05-01 | 50.3500 | -4.5500 | -8.29 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 46.0320 | 2023-05-01 | 47.7900 | 1.7580 | 3.82 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 42.9320 | 2022-05-01 | 40.2900 | -2.6420 | -6.15 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 31.0160 | 2021-05-01 | 37.7200 | 6.7040 | 21.61 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 18.6280 | 2020-05-01 | 20.4180 | 1.7900 | 9.61 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 14.4780 | 2017-05-01 | 12.2800 | -2.1980 | -15.18 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 17.2760 | 2016-05-01 | 18.9320 | 1.6560 | 9.59 |
| Avg | 32.1803 | 32.5400 | 0.36 | 2.14 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.70% | Feb Total +0.55% | Mar Total +3.25% | Apr Total +1.91% | May Total -0.54% | Jun Total +2.82% | Jul Total +1.92% | Aug Total +2.08% | Sep Total -2.76% | Oct Total -0.55% | Nov Total +6.17% | Dec Total -0.68% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.02% | 0.00% | -0.31% | +0.24% | -0.39% | -0.40% | +0.41% | +0.76% | -0.29% | +0.36% | -0.31% | +0.08% | +0.04% |
| 2 Avg +0.10% | -0.11% | -0.16% | +0.46% | -0.40% | +0.87% | +0.34% | 0.00% | -0.38% | +0.09% | -0.05% | +0.33% | +0.20% |
| 3 Avg -0.10% | -0.69% | -0.07% | +0.15% | -0.38% | +0.10% | -0.78% | -0.12% | +0.87% | -0.47% | +0.44% | -0.01% | -0.21% |
| 4 Avg +0.07% | +0.30% | -0.36% | +0.53% | -0.33% | +0.09% | +0.61% | 0.00% | -0.29% | +0.30% | -0.17% | +0.18% | -0.01% |
| 5 Avg +0.05% | -0.03% | -0.09% | -0.26% | -0.36% | +0.03% | +0.40% | -0.15% | +0.02% | -0.03% | +0.59% | +0.81% | -0.29% |
| 6 Avg +0.18% | +0.63% | +0.88% | -0.42% | +1.04% | -0.19% | +0.80% | -0.35% | +0.56% | -0.14% | -0.63% | +0.28% | -0.34% |
| 7 Avg +0.07% | -0.04% | -0.03% | +0.23% | -0.77% | -0.21% | +0.33% | +0.60% | -0.25% | +0.65% | -0.29% | +0.48% | +0.13% |
| 8 Avg +0.06% | +0.54% | +0.27% | +0.12% | +0.32% | +0.16% | -0.27% | +0.13% | +0.42% | -2.07% | +0.56% | +0.30% | +0.21% |
| 9 Avg 0.00% | -0.21% | +0.80% | -0.85% | +0.51% | +0.13% | +0.39% | +0.22% | -0.09% | +0.21% | -0.01% | -0.75% | -0.36% |
| 10 Avg +0.30% | +0.22% | +0.20% | +1.74% | +0.55% | +0.31% | -0.42% | +0.24% | -0.44% | +0.13% | -0.36% | +0.98% | +0.45% |
| 11 Avg +0.10% | +0.19% | +0.28% | -0.93% | +0.13% | -0.58% | +0.14% | -0.02% | +0.40% | +0.42% | +0.36% | +0.61% | +0.15% |
| 12 Avg -0.08% | +0.65% | +0.87% | -1.17% | -1.10% | -0.04% | +0.28% | +0.12% | -0.08% | -0.16% | -0.21% | -0.21% | +0.08% |
| 13 Avg -0.14% | -0.26% | +0.03% | -0.10% | 0.00% | -0.19% | -0.50% | -0.22% | +0.05% | -0.60% | +0.48% | -0.24% | -0.09% |
| 14 Avg +0.10% | -0.20% | +0.38% | -0.17% | +0.27% | +0.40% | -0.40% | +0.88% | -0.01% | -0.22% | -0.12% | +0.61% | -0.24% |
| 15 Avg +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.50% | +0.39% | -0.80% | -0.01% | +0.33% | -0.40% | -0.28% | -0.05% | -0.03% | +0.37% | +0.33% |
| 16 Avg +0.04% | +0.16% | -0.51% | -0.96% | +0.40% | +0.40% | -0.32% | +0.71% | +0.59% | -0.23% | +0.46% | +0.32% | -0.59% |
| 17 Avg +0.08% | +0.77% | +0.77% | +0.57% | +0.26% | +0.02% | -0.25% | -0.20% | +0.22% | -0.24% | -0.23% | -0.40% | -0.34% |
| 18 Avg -0.10% | -0.07% | +0.02% | +0.33% | +0.06% | -1.09% | +0.34% | -0.18% | +0.23% | -0.53% | +0.28% | +0.02% | -0.56% |
| 19 Avg +0.00% | -0.15% | +0.03% | +0.77% | +0.45% | -0.42% | +0.30% | -0.32% | +0.40% | -0.11% | -0.57% | -0.22% | -0.11% |
| 20 Avg -0.23% | -0.55% | +0.05% | -0.36% | +0.29% | -0.25% | -0.38% | +0.77% | -0.09% | -0.55% | -1.09% | -0.56% | -0.10% |
| 21 Avg +0.21% | +0.87% | -0.50% | +0.39% | +0.28% | +0.17% | +0.70% | -0.66% | +0.35% | -0.02% | +0.48% | +0.25% | +0.25% |
| 22 Avg -0.02% | +0.23% | -0.94% | -0.81% | +0.15% | -0.25% | +0.12% | +0.62% | +0.49% | +0.35% | -0.77% | +0.44% | +0.11% |
| 23 Avg +0.07% | -0.16% | -0.61% | +0.12% | +0.59% | -0.76% | +0.58% | +0.30% | -0.14% | 0.00% | +0.69% | +0.38% | -0.14% |
| 24 Avg -0.11% | +0.20% | -0.45% | +0.25% | +0.53% | -0.62% | +0.10% | -0.69% | -0.27% | -0.29% | -0.25% | -0.02% | +0.21% |
| 25 Avg +0.04% | -0.45% | -0.04% | -0.38% | +0.64% | +0.21% | -0.81% | -0.09% | +0.54% | +0.27% | +0.53% | +0.12% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.18% | +0.49% | -0.89% | +1.60% | +0.94% | +0.65% | +0.03% | -0.19% | -0.25% | +0.01% | -0.77% | -0.08% | +0.60% |
| 27 Avg +0.29% | -0.04% | +0.43% | -0.01% | -0.23% | +1.35% | +0.72% | +0.37% | -0.15% | +0.18% | -0.19% | +0.69% | +0.41% |
| 28 Avg +0.00% | +0.04% | -0.01% | +0.06% | -0.32% | -0.48% | -0.30% | -0.02% | +0.15% | +0.23% | +0.03% | +1.02% | -0.38% |
| 29 Avg +0.18% | -0.13% | - | +0.84% | -0.16% | +0.14% | +0.28% | +0.32% | +0.28% | -0.30% | +0.42% | -0.06% | +0.38% |
| 30 Avg -0.04% | -0.84% | - | +0.46% | -0.27% | +0.44% | +0.04% | -0.36% | -0.55% | +0.05% | +0.63% | +0.45% | -0.52% |
| 31 Avg -0.18% | -0.64% | - | +0.43% | - | -0.51% | - | -0.19% | +0.07% | - | -0.46% | - | +0.03% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
