Check historical price trends and seasonality for TRYJPY (TRYJPY=X).
TRYJPY (TRYJPY=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -20.87%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -3.58%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
TRYJPY exhibits a strong bearish tendency throughout the year. The currency pair experiences a gradual decline from January, accelerating into a significant downtrend that persists through the end of the year. The most substantial bearish phase occurs in December, culminating in a notable drop of -21.9% around December 20 and -21.0% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Given the persistent downtrend, identifying optimal "buy-the-dip" opportunities is challenging. However, minor pullbacks within the broader downtrend may present short-term trading possibilities. One such period might be around December 20, where a sharp decline of -21.9% could lead to a temporary rebound.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, TRYJPY demonstrates a consistent bearish trend. Investors should exercise caution and consider short positions, especially as the year progresses towards December. The significant drop in December, particularly around December 20, could be a strategic entry point for short-term bearish trades, but should be approached with careful risk management.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 4.4030 | 2025-03-16 | 4.0330 | -0.3700 | -8.40 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 4.8410 | 2024-03-15 | 4.6030 | -0.2380 | -4.92 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 6.8120 | 2023-03-16 | 6.9870 | 0.1750 | 2.57 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 18.6830 | 2020-03-15 | 16.5470 | -2.1360 | -11.43 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 19.9240 | 2019-03-16 | 20.4100 | 0.4860 | 2.44 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 29.0570 | 2018-03-16 | 27.2850 | -1.7720 | -6.10 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 30.5400 | 2017-03-16 | 30.7740 | 0.2340 | 0.77 |
| Avg | 16.3229 | 15.8056 | -0.52 | -3.58 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -1.80% | Feb Total -0.73% | Mar Total -3.35% | Apr Total -1.14% | May Total -2.63% | Jun Total -2.06% | Jul Total -2.56% | Aug Total -4.05% | Sep Total +0.39% | Oct Total -0.02% | Nov Total -3.59% | Dec Total -0.65% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.05% | 0.00% | +0.60% | -0.34% | +0.09% | +0.33% | -0.11% | +0.27% | -0.18% | +0.16% | +0.18% | -0.10% | -0.31% |
| 2 Avg -0.09% | -0.22% | -0.05% | +0.08% | +0.19% | -0.06% | -0.14% | +0.26% | -0.46% | +0.09% | -0.10% | -0.23% | -0.49% |
| 3 Avg -0.10% | -0.67% | -0.08% | +0.06% | -0.18% | -0.44% | +0.09% | -0.03% | -0.03% | +0.50% | +0.11% | -0.21% | -0.36% |
| 4 Avg -0.17% | +0.32% | -0.01% | -0.26% | -0.19% | -0.41% | -0.17% | -0.23% | -0.54% | -0.17% | -0.16% | -0.02% | -0.23% |
| 5 Avg -0.18% | -0.11% | -0.01% | -0.04% | -0.17% | -0.64% | -0.03% | -0.12% | -0.41% | +0.10% | -0.46% | +0.10% | -0.35% |
| 6 Avg -0.09% | -0.52% | +0.28% | -0.30% | -0.42% | -0.09% | +0.05% | -0.43% | -0.43% | +0.06% | +0.34% | -0.13% | +0.51% |
| 7 Avg -0.08% | +0.33% | -0.07% | -0.39% | -0.18% | -0.37% | -0.26% | -0.21% | -0.34% | +0.13% | +0.17% | +0.09% | +0.09% |
| 8 Avg -0.08% | -0.13% | -0.39% | +0.03% | -0.14% | +0.21% | -0.54% | -0.20% | +0.42% | -0.02% | -0.12% | -0.27% | +0.19% |
| 9 Avg -0.26% | -0.10% | -0.21% | -0.85% | -0.23% | -0.21% | -0.29% | +0.07% | -0.04% | -0.45% | -0.41% | -0.14% | -0.28% |
| 10 Avg -0.03% | -0.37% | +0.19% | -0.05% | +0.08% | +0.09% | -0.18% | -0.38% | -0.45% | +0.31% | -0.12% | +0.49% | +0.03% |
| 11 Avg -0.06% | -0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.17% | +0.09% | +0.31% | +0.05% | -0.14% | -0.17% | +0.08% | -0.40% | +0.05% |
| 12 Avg +0.04% | -0.40% | +0.01% | +0.08% | -0.04% | -0.03% | -0.08% | -0.20% | +0.10% | +0.17% | +0.50% | +0.45% | -0.05% |
| 13 Avg -0.11% | +0.41% | +0.18% | -0.40% | +0.09% | +0.33% | -0.46% | +0.27% | -2.11% | +0.16% | -0.08% | +0.17% | +0.15% |
| 14 Avg -0.09% | -0.27% | -0.10% | +0.16% | -0.20% | -0.49% | -0.19% | +0.03% | -0.04% | +0.55% | -0.15% | -0.13% | -0.24% |
| 15 Avg +0.04% | +0.17% | +0.15% | +0.04% | -0.05% | +0.16% | -0.04% | +0.15% | +0.93% | -0.14% | -0.03% | -0.26% | -0.55% |
| 16 Avg +0.04% | -0.20% | +0.07% | +0.08% | +0.03% | -0.36% | -0.09% | +0.06% | +0.86% | -0.27% | +0.10% | +0.14% | 0.00% |
| 17 Avg -0.08% | +0.17% | -0.23% | +0.22% | +0.03% | +0.01% | -0.37% | -0.04% | +0.23% | -0.25% | +0.33% | -0.35% | -0.68% |
| 18 Avg -0.11% | -0.12% | 0.00% | +0.09% | -0.17% | -0.19% | -0.12% | -0.30% | -0.17% | -0.15% | +0.22% | -0.44% | +0.06% |
| 19 Avg -0.01% | +0.11% | -0.10% | +0.07% | +0.31% | -0.21% | +0.30% | -0.01% | -0.12% | -0.03% | -0.09% | -0.34% | -0.01% |
| 20 Avg -0.03% | +0.05% | +0.16% | -0.37% | +0.09% | +0.15% | +0.19% | -0.42% | -0.32% | +0.06% | +0.27% | +0.21% | -0.45% |
| 21 Avg +0.06% | +0.02% | -0.24% | -0.16% | +0.02% | -0.03% | -0.19% | +0.01% | -0.64% | -0.03% | +0.20% | -0.27% | +1.98% |
| 22 Avg -0.04% | -0.03% | +0.02% | -0.80% | -0.39% | -0.18% | +0.14% | -0.21% | +0.35% | -0.15% | -0.34% | +0.05% | +1.11% |
| 23 Avg -0.03% | +0.26% | -0.04% | +0.07% | -0.06% | -0.38% | -0.11% | -0.11% | +0.22% | -0.05% | +0.02% | -0.27% | +0.12% |
| 24 Avg -0.17% | -0.02% | -0.38% | -0.11% | +0.16% | +0.15% | -0.02% | -0.02% | -0.22% | -0.28% | -0.33% | -1.38% | +0.44% |
| 25 Avg +0.02% | +0.01% | -0.14% | -0.08% | +0.15% | -0.34% | +0.07% | -0.54% | +0.50% | +0.48% | -0.31% | +0.43% | -0.04% |
| 26 Avg -0.12% | -0.36% | -0.19% | +0.18% | -0.26% | -0.53% | -0.32% | +0.20% | -0.30% | -0.05% | +0.16% | -0.06% | +0.05% |
| 27 Avg +0.13% | +0.09% | -0.08% | +0.44% | +0.18% | +0.14% | +0.07% | -0.32% | +0.30% | +0.11% | -0.16% | +0.04% | +0.71% |
| 28 Avg -0.07% | -0.02% | -0.08% | -0.08% | +0.32% | +0.24% | +0.03% | -0.18% | -0.38% | +0.33% | -0.11% | -0.15% | -0.71% |
| 29 Avg -0.05% | +0.11% | - | -0.39% | -0.07% | +0.53% | +0.41% | -0.13% | -0.07% | -0.30% | -0.03% | -0.51% | -0.08% |
| 30 Avg -0.14% | -0.14% | - | 0.00% | +0.03% | -0.22% | 0.00% | +0.11% | -0.14% | -0.29% | -0.03% | -0.09% | -0.72% |
| 31 Avg -0.08% | +0.25% | - | -0.31% | - | +0.13% | - | +0.04% | -0.43% | - | +0.38% | - | -0.60% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
