Travelers Companies (The) (TRV) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Travelers Companies (The) (TRV).

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Travelers Companies (The) (TRV) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +10.42%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -3.61%.

3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Travelers Companies (The) (TRV) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

The Travelers Companies (TRV) exhibits a strong bullish tendency towards the end of the year. The stock generally experiences a decline around January 10, averaging -1.0%. However, a significant bullish phase begins in October and culminates around December 29 and December 31, both showing an average gain of +10.4%. This suggests a pattern of strong performance in the final quarter of the year.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

A potential buying opportunity arises around January 10, where the stock tends to experience a dip of -1.0%. This pullback could be a strategic entry point, capitalizing on the subsequent bullish trend that typically emerges later in the year. The negative trend in early January is short-lived, as the stock begins a steady climb throughout the year.

3) Summary:

An investment strategy for TRV could involve capitalizing on the dip around January 10, and holding through the year to take advantage of the strong upward trend culminating around December 29 and December 31. Investors should be aware of the early January dip and consider it as a potential entry point for a longer-term investment strategy. The significant gains in December make it a key period to monitor.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-03 260.8400 2025-05-01 261.4500 0.6100 0.23
2023 2023-03-03 183.5900 2023-05-01 181.7600 -1.8300 -1.00
2022 2022-03-03 173.6000 2022-05-01 171.0600 -2.5400 -1.46
2021 2021-03-03 150.7100 2021-05-01 154.6600 3.9500 2.62
2020 2020-03-03 125.3100 2020-05-01 96.0500 -29.2600 -23.35
2017 2017-03-03 124.1300 2017-05-01 121.1800 -2.9500 -2.38
2016 2016-03-03 109.8000 2016-05-01 109.9000 0.1000 0.09
Avg 161.1400 156.5800 -4.56 -3.61
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +2.10% Feb Total +1.15% Mar Total +0.70% Apr Total -0.71% May Total +1.95% Jun Total -0.66% Jul Total +0.15% Aug Total +1.20% Sep Total -1.19% Oct Total +2.79% Nov Total +4.20% Dec Total +0.79%
1 Avg -0.05% 0.00% -0.05% +0.36% -0.23% -0.66% +0.41% +0.20% -0.46% -0.11% -0.30% -0.16% +0.38%
2 Avg +0.11% -0.38% +0.21% +0.77% -0.18% -0.05% +0.46% -0.27% +0.09% +0.36% 0.00% +0.15% +0.14%
3 Avg +0.02% -0.32% +0.16% -0.04% -0.16% +0.07% -0.05% +0.42% +0.34% -0.08% +0.11% +0.10% -0.31%
4 Avg +0.08% -0.07% +0.29% +0.18% -1.07% +0.56% +0.15% 0.00% -0.06% +0.58% +0.72% -0.29% -0.07%
5 Avg +0.08% -0.12% -0.14% +0.22% +0.22% +0.16% +0.54% -0.47% -0.01% -0.48% +0.54% +0.80% -0.23%
6 Avg +0.21% +0.70% +0.10% -0.35% +0.45% -0.22% +0.13% +0.26% +0.27% +0.38% -0.08% +0.64% +0.23%
7 Avg -0.06% -0.19% +0.25% -0.58% -0.31% +0.19% +0.25% -0.29% +0.40% -0.40% -0.16% +0.41% -0.31%
8 Avg +0.07% +0.02% -0.58% -0.06% +0.57% +0.20% +0.19% -0.17% -0.03% +0.02% +0.22% +0.40% +0.05%
9 Avg -0.02% -0.11% +0.27% -0.57% +0.69% +0.19% -0.69% +0.11% +0.43% -0.28% -0.18% +0.32% -0.48%
10 Avg +0.02% -0.46% -0.06% +0.57% +0.13% +0.47% -0.76% +0.34% +0.23% -0.77% -0.22% +0.77% -0.05%
11 Avg -0.16% +0.05% -0.14% -0.29% -0.15% -0.56% -1.14% +0.01% +0.31% +0.40% -0.14% +0.05% -0.28%
12 Avg +0.05% +0.48% +0.37% -0.81% +0.24% -0.33% +0.28% +0.07% -0.23% +0.43% +0.05% -0.54% +0.58%
13 Avg +0.05% +0.18% +0.38% +0.52% -0.46% -0.45% -0.17% -0.27% +0.34% -0.01% +0.34% +0.10% +0.06%
14 Avg +0.00% +0.29% -0.24% +0.16% +0.29% +0.24% -0.28% 0.00% -0.28% +0.09% +0.19% -0.19% -0.23%
15 Avg +0.12% +0.19% +0.44% +0.13% -0.65% +0.23% +0.37% +0.13% +0.11% -0.06% -0.21% +0.22% +0.55%
16 Avg +0.10% +0.35% +0.03% -1.73% +0.28% +0.37% -0.03% +0.54% +0.42% -0.07% +0.29% +0.39% +0.30%
17 Avg +0.17% -0.22% +0.30% +1.40% +0.01% +0.09% -0.35% +0.51% -0.30% +0.06% +1.08% -0.33% -0.23%
18 Avg -0.10% +0.21% -0.21% -1.71% +0.33% +0.35% -0.24% +0.17% -0.16% +0.13% -0.02% +0.28% -0.26%
19 Avg -0.03% +0.55% -0.10% -0.08% +0.20% -0.58% +0.08% -1.40% +0.09% +0.16% +0.64% -0.22% +0.32%
20 Avg +0.02% +0.30% -0.07% +0.54% -0.47% +0.29% 0.00% -0.02% +0.15% -0.13% 0.00% -0.11% -0.29%
21 Avg +0.08% +0.01% -0.08% +0.42% -0.79% +0.39% +0.02% -0.03% -0.08% -0.35% +0.86% +0.41% +0.21%
22 Avg -0.03% +0.28% +0.51% -0.62% +0.23% +0.09% -0.06% +0.09% -0.35% +0.11% -0.81% +0.53% -0.36%
23 Avg -0.12% -0.24% +0.01% -0.70% +0.04% -0.22% -0.08% -0.44% -0.14% -0.22% +0.01% +0.24% +0.27%
24 Avg +0.22% +0.91% +0.20% +0.99% -0.08% +0.21% +0.08% +0.18% +0.38% -0.09% -0.15% +0.15% -0.18%
25 Avg +0.05% -0.01% +0.33% +0.31% -0.08% -0.11% -0.02% +0.32% +0.18% -0.19% -0.27% +0.10% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.04% +0.06% -0.34% +1.11% -0.15% +0.36% -0.81% +0.71% -0.35% -0.37% -0.42% +0.21% +0.51%
27 Avg +0.12% -0.29% -0.17% +0.40% +0.42% +0.87% -0.05% -0.20% +0.63% +0.04% -0.53% +0.06% +0.28%
28 Avg -0.04% +0.17% -0.51% +0.27% +0.17% -0.24% -0.08% -0.63% -0.47% +0.22% +0.50% +0.02% +0.07%
29 Avg +0.05% -0.12% - +0.03% +0.32% -0.34% +0.35% +0.49% +0.24% -0.47% -0.06% +0.07% +0.10%
30 Avg +0.13% +0.14% - +0.56% -0.51% +0.42% +0.83% +0.15% -0.37% -0.09% +0.81% -0.37% -0.15%
31 Avg -0.18% -0.24% - -0.67% - -0.07% - -0.37% -0.12% - 0.00% - +0.19%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 3 - Apr 1] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses