Check historical price trends and seasonality for Trex (TREX).
Trex (TREX) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +30.73%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -3.97%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Trex exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, starting with consistent gains from early January and peaking in late December. The stock typically experiences a strong upward trend from January through August, reaching a high around August 5th with an average gain of +24.2%. A period of consolidation and slight pullback occurs from September through late October, before another rally begins in November, culminating in significant gains by December 27th (+32.2%) and December 31st (+30.7%). There is a notable dip around March 23rd (-2.0%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Historically, March presents a potential buying opportunity, particularly around March 23rd, where the stock tends to experience a pullback of -2.0%. This dip could be attributed to seasonal factors or market corrections. Another potential buying opportunity arises during the September to October consolidation period, as the stock prepares for its year-end rally. These pullbacks offer strategic entry points for investors looking to capitalize on the stock's overall bullish trend.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to Trex would involve accumulating shares during pullback periods in March and the September-October timeframe. Given the strong performance typically seen towards the end of the year, holding through December could be advantageous. Investors should consider these seasonal tendencies alongside fundamental analysis and broader market conditions for informed decision-making.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 71.2600 | 2025-03-16 | 56.8400 | -14.4200 | -20.24 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 80.8700 | 2024-03-15 | 94.4000 | 13.5300 | 16.73 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 49.8050 | 2020-03-15 | 40.0850 | -9.7200 | -19.52 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 33.3500 | 2019-03-16 | 35.0950 | 1.7450 | 5.23 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 27.3450 | 2018-03-16 | 26.7875 | -0.5575 | -2.04 |
| Avg | 52.5260 | 50.6415 | -1.88 | -3.97 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +3.37% | Feb Total +1.13% | Mar Total -4.15% | Apr Total +4.31% | May Total -0.12% | Jun Total +3.85% | Jul Total +11.41% | Aug Total +0.85% | Sep Total -3.26% | Oct Total -0.50% | Nov Total +6.56% | Dec Total +0.39% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.29% | 0.00% | +1.81% | -0.01% | -0.30% | -0.19% | +0.19% | +0.21% | +0.54% | +0.77% | -0.34% | +0.36% | +0.45% |
| 2 Avg +0.17% | +0.04% | -0.27% | +0.87% | +0.48% | +0.18% | +0.22% | +0.69% | +1.14% | -0.24% | -0.39% | -0.18% | -0.46% |
| 3 Avg -0.23% | +0.48% | -0.37% | -1.47% | -1.45% | +0.47% | +0.17% | +0.12% | +0.14% | -1.55% | +0.61% | -0.67% | +0.71% |
| 4 Avg +0.43% | +0.21% | +0.67% | +0.12% | +0.29% | +1.01% | +0.67% | 0.00% | +0.60% | +0.54% | +0.51% | +1.62% | -1.14% |
| 5 Avg -0.22% | -0.83% | -0.72% | -0.12% | -0.11% | -0.43% | +1.27% | +0.01% | +0.61% | +0.12% | -0.14% | -2.37% | +0.02% |
| 6 Avg +0.16% | +0.65% | +0.14% | -1.15% | +1.37% | -0.60% | +0.72% | -0.21% | -0.16% | -0.03% | +0.79% | +0.15% | +0.27% |
| 7 Avg -0.23% | -0.58% | +0.49% | -0.68% | -0.89% | -0.36% | +0.36% | +0.46% | -1.77% | +0.21% | -0.68% | +0.29% | +0.35% |
| 8 Avg +0.31% | +0.29% | -0.28% | -0.33% | +1.06% | +1.21% | +0.05% | -0.03% | -0.42% | -0.15% | +0.26% | +1.43% | +0.65% |
| 9 Avg +0.12% | +1.11% | +1.12% | +0.06% | +1.48% | +0.72% | -0.56% | +0.80% | -1.77% | -0.24% | -0.44% | -0.74% | -0.12% |
| 10 Avg +0.02% | +0.37% | -1.30% | -0.18% | -0.30% | -0.71% | -0.25% | +0.94% | +0.27% | +0.45% | -0.43% | +1.18% | +0.20% |
| 11 Avg +0.12% | +1.26% | +0.26% | -0.39% | +0.52% | -0.95% | -0.93% | +0.68% | -0.08% | +0.09% | -0.41% | +1.16% | +0.26% |
| 12 Avg +0.21% | -0.07% | +0.81% | -0.65% | +0.57% | +0.03% | +0.70% | +1.40% | +0.94% | +0.31% | -1.38% | -0.44% | +0.33% |
| 13 Avg -0.01% | -0.12% | +0.09% | -0.06% | -0.02% | +0.02% | -0.81% | -0.31% | +1.47% | -0.87% | -0.09% | +0.60% | -0.03% |
| 14 Avg -0.07% | -0.21% | +0.55% | +0.09% | -0.16% | -0.02% | -0.52% | -0.46% | -0.27% | +0.15% | -0.23% | +0.14% | +0.13% |
| 15 Avg +0.07% | +0.54% | +0.21% | +0.27% | -0.82% | +0.74% | +0.77% | -0.10% | +0.01% | -0.50% | +0.01% | -0.24% | -0.06% |
| 16 Avg -0.29% | -0.72% | +0.42% | -1.44% | +0.54% | -0.97% | -0.97% | +0.97% | -0.14% | -0.17% | -0.04% | -0.10% | -0.82% |
| 17 Avg -0.15% | -0.13% | -0.69% | +1.32% | +1.11% | -0.04% | -0.52% | +0.27% | -1.30% | -1.39% | -0.14% | +0.04% | -0.38% |
| 18 Avg -0.13% | 0.00% | -0.87% | -1.05% | +0.38% | +0.64% | +0.39% | -0.27% | +0.11% | -0.37% | -0.15% | -0.24% | -0.07% |
| 19 Avg -0.06% | -0.26% | +0.17% | +0.93% | -0.02% | -0.49% | -0.22% | +0.41% | +0.17% | +0.16% | -1.30% | +0.51% | -0.79% |
| 20 Avg +0.01% | +0.26% | -0.13% | -0.28% | -0.04% | +0.22% | +1.06% | +0.41% | -0.19% | -0.73% | -0.29% | +0.09% | -0.32% |
| 21 Avg -0.07% | +0.42% | -1.13% | -0.07% | -1.18% | +0.07% | -0.77% | +0.09% | +0.66% | -0.19% | -0.03% | +0.80% | +0.53% |
| 22 Avg +0.17% | +0.70% | -0.83% | -0.94% | +0.72% | +0.31% | +0.55% | +0.60% | +0.34% | +0.58% | -0.32% | +0.26% | +0.02% |
| 23 Avg +0.12% | -0.21% | +0.55% | -1.58% | +0.79% | -0.32% | +1.48% | -0.07% | +0.17% | -0.03% | +0.23% | +0.25% | +0.19% |
| 24 Avg +0.38% | +0.11% | +0.94% | +2.57% | +0.80% | +0.58% | -0.13% | -0.33% | -0.35% | -0.07% | +0.42% | +0.24% | -0.18% |
| 25 Avg +0.12% | -0.05% | +0.51% | +0.34% | -0.17% | +0.28% | -0.82% | +0.42% | -0.02% | -0.34% | -0.31% | +1.53% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.15% | -0.39% | -0.15% | +0.97% | -0.23% | +0.53% | +0.14% | +0.87% | -0.62% | -0.31% | -0.29% | +0.27% | +0.98% |
| 27 Avg +0.00% | -0.93% | -0.31% | -1.71% | +1.25% | +0.03% | +0.07% | +0.02% | -0.09% | +0.82% | +0.31% | +0.13% | +0.45% |
| 28 Avg +0.11% | -0.09% | -0.56% | +0.61% | +0.63% | -1.31% | +0.93% | -0.25% | +0.46% | +0.65% | +1.27% | -0.35% | -0.60% |
| 29 Avg +0.11% | +0.63% | - | +0.30% | -0.16% | -0.25% | +0.33% | +0.34% | +0.78% | -0.71% | -0.86% | +0.74% | +0.13% |
| 30 Avg -0.06% | -0.14% | - | -0.13% | -1.82% | -0.19% | +0.28% | +1.92% | +0.28% | -0.24% | -0.16% | +0.09% | -0.54% |
| 31 Avg +0.75% | +1.00% | - | -0.37% | - | -0.31% | - | +1.81% | -0.63% | - | +3.52% | - | +0.22% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
