Travis Perkins plc (TPK.L) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Travis Perkins plc (TPK.L).

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Travis Perkins plc (TPK.L) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -6.89%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 17 for 7 days) is +2.16%.

6 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 85.71%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Travis Perkins plc (TPK.L) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Travis Perkins plc (TPK.L) exhibits a clear seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline significantly from March through October, with the most pronounced weakness typically observed around October 9, showing an average drop of -12.8%. The stock price then attempts to recover slightly towards the end of the year, but December 31 still shows an average loss of -6.9%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

Based on the data, potential buying opportunities arise during the extended period of weakness from March to October. The most significant pullback occurs around October 9, presenting a possible entry point after a substantial decline of -12.8%. Another potential entry point could be near December 31, after a smaller dip of -6.9%.

3) Summary:

An investment strategy for Travis Perkins plc (TPK.L) could involve capitalizing on the seasonal weakness. Consider initiating a position around October 9 to take advantage of the historically low prices, understanding that there may be continued weakness through December. Monitoring the stock's performance near December 31 is crucial to assess the potential for a year-end rebound.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-07-17 565.0000 2025-07-23 572.0000 7.0000 1.24
2024 2024-07-17 910.5000 2024-07-23 949.0000 38.5000 4.23
2023 2023-07-17 833.4000 2023-07-23 879.4000 46.0000 5.52
2020 2020-07-17 1,081.2751 2020-07-23 1,121.4977 40.2226 3.72
2019 2019-07-17 1,209.5140 2019-07-23 1,237.9063 28.3923 2.35
2018 2018-07-17 1,301.3159 2018-07-23 1,265.8254 -35.4905 -2.73
2017 2017-07-17 1,375.1360 2017-07-23 1,385.5465 10.4105 0.76
Avg 1,039.4487 1,058.7394 19.29 2.16
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +0.08% Feb Total -1.05% Mar Total -7.69% Apr Total +4.46% May Total +2.84% Jun Total -6.10% Jul Total +2.99% Aug Total -0.67% Sep Total -4.66% Oct Total -0.97% Nov Total +3.90% Dec Total +2.23%
1 Avg +0.15% 0.00% +0.40% +0.85% -1.52% +0.56% +0.58% +0.31% -1.24% -0.86% +0.48% +1.16% +1.06%
2 Avg -0.42% -0.19% +0.12% -1.31% -0.22% +0.41% +0.26% -0.57% -2.42% -0.40% -0.94% +0.32% -0.05%
3 Avg +0.09% -0.14% -0.68% +0.70% -0.36% -0.08% +0.18% +0.37% +0.18% -0.33% +0.48% +0.70% +0.09%
4 Avg -0.01% +1.18% +0.16% -1.56% -0.27% -0.86% +0.18% -0.39% +0.44% +0.27% +0.46% +0.36% -0.12%
5 Avg +0.02% +0.97% +0.02% -0.43% -0.65% +0.91% +0.22% -0.60% +0.61% +0.14% -0.68% -0.36% +0.10%
6 Avg +0.01% +0.30% +0.03% 0.00% +0.72% -0.05% +0.19% -0.06% +0.19% -0.32% -0.18% -0.86% +0.19%
7 Avg +0.19% -0.36% -0.21% -0.40% +1.85% +0.80% -0.29% +0.25% +0.89% +0.02% -0.84% +0.43% +0.16%
8 Avg -0.02% -0.29% -0.36% -0.31% +1.14% +0.72% +0.41% -0.05% +0.41% -0.99% -0.43% -0.32% -0.23%
9 Avg -0.15% -0.13% +0.47% -0.02% +0.42% -0.20% -1.74% 0.00% -0.61% -0.14% -0.34% +0.27% +0.26%
10 Avg -0.06% -0.79% +0.22% -1.42% +0.22% +0.13% -0.80% +0.31% +0.30% +0.03% +0.42% +1.62% -0.97%
11 Avg +0.29% +0.07% +0.14% 0.00% +0.68% -0.25% -0.65% +1.01% -0.34% +0.83% +1.07% +0.95% +0.01%
12 Avg +0.01% +0.47% -0.17% -1.23% +0.07% -0.61% +0.76% +0.80% +0.15% +0.22% -0.24% -0.27% +0.19%
13 Avg -0.03% +0.05% +0.30% -0.63% +0.56% +0.12% -1.48% +0.04% +0.05% -0.13% +0.71% -0.36% +0.38%
14 Avg -0.05% -0.51% -0.06% +0.23% +0.42% -0.40% -0.26% -0.32% -0.40% -0.10% -0.05% +0.80% -0.01%
15 Avg +0.01% +0.27% +0.95% -0.51% -0.80% +0.38% -0.33% +0.24% -0.05% -0.57% +0.86% -0.50% +0.15%
16 Avg -0.14% +0.20% -0.36% -0.63% -0.93% +0.33% -0.46% +0.23% -0.02% +0.21% +0.09% -0.86% +0.51%
17 Avg -0.06% +0.11% +0.15% -1.05% +0.41% +0.32% +0.55% -0.06% -0.59% +0.20% -0.12% -0.22% -0.38%
18 Avg -0.02% +0.71% -0.27% -1.72% +0.33% +0.39% -0.37% +0.75% +0.21% -0.90% -0.07% +0.56% +0.15%
19 Avg +0.00% -0.54% 0.00% +0.74% +0.51% -0.23% -0.21% +0.29% +0.26% -0.08% -0.48% -0.35% +0.13%
20 Avg +0.08% -0.20% +0.28% +0.78% -0.49% -0.06% +0.26% +0.86% -0.20% -0.05% +0.04% -0.12% -0.12%
21 Avg -0.14% -0.17% -0.37% -0.09% -0.22% +0.26% -0.63% +0.16% +0.06% -0.36% -0.41% +0.37% -0.32%
22 Avg +0.42% +0.07% -0.27% -0.27% +0.60% -0.31% +1.15% +0.76% +0.79% -0.05% +1.05% +1.07% +0.43%
23 Avg +0.23% 0.00% -0.51% +0.52% +1.24% +0.08% -0.44% -0.16% +0.30% +0.30% +0.52% +0.01% +0.88%
24 Avg -0.14% -0.34% -0.54% -0.05% +0.54% -0.01% -1.46% -0.13% +0.22% -0.51% +0.07% -0.02% +0.60%
25 Avg +0.06% +0.01% +0.16% +0.36% -0.31% +0.35% -0.09% +0.06% -0.30% -0.02% +0.08% +0.49% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.16% +0.10% +1.17% +0.99% +0.45% +1.24% +0.01% -0.47% +0.18% -0.29% -0.85% -0.62% 0.00%
27 Avg -0.17% -0.11% -0.14% -0.15% -0.42% +0.27% -1.65% +1.07% -0.35% -0.64% -0.01% +0.60% -0.49%
28 Avg -0.09% -0.24% -1.66% -0.01% +1.22% -0.11% +0.22% -0.10% -0.14% +0.36% -0.88% -0.18% +0.47%
29 Avg -0.03% +0.09% - +0.38% -0.49% -0.63% +0.64% +0.14% 0.00% -0.16% -0.22% -0.11% +0.06%
30 Avg -0.33% -0.09% - -0.78% -0.25% +0.15% -0.81% -0.67% +0.48% -0.35% -0.20% -0.66% -0.46%
31 Avg -0.50% -0.41% - -0.69% - -0.76% - -1.07% +0.27% - -0.36% - -0.45%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jul 17 - Aug 15] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses