Check historical price trends and seasonality for Travis Perkins plc (TPK.L).
Travis Perkins plc (TPK.L) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -6.89%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Apr 17 for 7 days) is +1.93%.
5 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 83.33%.
1) Overview:
Travis Perkins plc (TPK.L) exhibits a clear seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline significantly from March through October, with the most pronounced weakness typically observed around October 9, showing an average drop of -12.8%. The stock price then attempts to recover slightly towards the end of the year, but December 31 still shows an average loss of -6.9%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on the data, potential buying opportunities arise during the extended period of weakness from March to October. The most significant pullback occurs around October 9, presenting a possible entry point after a substantial decline of -12.8%. Another potential entry point could be near December 31, after a smaller dip of -6.9%.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for Travis Perkins plc (TPK.L) could involve capitalizing on the seasonal weakness. Consider initiating a position around October 9 to take advantage of the historically low prices, understanding that there may be continued weakness through December. Monitoring the stock's performance near December 31 is crucial to assess the potential for a year-end rebound.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-04-17 | 519.0000 | 2025-04-23 | 527.5000 | 8.5000 | 1.64 |
| 2024 | 2024-04-17 | 715.0000 | 2024-04-23 | 729.5000 | 14.5000 | 2.03 |
| 2023 | 2023-04-17 | 956.8000 | 2023-04-23 | 954.2000 | -2.6000 | -0.27 |
| 2020 | 2020-04-17 | 877.8914 | 2020-04-23 | 909.3122 | 31.4208 | 3.58 |
| 2019 | 2019-04-17 | 1,340.5920 | 2019-04-23 | 1,378.4484 | 37.8564 | 2.82 |
| 2018 | 2018-04-17 | 1,213.7728 | 2018-04-23 | 1,235.5403 | 21.7675 | 1.79 |
| Avg | 937.1760 | 955.7502 | 18.57 | 1.93 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.08% | Feb Total -1.05% | Mar Total -7.69% | Apr Total +4.46% | May Total +2.84% | Jun Total -6.10% | Jul Total +2.99% | Aug Total -0.67% | Sep Total -4.66% | Oct Total -0.97% | Nov Total +3.90% | Dec Total +2.23% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.15% | 0.00% | +0.40% | +0.85% | -1.52% | +0.56% | +0.58% | +0.31% | -1.24% | -0.86% | +0.48% | +1.16% | +1.06% |
| 2 Avg -0.42% | -0.19% | +0.12% | -1.31% | -0.22% | +0.41% | +0.26% | -0.57% | -2.42% | -0.40% | -0.94% | +0.32% | -0.05% |
| 3 Avg +0.09% | -0.14% | -0.68% | +0.70% | -0.36% | -0.08% | +0.18% | +0.37% | +0.18% | -0.33% | +0.48% | +0.70% | +0.09% |
| 4 Avg -0.01% | +1.18% | +0.16% | -1.56% | -0.27% | -0.86% | +0.18% | -0.39% | +0.44% | +0.27% | +0.46% | +0.36% | -0.12% |
| 5 Avg +0.02% | +0.97% | +0.02% | -0.43% | -0.65% | +0.91% | +0.22% | -0.60% | +0.61% | +0.14% | -0.68% | -0.36% | +0.10% |
| 6 Avg +0.01% | +0.30% | +0.03% | 0.00% | +0.72% | -0.05% | +0.19% | -0.06% | +0.19% | -0.32% | -0.18% | -0.86% | +0.19% |
| 7 Avg +0.19% | -0.36% | -0.21% | -0.40% | +1.85% | +0.80% | -0.29% | +0.25% | +0.89% | +0.02% | -0.84% | +0.43% | +0.16% |
| 8 Avg -0.02% | -0.29% | -0.36% | -0.31% | +1.14% | +0.72% | +0.41% | -0.05% | +0.41% | -0.99% | -0.43% | -0.32% | -0.23% |
| 9 Avg -0.15% | -0.13% | +0.47% | -0.02% | +0.42% | -0.20% | -1.74% | 0.00% | -0.61% | -0.14% | -0.34% | +0.27% | +0.26% |
| 10 Avg -0.06% | -0.79% | +0.22% | -1.42% | +0.22% | +0.13% | -0.80% | +0.31% | +0.30% | +0.03% | +0.42% | +1.62% | -0.97% |
| 11 Avg +0.29% | +0.07% | +0.14% | 0.00% | +0.68% | -0.25% | -0.65% | +1.01% | -0.34% | +0.83% | +1.07% | +0.95% | +0.01% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | +0.47% | -0.17% | -1.23% | +0.07% | -0.61% | +0.76% | +0.80% | +0.15% | +0.22% | -0.24% | -0.27% | +0.19% |
| 13 Avg -0.03% | +0.05% | +0.30% | -0.63% | +0.56% | +0.12% | -1.48% | +0.04% | +0.05% | -0.13% | +0.71% | -0.36% | +0.38% |
| 14 Avg -0.05% | -0.51% | -0.06% | +0.23% | +0.42% | -0.40% | -0.26% | -0.32% | -0.40% | -0.10% | -0.05% | +0.80% | -0.01% |
| 15 Avg +0.01% | +0.27% | +0.95% | -0.51% | -0.80% | +0.38% | -0.33% | +0.24% | -0.05% | -0.57% | +0.86% | -0.50% | +0.15% |
| 16 Avg -0.14% | +0.20% | -0.36% | -0.63% | -0.93% | +0.33% | -0.46% | +0.23% | -0.02% | +0.21% | +0.09% | -0.86% | +0.51% |
| 17 Avg -0.06% | +0.11% | +0.15% | -1.05% | +0.41% | +0.32% | +0.55% | -0.06% | -0.59% | +0.20% | -0.12% | -0.22% | -0.38% |
| 18 Avg -0.02% | +0.71% | -0.27% | -1.72% | +0.33% | +0.39% | -0.37% | +0.75% | +0.21% | -0.90% | -0.07% | +0.56% | +0.15% |
| 19 Avg +0.00% | -0.54% | 0.00% | +0.74% | +0.51% | -0.23% | -0.21% | +0.29% | +0.26% | -0.08% | -0.48% | -0.35% | +0.13% |
| 20 Avg +0.08% | -0.20% | +0.28% | +0.78% | -0.49% | -0.06% | +0.26% | +0.86% | -0.20% | -0.05% | +0.04% | -0.12% | -0.12% |
| 21 Avg -0.14% | -0.17% | -0.37% | -0.09% | -0.22% | +0.26% | -0.63% | +0.16% | +0.06% | -0.36% | -0.41% | +0.37% | -0.32% |
| 22 Avg +0.42% | +0.07% | -0.27% | -0.27% | +0.60% | -0.31% | +1.15% | +0.76% | +0.79% | -0.05% | +1.05% | +1.07% | +0.43% |
| 23 Avg +0.23% | 0.00% | -0.51% | +0.52% | +1.24% | +0.08% | -0.44% | -0.16% | +0.30% | +0.30% | +0.52% | +0.01% | +0.88% |
| 24 Avg -0.14% | -0.34% | -0.54% | -0.05% | +0.54% | -0.01% | -1.46% | -0.13% | +0.22% | -0.51% | +0.07% | -0.02% | +0.60% |
| 25 Avg +0.06% | +0.01% | +0.16% | +0.36% | -0.31% | +0.35% | -0.09% | +0.06% | -0.30% | -0.02% | +0.08% | +0.49% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.16% | +0.10% | +1.17% | +0.99% | +0.45% | +1.24% | +0.01% | -0.47% | +0.18% | -0.29% | -0.85% | -0.62% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg -0.17% | -0.11% | -0.14% | -0.15% | -0.42% | +0.27% | -1.65% | +1.07% | -0.35% | -0.64% | -0.01% | +0.60% | -0.49% |
| 28 Avg -0.09% | -0.24% | -1.66% | -0.01% | +1.22% | -0.11% | +0.22% | -0.10% | -0.14% | +0.36% | -0.88% | -0.18% | +0.47% |
| 29 Avg -0.03% | +0.09% | - | +0.38% | -0.49% | -0.63% | +0.64% | +0.14% | 0.00% | -0.16% | -0.22% | -0.11% | +0.06% |
| 30 Avg -0.33% | -0.09% | - | -0.78% | -0.25% | +0.15% | -0.81% | -0.67% | +0.48% | -0.35% | -0.20% | -0.66% | -0.46% |
| 31 Avg -0.50% | -0.41% | - | -0.69% | - | -0.76% | - | -1.07% | +0.27% | - | -0.36% | - | -0.45% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
