Check historical price trends and seasonality for Tullow Oil plc (TLW.L).
Tullow Oil plc (TLW.L) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -13.98%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 9 for 30 days) is +11.62%.
5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.
1) Overview:
Tullow Oil plc typically experiences a bullish phase from April through June, with a notable peak around June 9, showing an average gain of 7.0%. A significant bearish trend usually follows, starting in July and extending through December. The most substantial declines tend to occur in December, particularly around December 20 with an average drop of -17.8% and December 31 with -14.0%. The period from January to March generally shows a continuation of the bearish trend, although with less intensity than the declines seen in late autumn and early winter.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on the data, potential buying opportunities arise during the extended pullback from July to December. The steepest declines in November and December, especially around December 20 (-17.8%) and December 31 (-14.0%), could represent attractive entry points for investors anticipating a seasonal rebound. Another buying opportunity may present itself in late March, as the bearish trend begins to abate before the bullish phase begins in April. These pullbacks could be driven by end-of-year tax loss selling or broader market corrections.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for Tullow Oil plc could involve capitalizing on its seasonal patterns by buying during periods of weakness and selling during periods of strength. Consider accumulating shares during the significant pullbacks in December, particularly around December 20 and December 31, with the intention of selling around June 9 when the stock typically peaks. However, be mindful of broader market conditions and company-specific news that could influence the stock's performance beyond seasonal trends.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023-03-09 | 32.7400 | 2023-04-07 | 32.8400 | 0.1000 | 0.31 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-09 | 51.8800 | 2022-04-07 | 58.1000 | 6.2200 | 11.99 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-09 | 51.9600 | 2021-04-07 | 47.9500 | -4.0100 | -7.72 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-09 | 16.0000 | 2020-04-07 | 27.4400 | 11.4400 | 71.50 |
| 2018 | 2018-03-09 | 191.2000 | 2018-04-07 | 201.7000 | 10.5000 | 5.49 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-09 | 207.1167 | 2017-04-07 | 226.0000 | 18.8833 | 9.12 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-09 | 181.6529 | 2016-04-07 | 164.7055 | -16.9474 | -9.33 |
| Avg | 104.6499 | 108.3908 | 3.74 | 11.62 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -4.78% | Feb Total -0.91% | Mar Total -4.28% | Apr Total +18.04% | May Total -4.23% | Jun Total +5.31% | Jul Total -6.00% | Aug Total -4.30% | Sep Total +0.50% | Oct Total +1.10% | Nov Total -6.51% | Dec Total +5.29% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.48% | 0.00% | +0.31% | +0.71% | +0.49% | -0.30% | +1.56% | -0.60% | -1.66% | +0.40% | -0.25% | +1.25% | +3.90% |
| 2 Avg -0.12% | -0.49% | -0.87% | +0.03% | +1.84% | -0.68% | +1.21% | -0.64% | -0.64% | 0.00% | -0.53% | -0.87% | +0.24% |
| 3 Avg +0.94% | +1.77% | +0.67% | +0.92% | +5.03% | -1.78% | +0.88% | +0.78% | +0.92% | -0.83% | +1.07% | +0.08% | +1.77% |
| 4 Avg +0.45% | +0.31% | +2.29% | -0.12% | -1.69% | -0.93% | -0.20% | +0.20% | +0.65% | +0.54% | +0.62% | +0.70% | +3.00% |
| 5 Avg +0.68% | +1.45% | +0.59% | -0.07% | +1.25% | +2.27% | +1.31% | -1.88% | +1.26% | +1.85% | +1.33% | -0.34% | -0.90% |
| 6 Avg -0.38% | -0.13% | -0.95% | -0.98% | +4.99% | -0.52% | +1.00% | -2.07% | -2.03% | -1.60% | +0.74% | -1.07% | -1.88% |
| 7 Avg +0.05% | -0.87% | -1.64% | +0.93% | +1.62% | -0.08% | +0.73% | +0.33% | -0.85% | -0.54% | +0.20% | +0.36% | +0.42% |
| 8 Avg -0.33% | -1.23% | -0.94% | -0.94% | -0.84% | +0.02% | +2.30% | +0.66% | -0.40% | -1.07% | +0.48% | -1.33% | -0.62% |
| 9 Avg -1.27% | -0.61% | -0.40% | -4.85% | -0.44% | -1.22% | +0.21% | -0.23% | +0.56% | -2.18% | +0.93% | 0.00% | -6.97% |
| 10 Avg +0.29% | -0.16% | -0.90% | +0.60% | +2.66% | +0.19% | -0.37% | +0.03% | -0.03% | +0.20% | 0.00% | +0.90% | +0.38% |
| 11 Avg +0.16% | +0.31% | -0.47% | +1.06% | -1.06% | +0.80% | -0.74% | +0.06% | -1.01% | -0.03% | -1.23% | +1.44% | +2.75% |
| 12 Avg +0.51% | +0.60% | +2.33% | -2.01% | +0.95% | -0.80% | -0.22% | +0.34% | +4.06% | +0.61% | -1.67% | -0.98% | +2.90% |
| 13 Avg -0.20% | +1.52% | -0.36% | -0.80% | +1.24% | +1.55% | -0.81% | +0.12% | -0.18% | -0.09% | +0.09% | -3.50% | -1.12% |
| 14 Avg -0.15% | +0.04% | -0.19% | -0.88% | -1.04% | -0.06% | +0.21% | +0.60% | -0.20% | -0.08% | -0.09% | -0.28% | +0.21% |
| 15 Avg -0.88% | -2.19% | +0.88% | -1.98% | -3.18% | -0.52% | -0.83% | -1.11% | -2.15% | +0.23% | -0.63% | +1.78% | -0.90% |
| 16 Avg +0.30% | +0.76% | +0.80% | -0.94% | 0.00% | +1.02% | +0.54% | -1.67% | +1.26% | +1.71% | -0.02% | +0.37% | -0.25% |
| 17 Avg -0.01% | -0.64% | +0.35% | -1.66% | +0.04% | +1.31% | +0.25% | +1.66% | -0.99% | +0.51% | -0.94% | +1.01% | -1.01% |
| 18 Avg -0.34% | +0.66% | -2.28% | -0.89% | +0.06% | +1.47% | -1.95% | +0.10% | -0.35% | -0.67% | +0.11% | -0.14% | -0.14% |
| 19 Avg -0.18% | -1.21% | -0.95% | +1.41% | -0.13% | -0.97% | +1.44% | -1.72% | -0.49% | +0.92% | +1.25% | -1.45% | -0.26% |
| 20 Avg -0.24% | -0.58% | +0.37% | +0.91% | -0.74% | -0.47% | +1.05% | -0.55% | -0.81% | -0.31% | -1.18% | -0.03% | -0.54% |
| 21 Avg +0.12% | +0.67% | -0.81% | +1.86% | -0.31% | +0.24% | -0.38% | +0.74% | +1.12% | -0.28% | +1.20% | -3.83% | +1.28% |
| 22 Avg +0.12% | -0.64% | +0.57% | -1.37% | +1.99% | -1.38% | -0.09% | -0.40% | +0.11% | +1.72% | +0.38% | +0.45% | +0.18% |
| 23 Avg +0.39% | -0.06% | +0.64% | -0.11% | +3.06% | -1.26% | +0.59% | -0.17% | +0.63% | -1.02% | +1.30% | +1.43% | -0.35% |
| 24 Avg -0.22% | +0.56% | -0.57% | +0.94% | -0.74% | -0.78% | -2.37% | -0.22% | -0.11% | +0.17% | +0.40% | -0.08% | +0.18% |
| 25 Avg +0.04% | +0.44% | +0.84% | +2.28% | -1.32% | -0.92% | -1.11% | +0.06% | +0.09% | +0.64% | +1.04% | -1.49% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.45% | +0.33% | +0.81% | +1.62% | +0.42% | +0.74% | +0.76% | +1.20% | -0.30% | -0.64% | -1.23% | +1.71% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg -0.35% | -1.39% | -0.29% | -0.86% | -0.61% | -0.46% | +0.07% | +0.13% | -0.13% | +1.06% | -0.86% | -1.13% | +0.30% |
| 28 Avg -0.04% | -0.20% | -0.74% | -0.10% | +2.71% | +0.77% | +0.21% | -0.69% | -0.43% | +0.35% | -1.41% | -1.61% | +0.67% |
| 29 Avg +0.04% | -0.75% | - | +0.61% | +2.32% | -0.72% | +0.22% | -0.46% | -0.40% | -0.78% | -0.26% | -0.52% | +1.12% |
| 30 Avg -0.10% | -1.30% | - | +1.09% | -0.51% | +0.74% | -0.15% | -1.68% | -0.93% | -0.30% | +1.17% | +0.64% | +0.14% |
| 31 Avg -0.55% | -1.75% | - | -0.70% | - | -1.48% | - | +1.07% | -0.83% | - | -0.92% | - | +0.79% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
