Check historical price trends and seasonality for Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia Tbk (TKIM.JK).
Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia Tbk (TKIM.JK) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +59.33%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 17 for 7 days) is +2.00%.
4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.
1) Overview:
The stock tends to experience a strong bullish phase from January through June, climbing from approximately +0.0% on January 1st to a peak around +53.9% by June 22nd. Following this peak, there's a bearish trend throughout July, declining to around +35.8% by July 6th. The stock then consolidates and begins another bullish phase through September and October, reaching +63.3% by September 20th, followed by a peak of +77.9% on November 26th, before closing the year at +59.3% on December 31st.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities arise during pullbacks. One significant pullback occurs in July, presenting a chance to buy around July 6th when the average gain drops to +35.8%. Another potential entry point appears towards the end of November, specifically around November 27th, after the peak of +77.9% on November 26th, as the stock experiences a correction. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after periods of strong gains.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach could involve accumulating shares from January through March, capitalizing on the initial bullish trend. Consider taking profits around June, before re-entering during the July pullback. A final accumulation phase could occur in late November, aiming to benefit from the year-end rally, keeping in mind the potential for increased volatility and profit-taking as December approaches.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-07-17 | 5,525.0000 | 2025-07-23 | 5,975.0000 | 450.0000 | 8.14 |
| 2024 | 2024-07-17 | 8,125.0000 | 2024-07-23 | 8,175.0000 | 50.0000 | 0.62 |
| 2023 | 2023-07-17 | 6,650.0000 | 2023-07-23 | 6,625.0000 | -25.0000 | -0.38 |
| 2020 | 2020-07-17 | 7,200.0000 | 2020-07-23 | 7,025.0000 | -175.0000 | -2.43 |
| 2019 | 2019-07-17 | 11,950.0000 | 2019-07-23 | 12,775.0000 | 825.0000 | 6.90 |
| 2018 | 2018-07-17 | 13,400.0000 | 2018-07-23 | 13,150.0000 | -250.0000 | -1.87 |
| 2017 | 2017-07-17 | 1,155.0000 | 2017-07-23 | 1,190.0000 | 35.0000 | 3.03 |
| Avg | 7,715.0000 | 7,845.0000 | 130.00 | 2.00 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +8.63% | Feb Total -0.22% | Mar Total -4.37% | Apr Total +11.73% | May Total +2.37% | Jun Total +4.32% | Jul Total +4.71% | Aug Total +4.59% | Sep Total +6.40% | Oct Total +0.19% | Nov Total +1.11% | Dec Total +1.08% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.18% | 0.00% | +1.91% | +0.96% | +0.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +1.79% | -1.19% | +0.15% | -0.04% | -2.21% | +0.69% |
| 2 Avg +0.25% | -0.02% | -0.60% | -0.18% | +0.62% | +1.05% | +1.09% | +0.26% | -1.36% | +1.12% | -0.85% | +0.74% | +1.14% |
| 3 Avg +0.17% | +1.95% | -0.93% | +1.05% | +2.00% | -2.21% | +1.82% | -1.51% | -0.83% | -1.24% | +0.43% | +0.91% | +0.66% |
| 4 Avg +0.36% | +0.57% | +1.99% | -0.14% | -0.43% | -0.20% | +1.93% | -1.32% | +1.10% | +0.22% | -0.73% | -0.11% | +1.47% |
| 5 Avg -0.22% | -0.04% | -1.07% | -0.97% | -0.70% | +1.97% | +1.11% | -0.21% | -1.87% | +0.13% | -0.25% | +0.43% | -1.11% |
| 6 Avg +0.55% | +0.22% | +0.55% | +0.23% | +3.68% | +0.27% | -0.49% | -0.26% | +0.05% | +0.82% | +0.10% | +1.89% | -0.42% |
| 7 Avg +0.65% | +1.33% | +0.10% | +1.75% | +0.48% | -0.26% | -0.33% | +0.77% | +0.75% | +0.76% | -0.27% | +1.12% | +1.66% |
| 8 Avg +0.45% | +0.70% | -0.80% | -0.32% | -1.20% | +0.30% | +0.86% | +0.57% | +2.96% | +0.98% | +0.23% | +1.25% | -0.18% |
| 9 Avg -0.27% | +1.36% | -0.69% | -1.14% | -0.73% | -1.58% | +0.06% | +1.22% | -0.32% | -0.53% | -0.15% | +0.20% | -1.00% |
| 10 Avg +0.43% | +0.87% | -0.52% | +0.87% | +0.19% | +1.00% | +0.47% | +1.28% | +1.54% | -1.13% | +0.57% | -0.21% | +0.27% |
| 11 Avg +0.01% | -0.37% | -0.79% | -1.02% | +0.27% | -0.18% | -0.05% | +0.96% | +1.13% | +0.78% | +0.40% | +0.06% | -1.07% |
| 12 Avg -0.19% | +0.55% | -0.60% | -0.88% | -0.38% | -0.89% | -2.08% | -0.57% | -0.34% | +0.47% | +0.72% | +0.22% | +1.46% |
| 13 Avg -0.20% | +0.87% | +0.13% | -0.97% | -0.62% | -1.86% | +0.30% | -0.94% | -1.36% | +0.74% | -0.05% | +0.72% | +0.66% |
| 14 Avg -0.06% | -0.04% | -0.74% | -0.03% | +1.69% | -1.16% | -0.98% | -0.82% | +0.64% | -0.06% | +0.49% | +0.48% | -0.19% |
| 15 Avg -0.12% | +0.29% | +0.08% | -0.74% | -0.45% | -1.08% | -0.51% | +0.53% | +1.91% | +0.50% | -1.65% | -0.46% | +0.19% |
| 16 Avg -0.09% | +1.24% | -0.19% | -1.03% | -0.87% | +1.15% | +0.69% | -0.94% | -1.27% | +0.25% | +1.28% | -0.11% | -1.31% |
| 17 Avg +0.09% | -0.62% | +0.12% | -0.06% | +1.31% | +0.32% | -0.10% | -0.50% | 0.00% | +0.01% | +1.26% | -0.20% | -0.50% |
| 18 Avg +0.26% | -0.93% | +0.56% | +0.17% | +0.77% | -0.23% | -0.84% | +1.34% | -0.03% | +1.15% | +0.83% | -0.21% | +0.49% |
| 19 Avg -0.36% | -0.27% | +0.80% | -1.39% | -0.90% | -1.03% | -1.24% | +0.97% | -0.29% | +0.10% | -0.84% | +0.62% | -0.80% |
| 20 Avg +0.48% | +1.77% | +0.32% | -0.54% | 0.00% | +0.54% | +2.81% | -0.21% | +0.10% | +0.30% | +0.35% | -0.03% | +0.32% |
| 21 Avg +0.26% | +0.09% | -0.80% | +0.83% | +0.91% | +0.84% | +0.48% | +1.50% | +0.41% | -0.43% | +0.47% | -0.82% | -0.43% |
| 22 Avg +0.22% | -0.25% | +1.18% | +0.20% | +0.34% | +0.70% | +0.45% | +0.28% | -0.03% | +0.06% | +0.44% | +0.05% | -0.77% |
| 23 Avg +0.47% | +0.54% | +0.74% | -0.68% | +2.29% | +2.39% | -0.73% | -0.04% | +0.34% | +0.33% | -0.62% | +0.67% | +0.38% |
| 24 Avg -0.59% | -0.07% | -1.56% | -1.09% | +0.05% | -1.41% | -0.46% | -1.25% | +0.60% | -1.16% | -0.33% | -0.56% | +0.18% |
| 25 Avg +0.04% | +0.85% | +0.37% | -0.08% | +0.48% | -0.31% | -0.08% | -0.09% | -0.20% | -0.36% | -0.43% | +0.31% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.09% | -0.71% | -0.90% | +1.46% | -0.16% | +0.93% | +0.55% | -0.67% | 0.00% | -0.66% | -0.73% | +0.24% | -0.42% |
| 27 Avg +0.22% | -0.51% | -0.12% | +1.97% | +0.33% | +0.12% | +0.20% | +0.90% | +0.10% | +1.43% | +0.23% | -2.58% | +0.51% |
| 28 Avg +0.19% | +0.30% | +1.23% | -0.13% | +0.68% | +0.75% | -1.26% | +1.08% | +0.33% | -0.76% | -0.23% | -0.06% | +0.34% |
| 29 Avg +0.34% | -0.14% | - | +0.11% | +1.27% | +0.05% | -0.44% | -0.07% | +0.04% | +2.04% | +0.28% | +0.65% | -0.02% |
| 30 Avg -0.27% | -0.52% | - | -1.55% | +0.68% | +0.25% | +1.08% | +0.07% | +0.45% | +0.40% | -0.87% | -1.90% | -1.12% |
| 31 Avg +0.38% | -0.39% | - | -1.03% | - | +2.13% | - | +0.61% | +1.22% | - | +0.15% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
