Check historical price trends and seasonality for THBJPY (THBJPY=X).
THBJPY (THBJPY=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +4.16%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 18 for 60 days) is +0.82%.
4 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 50.00%.
1) Overview:
The THBJPY pair generally experiences a bearish phase from March through early May, reaching a notable low point around April 9 with an average decline of -1.6%. A strong bullish trend emerges from June, accelerating through September, and peaking in November. The pair tends to reach its highest levels in mid-to-late November, around November 17-20, showing an average increase of +3.7%. The pair continues to perform well through December, ending the year with gains of +4.5% on December 28 and +4.2% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises during the pullback period from March to early May. The most significant dip occurs around April 9, with an average decrease of -1.6%, presenting a chance to enter at a lower price. Another, less pronounced, dip occurs in early August. These pullbacks could be considered strategic entry points in anticipation of the subsequent bullish trend that typically begins in June and continues through the end of the year.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in THBJPY involves considering entry points during the bearish phase in March and April, particularly around April 9. This allows investors to capitalize on the subsequent bullish trend that typically unfolds from June through December. Monitoring the market around December 28 and December 31, where the pair shows average gains of +4.5% and +4.2% respectively, is crucial for managing positions and potentially taking profits.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-01-18 | 4.1609 | 2024-03-17 | 4.1431 | -0.0178 | -0.43 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-18 | 3.8876 | 2023-03-18 | 3.8735 | -0.0141 | -0.36 |
| 2022 | 2022-01-18 | 3.4623 | 2022-03-18 | 3.5658 | 0.1035 | 2.99 |
| 2021 | 2021-01-18 | 3.4506 | 2021-03-18 | 3.5515 | 0.1009 | 2.92 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-18 | 3.4411 | 2019-03-18 | 3.5185 | 0.0774 | 2.25 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-18 | 3.4806 | 2018-03-18 | 3.4043 | -0.0763 | -2.19 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-18 | 3.1986 | 2017-03-18 | 3.2446 | 0.0460 | 1.44 |
| 2016 | 2016-01-18 | 3.2224 | 2016-03-17 | 3.2198 | -0.0026 | -0.08 |
| Avg | 3.5380 | 3.5651 | 0.03 | 0.82 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.32% | Feb Total -0.70% | Mar Total -0.21% | Apr Total -0.07% | May Total +0.78% | Jun Total +0.37% | Jul Total -0.72% | Aug Total +0.81% | Sep Total +0.29% | Oct Total +1.65% | Nov Total +1.10% | Dec Total +0.72% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.13% | -0.32% | +0.11% | +0.31% | +0.01% | +0.18% | +0.03% | +0.12% | +0.03% | +0.09% | +0.17% |
| 2 Avg -0.04% | -0.13% | +0.07% | +0.28% | -0.23% | +0.04% | -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.26% | +0.02% | -0.02% | +0.06% | -0.26% |
| 3 Avg -0.05% | -0.14% | -0.38% | +0.21% | -0.17% | -0.11% | +0.12% | +0.07% | +0.02% | -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.04% | -0.10% |
| 4 Avg -0.04% | +0.18% | +0.11% | -0.20% | -0.21% | -0.11% | +0.21% | +0.08% | -0.23% | -0.19% | -0.06% | -0.03% | -0.05% |
| 5 Avg +0.04% | +0.35% | +0.15% | +0.24% | -0.06% | +0.05% | -0.07% | -0.05% | -0.09% | +0.08% | -0.02% | +0.02% | -0.12% |
| 6 Avg -0.03% | -0.25% | -0.04% | -0.11% | -0.12% | -0.03% | -0.03% | -0.27% | -0.26% | +0.05% | +0.34% | +0.16% | +0.18% |
| 7 Avg -0.02% | +0.03% | -0.20% | -0.36% | -0.03% | 0.00% | +0.20% | -0.22% | -0.01% | -0.03% | +0.23% | +0.11% | +0.04% |
| 8 Avg +0.00% | -0.08% | -0.08% | -0.13% | -0.04% | -0.06% | +0.01% | -0.07% | +0.26% | +0.08% | +0.06% | +0.09% | +0.04% |
| 9 Avg +0.02% | +0.04% | -0.14% | -0.19% | -0.26% | +0.24% | +0.06% | +0.02% | +0.17% | -0.06% | -0.07% | +0.20% | +0.20% |
| 10 Avg +0.08% | -0.01% | +0.02% | -0.08% | +0.43% | +0.13% | -0.11% | -0.03% | +0.09% | +0.06% | -0.07% | +0.36% | +0.21% |
| 11 Avg +0.00% | 0.00% | -0.17% | 0.00% | -0.06% | +0.16% | +0.06% | +0.02% | -0.03% | +0.03% | +0.01% | -0.06% | +0.06% |
| 12 Avg +0.12% | +0.09% | +0.22% | +0.25% | +0.14% | -0.14% | +0.14% | +0.20% | +0.11% | +0.15% | +0.21% | -0.05% | +0.17% |
| 13 Avg 0.00% | -0.23% | +0.17% | -0.17% | 0.00% | +0.04% | -0.18% | +0.08% | -0.03% | +0.06% | +0.23% | -0.02% | +0.06% |
| 14 Avg +0.07% | -0.03% | -0.03% | +0.23% | +0.10% | -0.07% | +0.06% | +0.14% | +0.17% | +0.14% | +0.22% | -0.03% | -0.03% |
| 15 Avg +0.06% | +0.14% | +0.11% | +0.03% | -0.02% | +0.15% | +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.02% | -0.17% | -0.03% | +0.29% | +0.24% |
| 16 Avg -0.01% | -0.16% | 0.00% | -0.08% | +0.10% | +0.03% | +0.20% | -0.10% | -0.08% | -0.19% | -0.03% | +0.10% | +0.04% |
| 17 Avg -0.01% | 0.00% | -0.14% | +0.07% | -0.01% | +0.01% | -0.24% | +0.04% | -0.02% | -0.10% | +0.22% | +0.06% | -0.03% |
| 18 Avg -0.03% | -0.07% | 0.00% | +0.20% | -0.02% | -0.10% | -0.34% | -0.01% | -0.15% | +0.09% | +0.09% | 0.00% | -0.04% |
| 19 Avg +0.06% | +0.20% | -0.01% | -0.16% | +0.01% | -0.08% | +0.15% | +0.15% | +0.10% | +0.42% | +0.07% | +0.02% | -0.10% |
| 20 Avg +0.08% | +0.19% | +0.03% | +0.29% | +0.34% | +0.16% | +0.11% | -0.09% | -0.06% | -0.15% | +0.01% | -0.07% | +0.20% |
| 21 Avg -0.04% | +0.04% | +0.01% | -0.05% | -0.07% | +0.01% | -0.13% | +0.08% | -0.06% | +0.04% | +0.07% | 0.00% | -0.43% |
| 22 Avg -0.05% | +0.12% | -0.13% | -0.26% | -0.14% | 0.00% | +0.09% | -0.15% | +0.25% | -0.22% | -0.14% | -0.11% | +0.05% |
| 23 Avg -0.01% | +0.09% | -0.12% | -0.06% | -0.12% | 0.00% | +0.05% | -0.17% | +0.04% | +0.04% | +0.04% | +0.02% | +0.01% |
| 24 Avg -0.07% | -0.18% | -0.24% | -0.13% | +0.26% | -0.14% | -0.03% | -0.06% | -0.18% | -0.04% | -0.07% | -0.02% | +0.06% |
| 25 Avg +0.10% | +0.14% | +0.02% | +0.10% | +0.09% | -0.03% | +0.06% | -0.12% | +0.35% | +0.14% | +0.10% | +0.23% | +0.11% |
| 26 Avg +0.02% | -0.07% | -0.05% | +0.06% | -0.08% | +0.09% | -0.05% | +0.01% | +0.12% | +0.12% | +0.12% | -0.20% | +0.14% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | +0.17% | -0.07% | -0.03% | -0.09% | +0.02% | -0.26% | -0.19% | +0.18% | +0.01% | +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.13% |
| 28 Avg +0.04% | -0.07% | +0.04% | -0.09% | +0.13% | +0.25% | +0.17% | -0.20% | +0.04% | +0.02% | +0.05% | 0.00% | +0.12% |
| 29 Avg +0.02% | +0.09% | - | +0.35% | +0.01% | +0.05% | +0.13% | +0.06% | -0.07% | -0.05% | -0.10% | -0.21% | -0.05% |
| 30 Avg 0.00% | +0.03% | - | +0.04% | -0.04% | -0.13% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +0.41% | -0.15% | +0.01% | +0.13% | -0.28% |
| 31 Avg 0.00% | -0.14% | - | -0.12% | - | +0.02% | - | +0.04% | +0.03% | - | +0.16% | - | -0.01% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
