Check historical price trends and seasonality for Target Corporation (TGT).
Target Corporation (TGT) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +8.11%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -2.10%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Target Corporation's stock price typically experiences a bearish phase from May into July. Specifically, there is a significant dip around May 23, averaging -4.7%. The stock then enters a strong bullish phase starting in late summer, culminating in substantial gains through the holiday season, with a peak around November 29 (+9.2%) and remaining high through December 31 (+8.1%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A notable buying opportunity arises around May 23, as the stock tends to experience a significant pullback of -4.7%. This dip continues into June, presenting a chance to accumulate shares at a discount. Another potential entry point could be in early July, as the stock begins to recover from its mid-year slump and starts its upward trajectory towards the holiday season.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, consider initiating a long position in Target around late May or early June to capitalize on the mid-year dip. Hold this position through the holiday season, potentially taking profits in late November or December to capture the gains from the seasonal rally. However, remember to consider other market factors and conduct thorough due diligence before making any investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 133.2500 | 2025-03-16 | 104.7000 | -28.5500 | -21.43 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 141.0700 | 2024-03-15 | 164.2200 | 23.1500 | 16.41 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 116.3200 | 2020-03-15 | 101.0200 | -15.3000 | -13.15 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 67.8500 | 2019-03-16 | 76.6600 | 8.8100 | 12.98 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 74.9600 | 2018-03-16 | 70.9900 | -3.9700 | -5.30 |
| Avg | 106.6900 | 103.5180 | -3.17 | -2.10 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.27% | Feb Total -1.81% | Mar Total +0.76% | Apr Total +0.91% | May Total -4.22% | Jun Total +0.16% | Jul Total +5.71% | Aug Total +2.59% | Sep Total -2.20% | Oct Total +1.65% | Nov Total +3.96% | Dec Total -0.29% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.02% | 0.00% | +0.40% | +1.06% | +0.37% | -0.99% | -0.50% | +0.51% | -1.01% | +0.50% | -0.30% | -0.12% | -0.13% |
| 2 Avg +0.01% | +0.45% | +0.13% | +0.55% | -0.18% | +0.51% | +0.32% | +0.24% | -0.89% | -0.42% | -0.70% | +0.36% | -0.27% |
| 3 Avg -0.13% | -0.45% | -0.66% | -0.89% | -1.44% | +0.32% | +0.71% | +0.33% | +0.72% | -0.47% | +0.18% | -0.15% | +0.30% |
| 4 Avg +0.21% | +0.55% | +0.23% | -0.49% | +0.58% | +0.36% | +0.43% | 0.00% | +0.15% | +0.39% | +0.51% | -0.17% | +0.03% |
| 5 Avg +0.04% | +0.18% | -0.35% | +1.60% | +0.05% | -0.53% | -0.06% | +0.06% | -0.17% | +0.26% | -0.17% | +0.41% | -0.80% |
| 6 Avg +0.05% | +0.87% | +0.10% | -0.52% | +0.75% | +0.01% | +0.11% | -0.22% | +0.47% | -0.05% | -0.40% | -0.47% | -0.10% |
| 7 Avg +0.05% | +0.57% | -0.11% | -1.11% | +0.32% | +0.02% | -0.17% | -0.09% | +0.32% | +0.52% | -0.18% | +0.58% | -0.12% |
| 8 Avg +0.08% | -0.16% | +0.05% | -0.26% | +0.15% | +0.39% | +0.30% | +0.34% | +0.26% | -0.57% | +0.47% | -0.07% | +0.03% |
| 9 Avg +0.12% | +0.30% | +0.53% | +0.34% | +0.91% | +0.58% | -0.45% | -0.02% | -0.54% | -0.03% | +0.29% | -0.70% | +0.20% |
| 10 Avg +0.13% | +0.14% | -0.45% | +0.13% | -0.01% | -0.26% | +0.25% | +0.01% | +0.14% | -0.18% | +0.30% | +1.50% | +0.04% |
| 11 Avg +0.03% | +0.97% | -0.35% | -0.66% | -0.33% | -0.98% | -0.36% | +0.53% | -0.12% | +0.03% | +0.22% | +1.19% | +0.23% |
| 12 Avg +0.03% | +0.49% | +0.23% | -1.69% | -0.54% | +0.18% | +0.24% | +0.29% | +0.72% | +0.03% | +0.58% | -0.02% | -0.18% |
| 13 Avg +0.05% | -0.40% | +0.52% | +0.74% | +0.10% | -0.59% | -1.04% | +0.62% | +0.23% | -0.18% | +0.78% | -0.34% | +0.24% |
| 14 Avg -0.04% | -0.47% | -0.26% | -0.25% | +0.63% | 0.00% | -0.13% | +0.19% | -0.35% | -0.01% | -0.30% | +0.30% | +0.21% |
| 15 Avg +0.07% | -1.10% | +0.50% | +0.39% | -0.28% | +0.23% | +0.43% | -0.37% | -0.42% | +0.04% | +0.70% | +1.00% | -0.31% |
| 16 Avg -0.04% | -0.43% | +0.22% | -0.36% | +0.21% | +0.35% | -0.91% | +0.22% | +1.64% | +0.12% | -0.24% | -0.45% | -0.83% |
| 17 Avg +0.11% | +0.34% | +0.07% | +1.07% | +1.05% | +0.05% | -0.30% | +0.25% | -0.92% | -0.23% | +0.05% | +0.22% | -0.29% |
| 18 Avg -0.19% | -0.48% | +0.24% | +0.46% | +0.37% | -3.34% | -0.36% | +0.12% | -0.36% | -0.18% | +0.54% | +0.41% | +0.25% |
| 19 Avg +0.01% | -0.53% | -0.09% | +0.27% | +0.30% | -0.35% | 0.00% | +0.48% | +1.17% | +0.17% | -0.46% | -0.43% | -0.41% |
| 20 Avg -0.38% | -0.33% | -0.56% | +0.07% | -0.55% | +0.17% | -0.21% | +0.41% | -0.54% | -0.70% | +0.34% | -2.21% | -0.39% |
| 21 Avg +0.24% | +0.14% | -0.90% | -0.39% | -0.06% | -0.40% | +0.99% | +0.04% | +2.90% | -0.32% | +0.40% | +0.31% | +0.19% |
| 22 Avg -0.14% | +0.23% | -0.02% | -0.75% | -0.56% | -0.21% | +0.06% | +0.77% | +0.22% | -0.68% | -0.21% | +0.17% | -0.78% |
| 23 Avg -0.03% | +0.35% | -0.29% | -0.64% | -0.39% | -1.02% | +0.57% | +0.40% | -0.16% | +0.14% | -0.24% | +0.65% | +0.27% |
| 24 Avg +0.19% | -0.12% | +0.69% | +0.86% | +0.80% | -0.17% | +0.39% | -0.19% | -0.19% | +0.09% | +0.34% | -0.56% | +0.37% |
| 25 Avg +0.08% | +0.05% | +0.58% | -0.65% | -0.27% | +0.40% | -0.26% | +0.19% | -0.12% | -0.21% | +0.51% | +0.66% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.07% | +0.11% | -0.48% | +1.54% | -0.76% | +0.17% | +0.15% | -0.27% | -0.53% | -0.56% | -0.22% | +0.40% | +1.34% |
| 27 Avg +0.09% | +0.03% | -0.48% | +0.03% | +0.40% | +0.74% | +0.17% | +0.11% | -0.06% | -0.01% | -0.52% | +0.49% | +0.23% |
| 28 Avg +0.03% | +0.43% | -1.30% | +0.25% | +0.11% | -0.01% | -0.26% | +0.35% | +0.01% | +0.42% | +0.04% | +0.34% | 0.00% |
| 29 Avg +0.12% | -0.25% | - | +0.25% | -0.32% | +0.19% | +0.12% | +0.18% | +0.17% | +0.08% | -0.29% | +1.12% | +0.12% |
| 30 Avg -0.06% | -0.07% | - | +0.39% | -0.49% | +0.13% | -0.06% | +0.12% | -0.04% | -0.14% | -0.02% | -0.46% | -0.03% |
| 31 Avg -0.14% | -0.13% | - | -0.60% | - | -0.16% | - | +0.10% | -0.10% | - | -0.36% | - | +0.30% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
