Check historical price trends and seasonality for Smurfit WestRock (SWK).
Smurfit WestRock (SWK) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +2.25%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 3 for 60 days) is -6.55%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
Smurfit WestRock (SWK) exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline from February into late March, reaching a low point around March 23 with an average decrease of -6.9%. A bullish phase then emerges, culminating around July 27 with an average gain of +4.1%. The remainder of the year shows a positive trend, ending on December 31 with an average increase of +2.2%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most pronounced dip opportunity appears in March, with the lowest point historically around March 23, showing an average decline of -6.9%. This pullback could be attributed to broader market corrections or sector-specific concerns. A secondary, less severe dip occurs in late May and June, offering another potential entry point before the bullish phase in July. Investors might consider accumulating shares during these periods of weakness, anticipating a rebound into July.
3) Summary:
Seasonality suggests a strategic approach to SWK investment. Consider initiating positions during the pullback in March, capitalizing on the historically weak period. Holding through the summer months to capture the gains into July, followed by a year-end rally. Investors should be aware of broader market conditions and company-specific news that could influence these seasonal tendencies.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-03 | 84.0800 | 2025-05-01 | 58.9400 | -25.1400 | -29.90 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-03 | 87.2600 | 2023-05-01 | 86.7800 | -0.4800 | -0.55 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-03 | 166.1500 | 2022-05-01 | 120.1500 | -46.0000 | -27.69 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-03 | 184.7600 | 2021-05-01 | 206.7700 | 22.0100 | 11.91 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-03 | 134.3500 | 2020-05-01 | 106.5000 | -27.8500 | -20.73 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-03 | 128.0400 | 2017-05-01 | 136.1100 | 8.0700 | 6.30 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-03 | 97.5100 | 2016-05-01 | 111.9200 | 14.4100 | 14.78 |
| Avg | 126.0214 | 118.1671 | -7.85 | -6.55 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.03% | Feb Total -2.12% | Mar Total -1.83% | Apr Total -0.98% | May Total -0.11% | Jun Total +2.24% | Jul Total +5.99% | Aug Total -1.48% | Sep Total -1.05% | Oct Total -2.97% | Nov Total +4.89% | Dec Total -0.75% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.09% | 0.00% | +0.20% | -0.07% | -0.63% | -0.36% | +0.03% | +0.44% | -0.77% | +0.06% | -0.46% | +0.55% | -0.12% |
| 2 Avg +0.08% | +0.11% | +0.11% | +0.66% | +0.19% | -0.14% | +0.94% | +0.56% | -0.97% | -0.46% | -0.13% | +0.26% | -0.18% |
| 3 Avg -0.08% | -0.52% | -0.23% | -0.50% | -1.43% | +0.68% | +0.31% | -0.08% | +0.09% | -0.83% | +0.31% | +0.53% | +0.72% |
| 4 Avg +0.16% | +0.59% | +0.24% | -0.23% | -0.52% | +0.28% | +0.55% | 0.00% | -0.05% | +0.29% | +0.78% | +0.71% | -0.70% |
| 5 Avg +0.00% | +0.14% | -0.73% | -0.40% | -0.33% | -0.40% | +0.35% | +0.16% | +0.12% | +0.73% | +0.06% | +0.86% | -0.53% |
| 6 Avg +0.10% | +0.78% | +0.02% | +0.18% | +1.03% | -0.49% | +0.92% | -0.01% | -0.07% | -0.07% | -0.39% | -0.85% | +0.18% |
| 7 Avg -0.13% | -0.37% | -0.93% | -0.08% | -0.84% | +0.22% | +0.66% | +0.17% | -0.13% | -0.29% | -0.64% | +0.83% | -0.21% |
| 8 Avg +0.07% | +0.35% | -1.01% | -0.27% | +0.34% | +1.00% | 0.00% | +0.35% | +0.15% | +0.06% | -0.34% | -0.18% | +0.34% |
| 9 Avg +0.07% | +0.30% | +0.09% | -0.33% | +2.10% | +0.43% | -0.57% | +0.25% | -0.89% | +0.16% | -0.31% | -0.63% | +0.21% |
| 10 Avg +0.16% | +0.03% | +0.10% | +0.44% | -0.66% | +0.11% | -0.89% | +1.08% | +0.11% | +0.47% | -0.69% | +1.56% | +0.29% |
| 11 Avg +0.07% | +0.28% | -0.01% | -0.78% | +0.36% | -0.80% | -0.59% | +0.42% | +0.57% | +0.52% | +0.40% | +0.63% | -0.12% |
| 12 Avg +0.11% | +0.38% | +0.96% | -1.90% | +0.06% | +0.71% | +0.56% | +0.41% | -0.03% | +0.24% | +0.06% | -0.37% | +0.29% |
| 13 Avg +0.09% | +0.19% | +0.42% | +0.34% | -0.22% | -0.47% | -0.21% | +0.29% | +0.99% | -0.45% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +0.21% |
| 14 Avg -0.04% | +0.14% | +0.24% | -0.38% | +0.18% | +0.07% | -0.44% | -0.13% | -0.63% | +0.07% | +0.82% | -0.32% | -0.10% |
| 15 Avg +0.12% | -0.24% | +0.89% | +0.10% | -0.92% | +0.07% | +0.54% | +0.02% | +0.13% | +0.41% | -0.04% | +0.92% | -0.46% |
| 16 Avg -0.25% | +0.06% | -0.39% | -1.90% | -0.30% | -0.15% | -0.47% | +0.17% | +0.38% | -0.01% | -0.02% | 0.00% | -0.41% |
| 17 Avg -0.02% | +0.29% | -0.41% | +0.83% | +0.63% | +0.39% | -0.28% | +0.09% | -0.61% | +0.05% | -0.42% | -0.53% | -0.25% |
| 18 Avg 0.00% | +0.45% | -0.15% | -1.03% | +0.42% | +0.80% | +0.34% | -0.07% | -0.06% | +0.16% | -0.41% | -0.26% | -0.26% |
| 19 Avg -0.08% | -0.60% | +0.08% | +0.89% | +0.06% | -0.33% | -0.47% | +0.59% | -0.15% | +0.34% | -0.78% | -0.36% | -0.27% |
| 20 Avg -0.12% | -0.05% | +0.20% | -0.43% | -1.02% | +0.49% | +0.16% | +0.39% | -0.31% | -0.48% | +0.34% | -0.41% | -0.28% |
| 21 Avg -0.03% | -0.15% | -0.88% | +0.53% | +0.40% | -0.62% | -0.37% | -0.04% | +0.46% | -0.84% | +0.40% | +0.94% | -0.24% |
| 22 Avg -0.19% | -1.59% | +0.14% | -1.30% | +0.23% | -0.43% | -0.11% | +0.70% | -0.05% | -0.31% | -0.08% | +0.41% | +0.16% |
| 23 Avg -0.01% | +0.62% | +0.08% | -1.73% | +0.25% | -0.59% | +0.89% | +0.65% | -0.55% | -0.24% | +0.01% | +0.35% | +0.19% |
| 24 Avg +0.12% | -0.26% | -0.58% | +2.61% | +0.41% | -0.07% | -0.24% | -0.47% | +0.14% | -0.33% | +0.02% | +0.34% | -0.20% |
| 25 Avg +0.16% | +0.12% | -0.01% | +0.77% | -0.60% | +0.04% | -0.08% | +0.39% | +0.19% | -0.13% | +0.24% | +0.99% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.21% | +0.09% | -0.30% | +1.25% | +0.02% | +0.74% | +0.53% | +1.14% | -0.59% | +0.02% | -0.72% | -0.37% | +0.68% |
| 27 Avg +0.13% | -0.10% | -0.54% | -0.64% | +1.41% | +0.71% | -0.27% | +0.58% | +0.09% | +0.15% | -0.12% | -0.22% | +0.44% |
| 28 Avg -0.18% | +0.08% | +0.29% | +0.35% | -0.20% | -0.93% | -0.07% | -2.26% | +0.65% | +0.45% | +0.15% | -0.24% | -0.43% |
| 29 Avg -0.08% | -0.07% | - | +0.86% | +0.12% | -0.48% | +0.05% | -0.54% | +0.56% | -0.49% | -1.29% | +0.08% | +0.36% |
| 30 Avg -0.04% | +0.01% | - | +0.18% | -1.51% | +0.16% | +0.44% | +0.71% | +0.03% | -0.30% | +0.33% | -0.32% | -0.16% |
| 31 Avg -0.12% | -0.01% | - | +0.14% | - | -0.76% | - | 0.00% | -0.30% | - | -0.03% | - | +0.13% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
