Check historical price trends and seasonality for Constellation Brands (STZ).
Constellation Brands (STZ) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +2.56%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Apr 18 for 60 days) is -0.79%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
Constellation Brands exhibits a clear seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline from early January, reaching a low point around March 23 with an average decrease of -5.3%. A bullish phase then begins, extending through the spring and summer, peaking around July 28 with an average gain of +5.9%. The gains are held through the fall before consolidating into the end of the year, with a slight increase of +2.5% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for Constellation Brands is between January and late March. This decline, bottoming around March 23 (-5.3%), presents a potential buying opportunity as the stock typically rebounds strongly in the following months. Another potential, albeit smaller, dip opportunity may occur in late December, prior to the end of the year.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, consider initiating a position in Constellation Brands around late March to capitalize on the subsequent bullish trend. Be aware of the historical tendency for declines in the early part of the year. Monitoring the stock's performance around March 23 is crucial for identifying a potential entry point.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-04-18 | 258.6800 | 2024-06-16 | 253.5000 | -5.1800 | -2.00 |
| 2023 | 2023-04-18 | 227.3500 | 2023-06-16 | 246.0300 | 18.6800 | 8.22 |
| 2022 | 2022-04-18 | 252.8200 | 2022-06-16 | 225.7700 | -27.0500 | -10.70 |
| 2019 | 2019-04-18 | 198.8000 | 2019-06-16 | 187.6300 | -11.1700 | -5.62 |
| 2018 | 2018-04-18 | 232.1600 | 2018-06-16 | 233.0200 | 0.8600 | 0.37 |
| 2017 | 2017-04-18 | 172.2100 | 2017-06-16 | 180.8800 | 8.6700 | 5.03 |
| 2016 | 2016-04-18 | 158.0500 | 2016-06-16 | 156.7600 | -1.2900 | -0.82 |
| Avg | 214.2957 | 211.9414 | -2.35 | -0.79 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -1.52% | Feb Total -2.55% | Mar Total +3.33% | Apr Total +5.68% | May Total -1.30% | Jun Total +1.38% | Jul Total +0.84% | Aug Total -0.47% | Sep Total -1.20% | Oct Total -2.77% | Nov Total +2.80% | Dec Total -0.99% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.07% | 0.00% | +0.70% | +0.41% | -0.14% | -0.40% | 0.00% | +0.69% | -0.45% | +0.33% | +0.19% | -0.21% | -0.21% |
| 2 Avg +0.02% | +0.20% | -0.18% | +0.55% | -0.51% | -0.08% | +0.05% | +0.52% | -0.20% | -0.64% | -0.18% | +0.65% | +0.06% |
| 3 Avg -0.07% | -0.18% | -0.70% | +0.16% | -0.02% | +0.09% | +0.11% | -0.45% | -0.03% | +0.24% | -0.92% | +0.53% | +0.30% |
| 4 Avg +0.17% | +0.48% | +0.12% | -0.13% | -0.38% | +0.32% | +0.64% | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.23% | +0.90% | +0.16% | -0.30% |
| 5 Avg -0.09% | -1.56% | -0.44% | 0.00% | +0.49% | +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.72% | -0.59% | -0.10% | +0.13% | +0.14% | +0.09% |
| 6 Avg +0.19% | +0.48% | +0.30% | -0.05% | +2.35% | +0.06% | +0.11% | +0.05% | -0.21% | +0.08% | -0.63% | -0.15% | -0.18% |
| 7 Avg +0.14% | +0.40% | -0.17% | +0.17% | +0.58% | +0.11% | -0.06% | -0.28% | +0.70% | +0.13% | -0.57% | +0.61% | +0.06% |
| 8 Avg +0.15% | +0.38% | -0.21% | +0.46% | +0.14% | +0.29% | +0.54% | +0.01% | -0.33% | -0.02% | +0.74% | -0.27% | +0.12% |
| 9 Avg -0.07% | -0.57% | +0.37% | -0.59% | +1.03% | -0.38% | -0.65% | -0.14% | +0.53% | -0.02% | -0.09% | -0.27% | -0.09% |
| 10 Avg -0.04% | -1.28% | +0.13% | +0.14% | +0.15% | +0.16% | -0.06% | +0.43% | -0.12% | -0.34% | -0.10% | +0.24% | +0.18% |
| 11 Avg -0.16% | +0.23% | -0.61% | -0.43% | +0.34% | -0.48% | -0.68% | -0.05% | -0.38% | +0.14% | -0.14% | +0.07% | +0.10% |
| 12 Avg -0.15% | -0.24% | +0.37% | -1.55% | -0.30% | -0.31% | +0.09% | +0.12% | +0.18% | +0.07% | -0.01% | -0.02% | -0.15% |
| 13 Avg -0.05% | +0.03% | +0.36% | +0.08% | -0.66% | -0.49% | -0.50% | -0.22% | +0.43% | -0.54% | +0.30% | +0.47% | +0.15% |
| 14 Avg +0.17% | +0.01% | -0.13% | +0.42% | +1.09% | +0.37% | +0.28% | -0.04% | +0.25% | +0.47% | -0.15% | -0.64% | +0.08% |
| 15 Avg -0.09% | -0.31% | -0.39% | +0.75% | -0.39% | +0.37% | +0.24% | -0.45% | -0.37% | -0.01% | -0.27% | -0.13% | -0.08% |
| 16 Avg -0.02% | +0.07% | +0.10% | -0.50% | +0.19% | +0.49% | -0.27% | -0.18% | -0.09% | -0.47% | +0.46% | +0.19% | -0.23% |
| 17 Avg +0.06% | +0.17% | +0.11% | +0.10% | +0.62% | -0.12% | -0.01% | +0.15% | -0.25% | -0.13% | +0.12% | +0.29% | -0.30% |
| 18 Avg -0.12% | -0.42% | +0.04% | -0.38% | +0.63% | -0.24% | -0.36% | +0.11% | +0.25% | -0.13% | -0.35% | -0.07% | -0.52% |
| 19 Avg +0.06% | +0.17% | +0.12% | +0.06% | -0.08% | +0.07% | +0.09% | +0.51% | +0.14% | -0.15% | -0.25% | +0.15% | -0.08% |
| 20 Avg -0.12% | +0.43% | -0.40% | -0.13% | -0.30% | -0.23% | +0.18% | +0.10% | -0.08% | -0.15% | -0.08% | +0.13% | -0.87% |
| 21 Avg +0.01% | -0.21% | -0.30% | +0.34% | -0.38% | -0.16% | +0.58% | -0.01% | +0.03% | -0.45% | -0.08% | +0.84% | -0.09% |
| 22 Avg +0.08% | +0.15% | +0.24% | -0.17% | +0.16% | -0.14% | -0.18% | +0.31% | +0.21% | +0.27% | -0.07% | -0.10% | +0.26% |
| 23 Avg -0.03% | +0.55% | -0.28% | -1.54% | +0.17% | -0.05% | +0.22% | +0.17% | +0.28% | +0.01% | -0.06% | +0.04% | +0.07% |
| 24 Avg +0.21% | +0.08% | +0.32% | +2.20% | +0.39% | -0.06% | -0.37% | +0.07% | +0.30% | -0.35% | +0.29% | +0.04% | -0.32% |
| 25 Avg -0.03% | -0.06% | -0.32% | +0.31% | +0.12% | +0.03% | -0.10% | -0.20% | -0.26% | -0.26% | +0.14% | +0.22% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.03% | -0.40% | -0.34% | +1.76% | -0.31% | +0.40% | -0.27% | +0.19% | -0.47% | +0.05% | -0.66% | -0.17% | +0.56% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | -0.26% | -1.13% | +0.28% | +0.76% | +0.31% | +0.26% | -0.01% | -0.09% | +0.02% | -0.52% | +0.19% | +0.12% |
| 28 Avg +0.17% | +0.52% | -0.21% | +0.07% | +0.36% | -0.84% | +0.97% | +0.11% | +0.18% | +0.33% | -0.45% | +0.54% | +0.41% |
| 29 Avg -0.01% | -0.35% | - | +0.93% | +0.23% | -0.30% | +0.33% | -0.33% | +0.34% | +0.24% | -0.59% | -0.72% | +0.14% |
| 30 Avg -0.09% | -0.10% | - | +0.18% | -0.65% | +0.33% | +0.22% | -0.52% | -0.03% | -0.04% | -0.26% | +0.06% | -0.20% |
| 31 Avg -0.22% | +0.09% | - | -0.61% | - | -0.47% | - | -0.56% | -0.32% | - | +0.39% | - | -0.04% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
