Check historical price trends and seasonality for Steel Dynamics (STLD).
Steel Dynamics (STLD) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +30.34%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 17 for 7 days) is +0.37%.
4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.
1) Overview:
Steel Dynamics exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the year, particularly from January to December. The stock tends to climb steadily from January, experiencing significant gains through the spring and summer months. The most substantial gains typically occur in December, with an average increase of +35.6% by December 8 and remaining high at +30.3% by December 31. There are no significant bearish phases.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
While the data suggests a generally upward trend, minor pullbacks can present buying opportunities. One potential area for a pullback is around March, as the rate of increase slows down after the rapid gains in February, presenting a possible entry point. Another potential pullback period is in September, where the gains are more moderate compared to the earlier months. These pullbacks could be viewed as opportunities to establish or increase positions before the significant rally that tends to occur in November and December.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a bullish investment strategy for Steel Dynamics, with a focus on capturing gains during the late fall and winter months. Consider initiating or increasing positions during potential pullbacks in March or September to capitalize on the subsequent rallies. The most opportune time to hold the stock appears to be leading up to December, where the largest average gains are observed.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-07-17 | 131.1500 | 2025-07-23 | 130.7200 | -0.4300 | -0.33 |
| 2024 | 2024-07-17 | 130.0700 | 2024-07-23 | 126.6200 | -3.4500 | -2.65 |
| 2023 | 2023-07-17 | 106.9400 | 2023-07-23 | 100.3000 | -6.6400 | -6.21 |
| 2020 | 2020-07-17 | 26.8100 | 2020-07-23 | 27.5600 | 0.7500 | 2.80 |
| 2019 | 2019-07-17 | 30.6800 | 2019-07-23 | 32.1000 | 1.4200 | 4.63 |
| 2018 | 2018-07-17 | 46.8000 | 2018-07-23 | 47.7900 | 0.9900 | 2.12 |
| 2017 | 2017-07-17 | 36.6900 | 2017-07-23 | 37.5100 | 0.8200 | 2.23 |
| Avg | 72.7343 | 71.8000 | -0.93 | 0.37 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +3.20% | Feb Total +6.59% | Mar Total +3.65% | Apr Total +1.15% | May Total -0.78% | Jun Total +0.80% | Jul Total +4.83% | Aug Total -1.78% | Sep Total -0.27% | Oct Total +7.56% | Nov Total +7.66% | Dec Total -2.43% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.39% | 0.00% | +0.76% | +2.64% | +0.28% | +0.08% | +0.51% | +0.47% | -1.90% | -0.09% | +0.34% | +1.15% | +0.45% |
| 2 Avg +0.22% | +0.35% | +0.10% | +1.20% | -0.51% | +0.37% | +1.87% | +0.25% | -1.41% | +0.05% | +0.08% | -0.48% | +0.74% |
| 3 Avg +0.22% | -0.19% | +1.14% | -0.08% | -0.66% | +0.86% | +0.64% | -0.06% | +0.55% | -0.79% | +0.61% | +0.42% | +0.22% |
| 4 Avg -0.04% | +1.36% | +0.17% | -0.76% | -1.83% | +0.67% | -0.27% | 0.00% | -0.49% | +0.25% | +0.48% | -0.17% | +0.12% |
| 5 Avg +0.07% | +0.74% | -0.22% | -0.35% | +0.19% | -0.80% | +0.11% | -0.45% | +0.07% | +0.44% | +0.77% | +0.87% | -0.56% |
| 6 Avg +0.01% | +0.78% | -0.44% | -1.15% | +0.41% | -0.52% | +0.35% | -0.24% | +0.22% | +0.15% | -0.52% | +1.16% | -0.08% |
| 7 Avg +0.11% | -0.22% | -0.41% | -0.62% | +0.42% | +0.28% | +0.12% | +0.71% | +0.23% | -0.08% | +0.60% | +0.07% | +0.19% |
| 8 Avg +0.11% | -0.24% | +0.30% | -0.48% | +0.34% | +0.37% | +0.96% | -0.36% | +0.29% | -0.30% | -0.04% | +0.28% | +0.19% |
| 9 Avg -0.19% | -0.88% | +0.64% | -1.73% | +1.05% | -0.68% | -1.13% | +0.25% | -0.26% | +0.33% | +0.23% | +0.36% | -0.46% |
| 10 Avg +0.33% | +0.57% | +0.62% | +0.33% | -0.09% | +0.26% | -0.76% | +0.90% | +0.89% | +0.40% | -0.05% | +0.87% | -0.02% |
| 11 Avg +0.01% | +0.58% | +0.44% | -0.39% | +0.15% | -0.49% | -1.37% | +0.06% | +0.23% | -0.02% | +0.76% | +0.38% | -0.22% |
| 12 Avg +0.05% | +0.84% | +0.64% | -0.37% | -0.10% | -0.72% | +0.26% | +0.65% | -0.01% | -0.16% | +0.03% | -0.19% | -0.24% |
| 13 Avg +0.11% | +0.32% | -0.06% | +1.78% | -0.43% | -0.59% | +0.25% | +0.28% | +0.59% | -0.67% | +0.30% | -0.22% | -0.22% |
| 14 Avg -0.11% | -0.02% | +0.90% | -0.26% | -0.17% | +0.13% | -1.07% | -0.08% | +0.13% | -0.77% | -0.21% | +0.25% | -0.13% |
| 15 Avg -0.04% | -0.86% | +0.74% | -0.75% | -0.47% | +0.59% | -0.34% | +0.48% | -0.30% | +0.68% | -0.38% | +0.60% | -0.44% |
| 16 Avg +0.02% | -0.11% | +1.10% | -1.06% | +0.35% | +0.39% | -0.22% | -0.18% | +0.51% | +0.10% | -0.95% | +0.31% | +0.01% |
| 17 Avg +0.05% | +0.17% | -0.38% | +0.87% | +1.00% | -0.19% | -0.16% | -0.06% | -1.06% | -0.08% | +0.95% | -0.23% | -0.22% |
| 18 Avg +0.06% | +0.04% | -0.22% | -0.68% | +0.26% | +0.02% | +0.26% | +0.47% | +0.05% | +0.39% | +0.51% | -0.11% | -0.23% |
| 19 Avg +0.18% | -0.24% | +0.29% | +1.96% | +0.21% | +0.10% | +0.23% | -1.01% | -0.55% | +1.27% | +0.27% | -0.12% | -0.21% |
| 20 Avg +0.03% | -0.40% | +0.26% | +0.39% | +0.40% | -0.19% | -0.23% | -0.02% | -0.12% | -0.96% | +1.52% | -0.26% | -0.03% |
| 21 Avg -0.06% | -1.64% | -0.65% | 0.00% | -0.08% | +0.01% | +0.31% | +0.51% | -0.18% | -1.31% | +0.51% | +1.15% | +0.64% |
| 22 Avg 0.00% | +0.54% | +0.58% | -1.46% | -0.42% | -0.92% | -0.16% | -0.48% | +0.53% | -0.07% | +0.49% | +1.57% | -0.22% |
| 23 Avg -0.18% | -0.30% | -0.96% | -1.13% | +1.02% | -0.28% | -0.02% | +0.08% | +0.01% | -0.28% | -0.25% | -0.02% | -0.03% |
| 24 Avg +0.34% | +0.52% | +0.59% | +2.78% | +0.02% | -0.20% | -0.50% | -0.05% | +0.25% | +0.01% | +0.64% | +0.33% | -0.28% |
| 25 Avg +0.25% | -0.73% | +0.28% | -0.03% | -0.64% | +0.11% | -0.04% | +1.80% | +0.61% | +0.55% | +0.70% | +0.34% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.43% | +1.74% | +0.08% | +1.48% | +0.61% | +1.08% | +0.27% | +0.21% | -0.10% | -0.24% | -0.17% | -0.22% | +0.44% |
| 27 Avg +0.24% | -0.48% | +0.13% | +0.14% | +0.75% | +1.43% | -0.42% | +0.23% | +0.23% | +1.43% | +0.10% | -0.56% | -0.12% |
| 28 Avg +0.09% | +1.07% | +0.16% | -0.45% | -0.09% | -0.14% | +0.45% | -0.44% | -0.01% | +0.75% | +0.32% | +0.14% | -0.69% |
| 29 Avg +0.14% | +0.44% | - | +0.19% | +0.60% | -0.80% | +0.47% | +1.11% | +0.75% | -1.23% | +0.57% | -0.12% | -0.46% |
| 30 Avg -0.16% | +0.53% | - | +1.26% | -1.41% | -0.31% | +0.42% | -0.33% | -0.71% | -0.01% | -0.66% | +0.10% | -0.69% |
| 31 Avg -0.28% | -1.04% | - | +0.36% | - | -0.69% | - | +0.12% | -0.81% | - | 0.00% | - | +0.09% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
