Check historical price trends and seasonality for Serco Group plc (SRP.L).
Serco Group plc (SRP.L) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +17.08%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (May 31 for 30 days) is +3.57%.
6 wins 1 losses with a win rate of 85.71%.
1) Overview:
Serco Group plc typically experiences a strong bullish phase from late February through July, culminating in a peak around July 31 with an average gain of +17.3%. Following this peak, the stock tends to consolidate with some volatility throughout August, September, October, and November, before experiencing a sharp rally in December. Specifically, the stock shows significant upward movement towards the end of December, with gains of +17.5% by December 29 and +17.0% by December 31. The stock price then tends to decline slightly on January 31, with an average decrease of -0.6%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Potential buying opportunities arise during pullback periods, particularly in early February, where the stock experiences minor declines. Another potential dip occurs in November, offering a chance to enter before the significant rally in December. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after earlier gains or broader market corrections. The rebound typically occurs as the calendar turns to December, driven by renewed investor interest and seasonal factors.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a potential investment strategy for Serco Group plc could involve accumulating shares during the pullback in early February or in November, anticipating the strong upward trend leading into the end of December. Investors should be aware of the potential for a slight decline around January 31. Consider exiting positions near the end of July to capitalize on the seasonal peak, or near the end of December to capitalize on the end-of-year rally.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-05-31 | 178.0000 | 2024-06-29 | 179.7000 | 1.7000 | 0.96 |
| 2023 | 2023-05-31 | 142.9000 | 2023-06-29 | 154.5000 | 11.6000 | 8.12 |
| 2022 | 2022-05-31 | 176.2000 | 2022-06-29 | 177.4000 | 1.2000 | 0.68 |
| 2019 | 2019-05-31 | 132.8000 | 2019-06-29 | 144.0000 | 11.2000 | 8.43 |
| 2018 | 2018-05-31 | 92.9000 | 2018-06-29 | 98.9500 | 6.0500 | 6.51 |
| 2017 | 2017-05-31 | 118.7000 | 2017-06-29 | 118.4000 | -0.3000 | -0.25 |
| 2016 | 2016-05-31 | 106.8000 | 2016-06-29 | 107.4000 | 0.6000 | 0.56 |
| Avg | 135.4714 | 140.0500 | 4.58 | 3.57 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.50% | Feb Total +3.71% | Mar Total -0.18% | Apr Total +1.85% | May Total +2.83% | Jun Total +5.58% | Jul Total +3.61% | Aug Total -1.98% | Sep Total -0.81% | Oct Total +1.35% | Nov Total -3.23% | Dec Total +3.24% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.33% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +1.45% | +0.32% | +0.30% | +1.07% | +0.75% | -0.46% | -0.44% | +0.46% | -0.12% | +0.68% |
| 2 Avg -0.13% | +0.58% | +0.36% | -0.20% | +0.21% | +0.29% | -0.10% | -0.53% | -1.07% | +0.71% | -1.00% | -0.75% | -0.08% |
| 3 Avg +0.19% | -0.07% | -0.33% | +0.53% | +0.17% | +0.14% | +0.24% | +0.25% | +1.02% | -0.05% | +0.19% | -0.08% | +0.22% |
| 4 Avg -0.03% | +1.05% | +0.34% | -0.75% | -0.78% | -0.19% | 0.00% | -0.39% | +0.45% | +0.20% | +0.26% | +0.12% | -0.63% |
| 5 Avg -0.04% | +0.55% | +0.23% | +0.23% | -0.44% | +0.79% | -0.02% | -0.94% | -0.89% | -0.04% | +0.13% | -0.08% | -0.04% |
| 6 Avg -0.12% | -0.29% | +0.26% | -0.29% | +1.03% | -0.40% | +1.08% | +0.06% | -2.02% | +0.10% | +0.02% | -0.41% | -0.56% |
| 7 Avg -0.22% | -0.25% | -0.39% | -0.28% | -0.48% | -0.22% | +0.14% | +0.85% | -0.30% | +0.22% | -1.00% | -0.20% | -0.79% |
| 8 Avg +0.11% | +0.76% | -0.09% | -0.07% | +0.46% | +0.01% | +0.52% | -0.12% | +0.58% | +0.10% | +0.25% | -0.61% | -0.46% |
| 9 Avg -0.11% | +0.25% | +0.19% | -0.30% | -0.11% | -0.34% | -0.28% | +0.19% | -0.10% | -0.17% | +0.01% | -0.65% | -0.01% |
| 10 Avg -0.10% | -0.39% | -0.11% | -0.75% | +0.71% | +0.08% | -0.26% | +0.31% | -0.05% | -0.31% | -0.16% | +0.10% | -0.32% |
| 11 Avg +0.03% | -0.53% | +0.19% | -0.37% | +0.08% | -0.20% | -0.14% | +0.64% | -0.30% | +0.20% | +0.01% | +0.61% | +0.16% |
| 12 Avg -0.01% | -0.03% | -0.32% | -0.54% | 0.00% | +0.06% | -0.01% | +0.83% | +0.07% | -0.42% | -0.09% | +0.08% | +0.31% |
| 13 Avg -0.10% | -0.25% | -0.28% | -1.16% | +0.46% | -0.72% | -0.65% | +0.10% | +0.07% | -0.30% | +0.05% | -0.66% | +2.08% |
| 14 Avg +0.05% | -0.03% | +0.25% | +0.52% | +0.09% | -0.30% | -0.03% | -0.08% | -0.11% | -0.08% | +0.47% | -0.08% | +0.02% |
| 15 Avg +0.00% | +0.54% | +0.25% | -0.09% | -0.55% | +0.69% | -0.61% | +0.17% | +0.20% | -0.35% | +0.31% | +0.25% | -0.76% |
| 16 Avg +0.14% | -0.26% | +0.61% | +0.43% | -0.09% | +0.22% | -0.36% | -0.06% | -0.04% | -0.81% | +1.81% | -0.30% | +0.57% |
| 17 Avg +0.24% | -0.36% | +0.18% | +0.21% | -0.02% | 0.00% | +1.58% | -0.07% | -0.24% | +0.43% | +0.65% | -0.12% | +0.65% |
| 18 Avg +0.09% | +0.62% | -0.30% | -0.35% | -0.07% | -0.04% | -0.09% | +0.61% | +0.18% | -0.35% | +0.29% | +0.22% | +0.30% |
| 19 Avg -0.04% | -0.40% | -0.24% | -0.54% | +0.14% | -0.24% | +0.23% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.13% | -0.84% | -0.14% | +1.39% |
| 20 Avg +0.10% | -0.53% | +0.15% | +0.66% | -0.07% | +0.03% | +0.75% | +0.13% | +0.21% | +0.14% | -0.37% | +0.16% | -0.12% |
| 21 Avg -0.05% | +0.11% | +0.89% | +0.40% | -0.24% | -0.12% | -0.19% | +0.18% | -0.14% | -0.62% | -0.17% | -0.33% | -0.30% |
| 22 Avg +0.13% | +0.20% | -1.10% | -0.18% | +0.37% | +0.17% | +0.14% | -0.11% | +0.31% | +0.78% | -0.19% | +0.55% | +0.57% |
| 23 Avg +0.02% | +0.04% | -0.11% | -0.85% | +0.36% | +0.83% | +0.05% | -0.01% | +0.05% | -0.03% | -0.16% | -0.18% | +0.24% |
| 24 Avg -0.07% | -0.16% | -0.35% | +0.52% | +0.20% | +0.05% | -0.68% | -0.25% | +0.15% | -0.90% | +0.19% | +0.36% | +0.08% |
| 25 Avg +0.36% | +0.15% | +2.18% | +0.80% | -0.03% | +1.11% | -0.04% | +0.05% | -0.12% | -0.02% | +0.42% | -0.13% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.13% | -0.13% | +0.07% | +0.78% | -0.04% | +1.31% | +0.63% | +0.09% | -0.36% | -0.14% | -0.26% | -0.37% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg +0.10% | -0.17% | +0.19% | -0.91% | +0.54% | +0.39% | +0.54% | +0.84% | +0.04% | +0.12% | -0.09% | +0.04% | -0.28% |
| 28 Avg +0.29% | -0.26% | +1.05% | +0.29% | -0.17% | -0.17% | +1.23% | -0.14% | +0.08% | +1.42% | +0.05% | -0.08% | +0.18% |
| 29 Avg +0.21% | +0.08% | - | -0.23% | +0.38% | -0.34% | +1.27% | +0.13% | +0.31% | -0.54% | +0.15% | +0.33% | +0.73% |
| 30 Avg -0.20% | -0.19% | - | +0.10% | -0.59% | -0.09% | -0.42% | -0.30% | -0.02% | +0.21% | +0.11% | -0.75% | -0.22% |
| 31 Avg -0.03% | -1.13% | - | +0.76% | - | -0.27% | - | +0.42% | +0.51% | - | -0.16% | - | -0.35% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
