Check historical price trends and seasonality for Simon Property Group (SPG).
Simon Property Group (SPG) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +4.23%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -9.11%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Simon Property Group exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern. The stock tends to decline significantly from early March through late May, culminating in a notable low around May 23 with an average drop of -8.8%. A strong bullish phase then emerges, starting in early November and continuing into early December, with gains reaching +4.8% by December 7. The stock continues to show strength, ending the year with a gain of +4.2% on December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most pronounced buying opportunity historically occurs in late May, particularly around May 23, following a substantial decline. This pullback, averaging -8.8%, could be attributed to broader market corrections or sector-specific concerns. Another potential, albeit less pronounced, dip can be observed in early October, setting the stage for a rally into the end of the year.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to Simon Property Group might involve accumulating shares in late May to capitalize on the significant pullback. Another opportunity may exist in early October. Consider exiting or reducing positions in early December to capture gains before a potential consolidation period.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 172.7100 | 2025-03-16 | 161.2100 | -11.5000 | -6.66 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 145.5300 | 2024-03-15 | 150.7700 | 5.2400 | 3.60 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 148.5400 | 2020-03-15 | 89.7700 | -58.7700 | -39.57 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 172.8900 | 2019-03-16 | 176.0900 | 3.2000 | 1.85 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 165.0400 | 2018-03-16 | 157.1300 | -7.9100 | -4.79 |
| Avg | 160.9420 | 146.9940 | -13.95 | -9.11 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.08% | Feb Total +1.25% | Mar Total -7.69% | Apr Total +0.00% | May Total -1.68% | Jun Total +3.40% | Jul Total +2.26% | Aug Total +0.93% | Sep Total -1.88% | Oct Total +1.25% | Nov Total +7.70% | Dec Total +0.82% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.06% | 0.00% | -0.32% | -0.26% | -1.25% | +0.20% | +0.75% | +0.18% | +0.08% | +0.18% | +0.24% | +0.88% | +0.05% |
| 2 Avg +0.02% | -0.29% | 0.00% | +0.58% | -0.69% | +0.19% | +0.58% | +0.07% | -0.91% | -0.01% | -0.49% | +0.93% | +0.28% |
| 3 Avg +0.14% | +0.22% | -0.12% | +0.08% | -0.20% | +0.09% | +1.22% | +0.71% | -0.19% | -0.14% | -0.55% | +0.52% | +0.08% |
| 4 Avg +0.26% | +0.03% | +0.61% | -0.49% | -0.61% | +0.29% | +0.58% | 0.00% | +0.39% | +0.47% | +0.35% | +0.73% | +0.79% |
| 5 Avg +0.13% | -0.05% | +0.48% | -0.19% | -0.37% | -0.52% | +1.73% | -0.17% | +0.25% | -0.07% | +0.08% | +0.59% | -0.19% |
| 6 Avg +0.16% | +0.55% | +0.35% | -0.43% | +1.43% | -0.60% | +0.40% | -0.43% | +0.13% | +0.52% | -0.21% | -0.46% | +0.71% |
| 7 Avg +0.03% | -0.34% | -0.08% | -1.45% | +0.85% | +0.51% | +0.71% | -0.61% | +0.12% | +0.05% | -0.08% | +0.85% | -0.16% |
| 8 Avg -0.03% | +0.39% | -0.58% | +0.22% | +0.01% | -0.11% | +0.34% | +0.11% | +0.20% | -0.43% | -0.28% | -0.25% | -0.02% |
| 9 Avg +0.04% | -0.39% | +0.86% | -2.00% | +1.78% | -0.10% | -1.26% | -0.36% | -0.04% | -0.36% | -0.03% | +2.64% | -0.23% |
| 10 Avg +0.10% | -0.27% | +0.73% | +0.23% | -0.36% | +0.53% | -0.87% | +0.70% | +0.44% | -0.27% | -0.10% | +0.72% | -0.33% |
| 11 Avg -0.35% | -0.12% | +0.36% | -0.88% | +0.09% | -2.18% | -1.45% | -0.13% | +0.22% | -0.11% | +0.67% | -0.27% | -0.44% |
| 12 Avg -0.05% | +0.86% | -0.27% | -1.28% | -0.45% | +0.01% | +0.92% | +0.19% | +0.08% | -0.04% | +0.18% | -1.01% | +0.22% |
| 13 Avg -0.02% | +0.56% | -0.08% | +0.51% | -0.35% | -1.53% | -0.64% | -0.29% | +0.28% | -0.39% | +0.22% | +0.75% | +0.69% |
| 14 Avg +0.14% | +0.39% | -0.40% | -0.14% | +0.43% | +0.58% | -0.20% | -0.30% | +0.37% | +0.74% | +0.07% | +0.18% | -0.01% |
| 15 Avg +0.02% | -0.36% | +0.45% | +0.06% | -1.15% | -0.08% | -0.09% | +0.87% | -0.61% | +0.61% | +0.30% | +0.02% | +0.25% |
| 16 Avg -0.37% | +0.15% | +0.47% | -2.80% | -1.70% | -0.37% | +0.11% | -0.62% | -0.41% | +0.56% | +0.12% | +0.20% | -0.15% |
| 17 Avg -0.01% | -0.01% | -0.08% | -0.89% | +1.25% | +0.32% | -0.47% | +0.21% | -0.33% | -0.40% | +0.61% | +0.19% | -0.48% |
| 18 Avg -0.43% | -0.44% | -0.16% | -2.70% | +0.01% | +0.37% | -0.40% | -0.09% | -0.54% | -0.75% | +0.25% | +0.07% | -0.78% |
| 19 Avg +0.07% | -0.58% | +0.06% | +2.38% | +0.09% | -0.14% | -0.65% | +0.02% | -0.05% | +0.02% | -0.35% | +0.20% | -0.21% |
| 20 Avg -0.29% | +0.21% | +0.03% | -1.05% | -1.03% | -0.71% | -0.03% | +0.40% | +0.10% | -0.39% | +0.14% | -0.42% | -0.69% |
| 21 Avg -0.02% | +0.20% | -0.07% | +0.12% | -0.48% | +0.17% | +0.68% | +0.41% | -0.24% | -1.00% | +0.21% | -0.11% | -0.11% |
| 22 Avg -0.01% | +0.08% | +0.46% | -0.92% | -0.48% | -0.33% | +0.13% | +0.26% | -0.31% | +0.03% | +0.44% | +0.31% | +0.20% |
| 23 Avg +0.16% | +0.44% | +0.14% | -0.36% | +0.65% | -0.39% | +0.46% | +0.03% | +0.53% | -0.19% | -0.04% | +0.53% | +0.11% |
| 24 Avg +0.13% | -0.30% | +0.46% | +1.20% | -0.26% | +0.44% | -0.42% | -0.64% | +0.83% | -0.31% | +0.14% | +0.33% | +0.04% |
| 25 Avg +0.19% | +0.11% | -0.52% | +1.73% | -0.10% | +0.04% | -0.45% | +0.15% | +0.38% | +0.18% | +0.66% | +0.12% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.08% | +0.33% | -0.35% | +0.48% | +0.11% | +1.25% | +0.04% | +0.47% | -0.71% | -0.31% | -0.77% | -0.29% | +0.66% |
| 27 Avg +0.06% | -0.62% | -0.83% | -0.86% | +1.94% | +1.19% | +0.52% | +0.09% | +0.36% | +0.07% | -1.28% | -0.12% | +0.30% |
| 28 Avg +0.29% | +0.21% | -0.34% | +0.93% | +1.48% | -0.70% | +0.30% | +0.39% | +0.53% | +0.92% | +0.09% | -0.21% | -0.16% |
| 29 Avg +0.13% | -0.63% | - | +0.78% | +0.15% | -0.45% | +0.99% | +0.80% | +0.11% | -0.95% | +0.19% | +0.40% | +0.02% |
| 30 Avg -0.14% | -0.52% | - | -0.38% | -0.79% | +0.11% | -0.12% | -0.05% | +0.20% | -0.11% | +0.31% | -0.35% | +0.16% |
| 31 Avg +0.08% | +0.29% | - | +0.10% | - | +0.24% | - | -0.13% | -0.33% | - | +0.16% | - | +0.21% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
