Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Semtech Corporation (SMTC).

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Semtech Corporation (SMTC) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +29.43%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Apr 17 for 60 days) is +8.79%.

4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) exhibits a distinct bullish trend during the second half of the year, particularly from May to December. The stock tends to decline from February, reaching a low around March 10 (-7.7%). A strong upward trend begins in November, culminating in substantial gains by December, with peaks around December 8 (+31.4%) and December 31 (+29.4%).

2) Buy-the-dip points:

A significant buying opportunity typically arises in March, specifically around March 10, following a period of decline that starts in February. Another potential, albeit less pronounced, buy-the-dip opportunity may occur in April. The stock tends to rebound strongly from May onwards, making these pullback periods attractive entry points for investors looking to capitalize on the subsequent bullish trend.

3) Summary:

An investment strategy for SMTC could involve accumulating shares during the weakness in March, aiming to benefit from the strong seasonal rally that typically occurs from May through December. Consider the dip around March 10 as a key entry point. Given the pronounced gains in December, especially around December 8 and December 31, investors may want to consider taking profits towards the end of the year.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-04-17 26.2400 2025-06-15 39.1400 12.9000 49.16
2024 2024-04-17 32.8600 2024-06-15 29.5300 -3.3300 -10.13
2023 2023-04-17 22.7400 2023-06-15 22.6000 -0.1400 -0.62
2020 2020-04-17 42.8800 2020-06-15 50.8800 8.0000 18.66
2019 2019-04-17 54.5600 2019-06-15 43.3200 -11.2400 -20.60
2018 2018-04-17 43.9500 2018-06-15 50.7000 6.7500 15.36
2017 2017-04-17 32.5500 2017-06-15 35.7000 3.1500 9.68
Avg 36.5400 38.8386 2.30 8.79
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.10% Feb Total -6.43% Mar Total +3.31% Apr Total +2.19% May Total +6.62% Jun Total +1.96% Jul Total +7.43% Aug Total +3.09% Sep Total +0.17% Oct Total -7.48% Nov Total +11.38% Dec Total +4.20%
1 Avg +0.04% 0.00% +1.44% +1.74% +0.88% -0.13% +0.29% -0.26% -1.58% -2.15% -0.84% +0.82% +0.23%
2 Avg +0.06% +0.34% -0.43% +0.06% +0.13% +0.86% +0.10% +0.67% -2.24% +1.74% -0.56% -0.11% +0.13%
3 Avg -0.19% -0.27% -1.40% -0.56% -0.91% +0.14% +0.39% +0.09% +0.19% -1.31% +0.61% +0.59% +0.14%
4 Avg +0.42% +0.50% +1.31% -0.92% +0.14% -0.17% +0.89% 0.00% +0.70% +0.68% +0.13% +0.65% +1.13%
5 Avg -0.31% -0.53% -1.11% +0.29% -1.19% +0.33% -0.28% -0.06% -1.40% -0.17% -0.71% +1.61% -0.47%
6 Avg -0.06% +0.75% -1.04% -1.22% +0.63% -0.32% +0.53% -0.27% +0.87% -0.91% -1.03% +1.35% -0.07%
7 Avg +0.05% -0.35% -1.36% -0.21% +0.13% +0.41% -1.80% +0.34% +0.36% -0.61% +0.29% +1.57% +1.88%
8 Avg +0.18% +0.64% -0.50% -0.31% -0.07% +0.68% +0.19% +1.05% +0.90% -1.04% -0.76% +0.41% +0.98%
9 Avg -0.14% +0.80% +0.39% -0.82% +1.44% -0.57% -0.73% +0.87% -0.85% +0.40% -0.40% -1.10% -1.05%
10 Avg -0.12% +0.26% -3.44% -0.30% -0.79% +0.31% +0.28% +0.99% -0.20% -0.18% +0.38% +1.63% -0.35%
11 Avg +0.14% +0.45% +0.09% +0.08% +1.34% -0.49% -1.11% +0.48% -0.30% +0.57% -0.17% +0.01% +0.67%
12 Avg +0.05% -0.22% +0.40% +0.47% -1.00% -0.31% +0.70% +0.55% +1.30% -0.11% -0.17% -0.98% 0.00%
13 Avg +0.00% +0.01% -0.77% +0.53% +0.29% -0.29% -0.81% +0.44% +1.47% -0.18% -0.59% -0.49% +0.40%
14 Avg +0.27% +0.33% +0.83% +1.06% +0.03% +0.80% +0.14% -0.41% -1.02% +1.45% -0.23% -0.11% +0.37%
15 Avg +0.55% +1.23% +1.02% +2.39% -0.42% +0.62% -0.19% +0.56% +0.63% +0.45% +0.30% -0.03% +0.07%
16 Avg -0.14% -0.74% +0.16% -0.84% +0.15% +0.09% -0.10% -0.56% -0.05% -0.25% +0.45% +0.56% -0.60%
17 Avg +0.12% +0.81% -0.21% +2.88% +1.02% -0.26% +0.41% +0.09% -1.17% -0.05% -0.82% -0.43% -0.88%
18 Avg -0.04% +0.48% -0.63% -1.25% +0.21% +1.17% +0.03% +0.50% +0.07% -0.35% -1.19% -0.05% +0.53%
19 Avg -0.16% +0.16% +0.90% +1.98% -1.45% -0.48% -0.07% +0.01% -0.59% +0.31% -2.13% +0.29% -0.79%
20 Avg +0.18% +0.26% +0.72% +0.47% -0.75% +1.07% +0.11% +0.48% +0.14% -0.46% +0.29% +0.19% -0.41%
21 Avg +0.00% +0.24% -0.89% -0.14% -1.64% -0.31% +1.30% -0.07% +0.80% -0.45% +0.33% +0.21% +0.64%
22 Avg +0.23% -0.18% +0.35% -0.10% +1.05% +0.36% -0.37% -0.33% +0.43% +0.95% -0.30% +0.86% +0.04%
23 Avg +0.09% +0.18% -0.88% -0.58% +1.63% -0.49% +0.15% +0.36% +0.40% -0.12% +0.01% -0.11% +0.49%
24 Avg +0.23% -0.48% -0.11% +1.00% +1.63% +0.08% +0.25% +0.03% -0.03% -0.34% -0.81% +1.36% +0.14%
25 Avg +0.06% -0.33% -0.63% -0.84% +0.20% +0.62% +0.09% -0.90% +0.57% +0.65% +0.73% +0.61% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.86% -0.46% +0.87% +2.00% +0.05% +1.88% +0.38% +1.61% +1.00% +0.19% -0.29% +1.74% +1.32%
27 Avg -0.59% -3.89% -2.20% -0.93% -0.30% +1.14% -1.11% +0.17% -0.08% +0.14% -0.11% +0.14% -0.08%
28 Avg +0.39% +1.02% +0.67% -0.67% -0.29% -0.26% +0.82% +0.54% +1.65% +0.62% +0.25% +0.37% -0.04%
29 Avg +0.31% +0.05% - +0.57% +0.91% +0.10% +0.75% +0.76% -0.60% -0.36% +0.92% +0.28% +0.01%
30 Avg -0.20% +0.51% - -2.20% -0.89% -0.64% +0.71% -0.49% +1.50% +1.04% -0.97% -0.45% -0.32%
31 Avg +0.04% -0.47% - -0.31% - +0.65% - +0.19% +0.21% - -0.07% - +0.10%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Apr 17 - May 16] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses