Check historical price trends and seasonality for Semtech Corporation (SMTC).
Semtech Corporation (SMTC) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +29.43%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -8.33%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Semtech Corporation (SMTC) exhibits a distinct bullish trend during the second half of the year, particularly from May to December. The stock tends to decline from February, reaching a low around March 10 (-7.7%). A strong upward trend begins in November, culminating in substantial gains by December, with peaks around December 8 (+31.4%) and December 31 (+29.4%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A significant buying opportunity typically arises in March, specifically around March 10, following a period of decline that starts in February. Another potential, albeit less pronounced, buy-the-dip opportunity may occur in April. The stock tends to rebound strongly from May onwards, making these pullback periods attractive entry points for investors looking to capitalize on the subsequent bullish trend.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for SMTC could involve accumulating shares during the weakness in March, aiming to benefit from the strong seasonal rally that typically occurs from May through December. Consider the dip around March 10 as a key entry point. Given the pronounced gains in December, especially around December 8 and December 31, investors may want to consider taking profits towards the end of the year.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 68.9300 | 2025-03-16 | 39.6000 | -29.3300 | -42.55 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 18.5500 | 2024-03-15 | 22.8500 | 4.3000 | 23.18 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 54.7900 | 2020-03-15 | 35.0100 | -19.7800 | -36.10 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 51.4000 | 2019-03-16 | 54.8700 | 3.4700 | 6.75 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 38.2500 | 2018-03-16 | 40.9500 | 2.7000 | 7.06 |
| Avg | 46.3840 | 38.6560 | -7.73 | -8.33 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.10% | Feb Total -6.43% | Mar Total +3.31% | Apr Total +2.19% | May Total +6.62% | Jun Total +1.96% | Jul Total +7.43% | Aug Total +3.09% | Sep Total +0.17% | Oct Total -7.48% | Nov Total +11.38% | Dec Total +4.20% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.04% | 0.00% | +1.44% | +1.74% | +0.88% | -0.13% | +0.29% | -0.26% | -1.58% | -2.15% | -0.84% | +0.82% | +0.23% |
| 2 Avg +0.06% | +0.34% | -0.43% | +0.06% | +0.13% | +0.86% | +0.10% | +0.67% | -2.24% | +1.74% | -0.56% | -0.11% | +0.13% |
| 3 Avg -0.19% | -0.27% | -1.40% | -0.56% | -0.91% | +0.14% | +0.39% | +0.09% | +0.19% | -1.31% | +0.61% | +0.59% | +0.14% |
| 4 Avg +0.42% | +0.50% | +1.31% | -0.92% | +0.14% | -0.17% | +0.89% | 0.00% | +0.70% | +0.68% | +0.13% | +0.65% | +1.13% |
| 5 Avg -0.31% | -0.53% | -1.11% | +0.29% | -1.19% | +0.33% | -0.28% | -0.06% | -1.40% | -0.17% | -0.71% | +1.61% | -0.47% |
| 6 Avg -0.06% | +0.75% | -1.04% | -1.22% | +0.63% | -0.32% | +0.53% | -0.27% | +0.87% | -0.91% | -1.03% | +1.35% | -0.07% |
| 7 Avg +0.05% | -0.35% | -1.36% | -0.21% | +0.13% | +0.41% | -1.80% | +0.34% | +0.36% | -0.61% | +0.29% | +1.57% | +1.88% |
| 8 Avg +0.18% | +0.64% | -0.50% | -0.31% | -0.07% | +0.68% | +0.19% | +1.05% | +0.90% | -1.04% | -0.76% | +0.41% | +0.98% |
| 9 Avg -0.14% | +0.80% | +0.39% | -0.82% | +1.44% | -0.57% | -0.73% | +0.87% | -0.85% | +0.40% | -0.40% | -1.10% | -1.05% |
| 10 Avg -0.12% | +0.26% | -3.44% | -0.30% | -0.79% | +0.31% | +0.28% | +0.99% | -0.20% | -0.18% | +0.38% | +1.63% | -0.35% |
| 11 Avg +0.14% | +0.45% | +0.09% | +0.08% | +1.34% | -0.49% | -1.11% | +0.48% | -0.30% | +0.57% | -0.17% | +0.01% | +0.67% |
| 12 Avg +0.05% | -0.22% | +0.40% | +0.47% | -1.00% | -0.31% | +0.70% | +0.55% | +1.30% | -0.11% | -0.17% | -0.98% | 0.00% |
| 13 Avg +0.00% | +0.01% | -0.77% | +0.53% | +0.29% | -0.29% | -0.81% | +0.44% | +1.47% | -0.18% | -0.59% | -0.49% | +0.40% |
| 14 Avg +0.27% | +0.33% | +0.83% | +1.06% | +0.03% | +0.80% | +0.14% | -0.41% | -1.02% | +1.45% | -0.23% | -0.11% | +0.37% |
| 15 Avg +0.55% | +1.23% | +1.02% | +2.39% | -0.42% | +0.62% | -0.19% | +0.56% | +0.63% | +0.45% | +0.30% | -0.03% | +0.07% |
| 16 Avg -0.14% | -0.74% | +0.16% | -0.84% | +0.15% | +0.09% | -0.10% | -0.56% | -0.05% | -0.25% | +0.45% | +0.56% | -0.60% |
| 17 Avg +0.12% | +0.81% | -0.21% | +2.88% | +1.02% | -0.26% | +0.41% | +0.09% | -1.17% | -0.05% | -0.82% | -0.43% | -0.88% |
| 18 Avg -0.04% | +0.48% | -0.63% | -1.25% | +0.21% | +1.17% | +0.03% | +0.50% | +0.07% | -0.35% | -1.19% | -0.05% | +0.53% |
| 19 Avg -0.16% | +0.16% | +0.90% | +1.98% | -1.45% | -0.48% | -0.07% | +0.01% | -0.59% | +0.31% | -2.13% | +0.29% | -0.79% |
| 20 Avg +0.18% | +0.26% | +0.72% | +0.47% | -0.75% | +1.07% | +0.11% | +0.48% | +0.14% | -0.46% | +0.29% | +0.19% | -0.41% |
| 21 Avg +0.00% | +0.24% | -0.89% | -0.14% | -1.64% | -0.31% | +1.30% | -0.07% | +0.80% | -0.45% | +0.33% | +0.21% | +0.64% |
| 22 Avg +0.23% | -0.18% | +0.35% | -0.10% | +1.05% | +0.36% | -0.37% | -0.33% | +0.43% | +0.95% | -0.30% | +0.86% | +0.04% |
| 23 Avg +0.09% | +0.18% | -0.88% | -0.58% | +1.63% | -0.49% | +0.15% | +0.36% | +0.40% | -0.12% | +0.01% | -0.11% | +0.49% |
| 24 Avg +0.23% | -0.48% | -0.11% | +1.00% | +1.63% | +0.08% | +0.25% | +0.03% | -0.03% | -0.34% | -0.81% | +1.36% | +0.14% |
| 25 Avg +0.06% | -0.33% | -0.63% | -0.84% | +0.20% | +0.62% | +0.09% | -0.90% | +0.57% | +0.65% | +0.73% | +0.61% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.86% | -0.46% | +0.87% | +2.00% | +0.05% | +1.88% | +0.38% | +1.61% | +1.00% | +0.19% | -0.29% | +1.74% | +1.32% |
| 27 Avg -0.59% | -3.89% | -2.20% | -0.93% | -0.30% | +1.14% | -1.11% | +0.17% | -0.08% | +0.14% | -0.11% | +0.14% | -0.08% |
| 28 Avg +0.39% | +1.02% | +0.67% | -0.67% | -0.29% | -0.26% | +0.82% | +0.54% | +1.65% | +0.62% | +0.25% | +0.37% | -0.04% |
| 29 Avg +0.31% | +0.05% | - | +0.57% | +0.91% | +0.10% | +0.75% | +0.76% | -0.60% | -0.36% | +0.92% | +0.28% | +0.01% |
| 30 Avg -0.20% | +0.51% | - | -2.20% | -0.89% | -0.64% | +0.71% | -0.49% | +1.50% | +1.04% | -0.97% | -0.45% | -0.32% |
| 31 Avg +0.04% | -0.47% | - | -0.31% | - | +0.65% | - | +0.19% | +0.21% | - | -0.07% | - | +0.10% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
