Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Semtech Corporation (SMTC).

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Semtech Corporation (SMTC) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +29.43%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jun 2 for 60 days) is +11.43%.

5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) exhibits a distinct bullish trend during the second half of the year, particularly from May to December. The stock tends to decline from February, reaching a low around March 10 (-7.7%). A strong upward trend begins in November, culminating in substantial gains by December, with peaks around December 8 (+31.4%) and December 31 (+29.4%).

2) Buy-the-dip points:

A significant buying opportunity typically arises in March, specifically around March 10, following a period of decline that starts in February. Another potential, albeit less pronounced, buy-the-dip opportunity may occur in April. The stock tends to rebound strongly from May onwards, making these pullback periods attractive entry points for investors looking to capitalize on the subsequent bullish trend.

3) Summary:

An investment strategy for SMTC could involve accumulating shares during the weakness in March, aiming to benefit from the strong seasonal rally that typically occurs from May through December. Consider the dip around March 10 as a key entry point. Given the pronounced gains in December, especially around December 8 and December 31, investors may want to consider taking profits towards the end of the year.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-06-02 37.5000 2025-07-31 51.1000 13.6000 36.27
2023 2023-06-02 22.6100 2023-07-31 29.2000 6.5900 29.15
2022 2022-06-02 64.3500 2022-07-31 62.3300 -2.0200 -3.14
2021 2021-06-02 61.9300 2021-07-31 61.9100 -0.0200 -0.03
2020 2020-06-02 52.7700 2020-07-31 55.7300 2.9600 5.61
2017 2017-06-02 37.0500 2017-07-31 39.6000 2.5500 6.88
2016 2016-06-02 24.1400 2016-07-31 25.4200 1.2800 5.30
Avg 42.9071 46.4700 3.56 11.43
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.10% Feb Total -6.43% Mar Total +3.31% Apr Total +2.19% May Total +6.62% Jun Total +1.96% Jul Total +7.43% Aug Total +3.09% Sep Total +0.17% Oct Total -7.48% Nov Total +11.38% Dec Total +4.20%
1 Avg +0.04% 0.00% +1.44% +1.74% +0.88% -0.13% +0.29% -0.26% -1.58% -2.15% -0.84% +0.82% +0.23%
2 Avg +0.06% +0.34% -0.43% +0.06% +0.13% +0.86% +0.10% +0.67% -2.24% +1.74% -0.56% -0.11% +0.13%
3 Avg -0.19% -0.27% -1.40% -0.56% -0.91% +0.14% +0.39% +0.09% +0.19% -1.31% +0.61% +0.59% +0.14%
4 Avg +0.42% +0.50% +1.31% -0.92% +0.14% -0.17% +0.89% 0.00% +0.70% +0.68% +0.13% +0.65% +1.13%
5 Avg -0.31% -0.53% -1.11% +0.29% -1.19% +0.33% -0.28% -0.06% -1.40% -0.17% -0.71% +1.61% -0.47%
6 Avg -0.06% +0.75% -1.04% -1.22% +0.63% -0.32% +0.53% -0.27% +0.87% -0.91% -1.03% +1.35% -0.07%
7 Avg +0.05% -0.35% -1.36% -0.21% +0.13% +0.41% -1.80% +0.34% +0.36% -0.61% +0.29% +1.57% +1.88%
8 Avg +0.18% +0.64% -0.50% -0.31% -0.07% +0.68% +0.19% +1.05% +0.90% -1.04% -0.76% +0.41% +0.98%
9 Avg -0.14% +0.80% +0.39% -0.82% +1.44% -0.57% -0.73% +0.87% -0.85% +0.40% -0.40% -1.10% -1.05%
10 Avg -0.12% +0.26% -3.44% -0.30% -0.79% +0.31% +0.28% +0.99% -0.20% -0.18% +0.38% +1.63% -0.35%
11 Avg +0.14% +0.45% +0.09% +0.08% +1.34% -0.49% -1.11% +0.48% -0.30% +0.57% -0.17% +0.01% +0.67%
12 Avg +0.05% -0.22% +0.40% +0.47% -1.00% -0.31% +0.70% +0.55% +1.30% -0.11% -0.17% -0.98% 0.00%
13 Avg +0.00% +0.01% -0.77% +0.53% +0.29% -0.29% -0.81% +0.44% +1.47% -0.18% -0.59% -0.49% +0.40%
14 Avg +0.27% +0.33% +0.83% +1.06% +0.03% +0.80% +0.14% -0.41% -1.02% +1.45% -0.23% -0.11% +0.37%
15 Avg +0.55% +1.23% +1.02% +2.39% -0.42% +0.62% -0.19% +0.56% +0.63% +0.45% +0.30% -0.03% +0.07%
16 Avg -0.14% -0.74% +0.16% -0.84% +0.15% +0.09% -0.10% -0.56% -0.05% -0.25% +0.45% +0.56% -0.60%
17 Avg +0.12% +0.81% -0.21% +2.88% +1.02% -0.26% +0.41% +0.09% -1.17% -0.05% -0.82% -0.43% -0.88%
18 Avg -0.04% +0.48% -0.63% -1.25% +0.21% +1.17% +0.03% +0.50% +0.07% -0.35% -1.19% -0.05% +0.53%
19 Avg -0.16% +0.16% +0.90% +1.98% -1.45% -0.48% -0.07% +0.01% -0.59% +0.31% -2.13% +0.29% -0.79%
20 Avg +0.18% +0.26% +0.72% +0.47% -0.75% +1.07% +0.11% +0.48% +0.14% -0.46% +0.29% +0.19% -0.41%
21 Avg +0.00% +0.24% -0.89% -0.14% -1.64% -0.31% +1.30% -0.07% +0.80% -0.45% +0.33% +0.21% +0.64%
22 Avg +0.23% -0.18% +0.35% -0.10% +1.05% +0.36% -0.37% -0.33% +0.43% +0.95% -0.30% +0.86% +0.04%
23 Avg +0.09% +0.18% -0.88% -0.58% +1.63% -0.49% +0.15% +0.36% +0.40% -0.12% +0.01% -0.11% +0.49%
24 Avg +0.23% -0.48% -0.11% +1.00% +1.63% +0.08% +0.25% +0.03% -0.03% -0.34% -0.81% +1.36% +0.14%
25 Avg +0.06% -0.33% -0.63% -0.84% +0.20% +0.62% +0.09% -0.90% +0.57% +0.65% +0.73% +0.61% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.86% -0.46% +0.87% +2.00% +0.05% +1.88% +0.38% +1.61% +1.00% +0.19% -0.29% +1.74% +1.32%
27 Avg -0.59% -3.89% -2.20% -0.93% -0.30% +1.14% -1.11% +0.17% -0.08% +0.14% -0.11% +0.14% -0.08%
28 Avg +0.39% +1.02% +0.67% -0.67% -0.29% -0.26% +0.82% +0.54% +1.65% +0.62% +0.25% +0.37% -0.04%
29 Avg +0.31% +0.05% - +0.57% +0.91% +0.10% +0.75% +0.76% -0.60% -0.36% +0.92% +0.28% +0.01%
30 Avg -0.20% +0.51% - -2.20% -0.89% -0.64% +0.71% -0.49% +1.50% +1.04% -0.97% -0.45% -0.32%
31 Avg +0.04% -0.47% - -0.31% - +0.65% - +0.19% +0.21% - -0.07% - +0.10%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jun 2 - Jul 1] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses