Check historical price trends and seasonality for Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. (SMGR.JK).
Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. (SMGR.JK) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -10.93%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 30 for 30 days) is +10.30%.
6 wins 0 losses with a win rate of 100.00%.
1) Overview:
Semen Indonesia (SMGR.JK) exhibits a strong bearish tendency throughout the majority of the year. The stock typically experiences a significant decline from March through July, with losses averaging -10% or more. The most substantial average decline occurs around May 21, with a decrease of -17.8%. The year typically ends with a decline, particularly around December 31, averaging -11.0%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on the data, potential buying opportunities arise during periods of significant pullback. The most pronounced dip occurs around May 21, presenting a possible entry point after a substantial -17.8% decline. Another potential dip occurs around December 31, with an average decline of -11.0%. These periods of weakness could be considered for initiating or adding to positions, anticipating a potential rebound.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a strategy of buying Semen Indonesia (SMGR.JK) during periods of pronounced weakness, specifically around May 21 and December 31. Investors should be aware of the strong bearish tendencies throughout the year and manage risk accordingly. Timing entry points around these seasonal lows could potentially offer favorable returns, but careful monitoring and consideration of other market factors are crucial.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-07-30 | 2,510.0000 | 2025-08-28 | 2,730.0000 | 220.0000 | 8.76 |
| 2024 | 2024-07-30 | 3,900.0000 | 2024-08-28 | 4,020.0000 | 120.0000 | 3.08 |
| 2021 | 2021-07-30 | 7,678.6362 | 2021-08-28 | 8,825.4453 | 1,146.8091 | 14.94 |
| 2020 | 2020-07-30 | 9,199.4053 | 2020-08-28 | 10,620.4512 | 1,421.0459 | 15.45 |
| 2019 | 2019-07-30 | 12,614.9023 | 2019-08-28 | 12,914.0703 | 299.1680 | 2.37 |
| 2018 | 2018-07-30 | 7,828.2202 | 2018-08-28 | 9,174.4746 | 1,346.2544 | 17.20 |
| Avg | 7,288.5273 | 8,047.4069 | 758.88 | 10.30 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.91% | Feb Total -3.04% | Mar Total -3.26% | Apr Total -3.51% | May Total -2.27% | Jun Total -0.06% | Jul Total -0.33% | Aug Total +8.23% | Sep Total -2.37% | Oct Total +2.63% | Nov Total +0.36% | Dec Total -2.33% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.33% | 0.00% | +0.54% | +0.40% | +0.32% | 0.00% | +0.11% | +0.60% | +1.70% | +0.12% | -0.15% | -0.53% | +0.87% |
| 2 Avg -0.12% | +0.69% | -0.13% | +0.33% | -0.33% | -1.46% | +0.08% | -0.21% | +0.85% | +0.21% | -1.07% | +0.07% | -0.46% |
| 3 Avg +0.11% | +0.03% | -0.64% | +0.24% | +0.53% | -1.14% | +0.44% | +0.46% | +1.63% | -0.09% | +0.31% | +0.08% | -0.58% |
| 4 Avg +0.14% | +1.35% | +0.18% | -0.62% | +0.56% | -0.80% | +0.71% | -0.28% | +0.09% | -0.84% | +0.87% | +0.24% | +0.19% |
| 5 Avg -0.04% | -0.62% | +0.85% | -0.09% | -1.05% | +0.11% | -0.12% | -0.35% | +0.08% | +0.05% | -0.62% | +0.86% | +0.42% |
| 6 Avg +0.15% | +0.16% | -0.18% | -0.29% | +0.08% | -0.94% | +0.52% | +0.77% | +0.51% | -0.07% | +0.40% | +1.34% | -0.47% |
| 7 Avg -0.20% | -0.35% | -0.38% | -0.87% | -0.15% | +0.43% | +0.14% | -0.37% | +0.06% | +0.05% | -0.57% | +0.10% | -0.54% |
| 8 Avg -0.38% | -0.89% | -0.32% | -0.38% | -1.64% | -1.03% | -0.11% | +0.35% | +0.14% | -0.22% | +0.56% | -0.53% | -0.51% |
| 9 Avg -0.23% | -0.07% | +0.44% | -1.24% | -0.16% | -1.20% | -0.55% | +0.27% | +0.33% | 0.00% | -0.08% | -0.77% | +0.29% |
| 10 Avg +0.17% | +0.14% | +0.60% | +1.57% | +0.21% | +0.24% | +0.65% | +0.33% | +0.02% | -1.28% | +0.24% | -0.20% | -0.46% |
| 11 Avg -0.21% | -1.47% | -0.21% | -0.90% | -0.91% | +1.58% | -0.60% | +0.38% | +0.28% | +0.06% | +0.07% | -0.43% | -0.38% |
| 12 Avg -0.15% | +0.42% | -0.75% | -0.90% | -0.77% | -0.22% | -0.24% | -0.18% | +0.73% | +0.39% | +0.43% | -0.38% | -0.29% |
| 13 Avg -0.11% | -0.26% | +0.55% | -0.61% | -0.42% | -1.01% | -0.63% | -0.43% | -0.27% | +0.60% | +0.18% | +0.05% | +0.95% |
| 14 Avg +0.11% | -0.86% | +0.14% | -0.54% | +1.71% | +0.49% | -0.27% | +0.25% | +0.21% | +0.16% | +0.06% | -0.33% | +0.27% |
| 15 Avg -0.17% | +0.32% | +0.61% | -1.22% | -0.90% | -0.55% | +0.67% | -0.77% | -0.01% | -0.06% | +0.30% | -0.37% | -0.02% |
| 16 Avg +0.04% | +0.46% | +0.02% | -1.14% | -0.77% | +0.65% | -0.21% | +0.25% | +0.71% | +0.11% | +0.02% | +0.43% | -0.02% |
| 17 Avg -0.12% | +0.74% | -0.46% | -0.41% | -0.87% | -0.53% | +0.01% | -0.41% | 0.00% | -0.46% | +0.93% | +0.28% | -0.22% |
| 18 Avg -0.16% | +0.03% | +0.29% | -0.59% | +0.21% | +0.24% | -0.58% | -0.07% | +0.36% | -1.04% | -0.23% | -0.10% | -0.46% |
| 19 Avg -0.02% | -0.12% | +0.15% | -0.36% | -0.89% | -0.49% | +0.34% | +0.04% | -0.17% | +0.47% | -0.18% | +1.04% | -0.04% |
| 20 Avg +0.27% | -0.37% | -0.18% | +1.97% | -0.47% | +0.50% | +0.09% | +0.35% | +1.17% | +0.60% | +0.63% | -0.04% | -1.04% |
| 21 Avg -0.07% | +0.59% | -0.02% | -0.21% | -0.72% | -0.73% | +0.13% | +0.17% | -0.44% | -0.11% | 0.00% | +0.10% | +0.41% |
| 22 Avg +0.07% | +0.02% | -0.65% | +0.14% | +1.67% | +0.75% | -0.69% | -0.25% | -0.05% | +0.31% | -0.31% | +0.07% | -0.15% |
| 23 Avg -0.06% | -0.05% | -0.40% | -1.45% | +0.42% | -0.01% | -0.21% | +0.05% | +0.45% | -0.17% | +0.50% | 0.00% | +0.08% |
| 24 Avg -0.27% | +0.36% | -0.87% | -0.14% | -0.93% | -0.02% | +0.44% | +0.35% | -0.61% | -0.81% | +0.23% | -1.00% | -0.21% |
| 25 Avg +0.25% | +0.25% | +0.87% | +0.84% | +0.50% | +0.32% | +0.06% | -0.21% | +0.71% | -0.47% | -0.08% | +0.19% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.28% | +0.92% | -0.86% | +2.49% | +0.45% | +0.57% | -0.13% | -0.32% | -0.84% | -0.03% | -0.25% | +1.22% | +0.18% |
| 27 Avg +0.18% | -0.10% | -0.63% | +1.27% | +0.19% | +1.45% | -0.44% | -0.23% | +0.82% | -0.40% | +0.52% | -0.67% | +0.41% |
| 28 Avg -0.15% | -0.09% | -1.61% | +0.35% | -0.49% | +0.17% | -1.12% | -0.06% | -0.16% | +0.73% | -0.14% | +0.19% | +0.42% |
| 29 Avg +0.15% | -1.04% | - | +0.50% | +0.37% | +0.40% | +0.99% | +0.11% | -0.32% | +1.10% | -0.09% | +0.01% | -0.35% |
| 30 Avg -0.42% | -1.10% | - | -1.19% | +0.73% | -0.01% | +0.46% | -0.85% | +0.11% | -1.27% | -0.26% | -0.56% | -0.61% |
| 31 Avg +0.03% | -0.01% | - | -0.19% | - | -0.04% | - | -0.08% | +0.12% | - | +0.40% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
