Check historical price trends and seasonality for Supermicro (SMCI).
Supermicro (SMCI) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +43.60%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +53.82%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
Supermicro (SMCI) exhibits a strong bullish tendency throughout the first half of the year, starting with a significant climb in February. The stock price tends to increase dramatically from February 01 (+14.4%) to a peak around July 29 (+63.4%). Following this peak, there is a bearish phase with a notable pullback occurring in August, bottoming around August 29 (+41.9%). The stock then consolidates with moderate gains through the fall before experiencing another bullish surge leading up to December 31 (+43.5%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on historical data, potential buying opportunities arise during pullback periods. The most significant dip appears in August, specifically around August 09 (+43.3%), following the peak in late July. Another potential dip occurs in late October, around October 30 (+31.2%), offering a chance to enter before the year-end rally. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after substantial gains or broader market corrections, presenting favorable entry points for long-term investors anticipating continued growth.
3) Summary:
The seasonality data suggests a strategic approach to investing in Supermicro (SMCI). Consider initiating positions during the pullback in August or late October to capitalize on the subsequent rallies. Given the strong performance leading up to July 29 (+63.4%) and December 31 (+43.5%), timing entry points during these dips could maximize returns. However, it is crucial to consider broader market conditions and company-specific news alongside these seasonal trends.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 31.1200 | 2025-03-16 | 42.1700 | 11.0500 | 35.51 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 32.6310 | 2024-03-15 | 106.8830 | 74.2520 | 227.55 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 2.8610 | 2020-03-15 | 2.2920 | -0.5690 | -19.89 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 1.4950 | 2019-03-16 | 2.0080 | 0.5130 | 34.31 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 2.1500 | 2018-03-16 | 1.9700 | -0.1800 | -8.37 |
| Avg | 14.0514 | 31.0646 | 17.01 | 53.82 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +9.92% | Feb Total +13.80% | Mar Total +3.64% | Apr Total -1.21% | May Total +14.83% | Jun Total +2.90% | Jul Total +6.86% | Aug Total -7.71% | Sep Total -1.27% | Oct Total -4.96% | Nov Total +11.33% | Dec Total +0.37% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.59% | 0.00% | +2.73% | +2.95% | +0.70% | -0.93% | +1.19% | -0.99% | -0.54% | +0.42% | +1.32% | +0.43% | -0.20% |
| 2 Avg +0.51% | +0.93% | -0.31% | +0.57% | -0.40% | +0.08% | +1.29% | +0.71% | -2.14% | +0.19% | +1.21% | +1.12% | +2.89% |
| 3 Avg +0.23% | +2.00% | -0.13% | -1.90% | -0.43% | +3.23% | +0.53% | -0.25% | -0.18% | -0.83% | -0.72% | +1.27% | +0.16% |
| 4 Avg +0.58% | +0.01% | +0.81% | +2.22% | -1.74% | +5.10% | +0.22% | 0.00% | +1.08% | -0.34% | -3.38% | +2.27% | +0.66% |
| 5 Avg -0.18% | -0.78% | +1.59% | +0.64% | -0.62% | -1.01% | +0.09% | -0.24% | +0.05% | -0.60% | +0.63% | -1.34% | -0.57% |
| 6 Avg -0.19% | +1.44% | +0.50% | -0.48% | -1.12% | +0.41% | +0.10% | -0.29% | -1.02% | -1.09% | +0.28% | -2.49% | +1.43% |
| 7 Avg +0.30% | -1.08% | +0.41% | +0.77% | +0.94% | +0.62% | +0.13% | +0.48% | -1.83% | -0.33% | +1.47% | +1.10% | +0.91% |
| 8 Avg +0.53% | +0.29% | +0.72% | -0.37% | -0.34% | +1.15% | +1.14% | +1.53% | -0.18% | +0.08% | +1.95% | -0.58% | +0.95% |
| 9 Avg -0.16% | +0.47% | +0.80% | -0.79% | +1.48% | -1.29% | -0.15% | +0.31% | -3.16% | +1.91% | -1.22% | +0.43% | -0.68% |
| 10 Avg +0.36% | +0.62% | +2.38% | +0.13% | +0.09% | -0.10% | -0.24% | +0.81% | +0.96% | -0.11% | -0.49% | +0.93% | -0.68% |
| 11 Avg -0.23% | -0.44% | -1.03% | +0.79% | +0.18% | -0.77% | -0.40% | -0.79% | -0.18% | +0.62% | +0.04% | +0.57% | -1.28% |
| 12 Avg +0.12% | +2.84% | +0.59% | +0.43% | -0.04% | -0.56% | +0.57% | +0.94% | -0.57% | -0.15% | -1.23% | -1.27% | -0.11% |
| 13 Avg +0.05% | +0.02% | +0.75% | -0.49% | +0.04% | +1.38% | -0.88% | +0.69% | -0.04% | +0.15% | +0.29% | -1.45% | +0.20% |
| 14 Avg +0.71% | -0.37% | +2.98% | +0.60% | +0.41% | +2.81% | -0.02% | +1.02% | +0.62% | +0.10% | -0.84% | +0.85% | +0.37% |
| 15 Avg +0.47% | -0.12% | +4.19% | -0.20% | -2.13% | +2.00% | +0.45% | +0.92% | +0.17% | -1.02% | +0.71% | +1.21% | -0.56% |
| 16 Avg -0.09% | -0.12% | -1.44% | -1.33% | +0.74% | +0.51% | -1.00% | +0.11% | +1.62% | -0.88% | +0.23% | +1.13% | -0.66% |
| 17 Avg -0.05% | -0.22% | -0.45% | +1.13% | +0.58% | +0.21% | +0.72% | -0.98% | -0.75% | +0.34% | +0.29% | -0.02% | -1.41% |
| 18 Avg +0.01% | -0.64% | +1.69% | -2.97% | -0.21% | +0.65% | +0.38% | +0.44% | +0.52% | -0.62% | -1.04% | +1.81% | +0.09% |
| 19 Avg -0.05% | +2.44% | +0.74% | -0.68% | -0.63% | -0.52% | +0.25% | -2.54% | -1.07% | -0.52% | -0.32% | +2.19% | +0.09% |
| 20 Avg +0.28% | +0.93% | -0.77% | +0.63% | -0.29% | +0.30% | +0.19% | +0.75% | +0.23% | +0.12% | +1.16% | -0.95% | +1.00% |
| 21 Avg +0.02% | +0.12% | -1.99% | +2.19% | -1.56% | -0.41% | +0.20% | +0.89% | +0.19% | -0.69% | +0.53% | +1.20% | -0.49% |
| 22 Avg +0.33% | +1.52% | +3.64% | +0.40% | +0.67% | -0.47% | -0.92% | -0.59% | -1.42% | +0.97% | -0.05% | +1.47% | -1.21% |
| 23 Avg +0.04% | +0.49% | -0.05% | -0.84% | +1.63% | -1.15% | -1.39% | +0.18% | +1.97% | -0.10% | -1.21% | +0.54% | +0.43% |
| 24 Avg +0.13% | +0.86% | -0.27% | +0.89% | +0.20% | +0.91% | -0.47% | -0.83% | -0.64% | -0.55% | +0.77% | +0.13% | +0.56% |
| 25 Avg +0.69% | -0.01% | -1.58% | +1.39% | +0.24% | +2.57% | +0.89% | +1.08% | +0.46% | +0.82% | +0.56% | +1.86% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.31% | +0.17% | +1.54% | -0.35% | +0.87% | +0.87% | -0.41% | +0.42% | -2.01% | -1.78% | -1.42% | -1.50% | -0.16% |
| 27 Avg -0.11% | -2.46% | -2.48% | -1.61% | +0.75% | +0.84% | +0.04% | +0.42% | +0.50% | +1.45% | +0.08% | +0.89% | +0.23% |
| 28 Avg -0.01% | -0.29% | -1.77% | -1.04% | +1.27% | -0.69% | -0.57% | +1.64% | -0.26% | +0.89% | +1.14% | +0.18% | -0.67% |
| 29 Avg +0.21% | +1.49% | - | +1.12% | -0.30% | -0.45% | -0.08% | +0.80% | +0.29% | -0.02% | -0.20% | -0.39% | +0.05% |
| 30 Avg -0.75% | +0.04% | - | -0.72% | -2.20% | +0.43% | +1.05% | +0.01% | -1.18% | +0.30% | -4.84% | -0.24% | -0.94% |
| 31 Avg -0.03% | -0.22% | - | +0.60% | - | -0.87% | - | +0.20% | +0.79% | - | -0.67% | - | -0.03% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
