Check historical price trends and seasonality for J.M. Smucker Company (The) (SJM).
J.M. Smucker Company (The) (SJM) average YTD return over the past 10 years is -1.16%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +1.19%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
The J.M. Smucker Company exhibits a clear seasonal pattern. The stock tends to rise steadily from early January, experiencing a strong bullish phase that peaks around May 10 with an average gain of +6.0%. Following this peak, the stock enters a bearish phase, declining through the summer and reaching a low point around October 9 with an average loss of -3.5%. The stock then experiences a slight recovery before ending the year with a minor dip around December 31, averaging -1.2%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Several opportunities exist to buy the dip in SJM stock based on its historical seasonality. A significant pullback typically occurs in September and early October, bottoming around October 9 (-3.5%), offering a potential entry point before a modest recovery. Another, smaller dip occurs in late December, around December 31 (-1.2%), which could present a short-term buying opportunity. These pullbacks may be attributed to profit-taking after the summer rally or year-end tax loss selling.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy in The J.M. Smucker Company could involve capitalizing on its seasonal trends. Consider accumulating shares during the September-October pullback, aiming for an entry around October 9, to benefit from a potential rebound. A secondary entry point could be considered in late December. Be mindful of broader market conditions and company-specific news that could override these seasonal tendencies.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 102.5400 | 2025-03-16 | 111.5600 | 9.0200 | 8.80 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 128.1600 | 2024-03-15 | 122.0700 | -6.0900 | -4.75 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 104.9900 | 2020-03-15 | 103.0500 | -1.9400 | -1.85 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 103.2300 | 2019-03-16 | 105.5800 | 2.3500 | 2.28 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 124.0100 | 2018-03-16 | 125.8400 | 1.8300 | 1.48 |
| Avg | 112.5860 | 113.6200 | 1.03 | 1.19 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +2.65% | Feb Total -0.98% | Mar Total +4.27% | Apr Total -1.19% | May Total -2.15% | Jun Total -1.62% | Jul Total +3.19% | Aug Total -2.75% | Sep Total -2.02% | Oct Total -0.96% | Nov Total +1.44% | Dec Total +0.70% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.07% | 0.00% | -0.25% | -0.77% | +0.07% | -0.09% | +0.07% | +0.91% | +0.13% | -0.39% | -0.18% | -0.14% | -0.16% |
| 2 Avg +0.07% | +0.17% | -0.57% | +1.14% | -0.39% | -0.13% | +0.35% | +0.02% | +0.68% | +0.03% | -0.38% | -0.09% | +0.01% |
| 3 Avg +0.18% | +0.27% | +0.17% | +0.54% | +0.01% | -0.09% | +0.42% | +0.34% | +0.43% | +0.44% | -0.28% | -0.04% | -0.12% |
| 4 Avg -0.01% | +0.10% | -0.52% | +0.15% | -0.86% | +0.52% | -0.24% | 0.00% | +0.17% | +0.08% | +0.33% | -0.09% | +0.17% |
| 5 Avg +0.12% | +0.56% | -0.31% | +0.05% | +0.18% | +0.20% | -0.40% | +0.19% | -0.60% | +0.41% | -0.09% | +0.84% | +0.40% |
| 6 Avg +0.09% | +0.17% | +0.51% | +0.11% | +0.29% | +0.40% | +0.13% | +0.04% | -0.46% | +0.03% | -0.44% | -0.04% | +0.35% |
| 7 Avg -0.01% | -0.32% | -0.11% | +0.15% | -0.27% | -0.27% | +0.28% | +0.04% | +0.30% | -0.13% | -0.19% | +0.24% | +0.19% |
| 8 Avg -0.06% | +0.25% | -0.40% | +0.01% | -0.07% | +0.13% | +0.21% | -0.14% | -0.31% | -0.19% | -0.19% | +0.01% | -0.06% |
| 9 Avg +0.06% | -0.01% | -0.14% | -0.37% | +0.67% | +0.44% | +0.62% | -0.11% | +0.04% | -0.23% | -0.25% | -0.08% | +0.10% |
| 10 Avg -0.12% | -0.54% | +0.20% | +0.42% | -0.66% | +0.44% | -1.66% | -0.17% | +0.15% | -0.18% | +0.73% | +0.03% | -0.16% |
| 11 Avg -0.16% | -0.31% | +0.08% | -0.48% | +0.01% | -0.16% | +0.31% | +0.06% | +0.02% | -0.68% | -0.36% | -0.39% | 0.00% |
| 12 Avg -0.03% | -0.23% | +0.28% | -0.69% | -0.33% | +0.16% | -0.30% | +0.05% | +0.35% | -0.15% | +0.12% | +0.07% | +0.36% |
| 13 Avg +0.12% | +0.16% | -0.14% | +0.78% | -0.28% | -0.02% | -0.38% | +0.32% | +0.40% | +0.08% | -0.10% | +0.27% | +0.35% |
| 14 Avg -0.10% | +0.27% | -0.54% | -0.09% | +0.25% | -0.72% | -0.12% | +0.13% | -0.14% | +0.08% | +0.06% | +0.26% | -0.59% |
| 15 Avg +0.02% | -0.10% | +0.17% | -0.09% | +0.41% | +0.04% | +0.15% | +0.35% | 0.00% | -0.49% | +0.42% | -0.42% | -0.14% |
| 16 Avg +0.29% | +0.19% | -0.03% | +0.68% | +0.25% | +0.14% | -0.08% | +0.30% | +0.07% | +0.16% | +0.23% | +1.20% | +0.42% |
| 17 Avg +0.17% | +0.70% | +0.42% | +0.89% | +0.27% | -0.37% | -0.18% | +0.97% | +0.36% | +0.11% | -0.10% | -0.86% | -0.16% |
| 18 Avg -0.27% | -0.34% | -0.06% | +0.03% | +0.18% | -1.65% | -0.41% | -0.83% | -0.10% | +0.13% | -0.03% | +0.11% | -0.28% |
| 19 Avg -0.03% | +0.25% | +0.21% | -0.48% | +0.28% | -0.38% | +0.04% | -0.01% | +0.27% | -0.14% | -0.07% | -0.29% | -0.04% |
| 20 Avg -0.13% | -0.33% | +0.78% | -0.53% | -0.16% | -0.02% | -0.17% | -0.10% | +0.08% | -0.39% | -0.46% | +0.05% | -0.29% |
| 21 Avg -0.12% | +0.33% | +0.48% | -0.10% | -0.72% | -0.59% | +0.16% | -0.23% | -0.98% | +0.04% | +0.02% | +0.22% | -0.02% |
| 22 Avg +0.05% | +0.15% | -0.66% | -0.05% | +0.45% | +0.07% | -0.05% | +0.25% | -0.39% | -0.12% | -0.15% | +0.67% | +0.46% |
| 23 Avg -0.18% | +0.25% | -0.08% | -0.85% | -0.30% | -0.16% | -0.32% | +0.03% | -0.90% | -0.42% | -0.01% | +0.53% | +0.07% |
| 24 Avg +0.08% | -0.26% | -0.04% | +1.28% | +0.12% | +0.13% | +0.35% | +0.09% | -0.92% | +0.20% | +0.24% | -0.19% | -0.03% |
| 25 Avg +0.13% | +0.53% | +0.48% | +0.45% | -0.07% | +0.11% | -0.29% | +0.39% | +0.30% | +0.04% | +0.07% | -0.37% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.09% | +0.56% | +0.07% | +0.46% | -0.31% | -0.26% | -0.34% | +0.26% | -0.46% | +0.28% | 0.00% | +0.72% | +0.11% |
| 27 Avg -0.09% | +0.85% | -0.43% | +0.43% | +0.50% | +0.19% | +0.05% | 0.00% | -1.34% | -0.81% | -0.13% | -0.41% | -0.03% |
| 28 Avg -0.23% | -0.64% | -0.55% | +0.27% | -0.18% | -0.44% | -0.58% | +0.14% | -0.50% | +0.18% | +0.14% | -0.55% | -0.03% |
| 29 Avg +0.08% | -0.14% | - | +0.47% | -0.47% | -0.05% | +0.36% | +0.66% | +0.43% | -0.17% | -0.30% | +0.15% | -0.03% |
| 30 Avg +0.04% | +0.21% | - | +0.42% | -0.04% | -0.05% | +0.43% | -0.30% | -0.26% | +0.18% | +0.13% | +0.02% | -0.27% |
| 31 Avg +0.09% | -0.09% | - | +0.04% | - | +0.35% | - | -0.48% | +0.41% | - | +0.27% | - | +0.12% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
