Check historical price trends and seasonality for Sherwin-Williams (SHW).
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +17.32%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +0.25%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
Sherwin-Williams exhibits a distinct seasonal pattern over the past 10 years. The stock tends to decline from early January, reaching a low point around March 23 with an average drop of -4.1%. A strong bullish phase then begins, extending through the summer and into the fall, culminating in substantial gains by November and December. Specifically, the stock experiences significant upward movement, reaching +18.3% by November 30 and +17.3% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most pronounced pullback period for Sherwin-Williams historically occurs in March. The stock price tends to bottom out around March 23, presenting a potential buying opportunity after a decline of -4.1%. This dip could be attributed to general market sentiment or sector-specific factors influencing the stock at that time of year. Following this low, the stock typically rebounds strongly, making March an attractive entry point for investors looking to capitalize on the subsequent upward trend.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to Sherwin-Williams would involve considering an entry point around late March to capitalize on the historically weak period. Given the strong positive seasonality into the end of the year, holding through November and December could be beneficial. However, it's crucial to consider other factors, such as overall market conditions and company-specific news, before making any investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 354.1700 | 2025-03-16 | 341.7800 | -12.3900 | -3.50 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 300.0800 | 2024-03-15 | 334.6600 | 34.5800 | 11.52 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 194.9933 | 2020-03-15 | 166.4433 | -28.5500 | -14.64 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 128.9800 | 2019-03-16 | 143.6767 | 14.6967 | 11.39 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 141.2900 | 2018-03-16 | 136.3433 | -4.9467 | -3.50 |
| Avg | 223.9027 | 224.5807 | 0.68 | 0.25 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.63% | Feb Total -0.62% | Mar Total +0.34% | Apr Total +3.95% | May Total +0.72% | Jun Total +0.95% | Jul Total +6.23% | Aug Total +1.97% | Sep Total -1.67% | Oct Total -0.24% | Nov Total +7.09% | Dec Total -1.40% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.19% | 0.00% | +0.58% | +0.44% | -0.43% | -0.33% | +0.39% | +0.94% | +0.41% | +0.60% | -0.12% | -0.13% | -0.12% |
| 2 Avg +0.05% | -0.57% | -0.19% | +0.27% | +0.07% | +0.16% | +0.77% | 0.00% | -0.04% | +0.17% | -0.20% | +0.36% | -0.20% |
| 3 Avg -0.02% | -0.63% | +0.13% | -0.34% | -0.34% | +0.39% | +0.08% | +0.29% | -0.28% | -0.42% | +0.43% | +0.46% | -0.06% |
| 4 Avg +0.26% | 0.00% | +0.30% | +0.67% | -0.24% | +0.88% | +0.18% | 0.00% | +0.44% | +0.28% | +0.37% | +0.56% | -0.35% |
| 5 Avg -0.06% | -0.43% | -0.31% | -0.09% | +0.40% | +0.01% | +0.42% | 0.00% | -0.67% | +0.01% | +0.27% | -0.08% | -0.31% |
| 6 Avg +0.17% | +0.14% | +0.39% | -0.42% | +1.15% | -0.32% | +0.64% | +0.29% | +0.32% | -0.23% | -0.11% | +0.20% | -0.06% |
| 7 Avg -0.10% | -0.42% | -0.61% | -0.51% | -0.26% | +0.15% | -0.23% | -0.20% | +0.16% | +0.33% | -0.66% | +0.94% | +0.12% |
| 8 Avg +0.13% | +0.40% | -0.51% | -0.08% | +0.42% | +0.38% | -0.10% | -0.03% | +0.28% | -0.14% | -0.06% | +0.90% | +0.15% |
| 9 Avg -0.05% | -0.14% | +0.47% | +0.31% | +0.97% | +0.14% | -0.22% | +0.14% | -0.32% | -0.44% | -0.22% | -0.82% | -0.45% |
| 10 Avg +0.08% | -0.31% | -0.32% | +0.10% | -0.64% | -0.22% | -0.50% | +0.34% | +0.32% | +0.41% | -0.13% | +1.79% | +0.10% |
| 11 Avg +0.08% | +0.73% | -0.13% | -0.36% | +0.10% | -0.13% | -0.64% | +0.58% | +0.34% | +0.72% | -0.38% | +0.02% | +0.14% |
| 12 Avg +0.14% | +0.49% | +0.67% | -0.95% | -0.11% | +0.15% | +0.30% | +0.56% | +0.58% | +0.21% | -0.15% | -0.13% | +0.01% |
| 13 Avg -0.07% | -0.03% | +0.24% | -0.05% | -0.14% | -0.42% | -0.74% | +0.07% | +0.51% | -0.64% | +0.04% | +0.21% | +0.10% |
| 14 Avg -0.09% | -0.12% | -0.08% | +0.14% | -0.03% | -0.06% | -0.61% | +0.10% | +0.06% | -0.20% | +0.04% | +0.26% | -0.61% |
| 15 Avg +0.14% | -0.03% | +0.18% | +0.43% | -0.29% | +0.53% | +0.40% | +0.23% | +0.29% | -0.53% | +0.14% | +0.16% | +0.18% |
| 16 Avg -0.10% | +0.07% | -0.34% | -1.53% | +0.10% | +0.05% | -0.55% | +0.24% | +0.03% | -0.54% | +0.67% | +0.41% | +0.20% |
| 17 Avg +0.06% | +0.50% | +0.05% | +0.36% | +1.18% | -0.34% | +0.16% | +0.24% | -0.62% | -0.07% | +0.20% | -0.45% | -0.50% |
| 18 Avg -0.17% | +0.25% | -0.23% | -0.40% | -0.02% | +0.13% | -0.28% | -0.03% | -0.30% | -0.26% | -0.24% | -0.44% | -0.28% |
| 19 Avg -0.02% | -0.81% | -0.05% | +0.90% | +0.19% | -0.34% | +0.22% | +0.23% | +0.04% | +0.41% | -0.53% | +0.01% | -0.47% |
| 20 Avg -0.07% | +0.68% | -0.17% | -0.51% | +0.06% | -0.38% | +0.34% | -0.29% | +0.07% | -0.09% | -0.09% | -0.31% | -0.14% |
| 21 Avg -0.06% | +0.05% | -0.39% | -0.62% | -0.55% | +0.25% | -0.31% | -0.13% | +0.22% | -0.64% | +0.39% | +0.74% | +0.26% |
| 22 Avg +0.06% | -0.08% | -0.05% | -0.34% | +0.46% | -0.50% | +0.07% | +0.33% | +0.20% | +0.03% | -0.31% | +0.49% | +0.43% |
| 23 Avg +0.09% | +0.17% | -0.40% | -0.63% | -0.05% | +0.08% | +0.36% | +1.49% | -0.31% | -0.05% | -0.08% | +0.58% | -0.02% |
| 24 Avg +0.12% | -0.06% | -0.17% | +1.77% | -0.03% | +0.19% | -0.07% | -0.04% | -0.14% | -0.06% | +0.03% | +0.19% | -0.12% |
| 25 Avg +0.09% | -0.29% | +0.34% | -0.06% | +0.07% | +0.38% | -0.08% | +1.02% | -0.05% | +0.13% | -0.95% | +0.54% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.24% | -0.20% | +0.66% | +0.80% | +0.69% | +0.41% | -0.06% | +0.37% | -0.25% | -0.17% | +0.24% | -0.17% | +0.57% |
| 27 Avg -0.07% | -0.20% | -0.43% | +0.21% | +0.77% | +0.47% | -0.05% | -1.13% | +0.16% | -0.45% | +0.08% | -0.34% | +0.12% |
| 28 Avg +0.22% | +0.20% | -0.26% | +0.06% | -0.11% | -0.27% | +0.46% | +0.69% | +0.22% | +0.48% | +1.01% | +0.26% | -0.12% |
| 29 Avg +0.19% | +0.13% | - | +0.68% | +0.81% | -0.17% | +0.31% | +0.38% | +0.02% | -0.32% | -0.29% | +0.32% | +0.18% |
| 30 Avg +0.09% | -0.08% | - | +0.14% | -0.23% | +0.11% | +0.29% | -0.09% | +0.54% | -0.22% | +0.48% | +0.53% | -0.48% |
| 31 Avg -0.17% | -0.04% | - | -0.06% | - | -0.68% | - | -0.36% | -0.27% | - | -0.09% | - | +0.31% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
