Check historical price trends and seasonality for SGDTHB (SGDTHB=X).
SGDTHB (SGDTHB=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +0.22%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is +0.80%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
The SGDTHB exchange rate tends to exhibit a bearish trend in the first two months of the year, bottoming out in February. From March, the currency pair enters a strong bullish phase that extends through the summer, peaking around July 16 with an average gain of +1.7%. This bullish momentum gradually fades in the fall, followed by a slight decline towards the end of the year, with a dip of -0.4% around December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises in late January and February, as the currency pair experiences a pullback, with a decline of -0.9% around February 15. This dip could be attributed to early year profit-taking or seasonal adjustments. Another possible entry point could be around December, as the currency pair experiences a slight dip of -0.4% around December 31.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, consider initiating long positions in SGDTHB starting in late February or early March to capitalize on the subsequent bullish trend. It would be prudent to take profits around July, when the currency pair typically reaches its peak. Be mindful of the slight bearish tendency towards the end of the year and adjust your positions accordingly.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 25.2615 | 2025-03-16 | 25.1988 | -0.0627 | -0.25 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 26.1914 | 2024-03-15 | 26.7551 | 0.5637 | 2.15 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 24.4393 | 2023-03-16 | 25.5821 | 1.1428 | 4.68 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 22.4885 | 2020-03-15 | 22.4839 | -0.0046 | -0.02 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 23.5060 | 2019-03-16 | 23.4160 | -0.0900 | -0.38 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 24.1220 | 2018-03-16 | 23.7390 | -0.3830 | -1.59 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 24.7870 | 2017-03-16 | 25.0310 | 0.2440 | 0.98 |
| Avg | 24.3994 | 24.6008 | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.03% | Feb Total +0.37% | Mar Total +0.95% | Apr Total +0.68% | May Total -0.33% | Jun Total +0.34% | Jul Total +0.33% | Aug Total -0.69% | Sep Total +0.58% | Oct Total -0.13% | Nov Total -0.68% | Dec Total -0.34% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.02% | +0.37% | 0.00% | -0.22% | +0.04% | -0.06% | +0.05% | -0.14% | -0.01% | 0.00% | +0.06% |
| 2 Avg -0.02% | +0.12% | 0.00% | -0.15% | +0.33% | -0.20% | -0.01% | +0.21% | -0.04% | +0.15% | -0.28% | -0.09% | -0.27% |
| 3 Avg +0.08% | +0.22% | -0.11% | -0.03% | -0.03% | +0.39% | -0.12% | -0.09% | -0.04% | +0.07% | +0.35% | +0.05% | +0.30% |
| 4 Avg -0.05% | -0.03% | +0.18% | -0.11% | +0.20% | -0.11% | +0.04% | -0.24% | +0.04% | -0.18% | +0.04% | -0.18% | -0.27% |
| 5 Avg +0.00% | -0.12% | -0.19% | +0.18% | -0.02% | -0.32% | +0.06% | +0.26% | -0.40% | +0.16% | 0.00% | +0.20% | +0.24% |
| 6 Avg 0.00% | +0.07% | -0.01% | -0.27% | -0.03% | +0.19% | +0.03% | +0.03% | +0.40% | +0.02% | -0.22% | -0.31% | +0.04% |
| 7 Avg +0.03% | +0.09% | +0.23% | +0.40% | -0.15% | -0.28% | 0.00% | +0.15% | -0.16% | +0.08% | +0.07% | -0.03% | -0.03% |
| 8 Avg +0.02% | -0.15% | -0.17% | +0.21% | 0.00% | +0.27% | +0.12% | -0.08% | +0.02% | +0.01% | +0.07% | +0.28% | -0.35% |
| 9 Avg -0.05% | +0.25% | 0.00% | -0.03% | +0.30% | -0.03% | +0.02% | +0.21% | -0.10% | -0.65% | -0.17% | -0.17% | -0.18% |
| 10 Avg -0.05% | -0.10% | -0.14% | 0.00% | -0.42% | -0.11% | -0.05% | -0.36% | -0.09% | +0.61% | +0.05% | -0.15% | +0.14% |
| 11 Avg -0.04% | -0.26% | +0.07% | -0.26% | +0.34% | -0.03% | -0.30% | +0.21% | +0.10% | -0.30% | +0.40% | -0.33% | -0.13% |
| 12 Avg +0.02% | +0.17% | 0.00% | +0.12% | -0.11% | +0.05% | -0.08% | +0.12% | -0.06% | -0.27% | -0.08% | +0.20% | +0.16% |
| 13 Avg -0.05% | -0.22% | -0.02% | +0.12% | +0.05% | -0.23% | +0.19% | -0.13% | -0.04% | +0.46% | -0.40% | -0.22% | -0.12% |
| 14 Avg -0.04% | +0.23% | -0.02% | -0.17% | -0.34% | +0.16% | -0.01% | +0.05% | -0.17% | +0.02% | -0.05% | -0.21% | +0.04% |
| 15 Avg +0.01% | -0.17% | 0.00% | +0.08% | +0.05% | -0.27% | +0.09% | +0.20% | +0.18% | -0.16% | +0.24% | +0.31% | -0.40% |
| 16 Avg +0.06% | -0.08% | +0.33% | +0.01% | +0.12% | +0.21% | -0.24% | +0.30% | +0.05% | +0.16% | -0.23% | -0.04% | +0.15% |
| 17 Avg +0.01% | +0.21% | -0.01% | -0.13% | -0.56% | +0.07% | +0.05% | -0.03% | +0.04% | +0.20% | +0.11% | -0.02% | +0.20% |
| 18 Avg +0.00% | -0.19% | -0.05% | +0.02% | +0.42% | +0.06% | +0.40% | -0.11% | -0.21% | -0.09% | +0.06% | -0.03% | -0.23% |
| 19 Avg -0.05% | +0.11% | -0.30% | +0.28% | -0.13% | +0.03% | -0.02% | -0.29% | +0.06% | -0.24% | -0.07% | -0.02% | -0.01% |
| 20 Avg -0.04% | -0.25% | +0.27% | -0.34% | +0.11% | -0.20% | -0.38% | +0.17% | +0.13% | +0.40% | -0.14% | -0.26% | +0.05% |
| 21 Avg +0.10% | +0.17% | +0.03% | +0.19% | +0.27% | -0.04% | +0.38% | +0.05% | -0.30% | -0.04% | -0.05% | +0.21% | +0.31% |
| 22 Avg -0.01% | -0.24% | -0.15% | +0.30% | -0.13% | -0.18% | +0.09% | -0.18% | +0.15% | 0.00% | +0.36% | +0.11% | -0.19% |
| 23 Avg +0.07% | -0.07% | +0.41% | +0.01% | +0.13% | +0.42% | +0.16% | +0.28% | -0.20% | -0.17% | -0.15% | +0.03% | -0.03% |
| 24 Avg +0.08% | +0.37% | -0.18% | +0.03% | +0.14% | +0.02% | -0.04% | -0.19% | +0.30% | +0.27% | +0.27% | -0.17% | +0.16% |
| 25 Avg -0.13% | -0.24% | +0.03% | -0.42% | -0.19% | +0.02% | -0.03% | +0.20% | -0.42% | -0.23% | -0.13% | +0.12% | -0.33% |
| 26 Avg -0.02% | +0.23% | +0.18% | +0.20% | 0.00% | -0.25% | +0.02% | -0.15% | -0.35% | -0.06% | -0.13% | -0.12% | +0.23% |
| 27 Avg +0.01% | -0.30% | -0.16% | +0.31% | +0.31% | -0.20% | +0.03% | +0.23% | +0.28% | -0.02% | +0.03% | +0.07% | -0.48% |
| 28 Avg +0.05% | +0.26% | +0.13% | -0.04% | +0.08% | +0.43% | -0.27% | -0.14% | -0.16% | +0.30% | -0.06% | -0.14% | +0.21% |
| 29 Avg -0.01% | -0.27% | - | +0.15% | -0.47% | -0.02% | +0.31% | -0.20% | +0.18% | -0.10% | +0.03% | +0.19% | +0.05% |
| 30 Avg +0.07% | -0.06% | - | -0.24% | +0.41% | -0.03% | -0.11% | +0.20% | +0.08% | +0.33% | -0.23% | -0.01% | +0.42% |
| 31 Avg +0.04% | +0.21% | - | +0.16% | - | +0.07% | - | -0.26% | 0.00% | - | +0.18% | - | -0.07% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|