Check historical price trends and seasonality for SGDJPY (SGDJPY=X).
SGDJPY (SGDJPY=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +3.99%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -1.22%.
4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.
1) Overview:
The SGDJPY pair tends to experience a bearish phase in the early part of the year, bottoming out around March. Specifically, around March 10, the pair shows an average decline of -0.9%. From April, the pair begins a bullish climb that extends through the summer and into the fall, culminating in significant gains in November and December. The pair peaks around November 10 with an average gain of +4.0%, and remains high through December, ending the year around December 31 with an average gain of +3.8%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period appears to be in February and March, presenting a potential buying opportunity as the pair bottoms out. The decline into March, with a low around March 10 (-0.9%), could be viewed as an attractive entry point before the typical bullish trend begins in April. This dip is likely driven by early-year market adjustments and provides a chance to capitalize on the subsequent upward movement.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for SGDJPY would involve entering a long position around late March to capitalize on the historical upward trend that begins in April and extends through the end of the year. Consider exiting or reducing the position in November or December to capture gains before any potential seasonal weakness in the new year. However, remember that past performance is not indicative of future results, and other factors should be considered.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 114.3610 | 2025-03-16 | 110.7480 | -3.6130 | -3.16 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 109.2880 | 2024-03-15 | 110.9700 | 1.6820 | 1.54 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 96.9840 | 2023-03-16 | 98.3770 | 1.3930 | 1.44 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 81.6062 | 2020-03-15 | 74.1660 | -7.4402 | -9.12 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 80.1409 | 2019-03-16 | 82.4320 | 2.2911 | 2.86 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 83.6000 | 2018-03-16 | 80.8710 | -2.7290 | -3.26 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 79.9830 | 2017-03-16 | 80.8930 | 0.9100 | 1.14 |
| Avg | 92.2804 | 91.2081 | -1.07 | -1.22 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.14% | Feb Total -0.16% | Mar Total +0.66% | Apr Total +0.23% | May Total +0.39% | Jun Total +0.83% | Jul Total -0.42% | Aug Total -0.19% | Sep Total +0.71% | Oct Total +1.52% | Nov Total +0.32% | Dec Total +0.28% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.08% | 0.00% | +0.25% | -0.19% | +0.08% | +0.40% | +0.05% | +0.16% | -0.13% | +0.07% | +0.08% | +0.08% | +0.19% |
| 2 Avg -0.07% | -0.02% | -0.03% | +0.07% | -0.14% | -0.02% | -0.02% | -0.04% | -0.29% | +0.07% | -0.09% | -0.03% | -0.27% |
| 3 Avg -0.05% | -0.21% | -0.30% | +0.19% | -0.20% | -0.17% | +0.06% | -0.02% | -0.02% | +0.06% | +0.06% | -0.04% | -0.05% |
| 4 Avg -0.03% | +0.12% | +0.08% | -0.07% | +0.02% | -0.26% | +0.20% | +0.03% | -0.18% | -0.20% | -0.03% | +0.06% | -0.11% |
| 5 Avg +0.02% | +0.21% | +0.16% | +0.20% | -0.09% | -0.03% | -0.02% | 0.00% | -0.30% | +0.10% | +0.01% | -0.01% | -0.03% |
| 6 Avg -0.04% | -0.18% | -0.05% | -0.15% | -0.19% | -0.05% | +0.01% | -0.25% | -0.18% | +0.02% | +0.33% | +0.04% | +0.17% |
| 7 Avg +0.02% | +0.10% | -0.17% | -0.17% | +0.02% | -0.04% | +0.18% | -0.07% | +0.11% | +0.06% | +0.07% | +0.11% | +0.01% |
| 8 Avg +0.05% | -0.01% | -0.25% | +0.06% | -0.01% | +0.09% | +0.14% | +0.05% | +0.30% | +0.09% | +0.13% | +0.09% | -0.13% |
| 9 Avg -0.03% | +0.07% | -0.15% | -0.32% | -0.16% | +0.14% | +0.05% | +0.04% | +0.04% | -0.18% | -0.02% | +0.05% | +0.04% |
| 10 Avg +0.05% | -0.10% | +0.09% | -0.03% | +0.25% | 0.00% | -0.11% | +0.03% | +0.03% | +0.12% | -0.03% | +0.22% | +0.11% |
| 11 Avg -0.02% | -0.14% | -0.07% | -0.04% | 0.00% | +0.17% | -0.08% | -0.01% | -0.13% | -0.07% | +0.18% | -0.19% | +0.13% |
| 12 Avg +0.07% | +0.13% | +0.17% | +0.15% | +0.03% | -0.10% | +0.06% | +0.08% | +0.01% | +0.11% | +0.14% | -0.05% | +0.15% |
| 13 Avg +0.01% | -0.20% | +0.17% | -0.09% | +0.07% | -0.03% | -0.20% | +0.17% | -0.05% | +0.08% | +0.04% | -0.01% | +0.14% |
| 14 Avg +0.02% | -0.05% | -0.07% | +0.07% | -0.02% | -0.09% | +0.03% | +0.16% | +0.18% | +0.16% | +0.15% | -0.05% | -0.21% |
| 15 Avg +0.07% | +0.10% | +0.15% | +0.16% | +0.01% | +0.09% | +0.10% | +0.16% | -0.03% | -0.14% | +0.04% | +0.18% | +0.05% |
| 16 Avg 0.00% | -0.19% | +0.11% | -0.12% | -0.01% | +0.02% | +0.19% | -0.02% | -0.04% | -0.10% | -0.09% | +0.04% | +0.17% |
| 17 Avg +0.01% | +0.04% | -0.14% | +0.16% | -0.01% | +0.07% | -0.17% | +0.01% | +0.02% | -0.05% | +0.13% | +0.06% | -0.04% |
| 18 Avg -0.01% | -0.10% | -0.06% | +0.22% | -0.01% | -0.03% | -0.16% | -0.13% | -0.20% | +0.22% | +0.17% | -0.01% | -0.06% |
| 19 Avg +0.03% | +0.14% | -0.09% | -0.08% | +0.16% | -0.04% | +0.10% | +0.06% | +0.11% | +0.16% | +0.01% | -0.03% | -0.11% |
| 20 Avg +0.08% | +0.13% | +0.08% | +0.16% | +0.22% | +0.15% | +0.17% | -0.15% | -0.06% | +0.02% | 0.00% | -0.12% | +0.35% |
| 21 Avg -0.04% | -0.01% | +0.04% | -0.04% | -0.01% | -0.03% | -0.20% | +0.13% | -0.15% | +0.02% | +0.08% | +0.02% | -0.32% |
| 22 Avg -0.01% | +0.09% | -0.09% | +0.02% | -0.15% | 0.00% | +0.19% | -0.13% | +0.18% | -0.18% | 0.00% | -0.03% | -0.04% |
| 23 Avg +0.04% | +0.03% | +0.11% | -0.05% | +0.07% | +0.01% | +0.18% | -0.10% | +0.04% | +0.03% | +0.12% | +0.04% | -0.04% |
| 24 Avg -0.04% | -0.02% | -0.24% | -0.08% | +0.13% | -0.11% | -0.07% | -0.06% | -0.09% | 0.00% | -0.05% | +0.03% | +0.03% |
| 25 Avg +0.05% | +0.06% | +0.09% | +0.12% | +0.16% | -0.02% | +0.01% | -0.11% | +0.13% | +0.12% | -0.01% | +0.12% | -0.03% |
| 26 Avg -0.01% | -0.04% | +0.06% | 0.00% | -0.04% | +0.03% | -0.03% | +0.03% | -0.15% | +0.06% | 0.00% | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 27 Avg +0.03% | +0.09% | +0.03% | +0.07% | -0.03% | +0.10% | -0.17% | -0.15% | +0.15% | +0.01% | +0.06% | +0.06% | +0.19% |
| 28 Avg +0.03% | -0.03% | -0.02% | +0.04% | +0.20% | +0.18% | +0.05% | -0.16% | +0.09% | +0.09% | -0.03% | -0.12% | +0.07% |
| 29 Avg +0.04% | +0.08% | - | +0.33% | -0.08% | +0.07% | +0.24% | -0.13% | +0.08% | +0.11% | -0.05% | -0.22% | +0.01% |
| 30 Avg +0.00% | -0.05% | - | -0.02% | -0.03% | -0.17% | +0.05% | 0.00% | +0.35% | -0.14% | -0.02% | +0.11% | -0.06% |
| 31 Avg +0.00% | -0.17% | - | +0.08% | - | +0.08% | - | -0.02% | -0.01% | - | +0.14% | - | -0.08% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
