Check historical price trends and seasonality for SGDCNY (SGDCNY=X).
SGDCNY (SGDCNY=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +2.00%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -0.02%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
The SGDCNY exchange rate tends to exhibit a bearish trend in the first quarter, bottoming out around January 30 with an average decrease of -1.0%. A bullish phase typically begins in late spring, gaining momentum through summer, peaking around August 31 with an increase of +2.0%. The exchange rate then consolidates through the fall before experiencing a final surge in December, particularly around December 6 with an increase of +2.5% and December 31 with an increase of +1.8%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for SGDCNY is typically in January, with a notable dip occurring around January 30 (-1.0%). This decline could be attributed to early year market adjustments. Another potential buying opportunity arises in late March, as the bearish trend starts to abate. These dips offer strategic entry points before the bullish trend that usually begins in late spring.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for SGDCNY involves entering the market during the bearish phase in January, specifically around January 30, to capitalize on the subsequent bullish trend that develops through the summer. Another entry point could be in late March. It's crucial to monitor market conditions and economic indicators to confirm the seasonal trends and manage risk effectively.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 5.3650 | 2025-03-16 | 5.4177 | 0.0527 | 0.98 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 5.3213 | 2024-03-15 | 5.3054 | -0.0159 | -0.30 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 5.0569 | 2023-03-16 | 5.1044 | 0.0475 | 0.94 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 5.1127 | 2020-03-15 | 4.9793 | -0.1334 | -2.61 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 4.9813 | 2019-03-16 | 4.9523 | -0.0290 | -0.58 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 4.8607 | 2018-03-16 | 4.8040 | -0.0567 | -1.17 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 4.8008 | 2017-03-16 | 4.9261 | 0.1253 | 2.61 |
| Avg | 5.0712 | 5.0699 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.66% | Feb Total +0.04% | Mar Total +0.53% | Apr Total +0.48% | May Total +0.44% | Jun Total +0.93% | Jul Total +0.33% | Aug Total +0.20% | Sep Total -0.21% | Oct Total -0.14% | Nov Total +0.19% | Dec Total +0.06% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.03% | 0.00% | +0.06% | +0.02% | -0.14% | -0.26% | +0.02% | 0.00% | +0.08% | -0.10% | -0.05% | +0.10% | -0.12% |
| 2 Avg -0.01% | -0.06% | +0.17% | 0.00% | +0.03% | +0.05% | -0.05% | -0.06% | +0.07% | -0.06% | -0.06% | -0.12% | -0.04% |
| 3 Avg -0.04% | -0.08% | -0.22% | +0.07% | -0.11% | +0.10% | +0.03% | +0.01% | -0.24% | -0.03% | -0.14% | +0.06% | +0.04% |
| 4 Avg +0.08% | +0.05% | +0.30% | -0.12% | +0.27% | -0.11% | +0.17% | +0.02% | +0.18% | -0.10% | +0.09% | +0.12% | +0.08% |
| 5 Avg -0.01% | -0.01% | +0.01% | +0.09% | 0.00% | +0.15% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +0.03% | -0.01% | +0.01% | -0.22% | -0.12% |
| 6 Avg +0.07% | -0.07% | -0.08% | +0.07% | -0.23% | +0.02% | +0.18% | +0.07% | +0.03% | +0.09% | +0.02% | -0.05% | +0.77% |
| 7 Avg -0.05% | +0.09% | -0.05% | +0.04% | +0.08% | +0.01% | 0.00% | -0.04% | +0.01% | +0.11% | -0.21% | +0.04% | -0.70% |
| 8 Avg -0.02% | -0.16% | -0.11% | +0.09% | -0.22% | +0.01% | +0.07% | -0.04% | +0.06% | -0.01% | -0.10% | +0.18% | -0.01% |
| 9 Avg +0.01% | -0.02% | -0.01% | -0.20% | +0.16% | -0.01% | +0.09% | +0.04% | 0.00% | -0.08% | +0.12% | +0.09% | -0.07% |
| 10 Avg -0.01% | +0.08% | +0.02% | +0.16% | +0.02% | -0.03% | -0.13% | -0.17% | -0.08% | +0.02% | -0.01% | -0.05% | +0.01% |
| 11 Avg 0.00% | -0.31% | -0.02% | -0.13% | +0.27% | +0.05% | -0.06% | +0.18% | -0.06% | -0.02% | +0.11% | -0.07% | +0.04% |
| 12 Avg +0.03% | +0.29% | +0.10% | +0.13% | -0.18% | +0.02% | -0.05% | +0.09% | -0.05% | +0.03% | -0.04% | +0.06% | -0.07% |
| 13 Avg 0.00% | -0.09% | +0.07% | -0.19% | +0.21% | -0.15% | +0.35% | -0.04% | +0.03% | +0.09% | -0.03% | -0.22% | -0.02% |
| 14 Avg +0.03% | -0.03% | +0.09% | -0.01% | +0.04% | +0.10% | +0.14% | +0.06% | +0.12% | -0.19% | -0.09% | +0.10% | +0.07% |
| 15 Avg +0.02% | -0.05% | +0.02% | +0.16% | -0.11% | +0.02% | -0.02% | +0.11% | -0.19% | +0.08% | +0.20% | 0.00% | -0.03% |
| 16 Avg +0.01% | -0.08% | 0.00% | -0.05% | -0.02% | +0.16% | -0.04% | +0.01% | +0.19% | +0.03% | 0.00% | -0.02% | -0.02% |
| 17 Avg -0.05% | +0.06% | -0.07% | +0.13% | -0.07% | +0.03% | -0.38% | -0.35% | -0.01% | 0.00% | +0.05% | -0.02% | +0.04% |
| 18 Avg +0.04% | -0.16% | +0.04% | +0.06% | +0.03% | -0.07% | +0.32% | +0.38% | -0.09% | -0.11% | +0.13% | 0.00% | -0.07% |
| 19 Avg +0.01% | 0.00% | -0.05% | -0.04% | +0.10% | +0.02% | +0.01% | -0.02% | -0.02% | +0.08% | -0.03% | +0.06% | -0.03% |
| 20 Avg +0.02% | +0.06% | +0.06% | -0.03% | +0.04% | -0.01% | -0.05% | +0.13% | -0.01% | +0.09% | -0.10% | +0.07% | +0.05% |
| 21 Avg 0.00% | +0.09% | -0.08% | +0.07% | +0.04% | +0.11% | +0.01% | -0.12% | -0.12% | -0.06% | +0.04% | -0.06% | +0.04% |
| 22 Avg -0.03% | -0.06% | -0.13% | -0.11% | -0.08% | -0.06% | +0.08% | +0.05% | +0.05% | +0.07% | -0.10% | -0.04% | +0.02% |
| 23 Avg +0.05% | +0.16% | +0.20% | +0.12% | +0.03% | +0.08% | +0.04% | +0.14% | +0.03% | -0.04% | -0.12% | -0.07% | +0.03% |
| 24 Avg -0.01% | +0.04% | -0.03% | -0.15% | -0.15% | +0.02% | -0.07% | -0.11% | +0.08% | -0.02% | +0.21% | +0.04% | +0.06% |
| 25 Avg +0.00% | -0.11% | -0.01% | -0.13% | +0.18% | +0.02% | +0.10% | +0.01% | +0.03% | +0.08% | -0.10% | +0.06% | -0.09% |
| 26 Avg -0.01% | +0.11% | -0.18% | +0.20% | +0.03% | +0.07% | +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.14% | -0.13% | +0.16% | -0.14% | +0.02% |
| 27 Avg 0.00% | -0.11% | +0.03% | +0.07% | +0.12% | -0.01% | +0.01% | +0.16% | +0.18% | -0.23% | -0.12% | -0.09% | -0.04% |
| 28 Avg +0.05% | -0.04% | -0.09% | +0.03% | -0.01% | +0.16% | +0.08% | +0.07% | -0.05% | +0.20% | -0.01% | +0.23% | +0.02% |
| 29 Avg +0.03% | -0.08% | - | -0.02% | +0.03% | -0.09% | +0.12% | -0.04% | +0.05% | +0.15% | 0.00% | +0.20% | +0.03% |
| 30 Avg +0.01% | -0.24% | - | +0.26% | +0.11% | -0.01% | -0.03% | +0.07% | +0.10% | -0.15% | -0.07% | -0.05% | +0.11% |
| 31 Avg 0.00% | +0.06% | - | -0.05% | - | +0.06% | - | -0.20% | -0.07% | - | +0.09% | - | +0.09% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
