Check historical price trends and seasonality for SEKJPY (SEKJPY=X).
SEKJPY (SEKJPY=X) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +2.30%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 2 for 30 days) is +1.11%.
2 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 28.57%.
1) Overview:
SEKJPY tends to exhibit a bearish trend from the start of the year, reaching a low point around March. Specifically, there's a notable dip of -2.6% around March 9. Following this low, the currency pair gradually recovers, entering a bullish phase that strengthens through October and November. The year concludes with a strong upward movement, peaking around December 30 (+2.3%) and December 31 (+2.1%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period occurs from January through early March, presenting a potential buying opportunity as the currency pair experiences consistent negative average returns. The lowest point is typically around March 9 (-2.6%), suggesting this date as an opportune entry point. Another, albeit smaller, pullback occurs in August, which could be considered a secondary buying opportunity before the year-end rally.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach to SEKJPY would involve initiating long positions during the early months of the year, particularly around March 9, to capitalize on the subsequent recovery. Consider adding to positions during August pullbacks. Investors should aim to realize profits towards the end of December, taking advantage of the historically strong performance around December 30 and 31.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023-03-02 | 13.0369 | 2023-03-31 | 12.8552 | -0.1817 | -1.39 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-02 | 11.9002 | 2022-03-31 | 13.1870 | 1.2868 | 10.81 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-02 | 12.6833 | 2021-03-31 | 12.6300 | -0.0533 | -0.42 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-02 | 11.1928 | 2020-03-31 | 10.7530 | -0.4398 | -3.93 |
| 2018 | 2018-03-02 | 12.8729 | 2018-03-31 | 12.7310 | -0.1419 | -1.10 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-02 | 12.5931 | 2017-03-31 | 12.5092 | -0.0839 | -0.67 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-02 | 13.2205 | 2016-03-31 | 13.8105 | 0.5900 | 4.46 |
| Avg | 12.5000 | 12.6394 | 0.14 | 1.11 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -1.19% | Feb Total -0.49% | Mar Total +0.61% | Apr Total +0.02% | May Total +0.59% | Jun Total +0.51% | Jul Total -0.01% | Aug Total -0.46% | Sep Total +0.35% | Oct Total +0.54% | Nov Total +0.67% | Dec Total +1.36% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.01% | 0.00% | +0.14% | -0.40% | +0.04% | +0.35% | +0.16% | +0.11% | -0.15% | -0.01% | -0.10% | -0.03% | +0.05% |
| 2 Avg -0.08% | 0.00% | +0.15% | -0.13% | -0.20% | -0.12% | +0.06% | -0.06% | -0.37% | -0.03% | -0.21% | +0.15% | -0.20% |
| 3 Avg -0.09% | -0.56% | -0.27% | +0.20% | -0.21% | -0.31% | +0.21% | +0.09% | -0.21% | +0.06% | +0.01% | -0.19% | +0.07% |
| 4 Avg +0.04% | -0.08% | +0.33% | +0.20% | +0.15% | -0.21% | +0.18% | +0.06% | -0.09% | -0.27% | +0.06% | +0.18% | +0.01% |
| 5 Avg +0.04% | +0.30% | +0.08% | -0.04% | -0.08% | +0.12% | +0.21% | +0.02% | -0.14% | +0.17% | +0.18% | -0.25% | -0.13% |
| 6 Avg -0.04% | -0.32% | -0.21% | +0.17% | -0.28% | -0.23% | +0.04% | -0.52% | +0.06% | +0.09% | +0.24% | +0.16% | +0.26% |
| 7 Avg 0.00% | +0.21% | -0.26% | -0.16% | -0.19% | +0.11% | +0.08% | +0.05% | +0.03% | -0.02% | -0.19% | +0.25% | +0.03% |
| 8 Avg +0.03% | 0.00% | -0.31% | -0.35% | +0.06% | +0.05% | +0.17% | -0.06% | +0.29% | +0.21% | +0.17% | +0.13% | +0.01% |
| 9 Avg -0.02% | +0.14% | -0.11% | -0.23% | +0.12% | +0.05% | -0.11% | +0.04% | -0.15% | -0.23% | +0.04% | +0.24% | -0.02% |
| 10 Avg +0.08% | +0.01% | +0.25% | +0.35% | +0.20% | +0.22% | -0.26% | +0.08% | -0.02% | +0.18% | -0.23% | +0.13% | +0.04% |
| 11 Avg 0.00% | -0.21% | -0.24% | +0.07% | -0.04% | +0.09% | +0.02% | -0.02% | +0.03% | -0.05% | +0.26% | -0.06% | +0.14% |
| 12 Avg +0.07% | -0.03% | +0.21% | +0.29% | +0.04% | -0.18% | +0.02% | +0.17% | +0.03% | +0.14% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +0.19% |
| 13 Avg +0.03% | -0.09% | +0.15% | -0.29% | +0.05% | -0.05% | -0.25% | +0.37% | -0.02% | +0.29% | -0.05% | 0.00% | +0.27% |
| 14 Avg +0.06% | -0.15% | -0.03% | +0.19% | -0.01% | +0.05% | -0.01% | +0.25% | +0.11% | -0.01% | +0.32% | +0.07% | -0.11% |
| 15 Avg +0.04% | +0.15% | +0.11% | +0.31% | -0.03% | +0.11% | -0.16% | +0.16% | -0.14% | -0.15% | -0.01% | +0.12% | +0.05% |
| 16 Avg -0.03% | -0.14% | +0.17% | -0.04% | -0.19% | +0.07% | +0.23% | -0.18% | -0.16% | -0.06% | -0.07% | -0.01% | +0.01% |
| 17 Avg -0.01% | -0.25% | -0.11% | +0.48% | +0.10% | +0.01% | -0.41% | +0.05% | -0.04% | -0.18% | +0.24% | -0.16% | +0.14% |
| 18 Avg -0.03% | -0.15% | -0.14% | +0.17% | +0.02% | +0.02% | -0.18% | -0.05% | -0.39% | +0.36% | +0.24% | -0.05% | -0.16% |
| 19 Avg -0.03% | +0.06% | -0.06% | -0.36% | +0.10% | -0.13% | -0.14% | +0.14% | +0.15% | +0.02% | -0.12% | +0.07% | -0.12% |
| 20 Avg +0.07% | +0.21% | -0.02% | -0.07% | +0.31% | +0.18% | +0.11% | -0.02% | -0.11% | +0.03% | +0.03% | -0.16% | +0.30% |
| 21 Avg -0.02% | -0.17% | +0.02% | +0.11% | -0.07% | +0.12% | -0.18% | +0.35% | -0.15% | -0.05% | +0.17% | -0.17% | -0.24% |
| 22 Avg +0.06% | +0.19% | -0.14% | -0.09% | +0.07% | +0.13% | +0.31% | -0.10% | +0.31% | -0.39% | +0.07% | +0.05% | +0.36% |
| 23 Avg +0.03% | +0.11% | -0.01% | -0.05% | -0.04% | +0.03% | +0.32% | -0.15% | -0.01% | +0.02% | +0.11% | +0.11% | -0.11% |
| 24 Avg -0.03% | +0.03% | -0.22% | -0.02% | +0.28% | -0.16% | +0.11% | -0.18% | -0.07% | -0.01% | -0.17% | +0.13% | -0.02% |
| 25 Avg +0.05% | +0.01% | +0.01% | +0.17% | +0.17% | -0.02% | +0.09% | -0.12% | +0.17% | +0.06% | -0.11% | +0.24% | -0.05% |
| 26 Avg -0.03% | -0.03% | +0.06% | +0.02% | -0.24% | -0.01% | +0.11% | +0.10% | -0.20% | -0.15% | +0.05% | -0.13% | +0.11% |
| 27 Avg -0.03% | -0.04% | -0.02% | +0.10% | -0.20% | +0.09% | -0.46% | -0.32% | +0.13% | +0.09% | +0.02% | +0.17% | +0.13% |
| 28 Avg +0.02% | -0.10% | -0.02% | +0.05% | +0.19% | +0.21% | +0.02% | -0.07% | +0.21% | -0.14% | -0.26% | -0.12% | +0.26% |
| 29 Avg +0.01% | +0.09% | - | +0.04% | +0.10% | +0.04% | +0.13% | -0.27% | -0.09% | +0.45% | -0.20% | -0.27% | +0.12% |
| 30 Avg 0.00% | -0.08% | - | -0.05% | -0.17% | -0.28% | +0.08% | -0.04% | +0.44% | -0.05% | -0.10% | +0.08% | +0.16% |
| 31 Avg +0.01% | -0.29% | - | -0.03% | - | +0.25% | - | +0.10% | +0.07% | - | +0.14% | - | -0.21% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
