Check historical price trends and seasonality for Starbucks (SBUX).
Starbucks (SBUX) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +4.45%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 4 for 60 days) is -6.91%.
3 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 50.00%.
1) Overview:
Starbucks tends to experience a bearish phase from early March through July. The most significant dip typically occurs around March 23, with an average decline of -5.5%. A strong bullish trend emerges in November, continuing into December, culminating around December 13 with an average gain of +6.6%, before slightly declining but peaking again on December 31 at +4.4%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most pronounced dip opportunity appears around March 23, presenting a significant pullback of -5.5%. Another potential buying opportunity arises in May, where the stock experiences consistent negative seasonality. Furthermore, late June and early July also show periods of weakness, potentially offering entry points before the stock stabilizes.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, consider initiating a long position in Starbucks around late March to capitalize on the significant dip. Another entry point could be in late June or early July. Be prepared to hold through the summer months and aim to take profits in mid-December, capturing the strong bullish trend that typically occurs during that period.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-02-04 | 110.6000 | 2025-04-04 | 82.1000 | -28.5000 | -25.77 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-04 | 95.0000 | 2022-04-04 | 88.0900 | -6.9100 | -7.27 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-04 | 103.6400 | 2021-04-04 | 109.3800 | 5.7400 | 5.54 |
| 2020 | 2020-02-04 | 88.3800 | 2020-04-03 | 63.0500 | -25.3300 | -28.66 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-04 | 67.5800 | 2019-04-04 | 74.3500 | 6.7700 | 10.02 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-04 | 58.2900 | 2016-04-03 | 61.0200 | 2.7300 | 4.68 |
| Avg | 87.2483 | 79.6650 | -7.58 | -6.91 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.01% | Feb Total +0.12% | Mar Total -1.37% | Apr Total -0.87% | May Total -0.98% | Jun Total -1.00% | Jul Total +3.87% | Aug Total +2.67% | Sep Total -1.87% | Oct Total -0.31% | Nov Total +8.35% | Dec Total -0.99% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.11% | 0.00% | +0.06% | -0.07% | -0.21% | -1.61% | -0.25% | +0.91% | -0.59% | +0.43% | -0.14% | +0.28% | -0.15% |
| 2 Avg +0.34% | +0.04% | -0.07% | +1.03% | +0.01% | +0.48% | +0.76% | +0.14% | -0.10% | +0.13% | -0.09% | +1.71% | +0.04% |
| 3 Avg -0.22% | -0.20% | -0.48% | -0.66% | -1.09% | -1.40% | +0.44% | +0.16% | +0.22% | -0.63% | -0.15% | +0.66% | +0.48% |
| 4 Avg +0.09% | +0.01% | +0.38% | -0.56% | -1.27% | +1.00% | +0.56% | 0.00% | -0.13% | -0.20% | +0.66% | +0.70% | -0.08% |
| 5 Avg -0.12% | -0.10% | -0.31% | -0.48% | -0.21% | -0.55% | +0.04% | -0.19% | -0.30% | -0.36% | +0.55% | +0.90% | -0.45% |
| 6 Avg +0.19% | +0.36% | +0.42% | -0.69% | +0.78% | +0.12% | +0.77% | -0.01% | +0.20% | -0.03% | -0.56% | +0.42% | +0.48% |
| 7 Avg -0.01% | -0.71% | -0.02% | -1.05% | -0.07% | +0.27% | -0.06% | +0.02% | +0.36% | +0.26% | -0.14% | +0.87% | +0.13% |
| 8 Avg +0.01% | +0.39% | -0.07% | -0.39% | +0.21% | +0.37% | -0.12% | -0.27% | -0.21% | -0.08% | -0.08% | +0.52% | -0.13% |
| 9 Avg +0.04% | +0.09% | +0.59% | -0.26% | +1.51% | -0.44% | -0.05% | 0.00% | -0.46% | -0.23% | +0.26% | +0.05% | -0.55% |
| 10 Avg -0.03% | +0.04% | +0.15% | 0.00% | -0.43% | +0.13% | -0.83% | +0.57% | +0.33% | -0.44% | -0.56% | +0.07% | +0.67% |
| 11 Avg -0.13% | -0.11% | -0.21% | -1.41% | +0.10% | -1.05% | -0.53% | +0.01% | +0.17% | +0.74% | -0.27% | +0.72% | +0.27% |
| 12 Avg +0.15% | +0.01% | +0.34% | -0.70% | -0.36% | +0.12% | +0.32% | +0.80% | +0.40% | +0.23% | +0.50% | -0.18% | +0.36% |
| 13 Avg +0.37% | -0.06% | +0.26% | +0.84% | +0.20% | +0.62% | -0.39% | +0.01% | +2.83% | -0.33% | +0.32% | +0.08% | +0.10% |
| 14 Avg +0.02% | -0.25% | +0.04% | +0.02% | +0.11% | +0.06% | +0.29% | +0.17% | -0.43% | +0.71% | -0.22% | +0.06% | -0.36% |
| 15 Avg +0.06% | +0.06% | +0.23% | +0.61% | -0.20% | +0.23% | +0.30% | +0.14% | -0.12% | -0.22% | +0.18% | +0.11% | -0.65% |
| 16 Avg -0.08% | +0.32% | +0.08% | -0.69% | -0.08% | -0.69% | -0.26% | +0.06% | +0.23% | -0.23% | +0.50% | +0.63% | -0.77% |
| 17 Avg +0.02% | +0.16% | -0.10% | +0.10% | +0.84% | +0.39% | -0.14% | -0.07% | -0.28% | -0.30% | +0.49% | -0.16% | -0.74% |
| 18 Avg +0.04% | -0.02% | 0.00% | -0.42% | +0.26% | +0.08% | -0.31% | +0.01% | +0.12% | -0.04% | +0.29% | +0.19% | +0.25% |
| 19 Avg +0.00% | -0.06% | -0.05% | +0.90% | +0.20% | -0.13% | +0.15% | +0.65% | -1.00% | +0.14% | -0.04% | -0.44% | -0.26% |
| 20 Avg -0.25% | -0.08% | -0.13% | -0.21% | -0.51% | +0.42% | -0.99% | +0.32% | -0.14% | -0.22% | -0.14% | -0.47% | -0.82% |
| 21 Avg 0.00% | +0.53% | -0.23% | -0.65% | -0.40% | -0.14% | +0.04% | +0.33% | -0.06% | -0.26% | +0.28% | +0.41% | +0.12% |
| 22 Avg +0.07% | -0.02% | +0.08% | -0.06% | +0.07% | +0.08% | +0.04% | +0.77% | -0.12% | -0.12% | -0.06% | +0.54% | -0.38% |
| 23 Avg -0.15% | +0.37% | -0.48% | -0.99% | +0.04% | -0.52% | +0.06% | -0.15% | -0.09% | -0.01% | +0.08% | +0.21% | -0.30% |
| 24 Avg +0.09% | -0.14% | -0.02% | +1.40% | +0.46% | +0.32% | -0.21% | -0.32% | +0.44% | -0.50% | -0.45% | -0.18% | +0.26% |
| 25 Avg +0.14% | +0.05% | +0.01% | +0.47% | -0.03% | +0.01% | -0.02% | -0.12% | +0.60% | +0.18% | +0.20% | +0.30% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.21% | -0.15% | +0.10% | +1.40% | +0.22% | +0.41% | -0.44% | +0.66% | -0.07% | +0.10% | -0.19% | -0.22% | +0.66% |
| 27 Avg -0.05% | -1.46% | -0.46% | -0.28% | -0.05% | +0.75% | -0.35% | +0.65% | +0.62% | -0.35% | -0.10% | +0.13% | +0.28% |
| 28 Avg -0.05% | +0.51% | +0.02% | +0.36% | -0.09% | -0.33% | -0.40% | -1.21% | +0.18% | +0.15% | -0.25% | +0.12% | +0.39% |
| 29 Avg +0.12% | +0.68% | - | +0.63% | -0.27% | -0.55% | +0.56% | +0.33% | +0.16% | -0.12% | -0.60% | +0.19% | +0.31% |
| 30 Avg -0.07% | +0.07% | - | +0.57% | -0.61% | +0.31% | +0.01% | -0.29% | -0.20% | -0.27% | -0.06% | +0.14% | -0.48% |
| 31 Avg -0.08% | -0.36% | - | -0.11% | - | +0.26% | - | -0.22% | +0.10% | - | -0.55% | - | +0.32% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
