Check historical price trends and seasonality for Saia (SAIA).
Saia (SAIA) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +43.18%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -1.06%.
3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.
1) Overview:
The stock typically experiences a strong bullish phase from early January, reaching a peak around December. From early January, the stock begins to climb steadily, reaching double-digit percentage gains by February, peaking around February 16 at +12.4%. After the February peak, the stock consolidates through the spring and summer before resuming its upward trajectory in the fall, culminating in substantial gains by December 15, reaching +45.3%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises in early January, specifically around January 8, where the stock tends to experience a dip of -1.8%. Another pullback period occurs in late March and early April as the stock pulls back from its February highs. Furthermore, May also presents a possible dip-buying opportunity as the stock consolidates. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking after the initial rallies, presenting chances to enter before the stock resumes its upward trend later in the year.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, a strategic approach would involve accumulating shares during the early January dip and throughout the spring consolidation. Consider adding to positions during the May consolidation period. The strongest gains are typically realized by holding through December, specifically targeting December 15 and December 31, before potentially re-evaluating the position for the following year's cycle.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 493.0400 | 2025-03-16 | 353.6400 | -139.4000 | -28.27 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 437.9900 | 2024-03-15 | 578.0800 | 140.0900 | 31.98 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 96.8900 | 2020-03-15 | 74.5800 | -22.3100 | -23.03 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 55.4600 | 2019-03-16 | 62.7000 | 7.2400 | 13.05 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 75.5500 | 2018-03-16 | 76.3000 | 0.7500 | 0.99 |
| Avg | 231.7860 | 229.0600 | -2.73 | -1.06 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +3.29% | Feb Total +5.54% | Mar Total -2.53% | Apr Total -3.13% | May Total +2.27% | Jun Total +4.55% | Jul Total +9.52% | Aug Total +2.24% | Sep Total +1.27% | Oct Total +5.14% | Nov Total +8.97% | Dec Total +0.24% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.57% | 0.00% | +2.74% | +1.51% | -0.68% | -0.73% | +0.77% | +0.64% | -1.01% | +1.28% | -0.18% | +1.79% | +0.78% |
| 2 Avg +0.16% | -0.52% | +0.87% | +0.19% | -0.41% | +1.95% | +0.59% | +0.12% | -0.26% | -0.25% | -0.45% | 0.00% | +0.13% |
| 3 Avg -0.01% | -0.55% | +0.03% | -0.05% | -1.34% | -0.01% | -0.15% | +0.21% | +0.94% | -0.40% | +0.80% | +0.72% | -0.35% |
| 4 Avg +0.32% | +0.26% | +2.16% | -1.44% | -0.29% | -0.07% | +0.32% | 0.00% | +0.53% | +1.32% | -0.67% | +1.48% | +0.29% |
| 5 Avg 0.00% | -0.78% | +1.84% | -0.52% | -0.38% | +0.16% | -0.02% | -0.33% | +0.30% | +0.33% | -0.11% | +0.22% | -0.77% |
| 6 Avg +0.29% | +0.86% | -0.23% | -1.00% | +0.04% | -0.21% | +0.85% | +0.50% | +0.63% | +0.28% | +0.84% | +0.97% | -0.09% |
| 7 Avg +0.00% | -0.90% | -0.64% | -1.31% | +0.10% | +0.87% | +0.15% | +0.59% | -0.62% | -0.26% | -0.23% | +1.38% | +0.90% |
| 8 Avg +0.42% | -0.14% | +0.82% | -0.08% | +0.92% | +0.75% | +0.10% | +0.88% | +0.38% | -0.43% | +0.91% | +0.51% | +0.38% |
| 9 Avg +0.02% | +0.69% | +0.75% | -0.16% | +1.65% | -0.56% | -0.96% | +0.07% | -0.98% | +0.36% | +0.25% | -0.67% | -0.17% |
| 10 Avg +0.30% | +0.83% | -0.57% | +0.66% | -0.10% | 0.00% | -0.36% | -0.08% | +0.92% | +0.61% | -0.36% | +1.41% | +0.58% |
| 11 Avg +0.07% | +0.29% | -0.53% | -0.22% | +0.12% | -0.24% | -0.52% | +0.11% | +0.42% | -0.10% | +0.48% | +0.73% | +0.28% |
| 12 Avg +0.33% | +0.49% | +0.21% | -0.34% | -0.08% | -0.32% | +1.11% | +1.25% | +0.66% | +0.28% | +0.26% | -0.30% | +0.77% |
| 13 Avg -0.39% | -0.06% | +0.19% | +0.63% | -0.84% | -0.62% | -0.45% | -0.77% | +0.44% | -0.68% | -1.46% | -0.24% | -0.83% |
| 14 Avg +0.11% | +0.41% | +0.62% | -0.45% | +0.06% | +0.83% | -0.13% | -0.40% | -0.39% | -0.23% | +0.14% | +0.93% | -0.13% |
| 15 Avg +0.22% | +0.62% | +0.37% | +0.17% | -0.64% | -0.32% | +0.78% | +0.59% | -0.22% | +0.84% | +0.12% | -0.25% | +0.60% |
| 16 Avg +0.03% | +0.17% | +0.22% | +0.24% | +0.03% | -0.45% | -0.22% | +0.08% | +0.49% | +0.02% | +0.46% | -0.08% | -0.55% |
| 17 Avg -0.10% | -0.18% | -0.66% | +2.00% | +1.42% | -0.40% | -0.86% | -0.16% | -0.73% | -0.87% | +0.33% | -0.42% | -0.64% |
| 18 Avg +0.04% | +1.39% | +0.36% | -0.14% | -0.14% | -0.60% | +0.09% | +0.27% | +0.10% | +0.05% | -0.16% | -0.68% | -0.11% |
| 19 Avg -0.21% | +0.15% | -0.01% | -1.37% | +0.35% | +0.10% | -0.60% | +0.95% | +0.23% | +0.03% | -0.99% | -0.28% | -1.08% |
| 20 Avg -0.05% | +0.74% | -0.56% | -0.03% | -0.08% | +0.58% | +0.01% | +0.62% | -0.25% | -1.08% | +0.27% | -0.05% | -0.77% |
| 21 Avg +0.17% | -0.07% | -0.69% | +0.70% | -0.54% | -0.35% | -0.34% | -0.14% | +0.81% | -0.16% | +0.43% | +1.73% | +0.71% |
| 22 Avg -0.10% | +0.08% | +0.08% | -1.22% | +0.66% | -0.62% | -0.08% | +0.55% | +0.19% | -0.41% | +0.14% | -0.80% | +0.21% |
| 23 Avg +0.07% | +0.26% | -0.26% | -1.99% | +1.47% | +0.11% | +1.62% | +0.60% | +0.34% | +0.01% | -1.52% | +0.21% | -0.02% |
| 24 Avg +0.38% | +0.71% | -0.08% | +1.61% | +1.20% | +0.80% | -0.17% | -0.36% | -0.48% | +0.25% | +0.29% | +0.31% | +0.47% |
| 25 Avg -0.05% | +0.22% | -0.91% | +0.06% | -3.51% | +0.76% | -0.37% | +0.96% | -0.54% | +0.46% | +1.66% | +0.59% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg -0.19% | -0.53% | +0.10% | +1.64% | -4.19% | +1.26% | +0.30% | -1.45% | -0.88% | -1.05% | +1.68% | +0.29% | +0.53% |
| 27 Avg +0.05% | -0.65% | -0.52% | -0.76% | +1.73% | +0.79% | +0.95% | -0.24% | -0.27% | +0.51% | -0.61% | -0.63% | +0.25% |
| 28 Avg +0.40% | +0.24% | -0.18% | -0.13% | +0.97% | -0.73% | +0.59% | +1.75% | -0.02% | +0.84% | +2.01% | -0.13% | -0.46% |
| 29 Avg +0.26% | +0.18% | - | +0.25% | +0.57% | -0.24% | +1.12% | +1.11% | +0.93% | -0.43% | -0.06% | -0.70% | +0.07% |
| 30 Avg +0.05% | -0.35% | - | +0.18% | -1.23% | +0.19% | +0.41% | +0.40% | +0.86% | +0.15% | -0.33% | +0.93% | -0.71% |
| 31 Avg 0.00% | -0.55% | - | -1.15% | - | -0.40% | - | +1.21% | -0.27% | - | +1.19% | - | -0.04% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
