Check historical price trends and seasonality for Ross Stores (ROST).
Ross Stores (ROST) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +13.56%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (May 18 for 60 days) is -3.00%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
Ross Stores' stock typically experiences a bearish phase from early January, declining significantly until late March. The most pronounced drop occurs around March 23, with an average decrease of -8.9%. A strong bullish trend then emerges, starting in August and continuing through December, culminating in a peak around December 31 with an average increase of +13.5%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant buying opportunity appears in late March, specifically around March 23, following a substantial pullback. Another potential, though less pronounced, buying opportunity arises in late May through July, as the stock tends to experience smaller pullbacks during this period before the bullish trend begins in August. These dips could be attributed to seasonal factors affecting retail sales or general market sentiment.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy for Ross Stores could involve capitalizing on the seasonal weakness in late March for entry, aiming to benefit from the subsequent rally into the end of the year. Given the significant drop around March 23, this date presents a prime opportunity for establishing a long position. Monitoring retail sales data and overall market conditions is crucial to confirm the validity of this seasonal pattern.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023-05-18 | 105.3800 | 2023-07-16 | 111.5800 | 6.2000 | 5.88 |
| 2022 | 2022-05-18 | 92.8000 | 2022-07-16 | 77.9800 | -14.8200 | -15.97 |
| 2021 | 2021-05-18 | 124.8100 | 2021-07-16 | 119.4900 | -5.3200 | -4.26 |
| 2020 | 2020-05-18 | 90.6300 | 2020-07-16 | 84.5600 | -6.0700 | -6.70 |
| 2018 | 2018-05-18 | 82.4700 | 2018-07-16 | 85.1400 | 2.6700 | 3.24 |
| 2017 | 2017-05-18 | 61.0700 | 2017-07-16 | 54.7600 | -6.3100 | -10.33 |
| 2016 | 2016-05-18 | 54.3100 | 2016-07-16 | 58.1900 | 3.8800 | 7.14 |
| Avg | 87.3529 | 84.5286 | -2.82 | -3.00 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.60% | Feb Total -0.84% | Mar Total -2.93% | Apr Total +3.02% | May Total -1.54% | Jun Total -1.92% | Jul Total +4.26% | Aug Total +4.18% | Sep Total +1.00% | Oct Total +0.48% | Nov Total +9.80% | Dec Total +2.18% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.07% | 0.00% | +0.38% | -0.19% | -0.37% | -1.00% | -0.61% | +0.58% | -0.25% | +0.30% | +0.16% | -0.02% | +0.14% |
| 2 Avg +0.27% | +0.17% | -0.38% | +1.17% | -0.39% | +0.50% | +0.56% | +0.22% | -0.62% | +0.52% | +0.07% | +0.73% | +0.72% |
| 3 Avg -0.15% | -0.31% | -0.54% | -1.17% | -0.51% | +0.36% | -0.05% | +0.23% | +0.47% | -0.27% | -0.30% | +0.78% | -0.52% |
| 4 Avg +0.21% | +0.33% | +0.23% | -0.57% | +0.43% | +0.17% | +0.34% | 0.00% | +0.26% | +0.38% | +0.32% | +0.45% | +0.17% |
| 5 Avg -0.01% | -0.25% | -0.23% | -0.47% | -0.07% | -0.55% | +0.62% | +0.34% | -0.22% | +0.19% | -0.03% | +0.74% | -0.20% |
| 6 Avg +0.17% | +0.57% | -0.03% | +0.35% | +1.75% | -0.06% | -0.20% | +0.13% | +0.70% | -0.30% | -0.57% | -0.44% | +0.16% |
| 7 Avg -0.22% | -0.13% | -0.39% | -1.90% | -0.71% | +0.12% | +0.31% | -0.56% | +0.31% | +0.34% | -0.29% | +0.80% | -0.52% |
| 8 Avg +0.33% | +0.25% | +0.45% | +0.20% | +0.96% | +0.61% | +0.32% | +0.12% | +0.78% | +0.03% | +0.41% | -0.29% | +0.14% |
| 9 Avg +0.15% | -0.17% | +0.79% | -0.28% | +0.62% | +0.14% | -0.15% | +0.12% | -0.42% | -0.40% | +0.17% | +1.55% | -0.21% |
| 10 Avg +0.04% | -0.12% | -0.05% | +0.33% | +0.36% | -0.86% | -0.99% | +0.28% | +0.73% | -0.30% | -0.49% | +1.11% | +0.43% |
| 11 Avg -0.08% | +0.63% | -0.15% | -0.52% | +0.27% | -0.95% | -0.65% | +0.01% | +0.80% | +0.21% | -0.03% | -0.77% | +0.19% |
| 12 Avg 0.00% | +0.29% | -0.05% | -0.74% | -0.14% | -0.16% | -0.14% | +0.36% | +0.28% | +0.41% | 0.00% | -0.30% | +0.19% |
| 13 Avg -0.11% | -0.59% | +0.16% | -0.10% | -0.36% | -0.41% | -0.21% | -0.06% | +0.30% | -0.44% | +0.39% | -0.03% | +0.08% |
| 14 Avg -0.14% | -0.57% | +0.04% | -0.25% | +0.71% | +0.70% | -0.25% | -0.22% | -0.39% | +0.19% | -0.55% | -0.08% | -0.96% |
| 15 Avg +0.09% | -0.19% | +0.51% | +0.28% | -0.39% | +0.01% | +0.38% | +0.02% | -0.14% | +0.17% | +0.49% | -0.01% | -0.05% |
| 16 Avg -0.04% | -0.33% | -0.03% | -1.70% | +0.03% | +0.35% | +0.22% | -0.02% | +0.64% | +0.05% | +0.44% | -0.06% | 0.00% |
| 17 Avg +0.21% | -0.01% | -0.36% | -0.35% | +0.74% | -0.16% | +0.16% | +0.23% | -0.27% | -0.32% | +0.58% | +2.15% | +0.09% |
| 18 Avg +0.17% | -0.11% | +0.29% | -1.23% | +0.20% | +0.24% | -0.79% | +0.15% | +1.49% | -0.08% | -0.02% | +1.67% | +0.27% |
| 19 Avg +0.03% | -0.23% | -0.08% | +1.12% | +0.25% | +0.37% | +0.27% | -0.01% | +0.23% | +0.33% | -0.86% | -1.18% | +0.14% |
| 20 Avg -0.59% | -0.14% | -0.19% | -0.39% | -0.56% | -3.01% | -0.35% | +0.24% | -0.61% | -0.91% | +0.20% | -1.10% | -0.28% |
| 21 Avg +0.21% | -0.17% | -0.46% | -0.36% | -0.62% | +0.69% | +0.45% | +0.82% | +0.51% | -0.17% | -0.07% | +1.62% | +0.32% |
| 22 Avg -0.09% | +0.19% | +0.54% | -0.74% | -0.28% | -0.61% | -0.75% | +0.47% | -0.18% | -0.23% | +0.24% | +0.43% | -0.21% |
| 23 Avg -0.11% | -0.10% | -0.76% | -0.89% | +0.02% | -0.32% | +0.36% | +0.07% | +0.30% | -0.40% | -0.08% | +0.26% | +0.23% |
| 24 Avg +0.40% | +0.41% | +0.76% | +1.70% | +0.48% | +0.65% | +0.18% | -0.65% | +0.07% | +0.36% | +0.28% | +0.37% | +0.16% |
| 25 Avg +0.28% | +0.21% | -0.53% | +1.53% | -0.04% | +0.10% | -0.64% | +0.43% | +0.40% | +0.42% | +0.91% | +0.53% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.24% | -0.05% | +0.33% | +1.23% | +0.28% | +1.22% | -0.01% | -0.12% | -0.81% | +0.14% | -0.25% | -0.09% | +1.04% |
| 27 Avg -0.03% | -0.86% | -0.83% | -0.22% | +1.03% | +0.50% | -0.32% | -0.01% | -0.12% | +0.49% | -0.31% | +0.22% | +0.09% |
| 28 Avg +0.12% | +0.67% | -0.25% | +0.11% | +0.30% | -0.34% | -0.50% | +0.42% | +0.27% | +0.70% | -0.58% | +0.46% | +0.22% |
| 29 Avg +0.16% | +0.31% | - | +0.68% | +0.04% | -0.21% | +0.08% | +0.43% | +0.37% | -0.36% | -0.11% | +0.49% | +0.07% |
| 30 Avg +0.00% | +0.07% | - | +0.19% | -1.01% | +0.61% | +0.45% | +0.13% | -0.53% | -0.06% | +0.21% | -0.19% | +0.15% |
| 31 Avg -0.03% | -0.37% | - | +0.27% | - | -0.25% | - | +0.11% | -0.21% | - | +0.13% | - | +0.13% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
