Check historical price trends and seasonality for RH (RH).
RH (RH) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +30.55%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 60 days) is -17.85%.
2 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 40.00%.
1) Overview:
RH's 10-year average seasonality reveals a distinct pattern. The stock tends to experience a bearish phase from the beginning of the year, bottoming out around March 18 with a significant drop of -17.0%. Following this low point, the stock enters a strong bullish phase, climbing steadily throughout the year, culminating in substantial gains, reaching +42.5% around December 7 and remaining high at +30.5% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most prominent buy-the-dip opportunity appears in March, particularly around March 18, where the stock shows an average decline of -17.0%. This pullback, likely driven by seasonal factors, presents a strategic entry point for investors anticipating the subsequent bullish trend. Another potential, albeit less pronounced, buying opportunity exists in early April, as the stock continues to trade at relatively low levels before beginning its ascent.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to RH would involve accumulating shares during the significant dip in March, specifically around March 18. Investors should consider that this is an average tendency and not a guarantee of future performance. The data suggests holding through the year to capitalize on the strong bullish trend that typically peaks in December.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 432.8300 | 2025-03-16 | 225.0600 | -207.7700 | -48.00 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 258.0200 | 2024-03-15 | 290.7300 | 32.7100 | 12.68 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 223.2800 | 2020-03-15 | 123.1200 | -100.1600 | -44.86 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 126.0500 | 2019-03-16 | 134.1100 | 8.0600 | 6.39 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 92.7800 | 2018-03-16 | 78.4300 | -14.3500 | -15.47 |
| Avg | 226.5920 | 170.2900 | -56.30 | -17.85 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -2.63% | Feb Total -4.99% | Mar Total -3.33% | Apr Total +3.93% | May Total +0.61% | Jun Total +10.23% | Jul Total +11.58% | Aug Total +0.50% | Sep Total +5.29% | Oct Total -4.20% | Nov Total +12.12% | Dec Total -0.48% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.05% | 0.00% | +0.01% | -0.37% | -1.07% | -0.43% | +0.21% | +2.03% | -1.40% | +0.95% | -0.85% | +0.28% | +0.06% |
| 2 Avg -0.15% | -0.02% | +0.05% | +0.97% | -1.05% | +2.30% | -0.98% | +0.65% | -1.86% | -0.67% | -0.57% | +0.15% | -0.74% |
| 3 Avg -0.41% | -0.81% | -1.29% | -1.64% | -4.61% | +0.52% | +0.85% | -0.06% | +0.80% | -0.66% | +0.62% | +0.64% | +0.67% |
| 4 Avg +0.22% | +0.64% | +1.38% | -1.59% | -0.54% | -0.03% | +0.57% | 0.00% | +0.10% | -0.23% | +0.15% | +0.58% | +1.60% |
| 5 Avg +0.15% | -0.29% | -0.43% | -1.41% | +0.38% | -0.25% | +1.53% | +1.10% | +0.34% | +0.23% | -0.59% | +0.45% | +0.79% |
| 6 Avg +0.17% | +0.64% | -0.44% | -0.54% | +2.04% | -0.69% | +1.20% | -0.06% | +0.43% | -0.72% | -0.53% | -0.92% | +1.63% |
| 7 Avg +0.39% | +0.18% | -1.52% | -1.92% | +0.45% | +0.24% | +0.29% | -0.58% | +0.64% | +4.85% | +0.28% | +1.55% | +0.23% |
| 8 Avg +0.03% | -0.01% | -0.05% | -0.18% | +0.47% | +1.20% | +1.07% | +0.58% | +1.29% | -1.85% | -0.52% | -0.41% | -1.28% |
| 9 Avg +0.02% | +0.85% | +0.42% | -1.17% | +4.45% | +0.58% | -2.58% | +0.29% | -0.69% | +1.53% | -1.79% | -1.07% | -0.54% |
| 10 Avg +0.16% | -0.72% | -0.13% | -0.85% | -1.27% | -0.16% | +1.12% | +1.07% | +0.28% | +1.86% | -0.49% | +2.13% | -0.88% |
| 11 Avg +0.03% | +0.82% | -0.86% | -1.11% | +0.03% | -1.58% | -0.76% | +1.06% | +0.18% | +0.22% | +1.42% | +1.43% | -0.44% |
| 12 Avg +0.51% | +0.09% | +1.19% | -0.95% | -0.45% | +0.85% | +3.98% | +1.82% | +1.75% | +0.77% | -0.22% | -0.54% | -2.11% |
| 13 Avg +0.79% | -0.45% | +0.40% | +0.06% | +0.93% | -1.69% | +1.44% | +0.41% | +1.48% | +2.68% | +1.09% | +0.14% | +3.00% |
| 14 Avg -0.10% | -0.06% | +1.47% | +0.05% | -0.75% | +0.54% | -2.09% | -1.01% | -0.41% | -0.21% | -0.28% | +0.84% | +0.67% |
| 15 Avg +0.11% | -0.06% | +1.09% | -0.13% | -0.95% | +0.64% | +1.13% | -0.18% | -0.62% | -0.10% | -0.06% | +0.26% | +0.28% |
| 16 Avg -0.10% | -0.63% | +0.01% | -1.26% | +0.10% | -1.57% | -0.57% | +0.48% | +0.05% | +0.51% | +0.89% | +1.98% | -1.23% |
| 17 Avg -0.03% | +0.90% | -0.35% | -0.36% | +0.82% | +0.08% | +0.35% | +0.22% | -1.69% | -0.07% | +0.13% | -0.66% | +0.21% |
| 18 Avg -0.04% | -0.11% | +0.31% | -1.01% | -0.08% | +0.02% | -0.25% | +0.77% | +0.10% | -0.47% | +0.13% | -0.27% | +0.41% |
| 19 Avg +0.22% | -0.60% | +0.04% | +1.75% | +0.84% | -0.32% | 0.00% | +0.84% | +0.99% | +0.20% | -1.26% | +0.20% | -0.06% |
| 20 Avg -0.32% | -0.13% | -1.09% | -0.44% | -0.83% | -0.09% | -0.10% | +0.29% | -0.90% | -1.06% | +0.35% | +0.53% | -0.40% |
| 21 Avg +0.11% | -0.22% | -1.85% | +1.73% | -0.23% | +0.65% | +0.13% | +0.02% | +0.24% | -0.58% | +0.42% | +1.21% | -0.14% |
| 22 Avg -0.02% | +0.45% | -0.41% | -0.35% | +1.08% | -1.79% | +1.69% | +0.13% | +0.67% | -0.84% | -1.36% | +1.54% | -1.00% |
| 23 Avg +0.13% | +0.27% | -0.94% | -1.43% | +0.98% | -1.06% | +0.95% | +0.79% | +1.53% | -0.66% | +0.76% | -0.18% | +0.53% |
| 24 Avg +0.36% | -0.91% | +2.54% | +3.15% | +1.30% | +0.33% | +0.23% | +0.10% | -0.82% | -0.49% | -0.93% | -0.34% | +0.16% |
| 25 Avg -0.06% | +0.06% | -2.86% | +0.51% | -0.31% | +1.09% | -0.55% | -0.26% | -0.67% | -0.06% | +0.49% | +1.84% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg 0.00% | -0.78% | +0.45% | +0.59% | +0.63% | +0.68% | +0.85% | +0.23% | -1.65% | -1.64% | -0.63% | +0.41% | +0.80% |
| 27 Avg +0.16% | -1.82% | -0.56% | +0.02% | +2.70% | +1.57% | +0.58% | +0.32% | -0.22% | +1.15% | -0.38% | -0.37% | -1.11% |
| 28 Avg +0.51% | +1.27% | -1.54% | +5.08% | +0.08% | -0.39% | +0.29% | +0.13% | +0.51% | -0.04% | +0.64% | +0.64% | -0.53% |
| 29 Avg +0.08% | +0.13% | - | +0.20% | +0.01% | +0.31% | +0.68% | +0.93% | -0.03% | +0.51% | -1.15% | -0.02% | -0.70% |
| 30 Avg -0.17% | -0.17% | - | +0.27% | -1.22% | -0.34% | -1.03% | +0.16% | +0.10% | +0.17% | +0.43% | +0.10% | -0.28% |
| 31 Avg -0.56% | -1.15% | - | -1.00% | - | -0.58% | - | -0.67% | -0.02% | - | -0.39% | - | -0.07% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|