PayPal (PYPL) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for PayPal (PYPL).

View:

PayPal (PYPL) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +16.68%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 17 for 7 days) is -1.70%.

4 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 57.14%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

PayPal (PYPL) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

PayPal's 10-year average seasonality reveals a strong upward trend throughout the year, starting with consistent gains in January, peaking in late summer, and continuing into the end of the year. From January 2nd to July 20th, there is a consistent bullish phase, rising from +1.1% to +14.1%. A notable bearish period occurs around March 8, with an average decline of -3.0%. The year concludes with a significant bullish surge, particularly around December 16 (+18.3%) and December 31 (+16.6%).

2) Buy-the-dip points:

The most pronounced dip opportunity appears around March 8, where the stock tends to decline by -3.0%. This pullback could be considered a strategic entry point, as the stock generally rebounds and enters a bullish phase afterward. Another potential, though less severe, dip occurs in early April. These pullbacks may be attributed to broader market corrections or profit-taking after the early year gains, presenting favorable conditions for initiating or increasing positions.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for PayPal would involve capitalizing on the dip around March 8. Given the strong performance typically seen in December, particularly around December 16 and December 31, investors might consider holding through the year to capture these gains. However, it's crucial to consider other factors like overall market conditions and company-specific news before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-03-17 69.6500 2025-03-23 70.1900 0.5400 0.78
2023 2023-03-17 72.9900 2023-03-23 72.5600 -0.4300 -0.59
2022 2022-03-17 112.1600 2022-03-23 114.6500 2.4900 2.22
2021 2021-03-17 251.4700 2021-03-23 243.7700 -7.7000 -3.06
2020 2020-03-17 97.8700 2020-03-23 85.2600 -12.6100 -12.88
2017 2017-03-17 43.0800 2017-03-23 43.1400 0.0600 0.14
2016 2016-03-17 39.9300 2016-03-23 40.5200 0.5900 1.48
Avg 98.1643 95.7271 -2.44 -1.70
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +3.87% Feb Total -5.00% Mar Total +0.70% Apr Total +3.29% May Total +1.58% Jun Total +1.71% Jul Total +5.64% Aug Total +2.85% Sep Total -1.87% Oct Total -0.95% Nov Total +0.48% Dec Total -0.19%
1 Avg +0.06% 0.00% +0.30% +0.67% +0.04% -0.81% +0.25% +0.42% +0.17% +0.13% -0.10% -0.27% -0.13%
2 Avg -0.04% +0.57% -1.84% +0.42% +0.19% +0.19% +1.38% +0.54% -1.13% -0.19% -0.25% -0.02% -0.31%
3 Avg -0.36% +0.50% -0.29% -1.16% -1.11% -0.25% -0.73% +0.26% -0.31% -0.36% +0.04% -0.57% -0.31%
4 Avg +0.02% +0.39% +0.10% -0.90% -0.35% +0.22% +0.71% 0.00% +0.17% -0.46% +0.63% +0.04% -0.31%
5 Avg +0.10% +0.17% -0.76% -0.24% +0.06% +0.13% +0.46% +0.93% -0.08% -0.29% +0.45% +0.75% -0.32%
6 Avg +0.15% +0.31% +0.08% -0.31% +0.59% -0.07% +0.77% -0.63% +0.84% -0.64% +0.27% -0.12% +0.67%
7 Avg +0.23% -0.27% -0.67% -0.46% -0.16% +1.52% -0.08% +0.71% +0.17% +0.80% +0.07% +0.77% +0.31%
8 Avg +0.02% +0.89% -1.69% -0.44% +0.77% +0.05% +0.24% -0.04% +0.06% -0.50% -0.44% +1.20% +0.09%
9 Avg -0.20% +0.14% +0.68% +0.67% +1.61% -1.19% -0.72% +0.38% -0.40% -0.25% +0.28% -2.80% -0.74%
10 Avg -0.26% -0.57% +0.17% -0.02% -0.49% -0.52% +0.02% +0.49% -0.11% -0.81% -2.32% +0.80% +0.22%
11 Avg +0.13% +0.61% -0.33% +0.35% -0.24% -0.31% -0.86% -0.33% -0.30% +0.68% +0.15% +1.53% +0.57%
12 Avg +0.15% +0.06% +1.14% -0.73% -0.05% -0.88% -0.10% +1.06% +0.01% +0.97% +0.70% -0.36% -0.03%
13 Avg +0.19% -0.06% -0.20% +1.45% +0.49% +0.67% -1.51% +0.04% +1.08% -0.27% 0.00% -0.25% +0.91%
14 Avg +0.21% +0.27% +0.57% +0.73% -0.17% +0.59% +0.03% +0.14% +0.18% +0.66% -0.14% -0.37% +0.08%
15 Avg +0.19% +0.17% +0.59% +0.55% -0.17% +0.08% +0.81% +0.23% -0.34% +0.08% -0.31% +0.78% -0.21%
16 Avg -0.09% -0.58% -0.04% -0.71% -0.34% +0.02% -0.25% -0.09% +0.43% -0.48% +0.36% +0.19% +0.47%
17 Avg +0.16% +0.87% -0.79% +1.14% +1.00% +0.13% +0.52% +0.56% -0.66% -0.29% +0.58% -0.74% -0.45%
18 Avg -0.25% -0.06% -0.35% -0.65% -0.29% -0.16% -0.06% +0.23% +0.10% 0.00% -0.33% -0.81% -0.58%
19 Avg +0.13% +0.84% -0.17% +0.24% -0.01% +0.21% -0.06% +0.18% -0.12% +0.53% +0.61% -0.92% +0.27%
20 Avg -0.05% -0.04% -0.50% -0.28% -0.99% +0.57% +0.90% +0.86% +0.61% -0.84% +0.16% -0.51% -0.57%
21 Avg -0.03% -0.60% -0.64% +0.90% -0.98% -0.37% -0.26% +0.29% +0.08% +0.11% +0.97% +0.05% +0.09%
22 Avg -0.02% -0.18% +0.01% -0.52% +0.57% +0.20% +0.55% -0.25% +0.53% -0.12% -1.11% -0.08% +0.14%
23 Avg -0.02% +0.48% -0.32% -1.18% +0.46% -0.36% +0.62% +0.15% -0.14% -0.15% +0.20% +0.24% -0.22%
24 Avg +0.30% -0.28% +0.44% +1.04% +0.64% +0.38% +0.05% +0.22% +0.30% -0.08% +0.50% +0.32% +0.10%
25 Avg -0.04% -0.67% -0.48% -0.16% -0.07% -0.29% -0.47% -0.62% +0.40% 0.00% +1.06% +0.87% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.12% +0.28% +0.09% +1.27% +0.29% -0.10% -0.45% -0.51% -0.13% +0.13% -0.95% +0.50% +0.99%
27 Avg -0.17% -0.70% -0.08% -1.32% +0.54% +0.69% -0.85% +0.83% +0.04% -0.62% -0.69% +0.12% 0.00%
28 Avg +0.34% +1.20% +0.01% -0.46% +1.17% +0.47% +0.42% +0.03% +0.15% +0.56% +0.14% +0.90% -0.49%
29 Avg -0.12% +0.54% - +0.74% +0.39% -0.01% -0.18% -1.17% +0.90% +0.02% -1.31% -1.16% -0.08%
30 Avg +0.10% -0.17% - +0.17% -0.09% +0.65% +0.56% +0.47% +0.29% -0.20% -0.71% +0.41% -0.27%
31 Avg +0.09% -0.24% - -0.11% - +0.12% - +0.29% +0.08% - +0.53% - -0.07%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Mar 17 - Apr 15] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses