Check historical price trends and seasonality for PayPal (PYPL).
PayPal (PYPL) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +16.68%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 14 for 60 days) is -2.30%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
PayPal's 10-year average seasonality reveals a strong upward trend throughout the year, starting with consistent gains in January, peaking in late summer, and continuing into the end of the year. From January 2nd to July 20th, there is a consistent bullish phase, rising from +1.1% to +14.1%. A notable bearish period occurs around March 8, with an average decline of -3.0%. The year concludes with a significant bullish surge, particularly around December 16 (+18.3%) and December 31 (+16.6%).
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most pronounced dip opportunity appears around March 8, where the stock tends to decline by -3.0%. This pullback could be considered a strategic entry point, as the stock generally rebounds and enters a bullish phase afterward. Another potential, though less severe, dip occurs in early April. These pullbacks may be attributed to broader market corrections or profit-taking after the early year gains, presenting favorable conditions for initiating or increasing positions.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for PayPal would involve capitalizing on the dip around March 8. Given the strong performance typically seen in December, particularly around December 16 and December 31, investors might consider holding through the year to capture these gains. However, it's crucial to consider other factors like overall market conditions and company-specific news before making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-02-14 | 77.9700 | 2025-04-14 | 62.2700 | -15.7000 | -20.14 |
| 2024 | 2024-02-14 | 58.8700 | 2024-04-13 | 64.5900 | 5.7200 | 9.72 |
| 2023 | 2023-02-14 | 77.2600 | 2023-04-14 | 76.5300 | -0.7300 | -0.94 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-14 | 114.1200 | 2022-04-14 | 102.3100 | -11.8100 | -10.35 |
| 2020 | 2020-02-14 | 122.9900 | 2020-04-13 | 105.9800 | -17.0100 | -13.83 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-14 | 94.4200 | 2019-04-14 | 108.4800 | 14.0600 | 14.89 |
| 2018 | 2018-02-14 | 77.2700 | 2018-04-14 | 77.2700 | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| 2017 | 2017-02-14 | 41.6200 | 2017-04-14 | 42.5500 | 0.9300 | 2.23 |
| Avg | 83.0650 | 79.9975 | -3.07 | -2.30 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +3.87% | Feb Total -5.00% | Mar Total +0.70% | Apr Total +3.29% | May Total +1.58% | Jun Total +1.71% | Jul Total +5.64% | Aug Total +2.85% | Sep Total -1.87% | Oct Total -0.95% | Nov Total +0.48% | Dec Total -0.19% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.06% | 0.00% | +0.30% | +0.67% | +0.04% | -0.81% | +0.25% | +0.42% | +0.17% | +0.13% | -0.10% | -0.27% | -0.13% |
| 2 Avg -0.04% | +0.57% | -1.84% | +0.42% | +0.19% | +0.19% | +1.38% | +0.54% | -1.13% | -0.19% | -0.25% | -0.02% | -0.31% |
| 3 Avg -0.36% | +0.50% | -0.29% | -1.16% | -1.11% | -0.25% | -0.73% | +0.26% | -0.31% | -0.36% | +0.04% | -0.57% | -0.31% |
| 4 Avg +0.02% | +0.39% | +0.10% | -0.90% | -0.35% | +0.22% | +0.71% | 0.00% | +0.17% | -0.46% | +0.63% | +0.04% | -0.31% |
| 5 Avg +0.10% | +0.17% | -0.76% | -0.24% | +0.06% | +0.13% | +0.46% | +0.93% | -0.08% | -0.29% | +0.45% | +0.75% | -0.32% |
| 6 Avg +0.15% | +0.31% | +0.08% | -0.31% | +0.59% | -0.07% | +0.77% | -0.63% | +0.84% | -0.64% | +0.27% | -0.12% | +0.67% |
| 7 Avg +0.23% | -0.27% | -0.67% | -0.46% | -0.16% | +1.52% | -0.08% | +0.71% | +0.17% | +0.80% | +0.07% | +0.77% | +0.31% |
| 8 Avg +0.02% | +0.89% | -1.69% | -0.44% | +0.77% | +0.05% | +0.24% | -0.04% | +0.06% | -0.50% | -0.44% | +1.20% | +0.09% |
| 9 Avg -0.20% | +0.14% | +0.68% | +0.67% | +1.61% | -1.19% | -0.72% | +0.38% | -0.40% | -0.25% | +0.28% | -2.80% | -0.74% |
| 10 Avg -0.26% | -0.57% | +0.17% | -0.02% | -0.49% | -0.52% | +0.02% | +0.49% | -0.11% | -0.81% | -2.32% | +0.80% | +0.22% |
| 11 Avg +0.13% | +0.61% | -0.33% | +0.35% | -0.24% | -0.31% | -0.86% | -0.33% | -0.30% | +0.68% | +0.15% | +1.53% | +0.57% |
| 12 Avg +0.15% | +0.06% | +1.14% | -0.73% | -0.05% | -0.88% | -0.10% | +1.06% | +0.01% | +0.97% | +0.70% | -0.36% | -0.03% |
| 13 Avg +0.19% | -0.06% | -0.20% | +1.45% | +0.49% | +0.67% | -1.51% | +0.04% | +1.08% | -0.27% | 0.00% | -0.25% | +0.91% |
| 14 Avg +0.21% | +0.27% | +0.57% | +0.73% | -0.17% | +0.59% | +0.03% | +0.14% | +0.18% | +0.66% | -0.14% | -0.37% | +0.08% |
| 15 Avg +0.19% | +0.17% | +0.59% | +0.55% | -0.17% | +0.08% | +0.81% | +0.23% | -0.34% | +0.08% | -0.31% | +0.78% | -0.21% |
| 16 Avg -0.09% | -0.58% | -0.04% | -0.71% | -0.34% | +0.02% | -0.25% | -0.09% | +0.43% | -0.48% | +0.36% | +0.19% | +0.47% |
| 17 Avg +0.16% | +0.87% | -0.79% | +1.14% | +1.00% | +0.13% | +0.52% | +0.56% | -0.66% | -0.29% | +0.58% | -0.74% | -0.45% |
| 18 Avg -0.25% | -0.06% | -0.35% | -0.65% | -0.29% | -0.16% | -0.06% | +0.23% | +0.10% | 0.00% | -0.33% | -0.81% | -0.58% |
| 19 Avg +0.13% | +0.84% | -0.17% | +0.24% | -0.01% | +0.21% | -0.06% | +0.18% | -0.12% | +0.53% | +0.61% | -0.92% | +0.27% |
| 20 Avg -0.05% | -0.04% | -0.50% | -0.28% | -0.99% | +0.57% | +0.90% | +0.86% | +0.61% | -0.84% | +0.16% | -0.51% | -0.57% |
| 21 Avg -0.03% | -0.60% | -0.64% | +0.90% | -0.98% | -0.37% | -0.26% | +0.29% | +0.08% | +0.11% | +0.97% | +0.05% | +0.09% |
| 22 Avg -0.02% | -0.18% | +0.01% | -0.52% | +0.57% | +0.20% | +0.55% | -0.25% | +0.53% | -0.12% | -1.11% | -0.08% | +0.14% |
| 23 Avg -0.02% | +0.48% | -0.32% | -1.18% | +0.46% | -0.36% | +0.62% | +0.15% | -0.14% | -0.15% | +0.20% | +0.24% | -0.22% |
| 24 Avg +0.30% | -0.28% | +0.44% | +1.04% | +0.64% | +0.38% | +0.05% | +0.22% | +0.30% | -0.08% | +0.50% | +0.32% | +0.10% |
| 25 Avg -0.04% | -0.67% | -0.48% | -0.16% | -0.07% | -0.29% | -0.47% | -0.62% | +0.40% | 0.00% | +1.06% | +0.87% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.12% | +0.28% | +0.09% | +1.27% | +0.29% | -0.10% | -0.45% | -0.51% | -0.13% | +0.13% | -0.95% | +0.50% | +0.99% |
| 27 Avg -0.17% | -0.70% | -0.08% | -1.32% | +0.54% | +0.69% | -0.85% | +0.83% | +0.04% | -0.62% | -0.69% | +0.12% | 0.00% |
| 28 Avg +0.34% | +1.20% | +0.01% | -0.46% | +1.17% | +0.47% | +0.42% | +0.03% | +0.15% | +0.56% | +0.14% | +0.90% | -0.49% |
| 29 Avg -0.12% | +0.54% | - | +0.74% | +0.39% | -0.01% | -0.18% | -1.17% | +0.90% | +0.02% | -1.31% | -1.16% | -0.08% |
| 30 Avg +0.10% | -0.17% | - | +0.17% | -0.09% | +0.65% | +0.56% | +0.47% | +0.29% | -0.20% | -0.71% | +0.41% | -0.27% |
| 31 Avg +0.09% | -0.24% | - | -0.11% | - | +0.12% | - | +0.29% | +0.08% | - | +0.53% | - | -0.07% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
