Check historical price trends and seasonality for Phillips 66 (PSX).
Phillips 66 (PSX) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +7.40%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 6 for 60 days) is +2.44%.
5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.
1) Overview:
Phillips 66 (PSX) exhibits a strong bullish tendency towards the end of the year, starting in October and peaking in December. From October 1 to December 2, the stock tends to rise significantly, reaching +9.6%. However, there is a notable bearish period in March, with a dip of -1.7% around March 23. The stock consolidates through the spring and summer months before beginning its upward trajectory again in the fall.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buy-the-dip opportunity appears around March 23, where the stock tends to experience a -1.7% decline. This pullback in March could be attributed to broader market corrections or sector-specific concerns. Another potential entry point could be in April, as the stock shows little to no movement. Investors could consider these periods to establish or increase their positions in anticipation of the later year rally.
3) Summary:
Based on the historical 10-year average, a strategic approach to PSX would involve capitalizing on the weakness in March around March 23, and potentially in April, to accumulate shares. The data suggests a strong seasonal uptrend into December, particularly around December 2, making this a favorable period to potentially realize gains. However, investors should always consider broader market conditions and company-specific fundamentals before making any investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023-07-06 | 95.4000 | 2023-09-03 | 117.1700 | 21.7700 | 22.82 |
| 2022 | 2022-07-06 | 79.5300 | 2022-09-03 | 88.4600 | 8.9300 | 11.23 |
| 2021 | 2021-07-06 | 84.4500 | 2021-09-03 | 69.6200 | -14.8300 | -17.56 |
| 2020 | 2020-07-06 | 68.0900 | 2020-09-03 | 59.6900 | -8.4000 | -12.34 |
| 2018 | 2018-07-06 | 111.1800 | 2018-09-03 | 118.5100 | 7.3300 | 6.59 |
| 2017 | 2017-07-06 | 81.8900 | 2017-09-03 | 84.4300 | 2.5400 | 3.10 |
| 2016 | 2016-07-06 | 76.3700 | 2016-09-03 | 78.8700 | 2.5000 | 3.27 |
| Avg | 85.2729 | 88.1071 | 2.83 | 2.44 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.78% | Feb Total -0.43% | Mar Total +0.23% | Apr Total +1.53% | May Total +1.37% | Jun Total +0.43% | Jul Total +1.95% | Aug Total -0.36% | Sep Total -0.98% | Oct Total +1.73% | Nov Total +4.92% | Dec Total -0.45% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.09% | 0.00% | -0.33% | +1.49% | -0.67% | -1.47% | +1.12% | +0.47% | -0.85% | -0.24% | +0.10% | +0.90% | +0.60% |
| 2 Avg +0.24% | +0.49% | -0.18% | -0.06% | +0.64% | +0.44% | +1.11% | +0.25% | -0.72% | +0.66% | +0.02% | -0.46% | +0.66% |
| 3 Avg +0.02% | +0.06% | -0.01% | -0.43% | -0.97% | +0.59% | +0.37% | +0.29% | +0.29% | -0.64% | +0.89% | +0.20% | -0.37% |
| 4 Avg +0.09% | +0.57% | +0.89% | +0.20% | -1.07% | +0.92% | -0.01% | 0.00% | -0.78% | -0.18% | +0.69% | -0.26% | +0.15% |
| 5 Avg +0.16% | +0.52% | +0.22% | +0.12% | +0.47% | +0.51% | +0.53% | -0.97% | -0.01% | -0.51% | +0.87% | +0.44% | -0.22% |
| 6 Avg -0.10% | -0.20% | -0.63% | -0.11% | +0.65% | -0.56% | +0.41% | -0.78% | +0.10% | -0.21% | -0.20% | +0.44% | -0.16% |
| 7 Avg +0.12% | +0.17% | +0.11% | -0.02% | -0.45% | +0.19% | +1.08% | -0.19% | +0.28% | -0.06% | +0.15% | +0.32% | -0.13% |
| 8 Avg +0.06% | -0.73% | +0.06% | -0.35% | +0.53% | +1.07% | +0.26% | -0.17% | +0.69% | -0.14% | +0.09% | -0.63% | +0.04% |
| 9 Avg 0.00% | -0.38% | -0.28% | -1.62% | +0.64% | -0.44% | -0.39% | -0.53% | -0.16% | +0.19% | +0.44% | +2.58% | -0.05% |
| 10 Avg +0.26% | -0.26% | +1.14% | +0.99% | +0.10% | +0.12% | -0.28% | +0.90% | +0.48% | -0.59% | -0.13% | +0.50% | +0.10% |
| 11 Avg -0.02% | +0.81% | +0.72% | -1.26% | +0.01% | -0.21% | -1.10% | +0.07% | +0.46% | +0.14% | -0.52% | +0.73% | -0.16% |
| 12 Avg -0.04% | +0.97% | +0.06% | -1.41% | -0.49% | +0.36% | -0.23% | +0.24% | +0.29% | +0.39% | +0.29% | -1.21% | +0.26% |
| 13 Avg +0.14% | -0.43% | +0.33% | +1.35% | +0.31% | +0.38% | -0.12% | -0.29% | -0.17% | -0.25% | +0.08% | +0.75% | -0.26% |
| 14 Avg +0.09% | +1.30% | -0.29% | +0.20% | +0.15% | +0.59% | -0.06% | -0.54% | +0.01% | -0.11% | -0.05% | +0.43% | -0.50% |
| 15 Avg -0.20% | -0.46% | -0.28% | -0.32% | -1.40% | +0.18% | -0.21% | +0.77% | -0.58% | -0.10% | -0.57% | +0.38% | +0.19% |
| 16 Avg -0.35% | -0.39% | +0.05% | -0.95% | -0.44% | +0.01% | -0.13% | -0.83% | -0.30% | +0.56% | -0.51% | -0.12% | -1.17% |
| 17 Avg -0.03% | +0.22% | -0.18% | +0.15% | +1.31% | +0.34% | -1.58% | -0.24% | -0.63% | -0.15% | +0.43% | +0.14% | -0.13% |
| 18 Avg -0.13% | +0.17% | -0.43% | -1.18% | +0.25% | +0.30% | +0.25% | +0.31% | -0.45% | +0.25% | +0.22% | -0.59% | -0.62% |
| 19 Avg -0.06% | +0.46% | +0.46% | +0.67% | +0.32% | -0.67% | -0.10% | +0.11% | -0.30% | -0.08% | -0.54% | -1.03% | -0.05% |
| 20 Avg -0.10% | -0.09% | +0.11% | +0.71% | -0.69% | -0.12% | +0.01% | 0.00% | -0.46% | -0.31% | +0.17% | -0.34% | -0.20% |
| 21 Avg -0.01% | -0.75% | -0.31% | +0.08% | -0.50% | -0.73% | +0.62% | +1.04% | +0.25% | -0.70% | -0.03% | +0.65% | +0.29% |
| 22 Avg +0.08% | +0.13% | +0.42% | -0.71% | +0.50% | -0.24% | -0.73% | -0.23% | +0.19% | +0.39% | +0.60% | +0.68% | -0.03% |
| 23 Avg -0.04% | +0.36% | +0.23% | -1.96% | +0.88% | -0.33% | -0.56% | -0.13% | +0.81% | -0.68% | -0.04% | +0.30% | +0.63% |
| 24 Avg +0.12% | -0.22% | -0.13% | +1.26% | -0.10% | +0.78% | -0.96% | -0.05% | +1.11% | +0.26% | -0.42% | +0.34% | -0.47% |
| 25 Avg +0.21% | +0.55% | -0.70% | +1.19% | -0.33% | -0.50% | +0.05% | +0.88% | +0.24% | +0.75% | +0.64% | -0.26% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.20% | +0.56% | -0.30% | +1.60% | +0.01% | +0.27% | +0.15% | +0.85% | -0.56% | -0.33% | -0.42% | -0.24% | +0.83% |
| 27 Avg +0.08% | -0.59% | -0.59% | -0.22% | +0.63% | +0.96% | +0.07% | +0.40% | +0.34% | +0.74% | -0.62% | -0.39% | +0.25% |
| 28 Avg +0.16% | -0.26% | -0.59% | -0.17% | +1.73% | -0.59% | +0.58% | +0.26% | +0.43% | +1.28% | -0.43% | +0.04% | -0.31% |
| 29 Avg +0.00% | -0.55% | - | +0.24% | +0.42% | -0.06% | -0.13% | +0.32% | +0.52% | -1.21% | +0.08% | +0.50% | -0.14% |
| 30 Avg +0.03% | -0.13% | - | +0.83% | -0.92% | -0.17% | +0.40% | -0.03% | -0.06% | -0.09% | +0.16% | +0.14% | +0.24% |
| 31 Avg -0.32% | -1.13% | - | -0.06% | - | -0.56% | - | -0.23% | -0.81% | - | +0.31% | - | +0.28% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
